Brin: Re: Crichton satire

2005-04-02 Thread Alberto Monteiro

 In a new novel, State of Euphoria, bestselling author Michael Crikey
 uncovers major flaws in this theory and warns against false hopes for
 the arrival of spring.

serious
Here in Rio, for the past years, March and April have _not_ marked
the end but the beginning of the hot season: the reason _may_ be
that Rio's weather is influenced by the weather in Antarctica. When
it's freezing over there, the cold air remais there and the hot air from
the Equator heats here. When it's only cold, the cold air advances over
South America.

For example, in 2004, the coldest day in the year was - as expected -
in August. 10 days latter, we had the _hottest_ day of the year [I don't
remember if we had a hotter day after that, but January to March 2004 -
our Summer - were _not_ hot months]

Alberto Monteiro

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Crichton satire

2005-04-01 Thread d.brin
Stefan Jones offered the following
(From: http://www.realclimate.org/)
Doubts about the Advent of Spring
A consensus view amongst climate scientists holds that the Northern
Hemisphere will be warming this month, as spring is coming. This is
thought to be due to the Earth's orbit around the sun and the
inclination of the Earth's axis, tilting the Northern Hemisphere
progressively towards the sun throughout March and April and increasing
the amount of solar radiation received at northern latitudes.
In a new novel, State of Euphoria, bestselling author Michael Crikey
uncovers major flaws in this theory and warns against false hopes for
the arrival of spring.
This is not merely fiction: Crikey underpins his thesis with numerous
scientific diagrams. He presents measurements from over a dozen weather
stations in the Northern Hemisphere where temperatures show a cooling
trend in March. He further cites scientific results which show that in
some places, snow and ice have increased in the past weeks, counter to
climatologists' claims that they should be melting away in the spring
sun. He further argues that even the average temperature of the
Northern
Hemisphere has not increased steadily; during one week of March, it
showed a slight cooling despite the increase in solar radiation.
This casts a grave shadow of doubt on the theory of the seasons, says
Crikey. Consensus science is not good science. He says we should not
trust computer models projecting that June will be much warmer than
March in most of the Northern Hemisphere. These models cannot even
predict the weather in two weeks time - why should we believe what they
say about temperatures in two months? He also says that only six
months
ago, scientists were predicting a cooling.
Nobody can predict the future, asserts Crikey. Farmers risk wasting
billions of dollars if they trust the warming forecast; Crikey urges
them to wait with sowing until it is clear that summer temperatures
have
indeed arrived.
Crikey argues that climatologists cling to the ill-founded theory of
seasons for political reasons. Scientists have promoted their orbital
theory of seasons for centuries without questioning it, says Crikey.
It has become like a dogma. They cannot admit that it is wrong without
suffering a serious setback in credibility and research funding.
Crikey's book was welcomed by many organisations, such as the Science
and Environment Propaganda Project (SEPP) and the Frontiers of Fallacy
Foundation (FF). In an emotional speech, Senator Outhofe urged his
colleagues to take the time for reading the novel. He called seasons a
great hoax and emphasised that science is overwhelmingly on the side
that, in fact, they are not occurring, and if they are occurring, are
not a result of the Earth's orbit.
Climate scientists, on the other hand, quickly jumped up to reject
Crikey's claims. We have a curve called the 'tennis racket' which
proves seasons are real, says NASA's Gavin Schmoot. It is based on a
sophisticated statistical analysis of the isotope composition of
sediment in old French wines. In fact, we have many rackets so it is
more like a tennis club.
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Brin: Re: Crichton satire

2005-04-01 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 04:23 PM Friday 4/1/2005, you wrote:
Stefan Jones offered the following
(From: http://www.realclimate.org/)
Doubts about the Advent of Spring
A consensus view amongst climate scientists holds that the Northern
Hemisphere will be warming this month, as spring is coming. This is
thought to be due to the Earth's orbit around the sun and the
inclination of the Earth's axis, tilting the Northern Hemisphere
progressively towards the sun throughout March and April and increasing
the amount of solar radiation received at northern latitudes.
In a new novel, State of Euphoria, bestselling author Michael Crikey
uncovers major flaws in this theory and warns against false hopes for
the arrival of spring.
[snip]
Ha!
I wonder if I should present this the next time I teach the subject . . .
--Ronn! :)
Ronn Blankenship
Sometime Instructor of Astronomy/Planetary Science
University of Montevallo
Montevallo, AL
Disclaimer:  Unless specifically stated otherwise, any opinions contained 
herein are the personal opinions of the author and do not represent the 
official position of the University of Montevallo.

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