RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-19 Thread David Honig

At 10:07 PM 4/19/01 -0500, Aimee Farr wrote:
>I think this is a dumb idea. (Again, I mentioned I thought it was BS.) Your
>word choice will still be consistent through the translator. Although if you
>threw in stylistic randomness...I dunno. Big damn difference between pie and
>cake.

The idea is that the Babelfish abstracts a meaning and then projects
it back into some language.  It may well be the case that 
is too mechanical to be of use for stylistic-anonymization.  

And as I just posted, you can't use a public server.


>*bablefish* -> to Spanish and back. Screwy. Even typos.
>
>I think that this is a dumb idea (once again I mentioned I I thought that it
>was BS.) Its option of the word still will be constant through the
>translator. Although if you sent in dunno stylistic of the randomness... I.
>Great damn difference between empanada and the cake.
>
>~Aimee

Perhaps the next generation of anonymizing tools will perform linguistic
abstraction
in a way more sympathetic to those nuances.

'Gisting' is the formal term.But you knew that.




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-19 Thread Aimee Farr

Choate said:

> A simple double translation through a babblefish will totaly screw your
> stats.

Not to mention your meaning:

What! Lost your mittens,
You naughty kittens,
Then you shall have no pie.
Meow, meow,
Then you shall have no pie.

*bablefish* -> Italian and back

That what! It has lost yours mittens,
you kittens naughty,
then you will not eat cake.
Meow, the meow,
then you will not eat cake.

I think this is a dumb idea. (Again, I mentioned I thought it was BS.) Your
word choice will still be consistent through the translator. Although if you
threw in stylistic randomness...I dunno. Big damn difference between pie and
cake.

*bablefish* -> to Spanish and back. Screwy. Even typos.

I think that this is a dumb idea (once again I mentioned I I thought that it
was BS.) Its option of the word still will be constant through the
translator. Although if you sent in dunno stylistic of the randomness... I.
Great damn difference between empanada and the cake.

~Aimee




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-19 Thread madmullah

Ray Dillinger writes:
> Give me a few dozen writing samples from each of a 
> hundred known
> people, and another writing sample a hundred words 
> long from one
> of them under a pseudonym, and I can tell you to 
> a 90% probability
> which of the hundred known people wrote it.

Ray you bring up a very interesting point.  Does anyone know of a source for

public domain, or open source, writing analysis software that will do just that

?  

Perhaps using such wares for testing purposes one can craft
software to make subtle grammar or spelling or usage alterations 
in text based communications in order to defeat this sort of analysis.

E.G. you've got a remailer or portal of some kind that accepts plain text input,

and according 
to a set of rules makes shifts, sentence length, punctuation usage, spelling

usage, and 
so on, to alter the distinctive signatures associated with the writing patterns

of the person in question.  THEN afterwards this is piped into an encryption

module or just transmitted piecemeal at random timings in order to defeat traffic

analysis.




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread Ray Dillinger

On Wed, 18 Apr 2001, Sunder wrote:

>Ray Dillinger wrote:
>> 
>> On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Declan McCullagh wrote:
>> 
>> And your possible motive for spreading the word about his reputation,
>> which ties you to an illicit transaction, is what exactly?
>
>Wouldn't your own reputation be blinded by a nym anyway?

Nyms are not as hard as most of you seem to assume.  Each instance 
of a nym's use is more data for traffic analysis, and writing styles 
contain "signature" usages that can identify particular writers 
with a high degree of probability.  

If the probability is ever deemed high enough that a search warrant 
can issue, and your nym is involved in all kinds of illicit deals 
which are verifiable through the reputation system, then  you have 
a problem because the lions are likely to come take your favorite 
toys away, and may even put you through a "trial" like the one that 
just happened to Mr. Bell.

Hmm.  A worthwhile hack; I should develop a program that uses the 
known techniques of identifying a writer by his/her style, and then 
create "styles" to conform to for each nym.  If I can fool my program, 
then there's at least a prayer of fooling other people's.

Bear




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread James A. Donald

--
At 02:06 PM 4/15/2001 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>Mafia Bosses don't buy information from someone when they don't know
>where that someone lives.  It's the exact same enforceability of
>contracts problem that other parts of society uses lawyers to deal
>with.  Legbreakers or cops, basically they have the same job with
>regard to contract enforcement.  There has to be a hook where someone
>who does a ripoff can be punished, or else there is no deal.

Untrue.

Most people operating an illegal busines much prefer to have arrangements
that do not require the threat of breaking people's arms and legs.  An old
school tie much reduces the cost of doing business.

You do not want to know where someone lives, you want to know if he can be
trusted.  Indeed, if you know where someone lives, he probably knows where
you live.  Far better if both know the other can be trusted, and neither
knows where the other lives.


--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 88pjABj2EWfGPnrfWn8iaMIb+s7svtPTNRQxo8m6
 4NqKVPIlwFuXqTAR6wLecxQhkb0GnZI/B/bgxX3Id

-
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because 
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this 
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.


http://www.jim.com/jamesd/  James A. Donald




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread James A. Donald

--
>>Widespread black markets, for drugs, betting, etc., suggest otherwise.

At 02:06 AM 4/16/2001 +0300, Sampo Syreeni wrote:
>That doesn't really kill the argumetn. The key word is enforceable. Black
>markets do it directly by guns,

While personal violence is an essential part of operating in a black
market, nonetheless participants tend to think in terms of "people like
me", and people who are trash.  If a deal goes bad with someone who is
trash, one breaks some part of him, or arrange to have it broken.  If a
deal goes bad with someone like oneself, one has a talk with him.  If the
talk is unsatisfactory, one lets it be known he is not really one of us.


--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 q/Tee57K9yJNi1c0GkFisR7E9AFdjtOf5cARkkla
 4PSTolvgMyi8+KVJr0ow2/YV2LBuqHJH5F6zPODAG

-
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because 
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this 
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.


http://www.jim.com/jamesd/  James A. Donald




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread James A. Donald

--
At 02:11 PM 4/15/2001 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>Tim;
>
>One thing to consider is the role of "credit histories", or
>virtually any other identity-linked information, in a milieu 
>where the people have access to the necessary techniques and
>programs to do those deals.
>
>You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new
>identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice
>buy credit histories?

By this argument, obviously the reputational mechanism used by EBay cannot
work, since it is based on freely available pseudonyms, not true names.

Yet EBay is the only internet business that has been continually and
heavily profitable, and its prime asset is its reputational database.

--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 m7GXB73nK8M1WjN8TNNa5/4yVWul271Iv4GgNzeH
 46f77cWW4rMfcYkTR7iJXl63DB2kiO1QqgqD9Gdc1

-
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because 
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this 
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.


http://www.jim.com/jamesd/  James A. Donald




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread James A. Donald

--
At 05:29 PM 4/15/2001 -0400, Declan McCullagh wrote:
> If I know a person's meatspace identity and
> ties with religious/social/family groups, I'm far more likely to lend
> them money then if they're using a throwaway hushmail account.
>
> If Bob is doing the latter, he won't get credit in the first place. If
> he's using a known meatspace identity, I can do the research and
> likely succeed.

