Cecile, Peter, Joe and all-

As far as I understand, Peter's analysis involves paleontological data with
non-ultrametric trees, and based on my understanding of Slater (2014), the
Freckleton approach using PIC is invalid for that type of dataset, although
Fitzjohn's pruning algorithm might still apply.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/2041-210X.12201/abstract

Cheers,
-Dave

On Mon, Dec 22, 2014 at 10:15 AM, Cecile Ane <a...@stat.wisc.edu> wrote:
>
> Hi again Peter,
>
> If matrix inversion and determinants are a bottleneck, there are multiple
> ways to avoid them (without assigning random effects to ancestral species),
> including Felsenstein (1973), FitzJohn (2012) and Freckleton (2012). The
> speed-up is huge if you have thousands of tips. This algorithm extends to a
> variety of models:
> http://sysbio.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/reprint/syu005?ijkey=
> bIsHxa2dpqXCplc&keytype=ref
>
> Cecile.
>
> On 12/22/2014 12:01 PM, Peter Smits wrote:
>
>> Cecile and Joe,
>>
>> Thank you for the replies. That helped clear up a lot for me.
>>
>> And thank you for the link Cecile. Estimating sigma_phy is quite a pain
>> because of all the matrix inversions. I've a tree of approx. 2000 tips,
>> so even using of a Cholesky decomposed V_{phy} doesn't buy me much time
>> at all.
>>
>> Because the vector of means for the MVN in my work is all 0s, I've
>> written my own MVN sampler to try and minimize how many inversions or
>> determinants need to be calculated. The stan mailing list had a great
>> little discussion on how to speed up estimation of MVN random effects
>> with partially known covariance matrices
>> https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/stan-users/HcvYaDu71_Y and I
>> just followed that code. Now my posterior sampling at least gets off the
>> ground and finishes.
>>
>> The stan list discussion possibly provides a useful starting template
>> for other people on this list trying to do similar things.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> Peter
>>
>> On Mon, Dec 22, 2014 at 11:32 AM, Cecile Ane <a...@stat.wisc.edu> wrote:
>>
>>     Hi Peter,
>>
>>     We have taken a similar approach in this paper:
>>     http://onlinelibrary.wiley.__com/doi/10.1111/evo.12582/__abstract
>>
>>     <http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/evo.12582/abstract>
>>     We also use a Bayesian approach, with a prior that allows us to
>>     integrate the ancestral state and the total variance analytically
>>     (no need for MCMC for those parameters). Our notation for your
>>     sigma_phy is lambda, like Pagel's, and we do use multiple
>>     individuals per species. For what it's worth.
>>
>>     Regarding the scaling of branch lengths, I agree with Joe that there
>>     is nothing particular about 1, other than providing an easier
>>     interpretation for the numerical value of the phylogenetic variance.
>>     Cheers,
>>     Cecile.
>>
>>
>>     On 12/14/2014 01:03 PM, Peter Smits wrote:
>>
>>         Hi list,
>>
>>         I have a similar question to Edwin. I too am working with a
>>         hierarchical
>>         Bayesian model, though I've implemented it in stan. I've included
>> a
>>         phylogenetic random effect term, which is modeled as being
>>         distributed as
>>         multivariate normal with known covariance matrix up to a constant,
>>         sigma_{phy}. This follows Lynch '91 Am Nat and Housworth et al.
>>         '04 Am Nat
>>         by drawing on the similarity with the "animal model" from
>>         quantitative
>>         genetics.
>>
>>         My question is about the scaling of the covariance matrix: is it
>>         necessary
>>         to have the the diagonal terms satisfy x <= 1 and all the off
>>         diagonals to
>>         be 0 <= x < 1? I have a time scaled phylogeny from which I have my
>>         covariance matrix, so currently all elements of the matrix are
>>         not scaled
>>         so that the greatest distance from the root to a tip is 1.
>>         Currently, the
>>         elements of the matrix are just the sum of the shared branch
>>         lengths. Is
>>         this appropriate? Why or why not?
>>
>>         Any input would be much appreciated.
>>
>>         Cheers,
>>
>>         Peter Smits
>> --
>> Peter D Smits
>> Grad student
>> Committee on Evolutionary Biology
>> University of Chicago
>> psm...@uchicago.edu <mailto:psm...@uchicago.edu>
>> http://home.uchicago.edu/~psmits/home.html
>>
>
> --
> Cecile Ane
> Departments of Statistics and of Botany
> University of Wisconsin - Madison
> www.stat.wisc.edu/~ane/
>
> CALS statistical consulting lab:
> www.cals.wisc.edu/calslab/stat_consulting.php
>
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>


-- 
David W. Bapst, PhD
Adjunct Asst. Professor, Geology and Geol. Eng.
South Dakota School of Mines and Technology
501 E. St. Joseph
Rapid City, SD 57701

http://webpages.sdsmt.edu/~dbapst/
http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/paleotree/index.html

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