Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-22 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/22/04 2:12:02 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>--- Ron Baty <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> Fraud "should not" be part of the market but always has been and will
>> likely continue to be part of any realistic market
>
>A pure market consists of voluntary economic acts, and theft, including
>fraud, has involuntary victims, so fraud is outside the pure free market.
>
>You are really saying that there will always be attacks on property rights;
>but these are violations of rather than "part of" a pure market.
>
>> In a "free market economy" how would you eliminate fraud without
>> limiting the free market or changing human nature?
>
>Of course no policy can "eliminate" fraud; rather, optimal policy seeks
>to
>minimize the net social cost of fraud.
>
>>  And is it not the presence of "fraud", using a broad definition, that
>> enhances the effect of reputation in market exchanges.
>
>I don't see why that would be the case.

I think rather that it's the effect of reputation in market exchanges that
reduces the incidence of fraud.

David Levenstam


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-22 Thread AdmrlLocke
Wow, I was going to respond that I've almost never gotten an email for
insurance, and then decided not to clutter up the list.  When I checked my new mail
again,  however, I found an ad for insurance!  That reminded me that in fact I
have gotten many emails, mostly for cheap health insurance.

David
In a message dated 1/22/04 11:34:07 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>Christopher Auld wrote:
>> . . .  Merchants who think
>> I might be keen to see Paris Hilton perform intimate acts are third on
>the
>> list.  Followed closely by offers from extremely respectable officials
>in
>> Nigeria . . . .
>
>For me these days, smut comes after services for insurance brokers.


Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-22 Thread Fred Foldvary
>> Fraud is not part of the market.
>> Fred Foldvary

--- Ron Baty <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Fraud "should not" be part of the market but always has been and will
> likely continue to be part of any realistic market

A pure market consists of voluntary economic acts, and theft, including
fraud, has involuntary victims, so fraud is outside the pure free market.

You are really saying that there will always be attacks on property rights;
but these are violations of rather than "part of" a pure market.

> In a "free market economy" how would you eliminate fraud without
> limiting the free market or changing human nature?

Of course no policy can "eliminate" fraud; rather, optimal policy seeks to
minimize the net social cost of fraud.

>  And is it not the presence of "fraud", using a broad definition, that
> enhances the effect of reputation in market exchanges.

I don't see why that would be the case.

Fred Foldvary


Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-22 Thread Ron Baty
- Original Message -
From: "Fred Foldvary" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 5:50 PM
Subject: [armchair] Re: spamonomics


--- rex <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I'm going home to my computer!"  So, the FDA, and our socialized medical
> system is part of it.  Give thanks for the internet and a the "free
> market economy" it provides.

Fraud is not part of the market.
Fred Foldvary


Fraud "should not" be part of the market but always has been and will likely
continue to be part of any realistic market as long as there are people
involved.  In a "free market economy" how would you eliminate fraud without
limiting the free market or changing human nature?  And is it not the
presence of "fraud", using a broad definition, that enhances the effect of
reputation in market exchanges.

Ron B
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-22 Thread Anton Sherwood
Christopher Auld wrote:
> . . .  Merchants who think
> I might be keen to see Paris Hilton perform intimate acts are third on the
> list.  Followed closely by offers from extremely respectable officials in
> Nigeria . . . .

For me these days, smut comes after services for insurance brokers.

--
Anton Sherwood, http://www.ogre.nu/


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Robert A. Book
> In a message dated 1/21/04 3:34:42 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
>
> >I was so ignorant, until last month I thought "Paris Hilton" was a
> >hotel in France
> >
> >;-)
>
> Paris Hilton is both a hotel in France AND desert topping! (from an old
> Saturday Night Live skit "it's both a floor wax AND a desert topping!")

Is a "desert topping" what they put on the Mojave and the Sahara?