But people on EBay do use nyms.  Naturally they prefer to do business with
a nym that has a long history of honestly completing deals on EBay.

--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 bozoFF8pZ3WC8eVjUTzYPNmML3V5P4XS5IwNl8ce
 4iisrxL8cQKwFyCFBpvG7wV86Wzmx6LENVNNQIW/b

-
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because 
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this 
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.


http://www.jim.com/jamesd/  James A. Donald




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-18 Thread James A. Donald

--
At 02:06 PM 4/15/2001 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
> This is true, but look at the mechanisms for enforcing contracts 
> that they *do* use.  Most of them are not compatible with anonymity, 
> and only a few are compatible with pseudonymity.

A common mechanism that they do use in Australia is an old school tie.
Such a mechanism can be readily adapted to anonymity.  For example one
could have anonymous credentials proving that this person is a member of a
certain group, credentials that the group can use to identify him as a
specific member of the group, but which outsiders cannot use to determine
which specific member of the group he is.


--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 47YeAg9+TArpQDzL5n7RWzi2JSPVpZzn0gZb7A85
 4mjN0t0N0+mSUv3M166tnHiT/IUk9mF3TfmBWJ+s8

-
We have the right to defend ourselves and our property, because 
of the kind of animals that we are. True law derives from this 
right, not from the arbitrary power of the omnipotent state.


http://www.jim.com/jamesd/  James A. Donald




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-17 Thread David Honig

At 09:24 PM 4/17/01 -0500, Aimee Farr wrote:
>No, I don't claim that meatspace identity is necessary, and I have read some
>"smart contract" theory. (I was dealing with the diplomatic and licensure
>peculiarities of my hypothetical, and agency theory, but that is a
>discussion for elsewhere.)
>
>Nevertheless, my hypothetical principals say that reputational system
>accountability and escrow concepts alone are highly inadequate in the
>proposed transactional environment. 

"Implementation detail"


Because of the unique injuries which
>could result, in certain circumstances any adequate remedy necessarily
>involves unmasking the "bad infomerchant." Additionally, within this
>"unique" transactional environment, participants must know that should
>circumstances warrant, there is accountability beyond the reputational
>system.

>In regard to your Rabbi polycentric governance, I guess you could allow for

Reputational librarians have themselves reputations.  You trust the UL,
you trust your , right?  Maybe you trust your particular
brand of  and not the slight variant that your neighbor
subscribes to.

Your choice.

>
>C-4.
>


Yes, we are normally benign, but we can be cutting if set off correctly.




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-17 Thread Aimee Farr

David Honig said:

> At 05:24 PM 4/15/01 -0500, Aimee Farr wrote:
> >Bear said:
> >> >Nobody in conventional
> >> >business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't
> >> >create a legally enforceable contract.
> >
> >Actually, I'm past this. I don't need it.
> >
> >My problem is the value of the information within an information
> mercantile
> >system - which involves policing the polycentric merchant community.
> >Otherwise, such a system would become subject to "information
> policymaking,
> >information peacekeeping / diplomacy - massive misinformation."
> Just basic
> >abuse considerations, but with extreme ramifications in the
> context of the
> >"Intel agora" hypothetical I posed.
>
>
> You've identified one of several attacks on a distributed
> reputation system.
> The next step is to identify solutions to these problems.
> Then iterate, until you're proposing really hard attacks on the part of
> your adversary.  At which point you've learned something.
>
> Remembering that disinfo, psyops, nym-unmasking, and other forms of social
> engineering
> are available options.  If you can tie the meat to the T-shaped
> crucifix and
> inject what you want, you win.
>
> That's the game.  But you knew that.

Hm.

> If you wish to claim that enforcable contracts require meatspace identity,
> claim that, and listen to the discussion.

No, I don't claim that meatspace identity is necessary, and I have read some
"smart contract" theory. (I was dealing with the diplomatic and licensure
peculiarities of my hypothetical, and agency theory, but that is a
discussion for elsewhere.)

Nevertheless, my hypothetical principals say that reputational system
accountability and escrow concepts alone are highly inadequate in the
proposed transactional environment. Because of the unique injuries which
could result, in certain circumstances any adequate remedy necessarily
involves unmasking the "bad infomerchant." Additionally, within this
"unique" transactional environment, participants must know that should
circumstances warrant, there is accountability beyond the reputational
system.

In regard to your Rabbi polycentric governance, I guess you could allow for
unmasking by the use of an anonymous (possibly elected by lot) tribunal,
allowing for the extreme situation where a participating info merchant could
be unmasked. Of course, identity could not be knowable/vulnerable to
discovery at any other time, or in any other circumstance. Nevermind how you
would do it, what do you call it? (I realize most of you would call it
stupid.) Identity escrow?

> Don't play with us unless you're sincere.

Ok.

> "Like sodium and water",

C-4.

~Aimee




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread David Honig

At 04:07 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Declan McCullagh wrote:
>
>And your possible motive for spreading the word about his reputation, 
>which ties you to an illicit transaction, is what exactly?
>
>   Bear

Anonymity is the shield; 
Human nature is the motivation.

Any questions? 




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread David Honig

At 02:53 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Tim May wrote:
>And to make sure that Ray Dillinger is not confused, let me point out 
>that my "credit rating data haven" is not necessarily for cyberspace 
>nyms. Rather, it's for the meatspace world of credit evaluation.
>

"Credit" has many dimensions (or application).  The NYT has more
journalistic "credit" than Drudge.  Don Trump has more
financial "credit" than readers of this list :-)   Various
members of this list have more list "credit" when it comes to e.g., physical
explanations than others.

Since corporations are virtual citizens, and citizens may participate
in a multitude virtual corporations, there's a lot of behavior
to keep track of.

Social primates are uniquely equipt to monitor conformance with social
contracts.

The automation of reputation is so natural its not funny.




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread David Honig

At 02:06 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>regard to contract enforcement.  There has to be a hook where someone 
>who does a ripoff can be punished, or else there is no deal.

In infospace, there is only reputation, not meat and bones, that
can be damaged.




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread David Honig

At 02:11 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>Tim; 
>
>One thing to consider is the role of "credit histories", or 
>virtually any other identity-linked information, in a milieu  
>where the people have access to the necessary techniques and 
>programs to do those deals. 
>
>You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new 
>identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice 
>buy credit histories?

Because it decreases her risk when lending, ie, increases her
efficiency.  Evolution is about efficiency.


>
>For that matter, why would anyone loan money in the first 
>place?  What credit histories could there possibly be?
>
>   Bear

Because the service of Carol the CreditHistoryLibrarian
is much cheaper than making loans without that service,
both Carol and the lenders can exist.

Lenders don't lend to folks without CreditHistory.

Any train of thought that concludes that bankers can't exist
is wrong somewhere.




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread David Honig

At 12:36 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Tim May wrote:
>There are many markets out there which do not rely on the official 
>court system to enforce contracts for.
>

The diamond-trading jews of New York use reputation (ostracism from 
the community, centrally enforced by a council that rules their voluntary
association) to handle 'arbitration'.

