The Wall Street Journal
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
Dance of Saddam's Seven Veils
Iraq says it has no weapons? That's a material breach.
Friday, December 6, 2002 12:01 a.m. EST

Sunday is the deadline for Iraq to fess up to all of its secret weapons
programs, but we already have a suggestion of what that list will be worth.
"We have no weapons of mass destruction, absolutely no weapons of mass
destruction," said Iraqi Major General Hussam Muhammad Amin this week.

Well, that's a relief. This remarkable non-admission is the real Iraq news
this week, not the dance of the seven veils now being undertaken in Baghdad
by United Nations weapons inspectors. The latter couldn't be more amusing if
it had been written by the Friar's Club. The inspectors pretend to be
"surprising" the Iraqis about their inspection destinations, while the
Iraqis pretend to be cooperating.

This week they even managed a surprise visit to one of Saddam Hussein's
umpteen presidential sites and/or palaces. Iraqis claimed to be outraged at
this intrusion into their sovereignty, as if they haven't long ago had the
chance to conceal whatever they really want to keep secret.

The real, stunning surprise will be if the inspectors find something. In
recent years Saddam has developed mobile laboratories that can take off in
the opposite direction if they see a U.N. team heading their way. Nor does
he have to keep many of his lethal weapons actually in stock. As a senior
U.S. official told us this week, he's perfected the art of "just in time
inventory" and has the ability to cook up weapons on demand. Some of the
ingredients even have legitimate alternative uses, so Iraqis will insist
they aren't a problem.

The Iraqi report due this weekend could run to thousands of obfuscating
pages, and the Bush Administration says it likely will take a while to
respond. But the reality is that we already know Iraq has weapons of mass
destruction, both from intelligence information and from U.N. inspections
during the 1990s. All of this was laid out a couple of months back in a
dossier by Tony Blair's Labor government.

The Brits released another report on Iraq this week, this time reminding the
world about Saddam's human-rights abuses. But the earlier report is more
relevant to this weekend, demonstrating as it does that any assertion that
Iraq lacks mass-murder weaponry is one more lie.

Saddam's inventory includes:

. up to 360 tons of bulk chemical warfare agent, including 1.5 tons of
deadly VX nerve agent;
. up to 3,000 tons of precursor chemicals for use in chemical weapons;
. growth media for the production of biological weapons (enough to make more
than three times the 8,500 liters of anthrax spores that Iraq admits to
having manufactured);
. and more than 30,000 special munitions "for delivery of chemical and
biological agents."

The British dossier also performs a useful service by describing in detail
what it calls Iraq's "large, effective system for hiding proscribed
material." That includes forged documents, dual-use facilities and hiding
spots close to roads and telecommunications so illicit items can be moved at
short notice.

It's always possible the inspectors will get a break and stumble onto
something, much as inspectors got lucky with defections in the 1990s before
Saddam threw them out. But Saddam will always win a game of inspect and
pretend on his home turf. In the meantime, the world is left to live with
the knowledge that, as the British report also notes, Iraq can get weapons
of mass destruction ready for use within 45 minutes of Saddam's order.

In the foreword to the report, issued on September 24, Prime Minister Blair
previews the charade we've been watching in Baghdad this week. Saddam, he
warns, will "do his utmost to try to conceal his weapons from U.N.
inspectors" and will "go to extreme lengths, indeed has already done so, to
hide these weapons and avoid giving them up." It's the same old pattern of
deceit that Saddam has gotten away with for more than a decade.

But with the accounting due this weekend, the dance should finally be up. As
U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said this week, "The United States
knows that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction. The U.K. knows that they
have weapons of mass destruction. Any country on the face of the Earth with
an active intelligence program knows that Iraq has weapons of mass
destruction."

If Iraq asserts this weekend that it has no such weapons, then that will on
its face be a material breach of U.N. Security Council resolutions demanding
that he disarm. And a material breach means Iraq must be disarmed by force.
The U.S. and Britain ought to say so, the U.N. should then bring its
inspectors home, and the hour will be at hand to liberate Iraqis and the
world from Saddam Hussein's terror threat.

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