> Seriously though, I had no idea who she was when I first started getting
> emails offering to let me see her private activities.  Not until I caught an
> episode of that "reality" how called (I think) "The Simple Life" featuring Paris
> and her buddy, Nichole Richie (Lionel Richie's daughter) did I know who she was.

And people wonder why I don't watch TV   ;-)


--Robert


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/21/04 3:34:42 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>I was so ignorant, until last month I thought "Paris Hilton" was a
>hotel in France
>
>;-)

Paris Hilton is both a hotel in France AND desert topping! (from an old
Saturday Night Live skit "it's both a floor wax AND a desert topping!")

Seriously though, I had no idea who she was when I first started getting
emails offering to let me see her private activities.  Not until I caught an
episode of that "reality" how called (I think) "The Simple Life" featuring Paris
and her buddy, Nichole Richie (Lionel Richie's daughter) did I know who she was.
 At least when they used to send emails offering Pamela Anderson's sex video
I knew who she was.

David


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread AdmrlLocke
I've seen almost exactly the same distribution.  As a first impression, I
wonder if the Nigeria scam doesn't employ the same anonymity (from the other
side) that recipients of the first three types of emails value.  Tracking down a
scam online might well prove more difficult than doing so over the phone,
especially in these days of caller ID.  The ease of mass mailings might also make
email a more effective means of perpetrating a scam.

I wonder too if people don't tend to believe what they read over the Internet
a bit more than they do other forms of communication.  When radio and films
were relatively new, people tended to believe what they heard and saw.  There
seems to have been something of a learning curve for large populations which
took them from blind faith in the 1930s to intense skepticism in the 1990s.
Perhaps the same sort of thing will happen with the Internet.  I know that people
often pass along without any sort of verification myriad emails claiming such
things as Bill Gates will pay you if you test some software or website, Bill
gates will bill you if you use some software or website, Mel Gibson grew up
disfigured and in poverty, people will steal your kidneys and leave you in a
bathtub full of ice, etc.  Perhaps oarge groups of internet users will climb up
the learning curve and we'll see a reduction in Nigerian scams.

David


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- rex <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I'm going home to my computer!"  So, the FDA, and our socialized medical
> system is part of it.  Give thanks for the internet and a the "free
> market economy" it provides.

Fraud is not part of the market.
Fred Foldvary


Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Gil Guillory <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Is there a case for legalizing the sale of placebos, as long as
> money-back guarantees are given?

No.  If something is sold as a medicine while it is really a placebo, that
is fraud, hence theft.  The customer may not realize he has been cheated.
Fred Foldvary


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Christopher Auld <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Followed closely by offers from extremely respectable officials in
> Nigeria who will give me hundreds of thousands of dollars merely for
> sending them my chequing account information.
> One can see how the first three products are highly complementary,
> but I don't see how the third relates.

The complementarity is the belief in magic, that one can create something
out of nothing, getting rich without work effort or getting something for
your body beyond the natural possibilities frontier.

This ultimately comes from parents teaching children that there is magic,
e.g. Santa Claus and the tooth fairy.  If parents would keep it real with
children, children would be less likely to belive in getting something for
nothing or something beyond the possibility frontier.

Fred Foldvary


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Robert A. Book
I was so ignorant, until last month I thought "Paris Hilton" was a
hotel in France

;-)

> Casual empiricism suggests that after Viagra, highly effective penis
> enlargement products are the next most common pitch.  Merchants who think
> I might be keen to see Paris Hilton perform intimate acts are third on the
> list.  Followed closely by offers from extremely respectable officials in
> Nigeria who will give me hundreds of thousands of dollars merely for
> sending them my chequing account information.
>
> One can see how the first three products are highly complementary,
> but I don't see how the third relates.
>
>
> Sincerely (?),
>
> Chris Auld
> Department of Economics
> University of Calgary
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Christopher Auld
Casual empiricism suggests that after Viagra, highly effective penis
enlargement products are the next most common pitch.  Merchants who think
I might be keen to see Paris Hilton perform intimate acts are third on the
list.  Followed closely by offers from extremely respectable officials in
Nigeria who will give me hundreds of thousands of dollars merely for
sending them my chequing account information.

