Pengaruhnya ke BEI besok kira2 apa ya ? -CDV -----Original Message----- From: Irwan Ariston Napitupulu <[email protected]> Sender: [email protected] Date: Thu, 7 Apr 2011 18:57:04 To: <[email protected]> Reply-To: [email protected] Subject: [saham] Re: Bank Sentral Uni Eropa (ECB)
ECB naikan suku bunga jadi 1.25% --ECB lifts benchmark rate to 1.25% --Trichet to brief press at 1230 GMT --Trichet expected to sound less hawkish than in March --Trichet seen omitting "strong vigilance" message By Nina Koeppen and Todd Buell Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES FRANKFURT (Dow Jones)--The European Central Bank on Thursday raised its benchmark interest rate to 1.25% from a historic low of 1%, as expected, making it the first of the world's major central banks to initiate a cycle of raising rates. The move, which marks the ECB's first rate rise since July 2008, comes despite the deepening debt crisis in the euro zone's periphery, after Portugal Wednesday became the third nation in the 17-country euro block to ask for a financial bailout from the European Union. Markets and observers will now turn to the ECB's monthly press conference, to commence at 1230 GMT, where ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet will give clues as to how the bank will proceed along its monetary policy path. Trichet is expected to argue that a significant build-up of inflationary pressure across the euro zone justifies the rate increase. Inflation in the region hit a 29-month high of 2.6% in March, and it is widely forecast to accelerate further in the coming months, to about 3% in June. That's well above the ECB's objective of keeping inflation "below, but close to" 2% over the medium term. Trichet is expected to live up to his inflation-fighting credentials by stressing that the Governing Council, the ECB's rate-setting body, remains "prepared to act in a firm and timely manner" to ensure price stability in the region. But, at the same time, he is likely to tone down the hawkish rhetoric that marked March's press statement. He is expected to omit the "strong vigilance" phrase traditionally used to signal an upcoming rate rise. If Trichet were to keep the "strong vigilance" phrase, markets would know that the ECB means business in its efforts to combat inflation. In practical terms, another rate increase could then come as early as May. But it's more likely that Trichet will take a step down on the hawkometer by saying that the Governing Council will monitor "very closely" all developments over the period ahead. This would mean that rates will stay unchanged until June, at least. Trichet is expected to stick to his inflation assessment, namely that "risks to the medium-term outlook for price developments are on the upside." Maintaining that rhetoric would reinforce that the ECB remains "alert," or "permanently alert" --other catch phrases he likes--against the backdrop of tightening price pressures. Some economists say Trichet may re-introduce the remark that interest rates are "appropriate." Observers knew that something was amiss when he dropped that comment at the March press conference after it had been a mainstay of his opening statements since the main refinancing rate settled at 1% in May 2009. Bringing it back today, would suggest the central bank has taken an assertive step now to combat inflation, but that its next tightening move might not come for another couple of months. The ECB president may have more announcements in store. He may unveil a new plan to keep struggling banks afloat over the medium term. A number of banks, especially from Ireland but also from Greece and Portugal, are heavily dependent on central-bank funding. A euro-zone central banking official told Dow Jones Newswires in late March that the new ECB term-funding facility would aim to replace the use of so-called Emergency Liquidity Assistance. ELA is a form of central-bank lending that is meant to tide banks over short-term emergencies, but has become an essential form of funding for Irish banks since last summer. The financing is expected to come with strong conditions attached. Website: www.ecb.int -By Nina Koeppen, Dow Jones Newswires; +49 171 569 4340; [email protected] 2011/4/7 Irwan Ariston Napitupulu <[email protected]> > Nanti sore, rencananya bank sentral Uni Eropa (ECB) diperkirakan akan > menaikkan suku bunganya untuk pertama kalinya sejak 3 tahun terakhir. > Pasar memperkirakan akan menaikkan dari 1.00% saat ini menjadi 1.25%. > > Waktu pengumumannya adalah 6:45 PM WIB nanti sore. > > Jadwal dapat dilihat di: > http://www.forexfactory.com/ > > Akan dlanjutin dengan press conf, jam 7:30 PM WIB. > > jabat erat, > Irwan Ariston Napitupulu >
