Dear all,I am a new user of WinBUGS and need your help. After running the
following code, I got parameters of beta0 through beta4 (stats, density), but I
don't know how to get the prediction of the last value of h, the variable I set
to NA and want to model it using the following code.Does anyone can given me a
hint? Any advice would be greatly appreciated.Best
Regards,Bo------------------------model {for(i in 1: N) {CF01[i] ~ dnorm(0,
20)CF02[i] ~ dnorm(0, 1)h[i] ~ dpois (lambda [i])log(lambda [i]) <- beta0 +
beta1*CF03[i] + beta2*CF02[i] + beta3*CF01[i] + beta4*IND[i]}beta0 ~ dnorm(0.0,
1.0E-6)beta1 ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-6)beta2 ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-6)beta3 ~ dnorm(0.0,
1.0E-6)beta4 <- log(p)p ~ dunif(lower, upper)}INITSlist(beta0 = 0, beta1 = 0,
beta2 = 0, beta3 = 0, p = 0.9)DATA(LIST)list(N = 154, lower = 0.80, upper =
0.95,h = c(1, 4, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 3, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1, 0, 4, 2,3, 0, 2,
1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 2, 3, 1, 0, 1, 3, 3, 3, 1, 0, 1,0, 5, 2, 1, 2, 1, 3, 3, 1,
1,!
0, 2, 2, 0, 3, 0, 0, 3, 2, 2, 2,1, 0, 3, 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2, 0,
2, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5,0, 2, 1, 0, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 0, 3, 2, 1, 3, 3, 3, 3, 0, 1, 3,
3,3, 1, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0, 1, 1,1, 1, 0, 2, 1,
0, 0, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2, 1,0, 3, 3, 0, 0, 1, 2, 6, NA),CF03
= c(-1.575, 0.170, -1.040, -0.010, -0.750,0.665, -0.250, 0.145, -0.345, -1.915,
-1.515,0.215, -1.040, -0.035, 0.805, -0.860, -1.775,1.725, -1.345, 1.055,
-1.935, -0.160, -0.075,-1.305, 1.175, 0.130, -1.025, -0.630, 0.065,-0.665,
0.415, -0.660, -1.145, 0.165, 0.955,-0.920, 0.250, -0.365, 0.750, 0.045,
-2.760,-0.520, -0.095, 0.700, 0.155, -0.580, -0.970,-0.685, -0.640, -0.900,
-0.250, -1.355, -1.330,0.440, -1.505, -1.715, -0.330, 1.375, -1.135,-1.285,
0.605, 0.360, 0.705, 1.380, -2.385, -1.875,-0.390, 0.770, 1.605, -0.430,
-1.120, 1.575, 0.440,-1.320, -0.540, -1.490, -1.815, -2.395, 0.305,0.735,
-0.790, -1.070, -1.085, -0.540, -0.935,-0.790, 1.400, 0.310, -1.150, -0.7!
25, -0.150,-0.640, 2.040, -1.180, -0.235, -0.070, -0.500,-0.750, -1.45
0, -0.235, -1.635, -0.460, -1.855,-0.925, 0.075, 2.900, -0.820, -0.170,
-0.355,-0.170, 0.595, 0.655, 0.070, 0.330, 0.395, 1.165,0.750, -0.275, -0.700,
0.880, -0.970, 1.155, 0.600,-0.075, -1.120, 1.480, -1.255, 0.255, 0.725,-1.230,
-0.760, -0.380, -0.015, -1.005, -1.605,0.435, -0.695, -1.995, 0.315, -0.385,
-0.175,-0.470, -1.215, 0.780, -1.860, -0.035, -2.700,-1.055, 1.210, 0.600,
-0.710, 0.425, 0.155, -0.525,-0.565),CF02 = c(NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA,
NA,NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, 0.38, 0.06, -0.94,-0.02, -0.28, -0.78, -0.95, 2.33,
1.43, 1.24, 1.26,-0.75, -1.5, -2.09, 1.01, -0.05, 2.48, 2.48, 0.46,0.46, -0.2,
-1.11, 0.52, -0.37, 0.58, 0.86, 0.59,-0.12, -1.33, 1.4, -1.84, -1.4, -0.76,
-0.23,-1.78, -1.43, 1.2, 0.32, 1.87, 0.43, -1.71, -0.54,-1.25, -1.01, -1.98,
0.52, -1.07, -0.44, -0.24,-1.31, -2.14, -0.43, 2.47, -0.09, -1.32, -0.3,-0.99,
1.1, 0.41, 1.01, -0.19, 0.45, -0.07, -1.41,0.87, 0.68, 1.61, 0.36, -1.06,
-0.44, -0.16, 0.72,-0.69, -0.94, 0.11, 1.25, 0.33, -0.05, 0.87, !
-0.37,-0.2, -2.22, 0.26, -0.53, -1.59, 0.04, 0.16, -2.66,-0.21, -0.92, 0.25,
-1.36, -1.62, 0.61, -0.2, 0,1.14, 0.27, -0.64, 2.29, -0.56, -0.59, 0.44,
-0.05,0.56, 0.71, 0.32, -0.38, 0.01, -1.62, 1.74, 0.27, 0.97,1.22, -0.21,
-0.05, 1.15, 1.49, -0.15, 0.05, -0.87,-0.3, -0.08, 0.5, 0.84, -1.67, 0.69,
0.47, 0.44,-1.35, -0.24, -1.5, -1.32, -0.08, 0.76, -0.57,-0.84, -1.11, 1.94,
-0.68),CF01 = c(NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA,NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA,
NA, NA, NA,NA, -0.117, -0.211, -0.333, -0.229, -0.272,-0.243, -0.148, 0.191,
-0.263, -0.239, -0.168,-0.381, -0.512, -0.338, -0.296, 0.067, 0.104,-0.254,
-0.167, -0.526, -0.096, -0.43, 0.013,-0.438, -0.297, -0.131, -0.098, -0.046,
-0.063,-0.194, -0.155, -0.645, -0.603, -0.374, -0.214,-0.165, -0.509, -0.171,
-0.442, -0.468, -0.289,-0.427, -0.519, -0.454, 0.046, -0.275, -0.401,-0.542,
-0.488, -0.52, -0.018, -0.551, -0.444,-0.254, -0.286, 0.048, -0.03, -0.015,
-0.219,-0.029, 0.059, 0.007, 0.157, 0.141, -0.035, 0.136,0.526, 0.113, 0!
.22, -0.022, -0.173, 0.021, -0.027,0.261, 0.082, -0.266, -0.284, -0.09
7, 0.097, -0.06,0.397, 0.315, 0.302, -0.026, 0.268, -0.111, 0.084,0.14, -0.073,
0.287, 0.061, 0.035, -0.022, -0.091,-0.22, -0.021, -0.17, -0.184, 0.121,
-0.192,-0.24, -0.283, -0.003, -0.45, -0.138, -0.143,0.017, -0.245, 0.003,
0.108, 0.015, -0.219, 0.09,-0.22, -0.004, -0.178, 0.396, 0.204, 0.342,
0.079,-0.034, -0.122, -0.24, -0.125, 0.382, 0.072, 0.294,0.577, 0.4, 0.213,
0.359, 0.074, 0.388, 0.253, 0.167),IND = c(1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,
1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,
1,1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,0, 0, 0, 0, 0,
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,
0, 0, 0, 0,0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,0, 0,
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0))
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