Jews also use a non-governmental USDA to keep their food clean.

FWIW




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-16 Thread Tim May

At 4:07 PM -0700 4/15/01, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Declan McCullagh wrote:
>
>>At 02:06 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>>>When you talk about a one-time transaction, it pretty much has to
>>>involve something whose value can be ascertained ON THE SPOT.
>>>otherwise, there is either a continuing relationship that can't
>>>be unilaterally broken (ie, they know where you live) or there is
>>
>>I think this is a bit short-sighted.
>>
>>Assume there is an anonymous seller who has established reputation capital
>>over time for small transactions on the order of pennies. I may be willing
>>to risk a ten-cent transaction (to purchase an illicit MP3 or somesuch) if
>>the perceived reward is sufficient. If I am successful and word spreads
>>that the seller is to be trusted, the amount people will be willing to risk
>>larger amounts will presumably increase.
>
>And your possible motive for spreading the word about his reputation,
>which ties you to an illicit transaction, is what exactly?
>
>   Bear

Ray, or "Bear," you really need to think about these things more deeply.

There are many ways in which a buyer can signal approval...without 
even linking himself to a specific transaction. (Which is likely, in 
this "ten-cent transction" to be of any interest to LE anyway.)

A simple assertion of the form "I recommend Danny the Dealer" is not 
a statement implicating the speaker in any illicit transaction which 
is prosecutable.

You once said you were a law student...unless I'm misremembering. If 
so, how could you make such an elementary error?

There are other ways to make the same "word spreads" endorsements, 
too. From a nym, in an article, etc.

As to why someone like Declan might _want_ to help spread the word, 
there are multiple reasons: to encourage more such reputable dealers, 
to discourage bad dealers, as a kind of "attaboy" for the good 
dealings, and so on.

Isn't this all pretty obvious?


--Tim May
-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Tim May

At 2:11 PM -0700 4/15/01, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>Tim;
>
>One thing to consider is the role of "credit histories", or
>virtually any other identity-linked information, in a milieu 
>where the people have access to the necessary techniques and
>programs to do those deals.
>
>You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new
>identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice
>buy credit histories?
>
>For that matter, why would anyone loan money in the first
>place?  What credit histories could there possibly be?
>

As Declan pointed out in his follow-up, you assume nyms will be 
adopted and abandoned freely. Some will, some won't. "A Melon" 
doesn't have much reputation capital, but "Pr0duct Cypher" does. The 
former will vanish and reappear like quantum foam, the latter will 
not.

This is not a zero friction system.

In any case, "credit histories" are nothing more than assertions. 
Some assertions are true, some are false, some are of little value, 
some are of great value.

Historically, some assertions about credit history are valuable to 
others. The issue of Alice and Bob being pseudonymous is close to be 
orhtogonal to this point.

In any case, caveat emptor works pretty well. If such assertions are 
of zero value, as you imply, then this is what the market will show. 
If not...


--Tim May

-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ray Dillinger

On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Declan McCullagh wrote:

>At 02:06 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>>When you talk about a one-time transaction, it pretty much has to
>>involve something whose value can be ascertained ON THE SPOT.
>>otherwise, there is either a continuing relationship that can't
>>be unilaterally broken (ie, they know where you live) or there is
>
>I think this is a bit short-sighted.
>
>Assume there is an anonymous seller who has established reputation capital 
>over time for small transactions on the order of pennies. I may be willing 
>to risk a ten-cent transaction (to purchase an illicit MP3 or somesuch) if 
>the perceived reward is sufficient. If I am successful and word spreads 
>that the seller is to be trusted, the amount people will be willing to risk 
>larger amounts will presumably increase.

And your possible motive for spreading the word about his reputation, 
which ties you to an illicit transaction, is what exactly?

Bear




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Sampo Syreeni

On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Tim May wrote:

>>As presented, I think she's probably right.  Nobody in conventional
>>business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't
>>create a legally enforceable contract.
>
>Widespread black markets, for drugs, betting, etc., suggest otherwise.

That doesn't really kill the argumetn. The key word is enforceable. Black
markets do it directly by guns, the society at large needs the legal system
to mediate. The lack of legal enforceability *is* a problem.

OTOH, one could imagine reputations being built without them being linked to
a fixed pseudonym. Whether the necessary crypto exists, or if the resulting
web of trust can be made strong enough, I have no idea.

Sampo Syreeni, aka decoy, mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED], gsm: +358-50-5756111
student/math+cs/helsinki university, http://www.iki.fi/~decoy/front




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Aimee Farr

Ray & Tim, easy to see who said what:

Bear:
> >>As presented, I think she's probably right.  Nobody in conventional
> >>business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't
> >>create a legally enforceable contract.
> >
> >Widespread black markets, for drugs, betting, etc., suggest otherwise.
> >
> >There are many markets out there which do not rely on the official
> >court system to enforce contracts for.

Again, I'm trying to cut out all the lawyers, contracts and so forth, there
are other ways to regulate, but it's all variables: a combination of nym
alternative dispute resolution, escrow concepts (money, and ID) and
reputational systems. Participants can choose disclosed, an
agency-infomediary or a "zeroknowledge" participation level, and define who
they are comfortable dealing with... just what you guys talk about, and just
like real life.

> When you talk about a one-time transaction, it pretty much has to
> involve something whose value can be ascertained ON THE SPOT.
> otherwise, there is either a continuing relationship that can't
> be unilaterally broken (ie, they know where you live) or there is
> no deal.  The value of information (other than entertainment
> value) is not generally ascertainable on the spot, because if
> you don't have at least some of the information, you can't check
> something that claims to be the information. Also, you often
> have to do a couple days work figuring out information formats
> and problems before you can even do your checking against it,
> particularly with financial data.

Exactly, and this is where I run into trouble. However, as long as SOMEBODY
is accountable, the goat of the wrongdoer isn't always required for the
transacting party. I am more concerned about policing the community, but I
do think it's possible outside of traditional legal and transactional
frameworks, reverting back, as Tim made reference to (as I have I, damnit)
the old polycentric merchant society frameworks.

> Real business involves lasting relationships.  You don't want
> to be owed money, or merchandise either, by someone who can
> just shed the pseudonym and disappear.
>
> >>And "reputation capital"
> >>that would counteract that point to some extent depends on maintaining
> >>a consistent traceable pseudonym as someone who does something illegal,
> >>for decades, without getting linked to it.
> >
> >As with Aimee, you haven't thought outside the box.
> >
> >You being a lawyer larvae, and Aimee being an official lawyer, is
> >this something that _comes_ from being a lawyer, or is this something
> >that causes a person to give up doing something real, like
> >programming or designing chips, to _become_ a lawyer?
>
>
> Tim, I don't know why you're calling me "Lawyer larvae".  I'm
> not in Law school, nor have I ever been.
>
> What Aimee and I both seem to be pointing out here is that while
> it is *possible* for people to do business anonymously/pseudonymously,
> a whole new economy would have to grow up that way in order for it
> to become routine.  You are really and truly talking about building
> from scratch with effectively no interface to the way business is
> currently done.  I can respect that, but keep in mind that all the
> peripheral mechanisms of the way business is currently done will
> be trying to stomp the "aberration" out.

