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 Aug. 24 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane Irene, a Category 3 major storm, is 
“pounding” the Bahamas after gaining strength on a course that may take it near 
North Carolina this weekend and into southern New England early next week. 
 
 Irene’s top winds reached 120 miles (193 kilometers) per hour today as it 
churned 215 miles southeast of Nassau, according to a National Hurricane Center 
advisory at 5 p.m. It may reach Category 4 status with 135-mph winds tomorrow, 
the center said. 
 
 “We’re just watching it decimating Crooked Island of the Bahamas, Cat Island 
looks like it will be in the wheelhouse tonight and Eleuthera is just going to 
get smashed,” said Dave Samuel, a meteorologist with AccuWeather Inc. “Irene is 
a massive hurricane and that’s what’s so bad for the Bahamas. It is moving slow 
and it is huge.” 
 
 After Irene finishes with the Bahamas tomorrow, the storm is expected to arc 
north, passing over North Carolina’s Outer Banks and striking southern New 
England late Aug. 28 or early Aug. 29, according to the hurricane center track. 
The track is slightly west of where it was earlier today and closer to the East 
Coast. Forecast models show a wide variability in the possible track. 
 
 “They tend to shift from run to run, so I would not put too much emphasis on 
that right now, especially since we’re four days out,” said Jack Beven, senior 
hurricane specialist with the center in Miami, said by telephone. “That could 
shift 100 miles or more and probably will shift multiple times.” 
 
 NYC Risk 
 
 Samuel said he doesn’t believe New York would take a direct hit because “it’s 
a very unlikely track and a very, very rare track, so it is hard to believe at 
this point.” 
 
 Irene’s hurricane-strength winds, of at least 74 mph, extend 50 miles from its 
core and tropical storm strength winds reach out 205 miles. 
 
 Residents and visitors on North Carolina’s Ocracoke Island started evacuating 
early today, said Jeff Hibbard, deputy director of emergency services for Hyde 
County. 
 
 Farther up the coast, residents from Virginia to Canada will probably feel 
some of the storm’s power. 
 
 The Navy ordered all of its ships in the Hampton Roads, Virginia, area to 
prepare to get under way within 24 hours as a precaution for the approaching 
hurricane, according to a press release from the Navy’s 2nd Fleet. A decision 
on whether the ships will actually depart will be made later based on updated 
weather forecasts. 
 
 ‘Extremely Dangerous’ 
 
 “Irene is an extremely dangerous storm,” said Jeff Masters, co-founder of 
Weather Underground Inc. in Ann Arbor, Michigan. “It has the highest potential 
of any storm in the last 50 years to make it all the way to New England as a 
Category 3.” 
 
 Last year, wind shear ripped apart Hurricane Earl as it moved up the East 
Coast, Masters said. By the time the storm passed near Nantucket Island off the 
coast of Massachusetts, it had nearly fallen apart, and made landfall in Canada 
as a tropical storm. 
 
 Chris Hyde, a meteorologist with MDA EarthSat Weather in Gaithersburg, 
Maryland, said what happened with Earl may keep people from taking Irene 
seriously. 
 
 “This could be the most intense storm in 20 years so don’t be complacent about 
it,” Hyde said. 
 
 Coastal Threats 
 
 Rain, beach erosion and tidal surge “will be in play from the Mid-Atlantic all 
the way up to New England as the storm progresses,” hurricane center Director 
Bill Read said in a conference call today. 
 
 In New York, the most populous U.S. city with 8.2 million residents, officials 
were opening the emergency operations center in Brooklyn, said Chris Gilbride, 
spokesman for the Office of Emergency Management. 
 
 Based on information received from the National Weather Service, city 
officials assume a “strong possibility” the storm “could impact New York City 
or Long Island directly.” It has tracked slightly to the east during the past 
24 hours, Gilbride said in an interview. 
 
 New York Governor Andrew Cuomo also ordered the state’s emergency response 
team to prepare. Ed Mangano, the executive of Nassau County on Long Island, 
said storm preparations are taking up 70 percent of his time. The county is 
clearing drains, reviewing evacuation routes and making shelters ready in case 
they are needed, he said. 
 
 Total losses from Irene may reach $3.1 billion across the Caribbean and along 
the U.S. coastline, according to estimates from Kinetic Analysis Corp. 
 
 The U.S. East Coast, or Padd 1 region, has 10 operating refineries with a 
capacity of 1.21 million barrels a day, according to Energy Department data. 
The area accounts for 7.1 percent of total U.S. operating capacity. 
 
 The last hurricane to strike the U.S. was Ike in 2008, a Category 2 storm on 
the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale when it went ashore near Galveston, Texas. 
The last major hurricane, one with winds of at least 111 mph, was Wilma in 
2005. 
 
 The last hurricane to strike Massachusetts was Hurricane Bob in 1991. 
 
 To contact the reporters on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at 
[email protected] ; Conor Sullivan in London at 
[email protected] . 
 
 To contact the editor responsible for this story Bill Banker at 
[email protected] 

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