Re: When is iraq expected to fall.
-- On 19 Mar 2003 at 22:55, Sarad AV wrote: how long does US analysts expect iraq to be completely occupied by US and allied troops? No definite plans, but Rumsfeld is thinking of an occupation force of 75 000 for several years. Some want the kind of occupation where any time any Iraqi utters a racist slur, the marines take him away for sensitivity training, which would require about 200 000, whereas Rumsfeld has in mind an occupation more like Afghanistan, where so long as the rivers run with water, not blood, we pat ourselves on the back and count it a job well done. Of course, all this assumes the war goes smoothly -- with a kill ratio of a thousand to one. There is widespread failure to appreciate how remarkable such kill ratios are. If it is merely one hundred to one, the war will be perceived as a defeat, and if it is merely ten to one, it actually will be a defeat. --digsig James A. Donald 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG pXZ8V7ZVSnZEJTIAOWVcd7RvKnGDxic8agd6TY6o 453h7nDyLl5QIvUPrVvYm1kEJJ/vJpfXSwkzd8wbm
Re: When is iraq expected to fall.
-- On 19 Mar 2003 at 22:55, Sarad AV wrote: how long does US analysts expect iraq to be completely occupied by US and allied troops? No definite plans, but Rumsfeld is thinking of an occupation force of 75 000 for several years. Some want the kind of occupation where any time any Iraqi utters a racist slur, the marines take him away for sensitivity training, which would require about 200 000, whereas Rumsfeld has in mind an occupation more like Afghanistan, where so long as the rivers run with water, not blood, we pat ourselves on the back and count it a job well done. Of course, all this assumes the war goes smoothly -- with a kill ratio of a thousand to one. There is widespread failure to appreciate how remarkable such kill ratios are. If it is merely one hundred to one, the war will be perceived as a defeat, and if it is merely ten to one, it actually will be a defeat. --digsig James A. Donald 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG pXZ8V7ZVSnZEJTIAOWVcd7RvKnGDxic8agd6TY6o 453h7nDyLl5QIvUPrVvYm1kEJJ/vJpfXSwkzd8wbm