Eh, I was just trying to envision a live pitch opportunity. An intelligence
development contract seemed in the ballpark for serious bank, and
privatization changes might be breeding some opportunity. Clearly, an open
source information mercantile system is already making the intelligence
agenda. I find it "not unthinkable" that Tim's agora will first see the
light of day as part of a legitimate intelligence endeavor.

~Aimee




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Tim May

At 5:29 PM -0400 4/15/01, Declan McCullagh wrote:
>On Sun, Apr 15, 2001 at 02:11:56PM -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>>  You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new
>>  identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice
>>  buy credit histories?
>
>Not everyone will choose to be lost in the Net.
>
>So the solution is simple: I sell Alice a new report on Bob's new
>identity, after doing the appropriate research and employing the
>relevant investigators.
>
>All credit is a gamble. If I know a person's meatspace identity and
>ties with religious/social/family groups, I'm far more likely to lend
>them money then if they're using a throwaway hushmail account.
>
>If Bob is doing the latter, he won't get credit in the first place. If
>he's using a known meatspace identity, I can do the research and
>likely succeed.
>


And to make sure that Ray Dillinger is not confused, let me point out 
that my "credit rating data haven" is not necessarily for cyberspace 
nyms. Rather, it's for the meatspace world of credit evaluation.

The point of moving it outside a jurisdiction like the U.S., and 
perhaps beyond _any_ physical jurisdiction, is because meatspace 
credit data bases and reporting services are heavily regulated.

(Also a good reason why seller-untraceability is as important as 
buyer-untraceability.)


--Tim May
-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Declan McCullagh

On Sun, Apr 15, 2001 at 02:11:56PM -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
> You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new 
> identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice 
> buy credit histories?

Not everyone will choose to be lost in the Net.

So the solution is simple: I sell Alice a new report on Bob's new
identity, after doing the appropriate research and employing the
relevant investigators.

All credit is a gamble. If I know a person's meatspace identity and
ties with religious/social/family groups, I'm far more likely to lend
them money then if they're using a throwaway hushmail account.

If Bob is doing the latter, he won't get credit in the first place. If
he's using a known meatspace identity, I can do the research and
likely succeed.

-Declan




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Declan McCullagh

At 02:06 PM 4/15/01 -0700, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>When you talk about a one-time transaction, it pretty much has to
>involve something whose value can be ascertained ON THE SPOT.
>otherwise, there is either a continuing relationship that can't
>be unilaterally broken (ie, they know where you live) or there is

I think this is a bit short-sighted.

Assume there is an anonymous seller who has established reputation capital 
over time for small transactions on the order of pennies. I may be willing 
to risk a ten-cent transaction (to purchase an illicit MP3 or somesuch) if 
the perceived reward is sufficient. If I am successful and word spreads 
that the seller is to be trusted, the amount people will be willing to risk 
larger amounts will presumably increase.

Obviously there is the possibility for the seller to cut and run when the 
trust factor gets sufficiently high and transactions increase accordingly, 
but buyers aren't entirely dumb, so a rational buyer will take that into 
account. One factor is how many people at once are entering into 
transactions with the seller -- and that may not be knowable. If the seller 
goes bad, what is the time delay before the bad actor status can be known 
and published?

Escrow agents and bonds posted by the seller can accelerate this process 
substantially.

In order to grow an anonymous economy, you'd need literally decades
>of time during which there were few conflicts with any part of the
>established infrastructure, and so that the emerging system could

Not so. You can grow it quickly, organically, in a much shorter time. You'd 
be right if you're talking about an entirely new economy, but not if you're 
talking about the more likely prospect: a system that gradually supplements 
the existing economy. It won't replace it, of course.

Remember, one still buys a loaf of bread in meatspace.

-Declan




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Aimee Farr

Bear wrote: (Bear, read the entire before you reply...)

I said:
> >That is an over-simplification, but yes. Intelligence is not
> headlines. To a
> >large extent, "what's happening" is not analyzed correctly, because the
> >intelligence community lacks sufficient expert analysis to cope with the
> >dataload. This capability is in the private sector. These
> information flows,
> >between the government sector and the private sector, are unmapped.

I want to paddle back to the kiddie pool, but I'll try to address you Bear,
you are way over my little headand so is this subject matter.

> This is not true any more.  The automated analysis of trawled data has
> advanced considerably beyond keyword searching at this point; there are
> programs out there now specifically looking for much more subtle and
> complicated things, which were formerly the domain of intelligence
> analysts, and they are actually pretty damn good.  The simple keyword
> searchers and keyphrase searchers you hear about with echelon are only
> the front line; they pass their data back to much more sophisticated
> AI programs that analyze content, and synthesize information gleaned
> from massive numbers of such missives.

Yes, but I'm still speaking of information that is not online, not
siphonable and locked in the overt experts in the private sector. It is not
"current events" or "happenings" or "what's going on." It's analysis and
intricacies that are critical for decision making. Not raw data or
intelligence headlines. It's Mr. X and his theories on Y, that nobody knows
about - Mr. X is hidden away in the private intelligence sector or some
university closet.

He's a specialist on ...uhmSouth African Zulu Warrior Chieftains dress
and culture. He can tell you that when Zulus get in war dress and bring
knives and spears to your VIP meeting - it's a sign of respect, and not a
violence indicator. (I just ripped off the basics of this hypo from this
guy: http://www.icon.co.za/~agrudko/ representative of the private
intelligence sector) Without knowing this information, your diplomatic
protection force is going to rat-tat-tat them to pieces and lead to a
"diplomatic snafu" of major proportions. They need this information NOW,
because the helicopter with your diplomat just landed in a remote area for
this roundtable in a big grass hut, and is facing 1,000 Zulu Warriors
jumping up and down and chanting in full war dress, and the protection force
of 5 is counting rounds in the back of their heads. Their protocol officer
fainted and is receiving medical assistance in the 'copter. They place a
call - decision time is 8-10 minutes. Somebody has got to finger and find
Mr. X's knowledge. This information is NOT online, not siphonable, outside
of regular intelligence channels - it's in Mr. X. Mr. X is one of five
western people in the world that know about these things.

Right then, Chief Zulu walks up and points his knife at your diplomat. Was
that a threat? Your diplomat pees in his pants in front of 1,000 Zulu
Warriors. Ramifications? BTW, your diplomat is also president of a
transcontinental resource-extractive company with operations in ZA and is a
top-level kidnapping and hostage risk - his capture or death would have
diplomatic ramifications and would affect upcoming treaty negotiations
related to the world diamond market.

National events often turn on intimate knowledge of the strangest facts -
these facts are known by people like Mr. X. You have 8 minutes to tell these
guys what to do. You can mine you data, use your CIA-google, ask your AI,
make some phone calls - and you are still whistling Dixie.

