In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
 Anthony Kozar <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Maybe there are not many 10.2 users left.  But I still frequently hear from
> people who are "just now" giving up their OS 9 machines for something newer.

But that's not really an Apples to Apples comparison, so to speak.  I 
would be rather surprised to find that there aren't more OS 9 users left 
today than 10.2 users since, in general, once you've made the leap to OS 
X, it's far easier to move from 10.m to 10.m+n than it is from OS 9 (or 
earlier) to any 10.n.  Likewise, I suspect most people who've gone 
through both processes would say that the leap from OS9 to 10.n is 
bigger conceptually than from W95 to XP or Vista.  But that's just my 
not particularly well-informed speculation.

Another factor is that the early releases of OS X were immature - not 
surprisingly.  The improvements from release to release have no doubt 
been a motivator to many users to keep current.

All that is somewhat independent of issues of supported hardware, such 
as you cited with an early G3.  There are, of course, various reasons 
why Apple might be seen as more aggressive than Microsoft about retiring 
older hardware, the most obvious being that, unlike Microsoft, Apple's 
primary business is selling hardware, not software.

> It would be interesting to see some real numbers for how many 10.2 users
> there are.

I've nothing equivalent to the Omni data to draw on but, in my small 
sample of users, I don't know of anyone still using 10.2.  Another 
interesting set of data points might be to look at the documented 
current supported os versions for a representative set of "popular" 
third-party OSX applications.  I'd be surprised if 10.2 shows up much 
any more.

What is pretty indisputable, I think, is that Apple has some pretty 
powerful carrots and sticks out there;  users of new hardware aren't 
going to be running anything but the latest releases so the number of 
systems running older OS X versions will likely always tend to drop off 
pretty rapidly after a few years.

-- 
 Ned Deily,
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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