Hi, I need further help with my GAMs. Most models I test are very obviously non-linear. Yet, to be on the safe side, I report the significance of the smooth (default output of mgcv's summary.gam) and confirm it deviates significantly from linearity.
I do the latter by fitting a second model where the same predictor is entered without the s(), and then use anova.gam to compare the two. I thought this was the equivalent of the default output of anova.gam using package gam instead of mgcv. I wonder if this procedure is correct because one of my models appears to be linear. In fact mgcv estimates df to be exactly 1.0 so I could have stopped there. However I inadvertently repeated the procedure outlined above. I would have thought in this case the anova.gam comparing the smooth and the linear fit would for sure have been not significant. To my surprise, P was 6.18e-09! Am I doing something wrong when I attempt to confirm the non- parametric part a smoother is significant? Here is my example case where the relationship does appear to be linear: library(mgcv) > This is mgcv 1.3-7 Temp <- c(-1.38, -1.12, -0.88, -0.62, -0.38, -0.12, 0.12, 0.38, 0.62, 0.88, 1.12, 1.38, 1.62, 1.88, 2.12, 2.38, 2.62, 2.88, 3.12, 3.38, 3.62, 3.88, 4.12, 4.38, 4.62, 4.88, 5.12, 5.38, 5.62, 5.88, 6.12, 6.38, 6.62, 6.88, 7.12, 8.38, 13.62) N.sets <- c(2, 6, 3, 9, 26, 15, 34, 21, 30, 18, 28, 27, 27, 29, 31, 22, 26, 24, 23, 15, 25, 24, 27, 19, 26, 24, 22, 13, 10, 2, 5, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1) wm.sed <- c(0.000000000, 0.016129032, 0.000000000, 0.062046512, 0.396459596, 0.189082949, 0.054757925, 0.142810440, 0.168005168, 0.180804428, 0.111439628, 0.128799505, 0.193707937, 0.105921610, 0.103497845, 0.028591837, 0.217894389, 0.020535469, 0.080389068, 0.105234450, 0.070213450, 0.050771363, 0.042074434, 0.102348837, 0.049748344, 0.019100478, 0.005203125, 0.101711864, 0.000000000, 0.000000000, 0.014808824, 0.000000000, 0.222000000, 0.167000000, 0.000000000, 0.000000000, 0.000000000) sed.gam <- gam(wm.sed~s(Temp),weight=N.sets) summary.gam(sed.gam) > Family: gaussian > Link function: identity > > Formula: > wm.sed ~ s(Temp) > > Parametric coefficients: > Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) > (Intercept) 0.08403 0.01347 6.241 3.73e-07 *** > --- > Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 > > Approximate significance of smooth terms: > edf Est.rank F p-value > s(Temp) 1 1 13.95 0.000666 *** > --- > Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 > > R-sq.(adj) = 0.554 Deviance explained = 28.5% > GCV score = 0.09904 Scale est. = 0.093686 n = 37 # testing non-linear contribution sed.lin <- gam(wm.sed~Temp,weight=N.sets) summary.gam(sed.lin) > Family: gaussian > Link function: identity > > Formula: > wm.sed ~ Temp > > Parametric coefficients: > Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) > (Intercept) 0.162879 0.019847 8.207 1.14e-09 *** > Temp -0.023792 0.006369 -3.736 0.000666 *** > --- > Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 > > > R-sq.(adj) = 0.554 Deviance explained = 28.5% > GCV score = 0.09904 Scale est. = 0.093686 n = 37 anova.gam(sed.lin, sed.gam, test="F") > Analysis of Deviance Table > > Model 1: wm.sed ~ Temp > Model 2: wm.sed ~ s(Temp) > Resid. Df Resid. Dev Df Deviance F Pr(>F) > 1 3.5000e+01 3.279 > 2 3.5000e+01 3.279 5.5554e-10 2.353e-11 0.4521 6.18e-09 *** Thanks in advance, Denis Chabot ______________________________________________ R-help@stat.math.ethz.ch mailing list https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help PLEASE do read the posting guide! http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html