So, this is what you do: You CIA analyst, fire up your SIGINT/ELINT fed AI
and analysis programs, you call around What have those Zulu Warrior's
been talking about lately? You find, to your dismay, little
informationZulus don't even use phones. So what do you do? You find
pictures of "Zulu War Dress" and some basic protocol. Your internal experts
agree. Your call: "Zulu War Dress = War = Aggression = take immediate
evasive action." You go look at online and offline sources on this
diplomat's diamond company. Sadly, you do not have an expert's competitive
intelligence analysis which would have told you this man is about to become
pivotal in the world diamond market, due to a secretly planned merger and
acquisition with a gem company. Because of this one man, the entire gem and
diamond markets are about to be revolutionized.

*bloody gunfire exchange* Confused Zulu Warriors. The chief was just giving
a sign of respect. Dead diplomat. Zulus go on the offensive. World diamond
market: kaput.

Mr. X happens to consult with PPS (private protection services) in ZA in
Zulu territory. Private intelligence. Yet, for some reason, Mr. X doesn't
appear on your screen. Why? Because you haven't developed information flows
between yourself and the private intelligence sector. By and large, you
don't talk to them. If you did, Mr. X's information 

RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ray Dillinger

Tim; 

One thing to consider is the role of "credit histories", or 
virtually any other identity-linked information, in a milieu  
where the people have access to the necessary techniques and 
programs to do those deals. 

You sell Alice a credit history on Bob; Bob takes a new 
identity; Alice is back to square one.  Why would Alice 
buy credit histories?

For that matter, why would anyone loan money in the first 
place?  What credit histories could there possibly be?

Bear




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ray Dillinger

On Sun, 15 Apr 2001, Tim May wrote:

>At 11:30 AM -0700 4/15/01, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>>
>>As presented, I think she's probably right.  Nobody in conventional
>>business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't
>>create a legally enforceable contract.
>
>Widespread black markets, for drugs, betting, etc., suggest otherwise.
>
>There are many markets out there which do not rely on the official 
>court system to enforce contracts for.

This is true, but look at the mechanisms for enforcing contracts 
that they *do* use.  Most of them are not compatible with anonymity, 
and only a few are compatible with pseudonymity. 

Mafia Bosses don't buy information from someone when they don't know 
where that someone lives.  It's the exact same enforceability of 
contracts problem that other parts of society uses lawyers to deal 
with.  Legbreakers or cops, basically they have the same job with 
regard to contract enforcement.  There has to be a hook where someone 
who does a ripoff can be punished, or else there is no deal.

When you talk about a one-time transaction, it pretty much has to 
involve something whose value can be ascertained ON THE SPOT.  
otherwise, there is either a continuing relationship that can't 
be unilaterally broken (ie, they know where you live) or there is 
no deal.  The value of information (other than entertainment 
value) is not generally ascertainable on the spot, because if 
you don't have at least some of the information, you can't check 
something that claims to be the information. Also, you often 
have to do a couple days work figuring out information formats 
and problems before you can even do your checking against it, 
particularly with financial data. 

>Besides Mafia markets, there are international trade systems which 
>typically don't invoke the laws of Fiji or Botswana or even the U.S. 
>to make them work.

But which are generally not done anonymously.  In these cases, 
there is no test of a protocol's ability to protect pseudonymity 
from a determined opponent, nor of the willingness to do business 
anonymously or pseudonymously.  Moreover, the determined opponent 
is often watching, even if no enforcement is attempted.


>In fact, most of our ordinary decisions and dealings are done 
>"anarchically," from deciding which restaurants to visit to the 
>buying of books and whatnot. 

So far I have seen no example of a non-contracted business 
agreement between people who are unable to identify each other, 
which extends beyond a single transaction.  Basically one goes 
one way with his merchandise and the other goes the other way 
with her money, and it's over.  There's no business relationship 
that's ongoing; if they ever meet again, it's just a coincidence. 

If the transaction is illegal, then any business relationship 
that may be formed is a liability to all participants; they 
never know when the lions are going to grab someone and when 
that happens, the lions usually find out everything that someone 
knows. 

Real business involves lasting relationships.  You don't want 
to be owed money, or merchandise either, by someone who can 
just shed the pseudonym and disappear. 

>>And "reputation capital"
>>that would counteract that point to some extent depends on maintaining
>>a consistent traceable pseudonym as someone who does something illegal,
>>for decades, without getting linked to it.
>
>As with Aimee, you haven't thought outside the box.
>
>You being a lawyer larvae, and Aimee being an official lawyer, is 
>this something that _comes_ from being a lawyer, or is this something 
>that causes a person to give up doing something real, like 
>programming or designing chips, to _become_ a lawyer?


Tim, I don't know why you're calling me "Lawyer larvae".  I'm 
not in Law school, nor have I ever been. 

What Aimee and I both seem to be pointing out here is that while 
it is *possible* for people to do business anonymously/pseudonymously, 
a whole new economy would have to grow up that way in order for it 
to become routine.  You are really and truly talking about building 
from scratch with effectively no interface to the way business is 
currently done.  I can respect that, but keep in mind that all the 
peripheral mechanisms of the way business is currently done will 
be trying to stomp the "aberration" out.  

In order to grow an anonymous economy, you'd need literally decades 
of time during which there were few conflicts with any part of the 
established infrastructure, and so that the emerging system could 
grow its own traditions and customs and routines.  Within that 
separate space, you could do business as you describe.  But during 
the whole building time, and until the new economy's traditions and 
routines are reflected in a robust system with enforcement capabilities, 
almost any contact with the existing economy would be destructive.  

It would be like building in the outlands, beyond civilization 
entirely.  It will happen, and it should; 

Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Greg Broiles

At 01:46 AM 4/15/2001 -0700, Ryan Sorensen wrote:

> > Read the hundreds of articles on these matters. Read "The Enterprise
> > of Law: Justice without the State," by Bruce Benson. Read David
> > Friedman's "Machinery of Freedom," and his other books. Read...
> >
> > The point is, Aimee, _read the background material_.
> >
>Admittedly, I'm not Aimee.
>I was wondering if I could get a few helpful pointers towards the 
>background material?
>Any assistance would be much appreciated.

You might also take a look at Robert Axelrod's _The Evolution of Cooperation_.


--
Greg Broiles
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Organized crime is the price we pay for organization." -- Raymond Chandler




Re: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ryan Sorensen

> Read the hundreds of articles on these matters. Read "The Enterprise 
> of Law: Justice without the State," by Bruce Benson. Read David 
> Friedman's "Machinery of Freedom," and his other books. Read...
> 
> The point is, Aimee, _read the background material_.
> 
Admittedly, I'm not Aimee.
I was wondering if I could get a few helpful pointers towards the background material?
Any assistance would be much appreciated.

> --Tim May

--Ryan Sorensen




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Tim May

At 11:30 AM -0700 4/15/01, Ray Dillinger wrote:
>On Sat, 14 Apr 2001, Tim May wrote:
>
>>>If
>>>there is not a value proposition for an information marketplace between the
>>>government and the private sector, there could be a value proposition within
>>>the private sector intelligence channels, moving closer to your "credit
>>>rating market" proposition.
>>
>>English, please. Or at least Ebonics.
>
>
>Her point, Tim, is that she doubts such a thing will ever be deployed
>widely or accepted, because she can't see a way for someone to make
>money at it.
>
>As presented, I think she's probably right.  Nobody in conventional
>business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't
>create a legally enforceable contract.

