NBC's New Series Show the Limits of Predictions
  Dec 05, 2007
http://www.film.com/tv/story/nbcsnewseriesshowthelimitsofpredictions/13982602/17537492
"You never know" is a motto that can be applied to many walks of life, 
television prognostication being one. Self-styled experts can make 
educated guesses, but in the end audiences will always do what they 
want. This is a lesson that NBC has learned again this fall.

The peacock network began the fall season with only four new series to 
introduce, all hour-long dramas. The centerpiece was Bionic Woman, a 
reworking of the somewhat campy 1970s series that promised to introduce 
some post-Alias intrigue. The other three shows had lower profiles, with 
mostly anonymous casts and without the cachet of an obviously creative 
concept like Pushing Daisies. Chuck was a fish out of water spy story 
with comic overtones, and the closest thing to a name star in its cast 
was Adam Baldwin, who is best known for not being a Baldwin brother. On 
its face, Lifeappeared to be just another cop show, one with about the 
most boring title imaginable. Journeyman, about a time traveling 
reporter, was instantly tagged as a rewrite of Quantum Leap, which isn't 
even that far in the past.

But of the three, it appears NBC saw Journeyman as the show with the 
most potential, as it was given a timeslot following Heroes, a show with 
which it shares a sci-fi sensibility. Bionic Woman looked like a pretty 
safe bet, and as for Chuck and Life -- well, both would need a lot of help.

So much for the conventional wisdom. Bionic Woman aired its last 
finished episode last week, and NBC has said nothing about plans for any 
more. Ratings that started out quite good fell dramatically in their 
second week and have continued to fall, to the point where Life, the 
show that NBC hoped might get a boost from Bionic Woman, has begun to 
surpass it in the ratings. Life has been picked up for a full 22-episode 
season by NBC (pending resolution of the WGA strike), as has Chuck, 
which held its own on Mondays at 8:00 opposite Dancing with the Stars. 
Journeyman has three more episodes to run this month, and NBC has put 
out word that the final episode works as a plausible ending to the 
series, which would seem to spell doom even though it hasn't officially 
been canned.

What went wrong with Bionic Woman and Journeyman, and why did the little 
engines Life and Chuck gain traction? Many shows debut and die without 
ever really being sampledFriday Night Lights is still fighting that 
battle in its second season. But Bionic Woman did not have that problem, 
as ratings for its premiere were quite good. But its reviews were bad 
right away, and not just from critics, but from the sort of fanboys and 
fangirls who latched onto Heroes immediately and were expected to be 
fervent backers here too. Part of the problem, one that perhaps should 
have been realized from the outset, was that the title character played 
by Michelle Ryan was badly overshadowed by the show's supposed villain, 
played by Katee Sackhoff of Battlestar Galactica fame. All things being 
equal, networks will cast someone who looks like Ryan to someone who 
looks like Sackhoff ten times out of ten, but the reaction to the two 
characters makes one wonder why Bionic Woman wasn't simply built around 
Sackhoff in the first place, given her credibility with the sci-fi audience.

The problem with Journeyman was less that people didn't like it than not 
enough people were interested in the first place. The Heroes audience 
never really stuck around to watch, perhaps because Journeyman does not 
have the same kind of breakneck kinetic appeal of its lead-in. Star 
Kevin McKidd is best known for Rome, which wasn't one of HBO's bigger 
hits, and he's a somewhat stolid presence for what should ideally be a 
popcorn show. The overarching plot, regarding how McKidd's Dan Vassar 
character started time traveling in the first place, was somewhat 
confusing for new viewers; and the week-to-week plots were nothing special.

Chuck caught its first break during the summer when some critics began 
singing the praises of its pilot episode, which did a great job of 
establishing the title character as a regular shmoe in its first few 
minutes, and then almost instantly plunged him into a bizarre new life 
as a tool of the CIA. The show has done a good job of convincing those 
who first tuned in thanks to the critics to stick around week after 
week. The permanent setting, the electronics store where Chuck works 
officially, provides a handy base for comical subplots; while the CIA 
portion provides the action and (thanks to Yvonne Strahovski's Sarah) 
the romance. Opposite Dancing with the Stars, NBC isn't looking for a 
top ten hit, so Chuck could have a nice home on Mondays at 8:00 for a while.

Life shares with Journeyman the potential pitfall of a mega-plot that is 
running concurrently with the show's weekly action: the question of who 
it was that set up Charlie Crews (Damian Lewis) for a long stint in 
prison. Anybody coming in to Life at this point would either have to 
watch the old episodes on NBC.com to understand why the characters keep 
talking about the Bank of Los Angeles robbery, or just decide to ignore 
the entire theme (although Monday's episode teased that a final answer 
may not be far away).

Unlike Chuck, which built from a highly touted pilot, Life has caught on 
via word of mouth, and a very vocal and passionate online fanbase that 
has been begging critics to speak out in its favor. As time has gone on, 
Life has begun to remind me a bit of the late, great Homicide: Life on 
the Street, with its creative use of music and its odd bits of seemingly 
random dialogue. Crews and his partner Dani Reese (Sarah Shahi) invert 
the usual stereotype: the older man comes across as eccentric and often 
unserious; the younger woman is cynical and quiet. With all the 
procedurals around (one of which, CSI: NY, is the main competition for 
Life), there's a place for a character-based cop show that's aimed a 
little higher intellectually than Women's Murder Club.

NBC is still badly lacking in series that combine critical acclaim with 
ratings -- one might argue they don't have any, considering the 
struggles of Heroes. But the network can attempt to build off Chuck and 
Life, while trying to prevent the mistakes that sank Bionic Woman from 
happening again.


 
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