I guess we'll be hearing about the end of the war soon.

Bosco

--- On Mon, 6/14/10, Mr. Worf <hellomahog...@gmail.com> wrote:

From: Mr. Worf <hellomahog...@gmail.com>
Subject: [scifinoir2] U.S. Identifies Vast Riches of Minerals in Afghanistan
To: scifinoir2@yahoogroups.com
Date: Monday, June 14, 2010, 4:23 AM







 



  


    
      
      
      Anyone surprised by this?

U.S. 
Identifies Vast Riches of Minerals in Afghanistan
 
Tyler Hicks/The New York Times
A bleak Ghazni Province seems to offer little, but a 
Pentagon study says it may have among the world’s largest deposits of 
lithium.  
         
        By JAMES RISEN
        Published: June 13, 2010




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WASHINGTON — The United States has discovered nearly $1 trillion in 
untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan,
 far beyond any previously known reserves and enough to fundamentally 
alter the Afghan economy and perhaps the Afghan war itself, according to
 senior American government officials.           


  
  


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The previously unknown deposits — including huge veins of iron, copper, 
cobalt, gold and critical industrial metals like lithium
 — are so big and include so many minerals that are essential to modern 
industry that Afghanistan could eventually be transformed into one of 
the most important mining centers in the world, the United States 
officials believe.              
An internal Pentagon memo, for example, states that Afghanistan could 
become the “Saudi Arabia of lithium,” a key raw material in the 
manufacture of batteries for laptops and BlackBerrys.           
The vast scale of Afghanistan’s mineral wealth was discovered by a small
 team of Pentagon officials and American geologists. The Afghan 
government and President Hamid Karzai
 were recently briefed, American officials said.                
While it could take many years to develop a mining industry, the 
potential is so great that officials and executives in the industry 
believe it could attract heavy investment even before mines are 
profitable, providing the possibility of jobs that could distract from 
generations of war.             
“There is stunning potential here,” Gen. David 
H. Petraeus, commander of the United States Central Command, said in
 an interview on Saturday. “There are a lot of ifs, of course, but I 
think potentially it is hugely significant.”            
The value of the newly discovered mineral deposits dwarfs the size of 
Afghanistan’s existing war-bedraggled economy, which is based largely on
 opium production and narcotics trafficking as well as aid from the 
United States and other industrialized countries. Afghanistan’s gross 
domestic product is only about $12 billion.             
“This will become the backbone of the Afghan economy,” said Jalil 
Jumriany, an adviser to the Afghan minister of mines.           
American and Afghan officials agreed to discuss the mineral discoveries 
at a difficult moment in the war in Afghanistan. The American-led 
offensive in Marja in southern Afghanistan has achieved only limited 
gains. Meanwhile, charges of corruption and favoritism continue to 
plague the Karzai government, and Mr. Karzai seems increasingly 
embittered toward the White House.              
So the Obama administration is hungry for some positive news to come out
 of Afghanistan. Yet the American officials also recognize that the 
mineral discoveries will almost certainly have a double-edged impact.           
Instead of bringing peace, the newfound mineral wealth could lead the Taliban 
to battle even more fiercely to regain control of the country.          
The corruption that is already rampant in the Karzai government could 
also be amplified by the new wealth, particularly if a handful of 
well-connected oligarchs, some with personal ties to the president, gain
 control of the resources. Just last year, Afghanistan’s minister of 
mines was accused by American officials of accepting a $30 million bribe
 to award China the rights to develop its copper mine. The minister has 
since been replaced.            
Endless fights could erupt between the central government in Kabul and 
provincial and tribal leaders in mineral-rich districts. Afghanistan has
 a national mining law, written with the help of advisers from the World Bank,
 but it has never faced a serious challenge.            
“No one has tested that law; no one knows how it will stand up in a 
fight between the central government and the provinces,” observed Paul A. 
Brinkley, deputy 
undersecretary of defense for business and leader of the Pentagon team 
that discovered the deposits.           
At the same time, American officials fear resource-hungry China will try
 to dominate the development of Afghanistan’s mineral wealth, which 
could upset the United States, given its heavy investment in the region.
 After winning the bid for its Aynak copper mine in Logar Province, 
China clearly wants more, American officials said.              
Another complication is that because Afghanistan has never had much 
heavy industry before, it has little or no history of environmental 
protection either. “The big question is, can this be developed in a 
responsible way, in a way that is environmentally and socially 
responsible?” Mr. Brinkley said. “No one knows how this will work.”             
With virtually no mining industry or infrastructure in place today, it 
will take decades for Afghanistan to exploit its mineral wealth fully. 
“This is a country that has no mining culture,” said Jack Medlin, a 
geologist in the United States Geological Survey’s international 
affairs program. “They’ve had some small artisanal mines, but now there 
could be some very, very large mines that will require more than just a 
gold pan.”              
The mineral deposits are scattered throughout the country, including in 
the southern and eastern regions along the border with Pakistan that 
have had some of the most intense combat in the American-led war against
 the Taliban insurgency.                
(Page 2 of 2)
The Pentagon task force has already started trying to help the Afghans 
set up a system to deal with mineral development. International 
accounting firms that have expertise in mining contracts have been hired
 to consult with the Afghan Ministry of Mines, and technical data is 
being prepared to turn over to multinational mining companies and other 
potential foreign investors. The Pentagon is helping Afghan officials 
arrange to start seeking bids on mineral rights by next fall, officials 
said.            


