Of course, it is also possible I am wrong.

On Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 2:00 PM, Douglas Laycock <dlayc...@virginia.edu>wrote:

> Of course it’s possible I am wrong.
>
>
>
> When they went to the lottery in 1969, that was certainly understood to be
> national – but I suppose the actual selections could have been by state.
> Before that, they were supposed to be taking the oldest men first (up
> through age 26, at which point you aged out), and I certainly thought at
> the time that it was on a national basis, but maybe not.  If the answer is
> not in the *Imus* opinion or a source cited there, it might be deep in
> regulations from the 60s, or perhaps in a statute from the 60s.
>
>
>
> Of course the number of student deferments dwarfed the number of
> conscientious objectors and Mormon missionaries. Only the latter could be
> attacked with Establishment Clause arguments.
>
>
>
> Douglas Laycock
>
> Robert E. Scott Distinguished Professor of Law
>
> University of Virginia Law School
>
> 580 Massie Road
>
> Charlottesville, VA  22903
>
>      434-243-8546
>
>
>
> *From:* religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu [mailto:
> religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] *On Behalf Of *Michael Worley
> *Sent:* Monday, December 02, 2013 3:46 PM
>
> *To:* Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
> *Subject:* Re: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer
> mandate, and the draft
>
>
>
> Some at the time of Vietnam thought otherwise:
>
>
>
> In *Imus v. United States* 447 F.2d 1008 (10th Cir. 1971), drafted Utahns
> where LDS Missionaries got an exemption claimed "The appellees assert in
> effect that the classification of the missionaries as ministers during the
> period of their service served to reduce the number of men eligible for
> service and thus made appellees' induction more likely."  The Court
> reversed an injunction, relying upon a Supreme Court summary affirmance in
> another case, *Boyd v.* *Clark *393 U.S. 316 (1969), where "The
> plaintiffs asserted that by reason of the number of men student deferments
> they were more likely to be inducted." *Imus*, 474 F.2d at 1009.  The
> classification in Imus was "on behalf of all Selective Service Registrants
> in this State of Utah"-- so Imus thought Utahns were harmed more.
>
>
>
>
>
> Were the Plaintiffs just wrong in Imus?  It would seem odd for a case to
> be appealed if everyone knew it was over n+1 instead of b.
>
>
>
> (I realize this is a question of fact; If the Plaintiffs in Imus were
> wrong, I withdraw my line of reasoning here.)
>
>
>
> Michael
>
>
>
> On Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 1:27 PM, Douglas Laycock <dlayc...@virginia.edu>
> wrote:
>
> The draft pool was effectively local, as you envision it, through the
> Civil War. Each county was given a quota to fill. I think it was
> nationalized for World War I, but I don’t really know.
>
>
>
> It was certainly nationalized by the time of Vietnam. Local boards
> administered the classification system, but all those classified I-A went
> into a national pool from which draftees were selected. It was called the
> Selective Service System, and your draft letter began, “Greetings! You have
> been selected . . .”
>
>
>
> So for every person granted conscientious objector status, your odds of
> being drafted went from n over however many million in the denominator to n
> + 1 over that denominator. Considered at that stage, the increase was
> infinitesimal. Somewhere there was a guy who got drafted who otherwise
> would not have been, but it was impossible to identify that person.
>
>
>
>
>
> Douglas Laycock
>
> Robert E. Scott Distinguished Professor of Law
>
> University of Virginia Law School
>
> 580 Massie Road
>
> Charlottesville, VA  22903
>
>      434-243-8546
>
>
>
> *From:* religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu [mailto:
> religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] *On Behalf Of *Michael Worley
> *Sent:* Monday, December 02, 2013 12:48 PM
> *To:* Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
> *Subject:* Re: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer
> mandate, and the draft
>
>
>
>
> Maybe I misunderstand how the draft worked (I am quite young), but it
> would seem to me that a local draft board would not be much bigger than an
> insurance plan in size (indeed, for Hobby Lobby, the draft board would seem
> smaller), and thus, Gedicks' and Van Tassel's claim that "a person’s
> decision making calculus," would not be affected seems incorrect in the
> sense that identifiability of who is burdened (and thus, the ability of a
> person to make such changes in response to a objector)is just as strong in
> the draft case, if not stronger.
>
>
>
> On Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 10:18 AM, Micah Schwartzman <mj...@virginia.edu>
> wrote:
>
> Eugene's suggestion that the religious exemption from the contraception
> mandate be analogized to the draft protester cases is anticipated by
> Gedicks and Van Tassell in their article, RFRA Exemptions from the
> Contraception Mandate:  An Unconstitutional Accommodation of Religion (
> http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2328516).
>
>
>
> Gedicks and Van Tassel argue that the burden of the exemption is not
> material because it would not affect the decision-making of non-pacificists
> in considering whether to participate in the draft. That is because the
> burden is minor and remote -- for any individual, a small number of
> exemptions amounts to a minor increase in the probability of being selected
> for the draft.
>
>
>
> Whethers Gedicks and Van Tassel are right, there is at least the
> difference that the burden of the religious exemption from the
> contraception mandate, like the burden in Caldor, falls clearly and
> specifically on identifiable individuals.
>
>
>
> It is a separate question whether broadening the exemption to include
> non-religious objectors would cure a possible constitutional defect under
> the Establishment Clause. If the reason for broadening the exemption is a
> based on a sham purpose -- that is, if it is broadened only for the purpose
> of saving an otherwise unconstitutional exemption, rather than to
> accommodate non-religious objectors (as in *Seeger*) -- I wonder whether
> that is (or should be?) permissible. It could be framed as a form of
> constitutional avoidance, but, given the history, it might also look like
> an impermissible purpose.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
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>
>
> --
> Michael Worley
>
> BYU Law School, Class of 2014
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> To post, send message to Religionlaw@lists.ucla.edu
> To subscribe, unsubscribe, change options, or get password, see
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>
>
>
>
> --
> Michael Worley
>
> BYU Law School, Class of 2014
>
> _______________________________________________
> To post, send message to Religionlaw@lists.ucla.edu
> To subscribe, unsubscribe, change options, or get password, see
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> Please note that messages sent to this large list cannot be viewed as
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>



-- 
Michael Worley
BYU Law School, Class of 2014
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