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From: positif01 <[email protected]>
Sent: Mon, May 23, 2011 1:16:41 PM
Subject: [saham] China Coal-Prices Rise for 6th Week

  
As China's major exporter of coal, Indonesian coal mining companies and their 
support services contractors should be able to reap the possible price hikes in 
at least three months ahead. Would the underlying "disaster" of deteriorating 
coal inventory in China resemble or end up with rocketing price as we have seen 
in the early first quarter  this year due to Australian flood disaster?

Reuters reported last Friday that Steam coal prices in China climbed again to 
the highest level in more than two years on Friday, as a drought continues to 
restrict hydropower generation and utilities stock up for the coming high 
energy-consuming summer months. With peak summer demand, which typically starts 
in late June
and lasts through August, still some weeks away, coal prices may head further 
north as power plants scramble for coal supplies.

Daily prices of coal with a heating value of 5,500 kcal/kg NAR climbed to 
825-835 yuan ($128.37) per tonne on Friday, while 6,000 kcal/kg coal also rose 
by 5 yuan to 875 yuan, according to industry data website SXCOAL. Qinhuangdao 
port inventory levels remained at the lowest in the year to date despite some 
rebound with the completion of maintenance work on the Daqin railway line 
showing strong demand from power plants in eastern and southern China.

Coal prices have risen 7 percent since the end of March and 20 percent since 
last year amid surging power consumption on the back of speeding economic 
growth. Prices have also increased on higher production and transportation 
costs 
after Beijing lifted retail gasoline and diesel prices three times since 
December. About 10 percent, or 300 million tonnes of coal, are transported by 
truck in China.

With the surge in coal prices outpacing modest increases in state-controlled 
on-grid power tariffs, China risks suffering its worst power crisis since 2004 
with a growing list of provinces rolling out power rationing to energy 
intensive industries. Although Beijing is said to have allowed coal-fired 
power plants to charge more for electricity in some provinces, many analysts 
say 
China will need to lift power tariffs further to prevent blackouts from 
economic 
growth -- a move which would in turn cause utilities to burn more coal as they 
increase output. Chinese coal prices could still rise about 8-9 percent over 
coming months as the government raises power tariffs to encourage power 
production.

Imports from Indonesia and Vietnam are still the most attractive.

'+'


 

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