I wasn't surprised.  I think you guys know I just never "felt" it.  And my 
feelings generally come from remembering the season.  They sucked on the road 
all season.  No vim.

----- Original Message -----
From: [email protected] <[email protected]>
To: [email protected] <[email protected]>
Sent: Mon Oct 12 21:14:16 2009
Subject: Re: Pitching


The question of "surprise" is key to me.

Absolute predictions are pure bullshit. The question is whether you
are surprised.

Ray

On 10/12/09, Charles Battikha <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> The Away  versus Home for the Red Sox was dramatic
>
> Team   Away            Home
> NYY    283/355/822  284/368/858  +36 OPS
> LAA    283/346/780  288/354/804  +24 OPS
> LAD    275/355/772  265/336/742  -30 OPS
> Philly 253/328/767  263/341/805  +38 OPS
>
> Boston 257/340/753  284/365/862 +109 OPS!
> Colorado also had a huge delta +132 OPS
>
> So not having a home field advantage was a big deal.
> And the numbers proved it.
>
> The 4 teams playing now were the top 5 teams in Away Records.
>
> The Red Sox were 3 games below 500 on the road in the season.
>
> In the 9 games in the Regular Season, the Angles held the Sox to 734 OPS
>
> So the numbers gave us some insight.
>
> It doesn't mean it was a foregone conclusion... but it wasn't all that
> suprising (numbers wise anyway)
>
>
>
> Ray Salemi wrote:
>> They are mirror images.
>>
>> But good pitching will beat good hitting, the opposite is not true.
>>
>> I think one writer put the breakdown at 50% hitting.  43% pitching, 7%
>> defense.  I forget how he came up with that, but it feels about right.
>>
>> There is a ton of new data people are crunching now that MLB has the
>> PitchFX system from Gameday.  This includes ball movement, ball
>> placement, velocity, and release point.  I think that it won't be long
>> before someone has an analysis on how often certain pitchers get the
>> fat part of the plate.
>>
>> On Mon, Oct 12, 2009 at 10:40 AM, William Marino
>> <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>
>>     Looks like 9 of their hitters were better than our hitters.
>>
>>     For a "numbers only" guy, you seem too willing to look past what a
>>     regression analysis might mean for the value of pitching vs. Hitting.
>>
>>
>>
>>     -----Original Message-----
>>     From: [email protected]
>>     <mailto:[email protected]>
>>     <[email protected]
>>     <mailto:[email protected]>>
>>     To: [email protected]
>>     <mailto:[email protected]>
>>     <[email protected]
>>     <mailto:[email protected]>>
>>     Sent: Mon Oct 12 08:52:07 2009
>>     Subject: Pitching
>>
>>
>>     It looks like the series did come down to pitching. Two of their
>>     starters beat ours, then their closer beat ours.
>>
>>     Pitching losses in all aspects of the game.
>>
>>     --
>>     Sent from my mobile device
>>
>>     Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity
>>     in Just 12 Weeks"
>>     www.leadingafteralayoff.com <http://www.leadingafteralayoff.com>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity
>> in Just 12 Weeks"
>> www.leadingafteralayoff.com <http://www.leadingafteralayoff.com>
>>
>>
>>
>> >
>
>
> >
>

-- 
Sent from my mobile device

Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity
in Just 12 Weeks"
www.leadingafteralayoff.com



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