Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-11 Thread kuffelcreek
Mid-80s here in Southern California, high-chill apples still do fine in
the spring.  

Enjoy it while you can.

Kevin Hauser
Kuffel Creek Apple Nursery

On Fri, 11 Dec 2015 08:17:31 -0500, Arthur Kelly 
wrote:
> Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can
do
> about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-11 Thread Arthur Kelly
But we could go to -10 anytime.

Art Kelly
Kelly Orchards
Acton, ME

On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:25 AM,  wrote:

> Mid-80s here in Southern California, high-chill apples still do fine in
> the spring.
>
> Enjoy it while you can.
>
> Kevin Hauser
> Kuffel Creek Apple Nursery
>
> On Fri, 11 Dec 2015 08:17:31 -0500, Arthur Kelly 
> wrote:
> > Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can
> do
> > about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
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>



-- 
Art Kelly
Kelly Orchards
Acton, ME
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-11 Thread Marc Sevigny
The trees cant be fooled. They won't break dormancy until the requisite number 
of dormant days have passed. If it was 60°+ for weeks in late February, I'd be 
concerned.

> On Dec 11, 2015, at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly  wrote:
> 
> Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can do 
> about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
> 
> -- 
> Art Kelly
> Kelly Orchards
> Acton, ME
> ___
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-23 Thread Jon Clements
It's not getting any better:

http://jmcextman.blogspot.com/2015/12/dont-panic.html

Comments/corrections from those more knowledgeable than myself on this
subject are welcome. (No climate change deniers allowed though!)

Have a Happy Holiday.

Jon

On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly 
wrote:

> Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can
> do about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
>
> --
> Art Kelly
> Kelly Orchards
> Acton, ME
>
> ___
> apple-crop mailing list
> apple-crop@virtualorchard.net
> http://virtualorchard.net/mailman/listinfo/apple-crop
>
>


-- 
Jon Clements
aka 'Mr Honeycrisp'
UMass Cold Spring Orchard
393 Sabin St.
Belchertown, MA  01007
413-478-7219
umassfruit.com
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-23 Thread Franklyn Carlson
Thanks Jon !  We can study this over the holiday as it gets even WARMER!
Really, this will be good to understand.
Have a nice holiday.
Frank

From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[mailto:apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements
Sent: Wednesday, December 23, 2015 2:58 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list 
Subject: Re: [apple-crop] weather

It's not getting any better:

http://jmcextman.blogspot.com/2015/12/dont-panic.html

Comments/corrections from those more knowledgeable than myself on this subject 
are welcome. (No climate change deniers allowed though!)

Have a Happy Holiday.

Jon

On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly 
mailto:kellyorcha...@gmail.com>> wrote:
Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can do 
about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!

--
Art Kelly
Kelly Orchards
Acton, ME

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--
Jon Clements
aka 'Mr Honeycrisp'
UMass Cold Spring Orchard
393 Sabin St.
Belchertown, MA  01007
413-478-7219
umassfruit.com<http://umassfruit.com>
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-23 Thread Rob Crassweller
My thoughts, everyone talks about the weather but no one ever does anything 
about it. In reality we cannot do anything and that may be the best thing to do 
- nothing. Certainly would not be out pruning any trees.

Sent from my iPad

On Dec 23, 2015, at 4:36 PM, Franklyn Carlson 
mailto:fcarl...@carlsonorchards.com>> wrote:

Thanks Jon !  We can study this over the holiday as it gets even WARMER!
Really, this will be good to understand.
Have a nice holiday.
Frank

From: 
apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net<mailto:apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net>
 [mailto:apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements
Sent: Wednesday, December 23, 2015 2:58 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list 
mailto:apple-crop@virtualorchard.net>>
Subject: Re: [apple-crop] weather

It's not getting any better:

http://jmcextman.blogspot.com/2015/12/dont-panic.html

Comments/corrections from those more knowledgeable than myself on this subject 
are welcome. (No climate change deniers allowed though!)

Have a Happy Holiday.

Jon

On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly 
mailto:kellyorcha...@gmail.com>> wrote:
Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I can do 
about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!

--
Art Kelly
Kelly Orchards
Acton, ME

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--
Jon Clements
aka 'Mr Honeycrisp'
UMass Cold Spring Orchard
393 Sabin St.
Belchertown, MA  01007
413-478-7219
umassfruit.com<http://umassfruit.com>
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-23 Thread Kevin Hauser
Jon, that was an articulate and correct explanation of the current thought
on chilling units.  However, I should point out that it's full of holes
when it comes to apples, such as how "low chill" Anna and Dorset Golden
(Bahamas) grow just fine in zone 4 upstate New York, where they blossom in
April along with the other apples instead of in January like they do here. 
Or why on our 100 chilling hours we're still able to grow "high chill"
super-hardy apples like Wealthy and Black Oxford, which incidentally
blossom about the same time they do up north, even though it may have been
100 degrees here for weeks.  I'd say day length may have something to do
with it, but even that doesn't answer all the questions.

