[DX-NEWS] Ohio/Penn DX Bulletin #826

2007-09-28 Thread Tedd Mirgliotta

SB DX @ WW < KB8NW $OPDX.826
Ohio/Penn DX Bulletin No. 826

The Ohio/Penn DX PacketCluster
DX Bulletin No. 826
BID: $OPDX.826
October 1, 2007
Editor Tedd Mirgliotta, KB8NW
Provided by BARF80.ORG (Cleveland, Ohio)

Thanks to the Northern Ohio Amateur Radio Society, Northern Ohio DX
Association, Ohio/Penn PacketCluster Network, AB5K & the AR TelNet
Clusters Network, K1XN & GoList, NG3K, W3UR & The Daily DX, N4AA & QRZ
DX, NA5U, AC8G, K8YC, K8YSE, W9DX, DX-IS News Site, Pete's-DX-Newsdesk,
DJ7ZG, DK8JB, DL2VFR, DL5CW, DL7MAE & The DX News Letter, F5NQL & UFT,
G3WGV, G3XTT, HR2DMR, I1JQJ/IK1ADH & 425 DX News, IN3VZE, JA1BK, JI6KVR &
IOTA-JA News, JT1CD, LU5FF, RSGB IOTA Web Site, S50XX, SM6CVX, VA3RJ &
ICPO, VK4FW and Z35M for the following DX information.

** EDITOR'S SPECIAL NOTICE: This week's bulletin was sent out earlier
   than normal to accommodate the late CQWW DX RTTY Contest announcements.
   Also, we wanted to provide the readers with a consolidated listing
   of the CQWW DX RTTY Contest participants.

DXCC COUNTRY/ENTITY REPORT: According to the AR-Cluster Network for the
week of Saturday, 22nd/September, through Saturday, 29th/September there
were 217 countries active. Countries available: 1A, 3A, 3B6, 3B8, 3B9,
3D2, 3DA, 3V, 3W, 4J, 4L, 4O, 4S, 4X, 5B, 5H, 5N, 5R, 5U, 5V, 5X, 5Z,
6W, 6Y, 7Q, 7X, 8P, 9A, 9G, 9H, 9J, 9K, 9L, 9M2, 9M6, 9N, 9Q, 9U, 9V,
9Y, A4, A6, A7, A9, AP, BV, BY, C2, C3, C5, C6, C9, CE, CE9, CM, CN,
CP, CT, CT3, CU, CX, D2, D4, DL, DU, E5/s, E7, EA, EA6, EA8, EA9, EI,
EK, EL, EP, ER, ES, ET, EU, EX, EY, EZ, F, FG, FJ, FK, FM, FO, FP, FR,
FY, G, GD, GI, GJ, GM, GU, GW, HA, HB, HB0, HC, HC8, HI, HK, HL, HP,
HR, HS, HV, HZ, I, IS, J2, J3, J5, J6, JA, JD/o, JT, JW, JX, JY, K,
KH0, KH2, KH6, KH8, KL, KP2, KP4, LA, LU, LX, LY, LZ, OA, OD, OE, OH,
OH0, OJ0, OK, OM, ON, OX, OY, OZ, P2, PA, PJ2, PY, PZ, S5, S7, SM, SP,
ST, SU, SV, SV5, SV9, T30, T5, T7, TA, TF, TG, TI, TK, TR, TT, TU, TY,
UA, UA2, UA9, UK, UN, UR, V2, V3, V5, V7, V8, VE, VK, VK9L, VK9N, VK9W,
VP2V, VP8, VQ9, VR, VU, XE, XU, XW, YA, YB, YI, YJ, YL, YN, YO, YS, YU,
YV, Z2, Z3, ZA, ZB, ZC4, ZD7, ZF, ZL, ZP, ZS

* PLEASE NOTE: The report "could" contain "Pirate/SLIM" operations or
  more likely a "BUSTED CALLSIGN". As always, you never know - "Work
  First Worry Later" (WFWL).

