Monday, September 13, 2004, 8:51:12 PM, Jeff Todd wrote:

Jeff> ----- Original Message ----- 
Jeff> From: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Jeff> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Jeff> Sent: Monday, September 13, 2004 8:40 PM
Jeff> Subject: Re: [RollTideFan] [IMPORTANT] Ivan Tracking...


>> Either way, BamaJanny better be lettin' us know what the hail's goin' on down there!

======================================

Official NHC track @ 10 PM tonight now puts the eye in Mobile Bay at
about 7 AM Thursday AM.

Hurricane Watch now in effect from from Morgan City, LA eastward to
St. Marks Florida.

Expect watches to be changes to warnings within 24 hours as a warning
means 74+ mph winds can be expected within 24 hours.

From the NHC site:

"Ivan is moving toward the northwest near  9 mph...15 km/hr...and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Ivan is an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.  No significant change in strength
is forecast during the next 24 hours.
 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 100 miles...160 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 200 miles...325 km.
 
The minimum central pressure reported by hurricane hunter aircraft
was  914 mb...26.99 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 20 to 25 feet...locally higher...
above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering
waves...are likely occurring over portions of the South Coast of
extreme western Cuba.  The storm surge and waves should begin to
slowly diminish within the next few hours.
 
Rainfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches...possibly causing life-
threatening flash floods and mud slides...can be expected in
association with Ivan.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...22.0 N... 85.4 W.  Movement
toward...northwest near  9 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...160 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 914 mb.
 
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am
EDT."



















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