Widespread black markets, for drugs, betting, etc., suggest otherwise.

There are many markets out there which do not rely on the official 
court system to enforce contracts for.

Besides Mafia markets, there are international trade systems which 
typically don't invoke the laws of Fiji or Botswana or even the U.S. 
to make them work.

In fact, most of our ordinary decisions and dealings are done 
"anarchically," from deciding which restaurants to visit to the 
buying of books and whatnot. The laws that exist have almost no role 
in such decisions (lest anyone cite "health standards" for 
restaurants, this is both secondary to decisions and has historically 
been handled without governmental regulation).


>And "reputation capital"
>that would counteract that point to some extent depends on maintaining
>a consistent traceable pseudonym as someone who does something illegal,
>for decades, without getting linked to it.

As with Aimee, you haven't thought outside the box.

You being a lawyer larvae, and Aimee being an official lawyer, is 
this something that _comes_ from being a lawyer, or is this something 
that causes a person to give up doing something real, like 
programming or designing chips, to _become_ a lawyer?


--Tim May
-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ray Dillinger

On Sat, 14 Apr 2001, Tim May wrote:

>>If
>>there is not a value proposition for an information marketplace between the
>>government and the private sector, there could be a value proposition within
>>the private sector intelligence channels, moving closer to your "credit
>>rating market" proposition.
>
>English, please. Or at least Ebonics.


Her point, Tim, is that she doubts such a thing will ever be deployed 
widely or accepted, because she can't see a way for someone to make 
money at it. 

As presented, I think she's probably right.  Nobody in conventional 
business is going to want to do a deal with someone when they can't 
create a legally enforceable contract.  And "reputation capital" 
that would counteract that point to some extent depends on maintaining 
a consistent traceable pseudonym as someone who does something illegal, 
for decades, without getting linked to it.  

Bear




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-15 Thread Ray Dillinger

On Sat, 14 Apr 2001, Aimee Farr wrote:


>That is an over-simplification, but yes. Intelligence is not headlines. To a
>large extent, "what's happening" is not analyzed correctly, because the
>intelligence community lacks sufficient expert analysis to cope with the
>dataload. This capability is in the private sector. These information flows,
>between the government sector and the private sector, are unmapped.

This is not true any more.  The automated analysis of trawled data has 
advanced considerably beyond keyword searching at this point; there are 
programs out there now specifically looking for much more subtle and 
complicated things, which were formerly the domain of intelligence 
analyists, and they are actually pretty damn good.  The simple keyword 
searchers and keyphrase searchers you hear about with echelon are only 
the front line; they pass their data back to much more sophisticated 
AI programs that analyze content, and synthesize information gleaned 
from massive numbers of such missives.   

Every time a situation like the Aum Shenrikyo (spelled?) subway 
attack happens, if the automated analysis suite didn't point it 
out first, human analysts come in and check out the dataflows 
that ran before it and around it, and create a new auto-analysis 
program.  And then later, when another group that has anything 
like the same rhetoric and seems to be going through the same 
logistical steps pops up, the auto-analysis finds it without human 
help. 

I do not speak of specific known programs here; but my primary 
background is in AI and expert systems, and I can state unequivocally 
that intelligence analysis funded most of the research in the field 
for a very long time, and that programs such as I described above 
are well within the current state of the art.  It is unusual for 
them to be deployed very widely in private industry because in 
private industry there is a real problem of retaining personnel 
with the proper expertise to work on them.  They tend to be delicate 
in their operation -- you go to make a minor change in the data 
or the rules or the schemas and the performance of all other parts 
of the system degrades unless you are extremely careful, well-trained, 
and, let's face it, consistently just plain smarter than normal people.  
But when they are in tune, and their vocabulary tables are up-to-date, 
they are highly accurate.

The problem of keeping these systems in tune is what drives most 
practical AI research today; the systems are effective, but brittle 
and unable to cope with subtle changes and variations very well. 
"Fuzzy" approaches like ANN's and Genetic Algorithms are attempts 
to get past this problem by making self-adjusting systems, but the 
volumes of data required to get self-adjustment working using such 
approaches are a problem; you'd have to have data from  hundreds 
of Aum Shenrikyo type attacks before your GA or ANN really had a 
good chance of picking out what parts of the dataflow were relevant.

So here's my speculation: human analysts are probably called in only 
after something takes the automatic tools by surprise, or when there 
is an administrative need for specific analysis that the automatic 
tools do not provide.


Bear




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-14 Thread Tim May

At 2:59 PM -0500 4/14/01, Aimee Farr wrote:
>
>I agree with you, I did not put forth my argument well, and I was lazy to
>snip out context from several offlist conversations. And, you are correct,
>it is difficult for me to make a compelling argument, due to the fact that I
>am a far cry from an expert in this area. These are challenging concepts.
>However, with respect, I did take on a mega-proposition for the application
>of your concepts.

Eschew grandiloquence.

>
>  > "A twist of legitimacy"? Some kind of appeal to authority/
>
>An appeal for a contract. I was trying to hypothesize a value proposition
>for a legitimate application of these technologies.

You'll need to translate this into straightforward English, please.


>What you proposed, via a
>"credit rating market," is an open source information mercantile system. I
>was looking for a better market, which attaches high value to information:
>intelligence.

What you were "looking for" is irrelevant to what I wrote about. You 
can try hiring me as your personal consultant, at my usual daily 
rate, and I will try to put something together that is closer to what 
you're "looking for."

In any case, the straightforward moving of credit ratings to a place 
where the Fair Credit Reporting Act and other such statist measures 
cannot reach is a much, much better example of the regulatory 
arbitrage issues of interest here than some nebulous "open source 
intelligence" project such as Robert Steele and OSS have been 
advocating. More power to him if he pulls off something interesting 
and important, but so far it is smoke and mirrors and vague claims.


>I wonder if these applications would find the most relevance
>in the intelligence sector, despite thoughts of subversive applications.

"I wonder, I wonder, I wonder..."

Do some background reading, think about the issues, and actually 
begin participating in a meaningful way in the debate and then maybe 
you won't appear to be such an airhead.

>If
>there is not a value proposition for an information marketplace between the
>government and the private sector, there could be a value proposition within
>the private sector intelligence channels, moving closer to your "credit
>rating market" proposition.

English, please. Or at least Ebonics.



>
>  > Read the hundreds of articles on these matters. Read "The Enterprise
>>  of Law: Justice without the State," by Bruce Benson. Read David
>>  Friedman's "Machinery of Freedom," and his other books. Read...
>>
>>  The point is, Aimee, _read the background material_.
>
>>  Then you can ask specific questions, instead of just throwing a dozen
>>  or two dozen points of confusion you have against the wall and asking
>>  me to make it all clear to you.
>
>Tim, I didn't expect you to make it all clear to me. (i.e., "Just lotsa
>questions." Indeed, I have some answers, but thank you for the book recs.) I
>was merely reflecting that anonymous cash is not a cure-all, and that it
>might not even necessary for a highly sensitive information marketplace.