One can see how the first three products are highly complementary,
but I don't see how the third relates.


Sincerely (?),

Chris Auld
Department of Economics
University of Calgary
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Gil Guillory
Many drugs and herbal blends sold over the internet come with money-back
guarantees. While collecting money might be hard in some cases, it is in
theory quite simple for them to charge back your credit card.

And, considering the case of the sugar-pill, if it works, then it's a
modern miracle of a free market truly economizing.

Is there a case for legalizing the sale of placebos, as long as
money-back guarantees are given?

Gil Guillory, P.E.
Principal Engineer
KBR Tower, KT-3131B
email [EMAIL PROTECTED]
ph. 713-753-8797
fax 713-753-6266

-Original Message-
From: ArmChair List [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Ron
Baty
Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 11:38 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

Aside from the legitimate economic reasons for v!gra spam I would offer
that
the mark-up on "sugar pills" marketed as v!agra is quite high.  Quality
control is a significant problem when buying any drug over the internet,
that is what are you actually receiving?  The brain is our largest sex
organ, this enhances the placebo effect of taking a drug you think is
V!agra.  If you are taking it for a non-medical reason, sexual
enhancement,
you potentially may never notice that its not actually V!agra.
Additionally, people who buy v!agra for non-medical uses are not likely
to
complain of any problems with their purchase.

Ron B.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

- Original Message -
From: "john hull" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 8:15 AM
Subject: [armchair] Re: spamonomics


"I would. It happens all the time."

So what are the methodologies of the auto-erotic
reporting studies and how are they flawed?

__
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Re: [armchair] Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Ron Baty
Aside from the legitimate economic reasons for v!gra spam I would offer that
the mark-up on "sugar pills" marketed as v!agra is quite high.  Quality
control is a significant problem when buying any drug over the internet,
that is what are you actually receiving?  The brain is our largest sex
organ, this enhances the placebo effect of taking a drug you think is
V!agra.  If you are taking it for a non-medical reason, sexual enhancement,
you potentially may never notice that its not actually V!agra.
Additionally, people who buy v!agra for non-medical uses are not likely to
complain of any problems with their purchase.

Ron B.
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

- Original Message -
From: "john hull" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 8:15 AM
Subject: [armchair] Re: spamonomics


"I would. It happens all the time."

So what are the methodologies of the auto-erotic
reporting studies and how are they flawed?

__
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Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread Dimitriy V. Masterov
I guess the basic objection is that people will not talk about their
sexual behavior honestly. The usual assumption is that men will
exaggerate and women will understate their experiences. You can read
Edward Laumann's book about how the surveys are conducted. They spent a
lot of time designing the questionnaires and training the interviewers.
It's too much to summarize and explain here. I am not sure that I am
convinced entirely, but I think they reduced the bias significantly. The
citation is:

The Social Organization of Sexuality: Sexual Practices in the United
States. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994. (With John H. Gagnon,
Robert T. Michael and Stuart Michaels.)

His recent work on China is really interesting for economists in that as
part of the survey they were able to get urine samples from most of the
participants. They found exceptionally low rates of STDs everywhere in
the population, except for businessmen, who had very high rates. It seem
that these men frequent brothels during their travels and engage in
unprotected sex. Laumann argues that this is very dangerous because the
economic elite of China has a sexual Achilles's heel, and that it is only
a matter of time before HIV becomes prevalent in this group.

DVM


On Wed, 21 Jan 2004, john hull wrote:

> "I would. It happens all the time."
>
> So what are the methodologies of the auto-erotic
> reporting studies and how are they flawed?
>
> __
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> Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes
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>

___
Dimitriy V. Masterov

Work:
Center for Social Program Evaluation
1155 East 60th St. Room 038
Chicago, IL 60637
Work: (773)256-6005
Fax: (773)256-6313

Home:
1312 East 53rd St., Apt.309
Chicago, IL 60615
Mobile: (773)220-2760


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-21 Thread john hull
"I would. It happens all the time."

