Illawarra mines deal with flow-on effects of flood
BY BEN LANGFORD
07 Jan, 2011 04:00 AM
Mixed fortunes are predicted for Illawarra-based coalminers after flooding in 
Queensland shut down several mines there, sparking predictions of coal price 
rises.
The flooding that has devastated Rockhampton and Emerald has also forced the 
temporary closure of several coalmines in Queensland, which produces up to 40 
per cent of the world's coking coal.

Roads and rail lines have also been cut and the production halt is expected to 
drive up coal prices - some say by up to a third.

Major miners, including BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, Anglo American, Peabody and 
Xstrata have declared "force majeure" on coal contracts - meaning forces beyond 
their control have made delivery impossible.

Some miners' share prices have dropped as Queensland production halted.

Several of these companies have operations in the Illawarra - BHP Billiton's 
subsidiary Illawarra Coal operates mines at Appin and Dendrobium, Xstrata has a 
colliery at Tahmoor, while Peabody owns the Metropolitan Colliery at 
Helensburgh.

Cockatoo Coal, which has temporarily closed its Baralaba mine in Queensland, is 
looking to begin exploration work on a coal lease underneath Sutton Forest and 
Exeter in the Southern Highlands.

The companies have been reluctant to comment on whether problems in Queensland 
will place more pressure on Illawarra operations to boost production.

But Illawarra miner Gujarat NRE, which does not operate in Queensland, is on 
track for more growth.

Daiwa Capital Markets analyst David Brennan said the coking coal price could 
reach $US300 a tonne, as happened during the 2008 floods in Queensland.

"If it happens it's going to happen now, when buyers are desperate to get 
coking coal at whatever price they can get it," he said.

"They'll be willing to get it at the spot price."

He said the benchmark was set by BHP Billiton selling coking coal to Japanese 
buyers at $225 a tonne, a deal negotiated last year. But miners will now be 
keen to try to negotiate more short-term prices.

This is good news for Gujarat NRE, whose Illawarra operations at Russell Vale 
and Wongawilli are far from flood damage.

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