I never claimed it was a cure-all. None of us has. It's part of an 
overall approach, outlook, worldview.

As for it being "necessary for a highly sensitive information 
marketplace," it depends. No doubt within the CIA it is not needed, 
though the equivalent of cash is still used (CPU hours allottable to 
various users, signatures to gain access to data, etc.)

As for outsiders, imagine buying "sensitive information" without 
untraceable cash...whoops, it's a sting, and the Saudi Royal Guard is 
on its way. Or Jeff Gordon is about to raid your house.

You seem not to have thought about these issues. You need to do some 
reading before you make a fool of yourself further.

>I
>was questioning the value proposition that you posed in the context of a
>more sophisticated model -- an admittedly fantastical one. Finally, I
>questioned if it was so fantastical, given Steele (et. al.) and thoughts of
>functioning OSINT communities.

I can't understand your writing. I'd normally say "So sue me," except 
lawyers like you typically try this.


>
>You are a prickly, philosophical, violence-inclined prick tease that won't
>put out for me. Clearly, I stand little chance of EVER getting into your
>intellectual pants. Give me some indication of how good your dick really is,
>because I'm thinking it isn't worth continued loss of blood on my end to
>even entertain thoughts of pursuing such a long-term, high-risk,
>book-reading, flesh-eating endeavor.


* P L O N K *, again, and this time, I expect for good.

People who can't write clearly and yet who use such language as you 
use above do not deserve to be taken seriously.

I thought I'd seen it all. At least now I can "Aimee" to the 
pantheon: Detweiler, Vulis, Cohen, Toto, and Aimee.

--Tim May
-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents

RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-14 Thread Aimee Farr

Tim May wrote:
> At 1:51 PM -0500 4/13/01, Aimee Farr wrote:
> >Even though I'm PLUNKED, and he is currently on a lawyer-hate rampage...
> >
> >Tim May said:
> >>  For those of you who don't fully appreciate what I am getting at,
> >>  being newcomers, let me move away from such banalities as "kiddie
> >>  porn" market--though this is a real market which any truly
> >>  untraceable tools will facilitate, obviously--and focus instead on
> >>  the "credit rating market."
> >
> >Ah, yes. The (illicit) "credit rating market."
>
> If you claim to know about it, how do you actually know so
> _little_ about it?
> Yes, I have your post filtered into my Trash folder. Sometimes I
> look, sometimes I don't.
> For someone who presumably graduated from a real law school and
> passes a real bar exam, you have a demonstrated tendency to ramble
> and just "ditz" your way through arguments.
> Do you ever write in
> complete sentences, in complete paragraphs, arguing complete points?

I agree with you, I did not put forth my argument well, and I was lazy to
snip out context from several offlist conversations. And, you are correct,
it is difficult for me to make a compelling argument, due to the fact that I
am a far cry from an expert in this area. These are challenging concepts.
However, with respect, I did take on a mega-proposition for the application
of your concepts.

> >Thank you for the "Dick & Jane" version. I may not be the smartest kid in
> >the class, but I am going to skip a grade, and address the value
> proposition
> >Mr. May is *really* talking about, although with a twist of legitimacy:
> >
> >
> >Found in my inbox:
> >
> > > 1. MERCHANT INFORMATION BANKING - "Open Source Intelligence Haven"
> > > STEELE:
> > http://www.oss.net/infoMerchantBank.html
>
> "A twist of legitimacy"? Some kind of appeal to authority/

An appeal for a contract. I was trying to hypothesize a value proposition
for a legitimate application of these technologies. What you proposed, via a
"credit rating market," is an open source information mercantile system. I
was looking for a better market, which attaches high value to information:
intelligence. I wonder if these applications would find the most relevance
in the intelligence sector, despite thoughts of subversive applications. If
there is not a value proposition for an information marketplace between the
government and the private sector, there could be a value proposition within
the private sector intelligence channels, moving closer to your "credit
rating market" proposition.

> As it happens, I've known Robert Steele since his first got invited
> to the Hackers Conference...must have been around 1993-4 or so.
> Talked to him at length. Several other list members know him, too.
> He's been pushing this Del Torto-esque "hackers will be our real
> agents" project for a while.

We do have some most recent evidence of this.

> Nothing wrong with the "open
> intelligence" idea...except that it's not his idea.

However, Steele does have an interesting prototype community. Furthermore,
he has explored private sector opportunities as the intelligence community
restructures and privatizes.

> The intelligence
> agencies of the world have been vacuum sweeping the Net since its
> earliest days. I don't mean in some paranoid sense, but in the sense
> of what is readily known.

But much strategically valuable information is not online. I said "NOT
ONLINE." The intelligence needed is in regard to third-world countries and
hotspots. This insight is damn sure not on the Net. I can't find the
intricacies in regard to [fill-in-the-blank] on the Net. There are some
things you can't mine. Even where you can, it's raw information, stale, and
not analysis. Furthermore, I would think this information is often of little
strategic value.

> The "Analyst" project at the CIA, for example, has been going on
> since at least the early 80s, monitoring publically visible (and
> perhaps less visible stuff gotten from the NSA, DIA, NRO, etc.)
> material.

Yes. But when they get this information... "what does it mean?" They are
drowning in information that they can't make sense of. Any such an endeavor
would target information that is NOT SIPHONABLE AND OUTSIDE OF EXISTING
INTELLIGENCE FLOWS. The endeavor would tap the private intelligence sector,
developing nonexistent intelligence channels to tap private experts, agents,
analysts, primary sources, etc. - information available, but for a price.

> We knew by 1993 that the NSA and CIA had folks reading our list...I
> talked to a couple of these readers at the Hackers Conference in Lake
> Tahoe and at a conference at Asilomar.

Well, in the unlikely event the NSA and CIA folks are still around: They
need LESS noise - more private analysis and sourcepoint intelligence. The
problem with the US intelligence community, as seen by many, is that they
are over-focused on mass mining strategies and related technologies, and
need to re-fo

RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-13 Thread Tim May

At 1:51 PM -0500 4/13/01, Aimee Farr wrote:
>Even though I'm PLUNKED, and he is currently on a lawyer-hate rampage...
>
>Tim May said:
>>  For those of you who don't fully appreciate what I am getting at,
>>  being newcomers, let me move away from such banalities as "kiddie
>>  porn" market--though this is a real market which any truly
>>  untraceable tools will facilitate, obviously--and focus instead on
>>  the "credit rating market."
>
>Ah, yes. The (illicit) "credit rating market."

If you claim to know about it, how do you actually know so _little_ about it?

Yes, I have your post filtered into my Trash folder. Sometimes I 
look, sometimes I don't.

