http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfpred.txt

NOTE: Schedules are preliminary and incomplete. Projections will continue
to be updated as schedules are finalized.

Below are the projections for the NCAA IA football games through
the games of 9-1-2003. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread). During the bowls,
the computer was 16-12 (.571) straight-up, 19-9 (.679) against-the-spread,
and 11-17 (.393) over/under. For the entire season, the computer was
537-170 (.760) straight-up, 376-318-13 (.541) against-the-spread, and
192-189-5 (.504) over/under.


Saturday, August 23, 2003

 BCA Classic: Kansas State (-22) vs. California (TP=55 Odds=.805) @ Kansas City, MO


Thursday, August 28, 2003

 Miami (Florida) (-32) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=60 Odds=.884) @ Shreveport, LA
 Georgia Tech (-4.5) @ Brigham Young (TP=52 Odds=.573)
 Utah (-13.5) vs. Utah State (TP=54 Odds=.703)
 Akron (-10) vs. Kent (TP=54 Odds=.653)


Saturday, August 30, 2003

 Oklahoma (-23.5) vs. North Texas (TP=45 Odds=.879)
 Texas (-28.5) vs. New Mexico State (TP=55 Odds=.877)
 Ohio State (-13) vs. Washington (TP=51 Odds=.709)
 Florida State (-16) @ North Carolina (TP=52 Odds=.745)
 Georgia (-8) @ Clemson (TP=50 Odds=.636)

 Kansas State (-27) vs. Troy State (TP=49 Odds=.891) *** will change after BCA Classic 
***
 Michigan (-30) vs. Central Michigan (TP=51 Odds=.908)
 Florida (-27) vs. San Jose State (TP=58 Odds=.850)
 Southern California (-1) @ Auburn (TP=48 Odds=.517)
 Tennessee (-11) vs. Fresno State (TP=50 Odds=.677)

 Alabama (-13) vs. South Florida (TP=48 Odds=.721) @ Birmingham, AL
 Nebraska (-14) vs. Oklahoma State (TP=54 Odds=.712)
 Colorado (-3.5) vs. Colorado State (TP=52 Odds=.555) @ Denver, CO
 Maryland (-8.5) @ Northern Illinois (TP=53 Odds=.630)
 Oregon (-10.5) @ Mississippi State (TP=52 Odds=.668)

 Washington State (-27.5) vs. Idaho (TP=59 Odds=.843) @ Seattle, WA
 Louisiana State (-28) vs. Louisiana-Monroe (TP=49 Odds=.899)
 Iowa (-12) vs. Miami (Ohio) (TP=54 Odds=.681)
 Penn State (-19) vs. Temple (TP=49 Odds=.803)
 Texas Tech (-25.5) vs. Southern Methodist (TP=54 Odds=.851)

 Wisconsin (-0.5) @ West Virginia (TP=51 Odds=.505)
 Boston College (-11) vs. Wake Forest (TP=51 Odds=.676)
 Texas A&M (-22.5) vs. Arkansas State (TP=49 Odds=.843)
 Toledo (-9.5) @ Nevada-Las Vegas (TP=55 Odds=.641)
 Virginia (-22.5) vs. Duke (TP=52 Odds=.829)

 Mississippi (-12) @ Vanderbilt (TP=52 Odds=.690)
 Illinois (-6.5) vs. Missouri (TP=55 Odds=.600) @ St. Louis, MO
 Minnesota (-25) vs. Tulsa (TP=53 Odds=.853)
 South Carolina (-20.5) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (TP=46 Odds=.834)
 Michigan State (-8) vs. Western Michigan (TP=53 Odds=.625)

 California (0) vs. Southern Mississippi (TP=49 Odds=.501) *** will change after BCA 
Classic ***
 Arizona (-17.5) vs. Texas-El Paso (TP=55 Odds=.753)
 Northwestern (-3.5) @ Kansas (TP=60 Odds=.550)
 Alabama-Birmingham (-4) @ Baylor (TP=51 Odds=.563)
 Indiana (-1.5) @ Connecticut (TP=56 Odds=.525)

 Houston (-0.5) vs. Rice (TP=54 Odds=.509)
 Rutgers (-9) vs. Buffalo (TP=50 Odds=.650)


Sunday, August 31, 2003

 Virginia Tech (-19) vs. Central Florida (TP=53 Odds=.780)
 Louisville (-3) @ Kentucky (TP=55 Odds=.543)


Monday, September 1, 2003

 Texas Christian (-6) @ Tulane (TP=53 Odds=.595)
 Cincinnati (-7) vs. East Carolina (TP=56 Odds=.604)



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