Ada yang sudah menghitung berapa EPS BUMI kalau
harga penjualan coal nya di $175, dan berapa kalau di $190.
Atau supaya tidak terlalu muluk, berapa perkiraan EPS
BUMI di kuartal ketiga dan keempat 2008 ini kalau 
harga coalnya hanya $150 /mton saja.

Bulan Mei 2008 kemarin, BUMI sempat jualan di $132 /mton
dengan pembeli dari Jepang.

Ada yg bisa bantu saya menghitungkannya?
Untuk perkiraan total penjualan tahun 2008, manajemen
BUMI kasih angka target penjualan 61 juta mton.
Q1 2008 BUMI sudah melakukan penjualan sebesar 12.5 juta mton.
Dengan harga penjualan rata2 sekitar $53.09 /mton.
Berarti dalam 3 kuartal ini akan ada penjualan sekitar
48.5 juta mton.

Kalau sudah dapat angka perkiraannya,  tolong di share
di milis ini ya.....:)

Kalau ngga ada yg mau bantuin, terpaksa saya minggu depan yg
akan buatin hitungan kasarnya (di meja kerja saya sih
sudah ada coret2annya, tapi malas ngetikinnya).....:)

jabat erat,
Irwan Ariston Napitupulu


--- In [email protected], swan silo <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Subject: Fw: COAL: BJI spot price $190 and Newcastle McCloskey $175-
reit Overweight Coals (BUMI, PTBA, ITMG & UNTR)!
> 
> 
> YANG PUNYA SAHAM BATUBARA TENANGGG...........
>  
> COAL MASIH LEBIH MENGUNTUNGKAN DARIPADA MINYAK.......
> 
>  
>  
>  
> Subject: FW: COAL: BJI spot price $190 and Newcastle McCloskey $175-
reit Overweight Coals (BUMI, PTBA, ITMG & UNTR)!
> 
> 
> 
> 
>  
>  
>  
> CS Indo COAL: BJI spot price $190 and Newcastle McCloskey $175- reit
Overweight Coals (BUMI, PTBA, ITMG & UNTR)!
>  
> The correction in API Index ($200-225/tonne) are partly attributable
to Financial Investors outflow, while the industry benchmark BJI &
McCloskey remains firm at $175-190/tonne. Oil $145/bbl is definitely
bad for global inflation (WPI and lagging CPI) and hence domestic
purchasing power.Oil $145/bbl is equivalent to $220/tonne steam coal.
>  
> We continue to recommend Overweight Coals and Buy BUMI, PTBA, ITMG &
UNTR!
> Assuming coal benchmark $130/t and Oil cost $130/bbl- valuations are:
>     (Rp)          Price        EPS Growth          09F-EPS       
PER        FV @12x 09F PE
>     BUMI       
7,100           +88%                880                8.1x        10,500
(+49% Upside)
>     PTBA        15,100        +110%               1,612            
9.4X         19,300 (+28% Upside)
>     ITMG        31,700        +196%                4,357            
7.3x         52,300 (+65% Upside)
>     UNTR        11,600        +74%               
1,214              9.6x         14,600 (+26% Upside)
>  
> Please see BJI spot price table below: BJI as of July 3,08:
US$190.95 (+22.55) 
> 
>  
> Regards,
> Dharwin Yuwono, CFA 
> IndonesiaEquity Sales
> PT Credit Suisse Securities Indonesia 
> Sampoerna Strategic Square, South Tower, 23rd Floor, 
> Jl. Jend Sudirman Kav.45/46, Jakarta 12930, Indonesia 
> Phone : +6221 2553 7978       Fax :+6221 2553 7990 
> Mobile : +62811 979 788         Email:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> 
> No virus found in this outgoing message.
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7/3/2008 7:19 PM
> 
>
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