Is that 6 deaths over 20 years?  If so, the probability of getting
exactly 6 deaths is given by

> dpois(6,1.8)
[1] 0.007808587

The probability of getting six or more deaths is 1 minus the result
you obtained.

On 20/09/06, Ethan Johnsons <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> The expected number of bladder cancer over next 20 years a tire
> industry is 1.8.  Poission distribution is assumed to hold and 6
> reported deaths are caused by bladder cancer among the employees.
> Trying to find how unusual this event is.
>
> > ppois(q=6, lambda=1.8, lower.tail = TRUE, log.p = FALSE)
> [1] 0.9974306
>
> not sure if ppois is the right one to use and the parameters...
>
> thx much
>
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>


--
=================================
David Barron
Said Business School
University of Oxford
Park End Street
Oxford OX1 1HP


-- 
=================================
David Barron
Said Business School
University of Oxford
Park End Street
Oxford OX1 1HP

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