RE: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-16 Thread Reid, David W
Hello Digby,

By sampling problem, I meant aspects of the collection + preparation of the 
eight samples from the one ton sample.  From Kevin's description this all 
occurs at the laboratory. Thank you Isobel for your clear breakdown of the 
issues.   The geologist in me was trying to draw attention to consideration of 
the sampling issues as well as the statistical. 

Sorry to worry you with my statement, Isobel.  I was thinking that this would 
be the case if the bulk sample was truly homoginised. But as you rightly point 
out it is unlikey to be so in most crushed gold deposit samples.

David Reid


-Original Message-
From: Digby Millikan [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, 13 May 2005 7:34 PM
To: ai-geostats; Reid, David W
Subject: Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples


David,

A few questions,
How would you determine the number of samples? 
When you say sampling problem, do you mean
problems in the laboratory?

btw Michel David's example of  the use of sichel
t-estimator is the use of five samples from Harmony
Mine. He also goes onto discuss pro's and con's
of having 5 samples 

  i.e.

  arithmetic mean of 5 samples   
  1195 in-dwt  (47.2 gram.metres)
  sichel mean of 5 samples
   894 in-dwt  (35.3 gram metres)
  mean derived from 5,170 samples
   618 in-dwt  (24.4 gram metres)

Regards Digby 
 



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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread Digby Millikan
Kevin,
You may also be interested in this website, if you select the applet 
and a skewed distribution, you can see examples of sample
distributions.

http://www.intuitor.com/statistics/CentralLim.html
Digby

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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread Digby Millikan
David,
A few questions,
How would you determine the number of samples? 
When you say sampling problem, do you mean
problems in the laboratory?

btw Michel David's example of  the use of sichel
t-estimator is the use of five samples from Harmony
Mine. He also goes onto discuss pro's and con's
of having 5 samples 

 i.e.
 arithmetic mean of 5 samples   
 1195 in-dwt  (47.2 gram.metres)
 sichel mean of 5 samples
  894 in-dwt  (35.3 gram metres)
 mean derived from 5,170 samples
  618 in-dwt  (24.4 gram metres)

Regards Digby 


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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread Digby Millikan
Richard,
If you wish to use the chip samples to estimate the mean the formulea for 
the
estimate of the mean of a lognormal population is;

T* = exp(u* + 0.5 s*^2)   pp73 Practical Geostatistics 2000 
I. Clark

i.e. you need to have the variance of the samples to estimate the mean. The 
problem
is that the variance of the chip samples is different from the variance of 
the blocks
they represent, so before plugging the s* into the equation, you have to 
adjust it for
it's support. You can do this using the volume-variance charts provided in
Mining Geostatistics, A.Journel. Make sense?

Regards Digby 


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RE: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread Reid, David W
Hi Digby,

Just a hunch that it is sampling problem.  When dealing with course gold 
particles a representative sample size is rarely practical.  Without knowledge 
of gold particle size and sub-sample/analyte mass it is hard to make this 
judgement. 

As you point out, the sub-sample values should have a normal distribution.  
Increasing the number of samples (n) would help.  Eight samples is unlikely to 
be enough to characterise what is probably a highly variable distribution.

Regards

David Reid

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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-13 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Digby,

What do you mean "You also may wish to consider volume-variance
relationships when comparing the chip sample means and the conveyor belt
means, as the sample sizes are different"?

The volume-variance relationship does not affect the mean - it is concerned
with the changes in variance at different support (volume) sizes.  If  you
sample the belt using a pair of tweezers and large shovels then the means
of each of these group of samples should be the same (given sampling is
carried out correctly) - it will be the variance that changes (higher
variance in the smaller (tweezer) samples, lower variance in the larger
(shovel) samples). 

Cheers
Richard Hague


- Original Message - 
>Digby Millikan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
>To:  ai-geostats , Kevin Lowe (Office
Park)><[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
>Subject:  Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples 
>Date:  Fri, 13 May 2005 15:23:12 +0930 
>Attachments:  message-footer.txt,Size: 292 bytes.

>Click here to clean up the attachments on mail2webServer  
>Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples It seems your ore on the belt 
>may have mixed up a bit since being part of the 
>orebody, and also only represents a small part of the orebody. According
to 
>the central limit thereom "if a series of samples, of size n, are taken
>from a population (not necessarily normal) with mean u, and standard
>deviation s, then the sample means will form a distribution which tends to
>the normal distribution as n increases whatever the population
>distribution." I have a copy of Sichel's paper and a sample 
>of the mean estimate calculation, which I can send you. You also may wish
>to consider volume-variance relationships when comparing the chip sample
>means and the conveyor belt means, as the sample sizes are different. 
>
>Regards Digby 
 



mail2web - Check your email from the web at
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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Digby Millikan
Treatment of gold outliers from belt samplesDavid,
Why do you think this is a sampling problem?
Regards Digby
 - Original Message - 
 From: Reid, David W
 To: ai-geostats@unil.ch
 Sent: Friday, May 13, 2005 11:01 AM
 Subject: RE: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

 Hi Kevin,
 The arithmetic mean is probably not a very good measure of central 
tendancy with this skewed data.  An alternative such as that suggested by 
Isobel Clark may be more realistic.

 However it may also be benifical to investigate the root cause.  This 
would seem to be a sampling problem.  Is it possible to increase the size of 
the the eight samples (Preferably both total split for pulverising  + 
analyte weight) OR to reduce the particle size of the 1 ton sample prior to 
splitting?  Because gold is maliable it often difficult to reduce the 
partical size, often you only succeed in flattening the gold particles!