For someone who presumably graduated from a real law school and 
passes a real bar exam, you have a demonstrated tendency to ramble 
and just "ditz" your way through arguments. Do you ever write in 
complete sentences, in complete paragraphs, arguing complete points?
>
>Thank you for the "Dick & Jane" version. I may not be the smartest kid in
>the class, but I am going to skip a grade, and address the value proposition
>Mr. May is *really* talking about, although with a twist of legitimacy:
>
>
>Found in my inbox:
>
>   > 1. MERCHANT INFORMATION BANKING - "Open Source Intelligence Haven"
>   > STEELE:
>   http://www.oss.net/infoMerchantBank.html

"A twist of legitimacy"? Some kind of appeal to authority/

As it happens, I've known Robert Steele since his first got invited 
to the Hackers Conference...must have been around 1993-4 or so. 
Talked to him at length. Several other list members know him, too.

He's been pushing this Del Torto-esque "hackers will be our real 
agents" project for a while. Nothing wrong with the "open 
intelligence" idea...except that it's not his idea. The intelligence 
agencies of the world have been vacuum sweeping the Net since its 
earliest days. I don't mean in some paranoid sense, but in the sense 
of what is readily known.

The "Analyst" project at the CIA, for example, has been going on 
since at least the early 80s, monitoring publically visible (and 
perhaps less visible stuff gotten from the NSA, DIA, NRO, etc.) 
material.

We knew by 1993 that the NSA and CIA had folks reading our list...I 
talked to a couple of these readers at the Hackers Conference in Lake 
Tahoe and at a conference at Asilomar.

"Open source intelligence" is just his buzz phrase for "observe 
what's happening."

>
>Steele, March 23 Letter to President:
>http://www.oss.net/Papers/white/LettertothePresident.doc)
>
>>Making the agora disappear into cyberspace, whether by sheer numbers
>>of sellers and buyers (peer-to-peer) or by robust encryption (a la
>>BlackNet) is an important goal.
>
>Agora, hm.

Learn our terms as we learn your terms.

>
>I find open source information banking/trading/merchant (whatever) systems
>problematic propositions, beyond anonymous cash, especially viewed in light
>of this hypothetical on a distributed open source intelligence
>haven-brokerage.
>
>   i.e. How do you set yourself up as an anonymous, neutral, 
>info-Switzerland?
>...How will youobtain critical mass and critical trust? 
>...Where is your
>back-door, infosec accountability  if you are nothing but digital wind?
>...How do you set up a buy-sell marketplace forintelligence 
>-- the value
>of which cannot be determined prior to analysis, even where there  is a
>robust reputation capital metric in place? ...How do you enforce polycentric
>merchant   society rules in the context of an anonymous 
>transactional system?
>...Requirements foradmission?  ...Quality control? Reputational
>systems?...What is your post-transactional enforcement mechanism? ...MUST
>you have anon cash? (Just lotsa questions.)

Read the hundreds of articles on these matters. Read "The Enterprise 
of Law: Justice without the State," by Bruce Benson. Read David 
Friedman's "Machinery of Freedom," and his other books. Read...

The point is, Aimee, _read the background material_.

Then you can ask specific questions, instead of just throwing a dozen 
or two dozen points of confusion you have against the wall and asking 
me to make it all clear to you.


As it is, you have yet to contribute anything interesting, at least 
that I have seen. I admit I don't see most of your contributions 
these days, but the lack of follow-up from others tells me that 
others are also not finding much of substance.

Given that you write in a confusing, ditzy way, perhaps they just 
can't extract the nuggets from the mud.


--Tim May

-- 
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns




RE: Making the Agora Vanish | OSINT distributed haven (Intellagora)

2001-04-13 Thread Aimee Farr

Even though I'm PLUNKED, and he is currently on a lawyer-hate rampage...

Tim May said:
> For those of you who don't fully appreciate what I am getting at,
> being newcomers, let me move away from such banalities as "kiddie
> porn" market--though this is a real market which any truly
> untraceable tools will facilitate, obviously--and focus instead on
> the "credit rating market."

Ah, yes. The (illicit) "credit rating market."

Thank you for the "Dick & Jane" version. I may not be the smartest kid in
the class, but I am going to skip a grade, and address the value proposition
Mr. May is *really* talking about, although with a twist of legitimacy:


Found in my inbox:

> 1. MERCHANT INFORMATION BANKING - "Open Source Intelligence Haven"
> STEELE:
http://www.oss.net/infoMerchantBank.html

We already have an OSINT prototype community.

> The world intelligence market is going private and adopting a distributed
> model, most relevant intelligence information is human, IS NOT ONLINE,
not
> SIGINT, and is trapped in the private sector. IT'S NOT SECRET, EITHER.
> The problem is old
> notions of
the > intelligence (COLD WAR) keep private||government apart.
"credit   > The private
rating> intelligence market
market"---> is $300 billion. China, Israel, Germany, the Netherlands,
Norway, Russia,
> South Africa, Sweden and the United Kingdom are already
> privatizing adopting OSINT tactics, according to Steele.

Steele, March 23 Letter to President:
http://www.oss.net/Papers/white/LettertothePresident.doc)

>Making the agora disappear into cyberspace, whether by sheer numbers
>of sellers and buyers (peer-to-peer) or by robust encryption (a la
>BlackNet) is an important goal.

Agora, hm.

> The problem with open source intelligence havens
> is that the information has to be of strategic relevance and time
> actionable. If you give me the secret recipe to KFC, I'm still nothing
> without the red-and-white-bucket.

> I have to be able to tap the source.

> : critical mass and critical trust.

> : analysis/value

> So, what's the solution?

> The solution is that the technology clearly exists to allow entities
> to reside in cyberspace. What is lacking, as always, is the means to
> collect untraceable digital cash.

I find open source information banking/trading/merchant (whatever) systems
problematic propositions, beyond anonymous cash, especially viewed in light
of this hypothetical on a distributed open source intelligence
haven-brokerage.

i.e. How do you set yourself up as an anonymous, neutral, info-Switzerland?
...How will you obtain critical mass and critical trust? ...Where is your
back-door, infosec accountability   if you are nothing but digital wind?
...How do you set up a buy-sell marketplace for intelligence -- the value
of which cannot be determined prior to analysis, even where there   is a
robust reputation capital metric in place? ...How do you enforce polycentric
merchantsociety rules in the context of an anonymous transactional system?
...Requirements for admission?  ...Quality control? Reputational
systems?...What is your post-transactional  enforcement mechanism? ...MUST
you have anon cash? (Just lotsa questions.)

On the other hand, take Steele's concept, turn it into an distributed ghosty
"INTELLAGORA" (?) to facilitate and tap these new public-private and
private-private transcontinental intelligence flows, attain critical mass,
and you would have an exceptional value proposition.

Nothing happens without a value proposition, and there is only one lucrative
"live" information market: the intelligence habit. Whoever gets in the
middle of this public<-->private intelligence collision stands to make
serious bank. There is no legacy system, so, if doable, it's load and
lock-in. In comparison, the likes of ZKS and MojoNation seem small
footsteps -- not just in terms of the potential market, but also in terms of
the opportunity for the mass incorporation of cypherpunk concepts.

(This is not "subversive" hypothetical. Western/Allied intelligence
communities would be the primary benefactors and contractors.)

~Aimee