3B7, ST. BRANDON. The 3B7C team went QRT on September 25th around 0331z. The
operation netted 135,500 QSOs. The QSO total makes this expedition 3rd only
to D68C and 3B9C. From the latest press release, the breakdown by bands
and modes are as follows:
   10m - 7958 30m - 13460  Phone: 51754
   12m - 8851 40m - 19906 CW: 79217
   15m - 1888780m - 13267   RTTY: 6549
   17m - 21052   160m - 2922 
   20m - 31577

  To read the complete press release with interesting comments about each
band and other details, click on the news link listed below. Remember, the
3B7C Web page is available at:   http://www.3b7c.com
Update-to-date news is at:http://www.3b7c.com/news.htm
Daily log updates are at: http://www.3b7c.com/logsearch/search.php
QSL via G3NUG, direct (Neville Cheadle, Lower Withers Barns, Middleton
on the Hill, Leominster, HR6 0HY, England) or by the Bureau (Bureau cards
can be requested via the 3B7C Web page). The QSL Manager for SWLs is Bob
Treacher, 93 Elibank Road, Eltham, London SE9 1QJ, ENGLAND.

3C, EQUATORIAL GUINEA. Elmo, EA5BYP, announces that a DXpedition to the
Republic of Equatorial Guinea (Bioko Island AF-010) will take place between
October 5-14th. Operators will be Fred/KH7Y, Luis/EA5BRE, Vic/EA5YN and
Elmo/EA5BYP. The team will operate with two stations and will sign 3C7Y for
10 days. Activity will be on all bands and modes SSB, CW and RTTY. QSL via
EA5BYP. Visit the team's Web page at:
  http://personal.telefonica.terra.es/web/ea5yn/3c7y.htm

3D2/R, ROTUMA (OC-060). Tony, FO5RK, reports that his planned DXpedition
to Rotuma as 3D2AG/P is on schedule. His operation will take place between
December 2007 and January 2008. Actual dates will be announced later.
Tony will be managing his own QSL requests upon his return home. QSL only
direct and please include either 2 USDs or 1 IRC with a SAE for your QSL
card. The QSL cards are being printed by UX5UO and the DXpedition is being
sponsored by SPIDERBEAM. Upon Tony's return home, he will have his log
available online at:  http://www.3d2ag.fr.tc/
QSL requests should be mailed direct to Tony at his QRZ.com address.

4L, GEORGIA. Operator Gia, 4L4WW, will be active during the CQ World
Wide DX SSB Contest (October 27-28th) as a Single-Op/Single-Band (80m)/
High-Power entry. He expects to use a 3 element Yagi and inverted V
during the contest. QSL via EA7FTR.

4O, MONTENEGRO. Look for Montenegro to be active during the CQ World Wide
RTTY DX Contest on September 29th and 30th as 4O3A. Ranko Boca will air
4O3A from his Montenegrin Premium Contest Resort. He'll be hosting a
young team of operators from Slovenia and Italy who will be operating in

[DX-NEWS] ARLP040 Propagation de K7RA

2007-09-28 Thread jjreisert
SB PROP @ ARL $ARLP040
ARLP040 Propagation de K7RA

ZCZC AP40
QST de W1AW  
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 40  ARLP040
>From Tad Cook, K7RA
Seattle, WA  September 28, 2007
To all radio amateurs 

SB PROP ARL ARLP040
ARLP040 Propagation de K7RA

Last week's report stated the possibility that zero-sunspot days
were about to end, but no such luck.  Instead we've seen no sunspots
for three weeks straight, since September 7.

The September 20 forecast from NOAA and the US Air Force showed
solar flux values rising to 70 on September 21.  (See
http://sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/forecasts/45DF/092045DF.txt).  The next
day's prediction reverted to 67
(http://sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/forecasts/45DF/092145DF.txt).  The
September 21 prediction had solar flux rising to 70 again, but not
until September 29 to October 1, then falling back below 70, then
back to 70 again for October 18-28.

