http://www.kosmopolito.org/who-will-be-the-next-romanian-commissioner/
 
Who will be the next Romanian Commissioner?
Jun 18th, 2009 by  <http://admin/> Anda

As the (rather temporary) buzz around the EP elections started to diminish,
the next big question is popping up in various circles, from political
parties headquarters to newspapers and blogs (see the concerted blog action
<http://www.jonworth.eu/thnk-european-commission/> here,
<http://www.kosmopolito.org/thinking-about-the-next-european-commission/>
here and
<http://julienfrisch.blogspot.com/2009/06/next-european-commission-thnk09.ht
ml> here): who will be each country's nominee for the Commissioner position?

With the institutional framework governing the next Commission not clearly
defined and dependent on rather uncontrollable factors (i.e. the second
Irish referendum scheduled for the autumn), the various names and
portofolios are rather speculations. However, they tend to indicate the
"mood" in different countries and offer a preview of the negotiation process
that will start after the Commisssion President will
<http://www.europeanvoice.com/article/2009/06/european-council-running-order
/65246.aspx> probably be nominated later today at the European Council.

The debate regarding the next Romanian Commissioners, though not yet very
visible in the media, has been taken up by the researchers at the
<http://www.crpe.ro/pagini/index.php> Romanian Centre for European Policies
(CRPE), who issued a report entitled:
<http://www.crpe.ro/library/CRPE%20-%20Policy%20Paper%20no.%202%20-%20Romnia
%20la%20Consiliul%20European%20din%2018-19%20iunie.pdf> "Romania at the
European Council on 18-19 June. Grades for the Romanian "Commissioners" "
The first part of the document is a very good overview of the most important
institutional aspects linked to the the new Commission (including the
current debates on how many Commissioners there will be and how is the
Commission President elected). I find it a very commendable effort to
explain all these rather complex issues to the greater public, an initiative
that should perhaps be replicated in the media and by other actors.

The second part of the report makes some recommendations as to what position
Romania should adopt at the European Council on 18-19 June and, more
important, evaluates some of the possible candidates for the Romanian
Commissioner position and the likeliness to get some portofolios of
interest. The nine possible candidates (including names such as Monica
Macovei, former Justice Minister and newly elected MEP, MEPs such as Adrian
Severin and Theodor Stolojan, former Romanian Permanent Representative to
the EU Lazar Comanescu and current commissioner Leonard Orban) are assessed
according to five criteria: experience with EU affairs, CV (competence),
political support, integrity and professional authority. The portofolios
that Romania might be aiming at are agriculture, energy, transport, regional
policy and enlargement, each assessed with medium or small chances of
success. Makes me wonder what portofolio does Romania have real chances of
getting, as all the ones mentioned above seems to come straight from a
wish-list.

While offering a very straight-forward and well-argumented overview of all
possibilities, the report fails to come up with a final conclusion and an
over-all assessment, linking the possible candidates with likely (matching)
portofolios. The task would, indeed, be rather speculative, since there is
still a heated debate inside the governing coallition (PDL-PSD) as to which
party should nominate the future Commissioner.

 lazarcomanescu
<http://www.kosmopolito.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/lazarcomane
scu.jpg> 

Nevertheless, if Romania (still) wants to have a chance in getting a decent
portofolio (as oposed to an invented one, like it is currently the case), it
should come up as soon as possible with a credible personality with strong
expertise in a specific policy field. This will be hard, since political
support is, clearly, the vital criterion among the five mentioen above. The
more likeley outcome is (like in many other cases, isn't it?) a compromise
candidate, and my guess is that Lazar Comanescu, former Permanent
Representative of Romania to the EU might just pass that test. It will be
interesting to watch the power play in the run-up to the nomination.

C 2009 Kosmopolito - The Blog with the European perspective

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