Re[12]: [agi] Funding AGI research

2007-11-29 Thread Dennis Gorelik
Benjamin,

 That proves my point [that AGI project can be successfully split
 into smaller narrow AI subprojects], right?

 Yes, but it's a largely irrelevant point.  Because building a narrow-AI
 system in an AGI-compatible way is HARDER than building that same
 narrow-AI component in a non-AGI-compatible way.

Even if this is the case (which is not) that would simply mean several
development steps:
1) Develop narrow AI with non-reusable AI component and get rewarded
for that (because it would be useful system by itself).
2) Refactor non-reusable AI component into reusable AI component and
get rewarded for that (because it would reusable component for sale).
3) Apply reusable AI component in AGI and get rewarded for that.

If you were analyzing effectiveness of reward systems -- you would
notice, that systems (humans, animals, or machines) that are rewarded
immediately for positive contribution perform considerably better than
systems with reward distributed long after successful accomplishments.


 So, given the pressures of commerce and academia, people who are
 motivated to make narrow-AI for its own sake, will almost never create
 narrow-AI components that are useful for AGI.

Sorry, but that does not match with how things really work.
So far only researchers/developers who picked narrow-AI approach
accomplished something useful for AGI.
E.g.: Google, computer languages, network protocols, databases.

Pure AGI researchers contributed nothing, but disappointments in AI
ideas.



 Would you agree that splitting very complex and big project into
 meaningful parts considerably improves chances of success?

 Yes, sure ... but demanding that these meaningful parts

 -- be economically viable

 and/or

 -- beat competing, somewhat-similar components in competitions

 dramatically DECREASES chances of success ...

INCREASES chances of success. Dramatically.
There are lots of examples supporting it both in AI research field and
in virtually every area of human research.



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Re: Re[12]: [agi] Funding AGI research

2007-11-29 Thread Benjamin Goertzel
On Nov 30, 2007 12:03 AM, Dennis Gorelik [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Benjamin,

  That proves my point [that AGI project can be successfully split
  into smaller narrow AI subprojects], right?

  Yes, but it's a largely irrelevant point.  Because building a narrow-AI
  system in an AGI-compatible way is HARDER than building that same
  narrow-AI component in a non-AGI-compatible way.

 Even if this is the case (which is not) that would simply mean several
 development steps:
 1) Develop narrow AI with non-reusable AI component and get rewarded
 for that (because it would be useful system by itself).

Obviously, most researchers who have developed useful narrow-AI
components have not gotten rich from it.  The nature of our economy and
society is such that most scientific and technical innovators are not
dramatically
financially rewarded.

 2) Refactor non-reusable AI component into reusable AI component and
 get rewarded for that (because it would reusable component for sale).
 3) Apply reusable AI component in AGI and get rewarded for that.


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Re: Re[12]: [agi] Funding AGI research

2007-11-29 Thread Benjamin Goertzel
 So far only researchers/developers who picked narrow-AI approach
 accomplished something useful for AGI.
 E.g.: Google, computer languages, network protocols, databases.

These are tools that are useful for AGI RD but so are computer
monitors, silicon chips, and desk chairs.  Being a useful tool for AGI
RD does not make something constitute AGI RD.

I do note that I myself have done (and am doing) plenty of narrow AI
work in parallel with AGI work.  So I'm not arguing against narrow AI
nor stating that narrow AI is irrelevant to AGI.  But your view of the
interrelationship seems extremely oversimplified to me.  If it were
as simple as you're saying, I imagine we'd have human-level AGI
already, as we have loads of decent narrow-AI's for various tasks.

-- Ben

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