Now the September 27 forecast has solar flux staying around 67-68
through November 11.  You can see all the latest daily forecasts for
solar flux and planetary A index at
http://sec.noaa.gov/ftpmenu/forecasts/45DF.html.  The possible end
to the stretch of zero sunspot days was based on the observation
that when the solar flux is 70 or higher, there is at least one
visible sunspot.  This makes it seem that we are still at the bottom
of the cycle, or haven't quite reached it.

Those daily forecasts are posted after 2100z.  There is a new
sunspot 970 emerging, so perhaps the September 28 forecast will show
solar flux back to 70 or higher.  There is currently a solar wind
hitting earth, and currently the interplanetary magnetic field
points south, which leaves earth vulnerable.  That same forecast on
September 27 predicts a planetary A index for September 28 to
October 3 at 15, 25, 12, 8, 8 and 15, so we may see unsettled to
active geomagnetic conditions on Saturday, September 29 and again
Wednesday, October 3.  Already early Friday morning UTC (which is
late Thursday on the West Coast) we've seen the planetary K index as
high as 6.  Lately with quiet conditions the K index has been 1 or
2.  Above 3 is considered unsettled or active geomagnetic
conditions.

Geophysical Institute Prague predicts unsettled conditions for
September 28, unsettled to active September 29, unsettled September
30, quiet October 1, unsettled October 2-3, and quiet to unsettled
October 4.

Jeff Lackey, K8CQ of Saint Simons Island, Georgia wrote in with an
interesting observation.  He created a graph (which unfortunately is
not on the web for viewing) which plots periods in which the solar
flux drops below 80 for extended periods.  It shows the longest run
at the end of cycle 22 was from January 8 through July 7, 1996, 182
days.  The second longest run from 11 years ago was 112 days from
August 2 to November 21, 1996.  The latest and also the longest run
at the end of the current cycle 23 began on June 9, 2007 and so far
runs 112 days through September 28.  The September 28 morning
reading at Penticton (the noon reading is the official value) has a
very low solar flux value of 64.4.

The latest forecast from the Air Force shows solar flux below 80 for
the next 45 days, so if this turns out to be true, that would put
this run up toward the longest one from 11 years ago.  We are today
already equal to the second longest run of cycle 22, and are in the
longest run of the current cycle.  The second longest run for the
current cycle is 77 days, ending after April 25, 2007.

Note there is nothing magic about a solar flux value of 80, but Jeff
is a numbers guy and found this to be an interesting threshold for
his analysis of solar minima.

Despite the lack of sunspots, hams are still communicating around
the world, and reports of working 3B7C with modest stations are
still coming in.  WA2VQW worked them on 30 meters from his car at
2115z on September 18 while sitting at a traffic light in Hawthorne,
New York.  Mike was on his way to higher ground, but never made it,
instead working the DXpedition while stuck in traffic.  W4WNT of Oak
Island, North Carolina reports a 30 meter 3B7C contact at 0212z on
September 22 using an 80-20 meter fan dipole bent around his deck at
30 feet.

On September 18, Ken Tata, K1KT of Warwick, Rhode Island noticed an
online propagation map tracking 2 meter APRS stations showed a path
from Rhode Island to Newfoundland's Avalon Peninsula.  Ken was
running 50 watts into a dipole, a driven element removed from an 11
element Yagi and mounted on a pole.  He reports, ''I worked VE1PZ, in
FN85, 100 mi north of Halifax; VE1HD, FN95, 100 mi east of Halifax;
and VE1AHM, FN76, near Moncton, New Brunswick''.  He reported that
many of the better equipped stations in Southern New England were
working into the Maritime Provinces on 432 and 1296 MHz.  Ken didn't
say what mode he used.  Ken sent along web-based VHF propagation
sites he likes for checking real-time conditions:
http://www.mountainlake.k12.mn.us/ham/aprs/,
http://www.dxinfocentre.com/tropo.html,
http://www.vhfdx.ne