The last poll taken before super Tuesday had him less than 10 points behind about being 30 points behind for a long time . Based on district by district analysis that I read, even if he looses, he is likely to walk away with a few more delegates than her. It is a primary and a caucus--and we all know how he does in caucuses. His Hispanic numbers are going up. Blacks (21% of the pop)are clustered in the state in a way that is to his advantage for delegates. Hispanics are more spread out which means less delegates. He is likely to win in Wyoming and Hawaii. If so, she will have loss 10 in a row and there is bad news out every day. Unless he does something stupid or does bad in the debate, most think if he will looses, it will be by a small margin. She has to beat him by 60% to say afloat and she almost never gets that. Finally he has momentum and she is crashing and burning with scandals, rumors, severe cash flow issues,poll numbers and skipping caucuses and primaries, and providing bad sound bites
So, yeah, I think he could win. It's obvious that Mc Cain does, since he has singled him out Mike Street wrote: > Do you really think Obama could win Texas? > > But I agree that one of them needs to step aside and let the other run > the President. McCain is already throwing daggers at Obama. So looks > like he's ready to get it on. > > On Wed, Feb 13, 2008 at 10:39 PM, Daryle <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > >> >> >> >> >> I heard a similar story today. If this is rumour, it is catching on like >> crazy. >> >> On 2/13/08 9:53 PM, "Tracey de Morsella (formerly Tracey L. Minor)" >> >> >> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >> >> > If Hillary Loses Ohio, It's On To Senate Majority Leader >> > Submitted by Jerid on Tue, 02/12/2008 - 3:55pm. >> > >> > This is a rumor. Repeat. This is a rumor. >> > >> > Spoke with a few of my friends in D.C. today and they told me the nasty >> > rumor that popped up in the beltway political circles the last day or >> > so. The claim floating around DuPont is that a deal has been struck >> > should Obama sweep both Ohio and Texas, Hillary will step aside for the >> > good of the party. In return, Harry Reid will find a cabinet position in >> > an Obama administration and Hillary will be elected Majority Leader by >> > her greatful peers. >> > >> > Sure, it's far fetched. But it is entirely unbelievable? Nope, not by a >> > long shot. Howard Dean and others in the party leadership have stated >> > repeatedly that a brokered convention is undesirable, and that a deal >> > should be struck to avoid such an outcome. You better believe that a >> > deal to scuttle a once viable presidential campaign is going to have to >> > be pretty loaded. These same party leaders have expressed a willingness >> > to help avoid a brokered convention. >> > >> > A deal of this nature is also more believable because of what it's >> > execution requires. The rumor is Hillary would have to lose both Ohio & >> > Texas to trigger it. Currently Clinton is expected to win both states, >> > and a loss in those two states involves hundreds of delegates, and a >> > sign that something would be very wrong with the Clinton campaign. It'd >> > be apocalyptic. Even if there were no deal in place, Clinton would face >> > dim prospects after Ohio and Texas losses. A deal ahead of time doesn't >> > change that situation, it just assures some finality and stability >> > should the two losses come. >> > >> > So once again. This is just a rumor, but an interesting one at that. >> > http://www.buckeyestateblog.com/ >> > >> > >> > >> > Yahoo! Groups Links >> > >> > >> > >> >> >> > > > > [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
