Re: [agi] Sam Altman Seeks Trillions

2024-02-10 Thread James Bowery
At least he didn't say *$10T/year capital flow rate*, which is the figure
that a co-founder of the DoE EIA held out to me as the lure from Biden's
then newly appointed Cabinet level position of Science Advisor, to deal
with *global warming*.  I'd spent several years, during my caregiving for
my wife's long decline under Huntington's Disease, working up a CO2 ->
algae biomass macroengineering plan which very well could have "worked" to
capture all CO2 effluents from US elex in a pipeline to the desert
Southwest photobioreactors.  But that "solution" was only marginally
economic compared to what could be accomplished in the eastern equatorial
Pacific given synthetic atoll wavebreaks for the PBRs, which would
depopulate land areas in favor of beachfront real estate and local
recycling of all wastes while rewilding the rainforests, farm lands and
reviving natural fisheries.

The key technological risks are yet to be addressed in that dress rehearsal
for space habitats but they are FAR less than the risk that "matrix
multiplication hardware" is *the* way to go to scale up intelligence to the
point that we can solve all the other technical risks with such
macroengineering projects.  The fools won't back The Hutter Prize approach
to avoiding The Hardware Lottery which, although it is far from the *only*
such approach that should be funded, is an excellent *example* of how one
can avoid *risk* that scaling up investment to *trillions* will be blind to
avenues one should be pursuing from a vastly superior perspective.

On Fri, Feb 9, 2024 at 8:28 AM Bill Hibbard via AGI 
wrote:

> At 76 years old I can afford to find the humor in this:
> 
> https://www.msn.com/en-za/news/other/openai-chief-looking-to-raise-trillions-to-reshape-semiconductor-sector-wsj/ar-BB1i0ExD
> 
> Looking forward to the Beneficial AGI Summit.

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Re: [agi] Sam Altman Seeks Trillions

2024-02-10 Thread immortal . discoveries
https://twitter.com/sama/status/1756089361609981993
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Re: [agi] Sam Altman Seeks Trillions

2024-02-09 Thread Mike Archbold
and that's just with two years of college. Think how much more it would be
if he was a graduate

On Fri, Feb 9, 2024 at 6:28 AM Bill Hibbard via AGI 
wrote:

> At 76 years old I can afford to find the humor in this:
> 
> https://www.msn.com/en-za/news/other/openai-chief-looking-to-raise-trillions-to-reshape-semiconductor-sector-wsj/ar-BB1i0ExD
> 
> Looking forward to the Beneficial AGI Summit.

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Re: [agi] Sam Altman Seeks Trillions

2024-02-09 Thread Matt Mahoney
Automating labor would be worth world GDP divided by interest rates, about
$1 quadrillion. I would take the bet. But allow another 20 years to surpass
human brains and 100 years to surpass biology.

On Fri, Feb 9, 2024, 9:28 AM Bill Hibbard via AGI 
wrote:

> At 76 years old I can afford to find the humor in this:
> 
> https://www.msn.com/en-za/news/other/openai-chief-looking-to-raise-trillions-to-reshape-semiconductor-sector-wsj/ar-BB1i0ExD
> 
> Looking forward to the Beneficial AGI Summit.

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[agi] Sam Altman Seeks Trillions

2024-02-09 Thread Bill Hibbard via AGI

At 76 years old I can afford to find the humor in this:
https://www.msn.com/en-za/news/other/openai-chief-looking-to-raise-trillions-to-reshape-semiconductor-sector-wsj/ar-BB1i0ExD

Looking forward to the Beneficial AGI Summit.

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