Hi,

I am not able to ‘extract variance and covariance’

As mentioned, there are 5 stocks and changed the code [
http://www.forecastingfinancialrisk.com/3.html] as follows:

> S<-cov(returns)

> S

             V1           V2           V3           V4           V5

V1 0.0004951526 0.0001256519 0.0001651016 0.0003024310 0.0003516796

V2 0.0001256519 0.0008076471 0.0001251208 0.0002005305 0.0002347568

V3 0.0001651016 0.0001251208 0.0010000707 0.0003158028 0.0003682633

V4 0.0003024310 0.0002005305 0.0003158028 0.0011405561 0.0008442661

V5 0.0003516796 0.0002347568 0.0003682633 0.0008442661 0.0018536153



> EWMA[1,]<-c(S)[c(1,10,5)]

> a=t(as.numeric(returns$i)) %*% as.numeric(returns$i) ---*Here we need


             to change dataframe to numeric, that too only columns.*

> str(a)

 num [1, 1] 0

> dim(a)

[1] 1 1

> dim(lambda*S)

[1] 5 5           ---------*As the dimensions are not same we can not do
‘%*%’*

> dim((1-lambda)*a)

[1] 1 1

 for(i in 2:T)

{

  S<- lambda*S+ (1-lambda)*t(returns$i) %*% returns$i

  EWMA[i,]=c(S)[c(1,4,2)]

}



*Original code as per* http://www.forecastingfinancialrisk.com/3.html is

EWMA = *matrix*(*nrow*=T,*ncol*=3)   *# create a matrix to hold the
covariance matrix for each t*

lambda = 0.94

S = *cov*(y)             *# initial (t=1) covariance matrix*

EWMA[1,] = *c*(S)[*c*(1,4,2)]      *# extract the variances and covariance*

*for* (i *in* 2:T){        *# loop though the sample*

         S = lambda * S  + (1-lambda) * *t*(y[i]) %*% y[i]

        [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

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