I just assure clients that "the tree knows what to do" and to plant
whatever apple variety they want, and to ignore the chilling hours.  Wish I
could say the same for peaches (the disease-ridden bug-infested
squishy-fruited chilling hour monkeys).

Merry Christmas all

Kevin Hauser
Kuffel Creek Apple Nursery
Riverside, CA
Nakifuma, Uganda   

On Wed, 23 Dec 2015 14:57:53 -0500, Jon Clements 
wrote:
> It's not getting any better:
> 
> http://jmcextman.blogspot.com/2015/12/dont-panic.html
> 
> Comments/corrections from those more knowledgeable than myself on this
> subject are welcome. (No climate change deniers allowed though!)
> 
> Have a Happy Holiday.
> 
> Jon
> 
> On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly 
> wrote:
> 
>> Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I
can
>> do about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
>>
>> --
>> Art Kelly
>> Kelly Orchards
>> Acton, ME
>>
>> ___
>> apple-crop mailing list
>> apple-crop@virtualorchard.net
>> http://virtualorchard.net/mailman/listinfo/apple-crop
>>
>>

-- 
Kevin Hauser
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Re: [apple-crop] weather

2015-12-24 Thread Jon Clements
I e-mailed the contact at getchill.net, asking him for references for the
models if you ran the app on his site. His response below, good reading,
particularly if you are not ready yet to settle for "42." :-)

*
Hi Jon,

Here are some of the references I used to compute the chill accumulation
for each model. Hope this is what you are looking for.

I personally only use the below 45 model. There isn't a lot of information
about ratings for fruit trees using the dynamic model. Utah models give
wacky results in my warm winter climate (San Diego).

A reference for Utah, Positive Utah, and Dynamic models.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3077742/

A guide to calculate chill portions using the dynamic model.
http://ucanr.edu/sites/fruittree/How-to_Guides/Dynamic_Model_-_Chill_Accumulation/

Some fruit trees rated in chill portions using the dynamic model.
http://fruitsandnuts.ucdavis.edu/Weather_Services/chilling_accumulation_models/CropChillReq/

Here is the correct link for Utah, Positive Utah, and Dynamic models. I
accidentally pasted the wrong one above.
http://agis.ucdavis.edu/publications/2009/Sensitivity%20of%20winter%20chill%20models%20for%20fruit%20and%20nut%20trees%20to%20climatic%20changes%20expected%20in%20California's%20Central%20Valley.pdf

Thanks,
Tom

On Wed, Dec 23, 2015 at 6:17 PM, Kevin Hauser  wrote:

> Jon, that was an articulate and correct explanation of the current thought
> on chilling units.  However, I should point out that it's full of holes
> when it comes to apples, such as how "low chill" Anna and Dorset Golden
> (Bahamas) grow just fine in zone 4 upstate New York, where they blossom in
> April along with the other apples instead of in January like they do here.
> Or why on our 100 chilling hours we're still able to grow "high chill"
> super-hardy apples like Wealthy and Black Oxford, which incidentally
> blossom about the same time they do up north, even though it may have been
> 100 degrees here for weeks.  I'd say day length may have something to do
> with it, but even that doesn't answer all the questions.
>
> I just assure clients that "the tree knows what to do" and to plant
> whatever apple variety they want, and to ignore the chilling hours.  Wish I
> could say the same for peaches (the disease-ridden bug-infested
> squishy-fruited chilling hour monkeys).
>
> Merry Christmas all
>
> Kevin Hauser
> Kuffel Creek Apple Nursery
> Riverside, CA
> Nakifuma, Uganda
>
> On Wed, 23 Dec 2015 14:57:53 -0500, Jon Clements 
> wrote:
> > It's not getting any better:
> >
> > http://jmcextman.blogspot.com/2015/12/dont-panic.html
> >
> > Comments/corrections from those more knowledgeable than myself on this
> > subject are welcome. (No climate change deniers allowed though!)
> >
> > Have a Happy Holiday.
> >
> > Jon
> >
> > On Fri, Dec 11, 2015 at 8:17 AM, Arthur Kelly 
> > wrote:
> >
> >> Should I be worried about this weather?  Not that there's anything I
> can
> >> do about it.  Mid-December and in the 50's in Maine!
> >>
> >> --
> >> Art Kelly
> >> Kelly Orchards
> >> Acton, ME
> >>
> >> ___
> >> apple-crop mailing list
> >> apple-crop@virtualorchard.net
> >> http://virtualorchard.net/mailman/listinfo/apple-crop
> >>
> >>
>
> --
> Kevin Hauser
>



-- 
Jon Clements
aka 'Mr Honeycrisp'
UMass Cold Spring Orchard
393 Sabin St.
Belchertown, MA  01007
413-478-7219
umassfruit.com
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