"Some Time To Kill:

In Waiting Periods, Gun Buyers Are At Mercy Of Criminals,"

by John R. Lott Jr., from the Investor's Business Daily


California's government -- which has demonstrated its obvious prowess as a
regulator of energy -- is searching for another vital product to regulate.
The California Legislature launched hearings this week on the licensing of
guns.  California's would-be regulators might want to examine the
experiences with gun licensing in places like Canada and Hawaii before
they enact any ambitious and reckless new laws.

Canadians are a law-abiding lot.  But as of Jan. 1, millions suddenly
became criminals, thanks to C-68, Canada's gun licensing law, which was
passed back in 1995.  The law ordered Canadians to obtain a license and
register their guns within five years.

Officially, the Canadian Department of Justice now claims that there are
only 2.5 million gun owners, a 31% drop from their figure just a couple of
years ago.

This means that millions of gun owners are now operating outside of
Canadian law, an assumption confirmed by press accounts that report
internal Canadian Justice Department documents identifying 5 to 7 million
gun owners and by academic and private surveys which indicate possibly
more gun owners.  The 2.5 million estimate, some academics argue, is
surprisingly similar to the Canadian Wildlife Service's estimate for the
number of people hunting each year.

Getting the government to release information on the costs of licensing
and registration is like cracking the black ops budgets in the U.S.
Defense Department.  The numbers are even refused to many members of
Parliament.

"Inside sources" have told members of Parliament that, excluding any costs
borne by the federal police (the Royal Canadian Mounties) or in Quebec, $
265 million (Canadian dollars) will be spent by the federal Canadian
Firearms Centre this year.  To put it another way, just this limited
accounting number corresponds to 5% of all police expenditures in Canada.

Just as with unfunded mandates in the U.S., the vast majority of gun
licensing costs in Canada are borne by the provinces and local
governments.  For example, the attorney general's office of Alberta has
complained that the law "is an administrative mess and it is very costly,
and it is using money that would be better used really fighting crime."

Canada's licensing laws are notable for their extremely intrusive
character: Applicants must report if they've experienced a divorce,
breakdown of a significant relationship, job loss or bankruptcy in the
past two years.  Despite the objections of Canada's Privacy Commissioner
that files are filled with "unsubstantiated hearsay and incorrect
information," the government questions people like ex-spouses, possibly
bitter over divorces, to assess the gun licensee's fitness for a license.

These are real problems.  But the largest one pertains to the impact these
rules will have on violent crime.  We look with interest to see how
Canada's crime rate changes this year.  In the meantime, we can assume
from America's experience with similar gun restrictions that Canada is in
for some bad news.

Consider what is happening in Hawaii.  According to gun licensing theory,
if a gun is left at the scene of the crime, licensing and registration
would allow a gun to be traced back to its owner.  But police have spent
tens of thousands of man-hours administering these laws in Hawaii (the one
state with both rules), and there has not been even a single case where
police claim licensing and registration have been instrumental in
identifying the criminal.

The reasons for this are simple.  First, criminals very rarely leave their
guns at the scene of the crime.  Second, would-be criminals virtually
never get licenses or register their weapons.

Gun licensing advocates ask, might licensing at least have allowed even
more comprehensive background checks and thus kept criminals from getting
guns in the first place?  Unfortunately for these gun control advocates,
there is not a single academic study that finds that background checks
reduce violent crime.

Instead, licensing prevents people who are being stalked or threatened
from quickly obtaining a gun for protection.  When added to California's
14-day waiting period, the processing time for a license will delay access
to a gun by at least a month.  While research shows that even short
waiting periods increase rape rates, waiting periods longer than 10 days
increase all categories of violent crime.

Canadians will undoubtedly take some solace in press accounts noting that
police won't "come knocking at the door any time soon."  But as distracted
police spend tens of thousands of hours trying to enforce the licensing,
the doors of Canadians may be knocked down by gun-wielding criminals who
pay no mind to the regulatory fads of political correctness.  Are
Californians paying attention?



John R. Lott Jr. is a senior research scholar at the Yale University Law
School and the author of "More Guns, Less Crime"(University of Chicago
Press, 2000).

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