Re: median voter theorem and polarization

2002-01-22 Thread debacker

I don't see why you would necessarily want to win your party and not the 
election.  I would think that the MVT would want to win the average 
voter, not the average democrat republican.

But I could see, since voters probably rarely follow the voting record 
of a representitive, that when voting in congress the rep has a tendency 
to want to win his party favor there so as to get party support.

Also, does the use of voting records make this gap because the reps can 
only vote yea or nay?  Even averaged out over the many voting instances, 
you can't ever voice moderate or total support, just support or not- 
thus while you maybe a moderate democrat, you will still likely to vote 
for all the bills that the party favors.

Jason





Re: median voter theorem and polarization

2002-01-17 Thread Anton Sherwood

Jason [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 . . . what explains the polarization that this article is talking
 about: http://slate.msn.com/?id=2060047?  I found the 2D model of
 the house and senate especially interesting and was very surprised
 at the white space in between the two parties.

Note that the axes do not have the same meaning from one frame
(http://voteview.uh.edu/c46105.htm) to the next; their signs are
determined by the continuity of incumbents.

I suppose that members of each party tend to shade marginal votes toward
the average of their party; that would account for the gap.

-- 
Anton Sherwood  --  http://www.ogre.nu/




median voter theorem and polarization

2002-01-15 Thread debacker

I am not too familiar with the MVT and would like to know more.

From what I gather, this theorem says that the political parties should 
both move towards the center of the liberal/conservative dichotomy.  
Seems logical enough.  Is this right?

If so, then what explains the polarization that this article is talking 
about: http://slate.msn.com/?id=2060047?  I found the 2D model of the 
house and senate especially interesting and was very surprised at the 
white space in between the two parties.

Jason