 Regards
 David Reid

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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Digby Millikan
Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples It seems your ore on the belt 
may have mixed up a bit since being part of the
orebody, and also only represents a small part of the orebody. According to 
the
central limit thereom "if a series of samples, of size n, are taken from a 
population
(not necessarily normal) with mean u, and standard deviation s, then the 
sample
means will form a distribution which tends to the normal distribution as n 
increases
whatever the population distribution." I have a copy of Sichel's paper and a 
sample
of the mean estimate calculation, which I can send you.
You also may wish to consider volume-variance relationships when comparing
the chip sample means and the conveyor belt means, as the sample sizes are
different.

Regards Digby 


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RE: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Reid, David W
Title: Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples



Hi 
Kevin,
 
The 
arithmetic mean is probably not a very good measure of central tendancy with 
this skewed data.  An alternative such as that suggested by Isobel Clark 
may be more realistic.
 
However it may also be benifical to investigate the 
root cause.  This would seem to be a sampling problem.  Is it possible 
to increase the size of the the eight samples (Preferably both total split 
for pulverising  + analyte weight) OR to reduce the particle size of 
the 1 ton sample prior to splitting?  Because gold is maliable it often 
difficult to reduce the partical size, often you only succeed in flattening the 
gold particles!
Regards
David Reid 
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Re: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Isobel Clark
Hi Kevin
 
Can I refer you to the works of Herbert Sichel which was developed exactly for this problem, earliest paper Trans Inst Min Metall 1949. Or you can download my 1987 SAIMM paper from http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/resume which describes Sichel's work.
 
Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com"Kevin Lowe (Office Park)" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

Hi, How should one treat obvious gold grade outliers from samples collected from a belt? 
The sampling is carried out by an automatic belt sampler prior to the ore being milled. The samples are collected and stored in a bin until there is approximately 1 ton of sample. The bin is then sent off to a lab which crushes and splits the 1 ton bin sample to produce 8 separate samples which are then assayed. Assuming there are no issues with the lab procedures, how should one treat a very high value?
For example purposes, say the 8 samples returned grades (g/t) of 2.8, 4.6, 5.2, 4.5, 35.6, 3.6, 4.2, 4.7. The arithmetic mean for the eight is 8.15g/t but if the one high grade is removed the arithmetic mean is 4.23g/t. Should I simply exclude the high value or should I cut the value of the sample to some arbitrary value (say the upper 95% confidence limit)? Although individual chip samples collected from the orebody, for the purposes of evaluation, are highly skewed, the samples from the bin approximate a normal distribution (excluding the high value).
I look forward to any comments or perhaps direction to papers or web sites on this topic. 
Many Thanks 
Kevin Lowe 

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RE: [ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Colin Badenhorst
Title: Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples








Hi Kevin,

 

In the case of block estimation, I do not
tend to remove or cut-back outliers to a known value – these high grade samples
are after all a unique feature of the deposit, they must mean something right?
I do, however, tend to limit their influence on blocks being estimated.
Typically, I do this by ignoring
any sample above a threshold lying outside a nominated search ellipsoid.

 

I am sure there are many other ways of
treating these samples, one is the 95% limit you mention, so it will be
interesting to see the various responses.

 

Regards,

Colin

 









From: Kevin Lowe
(Office Park) [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 12 May 2005 11:41
To: ai-geostats@unil.ch
Subject: [ai-geostats] Treatment
of gold outliers from belt samples



 

Hi,

How
should one treat obvious gold grade outliers from samples collected from a
belt? 

The
sampling is carried out by an automatic belt sampler prior to the ore being
milled. The samples are collected and stored in a bin until there is
approximately 1 ton of sample. The bin is then sent off to a lab which crushes
and splits the 1 ton bin sample to produce 8 separate samples which are then
assayed. Assuming there are no issues with the lab procedures, how should one
treat a very high value?

For
example purposes, say the 8 samples returned grades (g/t) of 2.8, 4.6, 5.2,
4.5, 35.6, 3.6, 4.2, 4.7. The arithmetic mean for the eight is 8.15g/t but if
the one high grade is removed the arithmetic mean is 4.23g/t. Should I simply
exclude the high value or should I cut the value of the sample to some
arbitrary value (say the upper 95% confidence limit)? Although individual chip
samples collected from the orebody, for the purposes of evaluation, are highly
skewed, the samples from the bin approximate a normal distribution (excluding
the high value).

I
look forward to any comments or perhaps direction to papers or web sites on
this topic. 

Many
Thanks 

Kevin
Lowe 

 







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[ai-geostats] Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples

2005-05-12 Thread Kevin Lowe \(Office Park\)
Title: Treatment of gold outliers from belt samples






Hi,

How should one treat obvious gold grade outliers from samples collected from a belt?


The sampling is carried out by an automatic belt sampler prior to the ore being milled. The samples are collected and stored in a bin until there is approximately 1 ton of sample. The bin is then sent off to a lab which crushes and splits the 1 ton bin sample to produce 8 separate samples which are then assayed. Assuming there are no issues with the lab procedures, how should one treat a very high value?

For example purposes, say the 8 samples returned grades (g/t) of 2.8, 4.6, 5.2, 4.5, 35.6, 3.6, 4.2, 4.7. The arithmetic mean for the eight is 8.15g/t but if the one high grade is removed the arithmetic mean is 4.23g/t. Should I simply exclude the high value or should I cut the value of the sample to some arbitrary value (say the upper 95% confidence limit)? Although individual chip samples collected from the orebody, for the purposes of evaluation, are highly skewed, the samples from the bin approximate a normal distribution (excluding the high value).

I look forward to any comments or perhaps direction to papers or web sites on this topic.


Many Thanks


Kevin Lowe





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