So what are the methodologies of the auto-erotic
reporting studies and how are they flawed?

__
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Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/20/04 7:10:03 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>AdmrlLocke wrote:
>
>"People who engage in more sexual activity and
>alternative sexual lifestyles might feel less
>embarassed about admitting to auto-erotica than
>others, so the results might contain a great deal of
>skew."
>
>But should we think that an obvious possible bias
>would not be accounted for?

I would. It happens all the time.


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread john hull
AdmrlLocke wrote:

"People who engage in more sexual activity and
alternative sexual lifestyles might feel less
embarassed about admitting to auto-erotica than
others, so the results might contain a great deal of
skew."

But should we think that an obvious possible bias
would not be accounted for?

__
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Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread Sampo Syreeni
On 2004-01-20, Bryan Caplan uttered:

>Why is such a high fraction of spam devoted to selling impotence
>treatments?

One possible explanation is that there aren't too many drugs which a broad
segment of the population want, which they can't get because they'd need a
prescription, which have semi-mythical (in this case aphrodisiac)
properties, yet do not carry a harsh punishment for import, distribution
or marketing. Potency drugs fit the description.

>Are there really impotent guys who make an impulse purchase of v!agra
>because they got some spam?

Probably not. The spam is probably aimed at healthy males who think they
can somehow benefit from a super-erection.
--
Sampo Syreeni, aka decoy - mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED], tel:+358-50-5756111
student/math+cs/helsinki university, http://www.iki.fi/~decoy/front
openpgp: 050985C2/025E D175 ABE5 027C 9494 EEB0 E090 8BA9 0509 85C2


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread AdmrlLocke
Even under a totally free market system a doctor or pharmacist might caution
a prospective purchaser of V!agra against using it without first getting
certain medical tests.

David
In a message dated 1/20/04 3:25:18 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>Your interesting question reminds me: A fellow remarked to me the other
>day
>
>that he told his regular doctor that he felt he "needed" some v!agra.
>Well,
>
>the doc starts explaining how the patient will have to undergo blood tests,
>
>which will then be evaluated by the doctor, to figure out if there is some
>
>other problem, or a better route to "solve" the "problem" with additional
>
>visits, etc. blah blah blah. you get the picture -the usual prudent doctor
>
>protocol.  So all the while the patient is thinking in his head "f#*k you!
>
>I'm going home to my computer!"  So, the FDA, and our socialized medical
>
>system is part of it.  Give thanks for the internet and a the "free market
>
>economy" it provides.


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread AdmrlLocke
People who engage in more sexual activity and alternative sexual lifestyles
might feel less embarassed about admitting to auto-erotica than others, so the
results might contain a great deal of skew.

David
In a message dated 1/20/04 2:07:31 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>You might complain that porn is a substitute, and not a complement, to
>sexual activity, but I don't think this is the case. Survey microdata
>collected by Edward Laumann reveals that Americans do not
>use pornography to compensate for lack of sexual contact. In fact,
>autoerotic behavior (which lumps together everything from attending strip
>clubs to phone sex to masturbation) is associated with higher levels of
>partnered sexual activity. Both men and women who are highly autoerotic
>are more likely to have multiple sexual partners in a short period of
>time. Moreover, use of pornography is highly correlated with diversity
>of
>sexual practices. All this suggests that such consumers might actually
>require v!agra given their heightened sexual behavior.


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread AdmrlLocke
Even under a totally free market system a doctor or pharmacist might caution
a prospective purchaser of Viagra against using it without first getting
certain medical tests.


