I think you've nailed it with "respect for 50yo carbon frames", they will be 
virtually non-existent. There's no real concern for the longevity of current 
electronic shifting systems because they'll be replaced in a few years along 
with the frame they're attached to. 

I think traditional steel bikes with manual components will continue to be 
passed around and restored indefinitely, but this is simply not the case with 
carbon racey bikes. We are in the era of the disposable bicycle in that market. 

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