Terlampir situs yg melakukan prediksi gempa di dunia, walaupun sifatnya
prediksi (perkiraan), namun beberapa lokasi sudah terbukti kebenarannya.
Semoga situs ini bermanfaat bagi kita utk lebih waspada terhadap bahaya
bencana alam yg ada disekitar kita.

Silahkan klik link dibawah ini utk membuka :

 

http://www.nextearthquake.com/earthquakes_long_term_forecasts.htm
<http://www.nextearthquake.com/earthquakes_long_term_forecasts.htm> 

Salam,

Nofiardi RM 42+

 

 

Forecasts of Largest Regional Earthquakes
for Full Moon and New Moon Periods of 

the Lunar Month Ahead 

                

Breakthrough in Research (August 2008) 

All new Long-term tables (Table 10 onwards) now include the expected
dates for each earthquake forecast (column 2 below). This is being made
possible by a very important breakthrough in the author's research which
is being publicly tested and refined through the earthquake forecasts
posted here. The expected dates are indicative only, and not binding. 


These earthquake forecasts will now form the basis of any specific
short-term predictions (for 10-day periods) which may be made on pages
dedicated to the specific regions elsewhere on this web site. These
short-term predictions will be subject to reviews of magnitude and
timing as events unfold. 

NOTES for Long-term Forecast tables below: 


The largest earthquakes for each period are likely to fall within the
magnitude ranges listed below (probability >85% when magnitude accuracy
is compared to the mid range for each case). 

Interim events given in the tables are subject to review if a larger 
event occurs by the end of the forecast period. However, the forecasts
in the first column will generally remain unchanged. If an early review
becomes necessary for a given region the date of the review will be
shown. Readers should see the dedicated pages for specific regions where
short-term predictions, for periods below, may be updated and reviewed. 

COLOR CODING of cell backgrounds in column #1 indicates those regions
which currently have short-term prediction tables on their respective
pages (see side menu above).

 

The expected dates (in column 2) are indicative only, and not binding.
For June/July 2009, about 83% of the long-term forecasts are falling
within +/-5 days of the forecast date, and about 64% within +/-3 days.
These statistics have been steadily improving. Currently, the success
rate* for forecasting magnitudes is about 94% (July 2009). Successful
forecasts are made up to 30 days in advance, the average being 8 days
ahead. 
*where magnitude accuracy, as given in the tables, is equal to at least
80%

 

 

 

 



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