For correlated time series I can recommend the meboot.pdata.frame function from 
the meboot package. This method does not require any distributional 
assumptions. I have tried it on many different time series and panels and was 
impressed by its capabilities. See also the vignette and an article in the 
journal of statistical software (2009).

Zeno

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] on behalf of Noah Silverman
Sent: Mon 1/10/2011 9:05 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [R-SIG-Finance] Boot samples from correlated time series.
 
Hi,

I'm looking at about 20 assets returns for the past 50 periods.  They
returns are correlated (some more than others.)

I'm interested in trying some monte carlo techniques for determining an
optimal portfolio.  The "usual" method I seen uses a multivariate norm
to sample possible data (rmvnorm function in R.)

The returns are definitely not normally distributed.  So, my goal is to
duplicate the same functionality of using a rmvnorm, but for unknown
distributions that are partially correlated.  It was suggested to me
that I might look at the boot function in R, however this appears to
generate a summary statistic which isn't what I want.

What I'd really like to do is simulate possible "alternate paths" for
the assets based on their historical data.  The paths are random, but
follow the same distribution as the real assets and the same
correlation.  I can't seem to find a way to do this.  Does anyone have
any suggestions?

Thanks,

--
Noah

_______________________________________________
[email protected] mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-finance
-- Subscriber-posting only. If you want to post, subscribe first.
-- Also note that this is not the r-help list where general R questions should 
go.



EBS European Business School gemeinnuetzige GmbH, Universitaet fuer Wirtschaft 
und Recht i.Gr. - Amtsgericht Wiesbaden HRB 19951 - Umsatzsteuer-ID DE 
113891213 Geschaeftsfuehrung: Prof. Dr. Christopher Jahns,  President; Prof. 
Dr. Rolf Tilmes, Dean Business School; Sabine Fuchs, CMO; Prof. Dr. Dr. Gerrick 
Frhr. v. Hoyningen-Huene, Dean Law School; Aufsichtsrat: Dr. Hellmut K. 
Albrecht, Vorsitzender
        [[alternative HTML version deleted]]

_______________________________________________
[email protected] mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-sig-finance
-- Subscriber-posting only. If you want to post, subscribe first.
-- Also note that this is not the r-help list where general R questions should 
go.

Reply via email to