  
  


Notes from Afghanistan, 
Pakistan, Iraq and other areas of conflict in the post-9/11 era.
Go to the 
Blog »
        

Multimedia

  



Graphic



Minerals in Afghanistan





  

    Readers' Comments
            Share your thoughts.
                Post a Comment »    

 
“The Ministry of Mines is not ready to handle this,” Mr. Brinkley said. 
“We are trying to help them get ready.”         
Like much of the recent history of the country, the story of the 
discovery of Afghanistan’s mineral wealth is one of missed opportunities
 and the distractions of war.           
In 2004, American geologists, sent to Afghanistan as part of a broader 
reconstruction effort, stumbled across an intriguing series of old 
charts and data at the library of the Afghan Geological Survey in Kabul 
that hinted at major mineral deposits in the country. They soon learned 
that the data had been collected by Soviet mining experts during the 
Soviet occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s, but cast aside when the 
Soviets withdrew in 1989.               
During the chaos of the 1990s, when Afghanistan was mired in civil war 
and later ruled by the Taliban, a small group of Afghan geologists 
protected the charts by taking them home, and returned them to the 
Geological Survey’s library only after the American invasion and the 
ouster of the Taliban in 2001.          
“There were maps, but the development did not take place, because you 
had 30 to 35 years of war,” said Ahmad Hujabre, an Afghan engineer who 
worked for the Ministry of Mines in the 1970s.          
Armed with the old Russian charts, the United States Geological Survey 
began a series of aerial surveys of Afghanistan’s mineral resources in 
2006, using advanced gravity and magnetic measuring equipment attached 
to an old Navy Orion P-3 aircraft that flew over about 70 percent of the
 country.               
The data from those flights was so promising that in 2007, the 
geologists returned for an even more sophisticated study, using an old 
British bomber equipped with  instruments that offered a 
three-dimensional profile of mineral deposits below the earth’s surface.
 It was the most comprehensive geologic survey of Afghanistan ever 
conducted.              
The handful of American geologists who pored over the new data said the 
results were astonishing.               
But the results gathered dust for two more years, ignored by officials 
in both the American and Afghan governments. In 2009, a Pentagon task 
force that had created business development programs in Iraq was 
transferred to Afghanistan, and came upon the geological data. Until 
then, no one besides the geologists had bothered to look at the 
information — and no one had sought to translate the technical data to 
measure the potential economic value of the mineral deposits.           
Soon, the Pentagon business development task force brought in teams of 
American mining experts  to validate the survey’s findings, and then 
briefed Defense Secretary Robert M.
 Gates and Mr. Karzai.          
So far, the biggest mineral deposits discovered are of iron and copper, 
and the quantities are large enough to make Afghanistan a major world 
producer of both, United States officials said. Other finds include 
large deposits of niobium, a soft metal used in producing 
superconducting steel, rare earth elements and large gold deposits in 
Pashtun areas of southern Afghanistan.          
Just this month, American geologists working with the Pentagon team have
 been conducting ground surveys on dry salt lakes in western Afghanistan
 where they believe there are large deposits of lithium. Pentagon 
officials said that their initial analysis at one location in Ghazni 
Province showed the potential for lithium deposits as large of those of 
Bolivia, which now has the world’s largest known lithium reserves.              
For the geologists who are now scouring some of the most remote 
stretches of Afghanistan to complete the technical studies necessary 
before the international bidding process is begun, there is a growing 
sense that they are in the midst of one of the great discoveries of 
their careers.          
“On the ground, it’s very, very, promising,” Mr. Medlin said. “Actually,
 it’s pretty amazing.”          
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