In a message dated 1/20/04 3:25:18 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>Your interesting question reminds me: A fellow remarked to me the other
>day
>
>that he told his regular doctor that he felt he "needed" some v!agra.
>Well,
>
>the doc starts explaining how the patient will have to undergo blood tests,
>
>which will then be evaluated by the doctor, to figure out if there is some
>
>other problem, or a better route to "solve" the "problem" with additional
>
>visits, etc. blah blah blah. you get the picture -the usual prudent doctor
>
>protocol.  So all the while the patient is thinking in his head "f#*k you!
>
>I'm going home to my computer!"  So, the FDA, and our socialized medical
>
>system is part of it.  Give thanks for the internet and a the "free market
>
>economy" it provides.
>
>
>
>http://rexcurry.net


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread rex
Your interesting question reminds me: A fellow remarked to me the other day
that he told his regular doctor that he felt he "needed" some v!agra.  Well,
the doc starts explaining how the patient will have to undergo blood tests,
which will then be evaluated by the doctor, to figure out if there is some
other problem, or a better route to "solve" the "problem" with additional
visits, etc. blah blah blah. you get the picture -the usual prudent doctor
protocol.  So all the while the patient is thinking in his head "f#*k you!
I'm going home to my computer!"  So, the FDA, and our socialized medical
system is part of it.  Give thanks for the internet and a the "free market
economy" it provides.

http://rexcurry.net


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread john hull
"Are there really impotent guys who make an impulse
purchase of v!agra because they got some spam?"

It seems that I've heard of recreational use of
V!agra, i.e. non-impotent men use it.  I suppose they
could be a potential market, since that way they don't
have to prove/claim impotence to a doctor.




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Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread Dimitriy V. Masterov
I suspect the fact that many people use the internet to view pornography
makes contemporaneous v!agra spam fairly effective. If consumer decisions
are susceptible to situational cues and entrepreneurs exploit this feature
of preferences, aroused people will purchase large quantities of v!agra.
You might complain that porn is a substitute, and not a complement, to
sexual activity, but I don't think this is the case. Survey microdata
collected by Edward Laumann reveals that Americans do not
use pornography to compensate for lack of sexual contact. In fact,
autoerotic behavior (which lumps together everything from attending strip
clubs to phone sex to masturbation) is associated with higher levels of
partnered sexual activity. Both men and women who are highly autoerotic
are more likely to have multiple sexual partners in a short period of
time. Moreover, use of pornography is highly correlated with diversity of
sexual practices. All this suggests that such consumers might actually
require v!agra given their heightened sexual behavior.

Dimitriy V. Masterov


Re: spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
Simple - you can anonymously buy impotence treatment over the Internet. No
need to tell a real person that you ahve a sexual problem. I've also heard
people use v!agra for enhancing sexual experience, not too cure a medical
problem. Those people probably want to avoid doctors.

Fabio

On Tue, 20 Jan 2004, Bryan Caplan wrote:

> Why is such a high fraction of spam devoted to selling impotence
> treatments?  Are there really impotent guys who make an impulse purchase
> of v!agra because they got some spam?
>
> P.S.  I killfile everything spelled v-i-a-g-r-a in the title or body, so
> let's call it v!agra for this discussion.
> --
>  Prof. Bryan Caplan
> Department of Economics  George Mason University
>  http://www.bcaplan.com  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
> "I hope this has taught you kids a lesson: kids never learn."
>
> --Chief Wiggum, *The Simpsons*
>


spamonomics

2004-01-20 Thread Bryan Caplan
Why is such a high fraction of spam devoted to selling impotence
treatments?  Are there really impotent guys who make an impulse purchase
of v!agra because they got some spam?
P.S.  I killfile everything spelled v-i-a-g-r-a in the title or body, so
let's call it v!agra for this discussion.
--
Prof. Bryan Caplan
   Department of Economics  George Mason University
http://www.bcaplan.com  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   "I hope this has taught you kids a lesson: kids never learn."

   --Chief Wiggum, *The Simpsons*