MS Excel and statistics

2000-04-24 Thread Chow, Ying-Foon

Hi.  I'd appreciate if someone can tell if there is any add-in or module
for doing (a) studentized range tests, and (b) time series analysis in
MS Excel?  Thanks in advance.

Regards,
--
Ying-Foon Chow
Department of Finance  Tel: (+852) 2609 7638
The Chinese University of Hong KongFax: (+852) 2603 6586
Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]




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Re: maximum likelihood factor analysis

2000-04-24 Thread Chuck Cleland

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 A self-report scale was constructed to measure work ethic and included three
 conceptually derived components of work ethic.  Maximum likelihood factor
 analysis was then applied with the request of 3 factors to determine if the
 conceptually derived components actually represent empirical factors.  Is
 this an appropriate/acceptable manner of evaluating the factor structure of
 the scale?  Also, my version of SPSS (6.0) reports percent of variance
 accounted for by each factor, but doesn't indicate if this is common variance
 or total variance.  Does someone know which variance is reported.  Is maximum
 likelihood factor analysis used with either principle components or principal
 factors analysis?  I would appreciate any explanation someone might offer.  I
 have had difficulty finding any explanation on the web concerning these
 issues. Kary

Kary:
  You might want to check out chapter 13 in Tabachnick, B.G., 
Fidell, L.S.(1996). Using multivariate statistics (3rd Edition). New
York: Harper Collins.  This chapter has a nice discussion of the
differences and similarities between principal components and common
factor analysis and it has some stuff on different estimation
procedures.  It sounds like you really want to do a confirmatory
factor analysis in which you could specify which items load on which
of the three factors.  I don't think SPSS 6.0 will do CFA, but you may
want to look into it anyway.

HTH,

Chuck
 
--
Chuck Cleland
Institute for the Study of Child Development
UMDNJ-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School
97 Paterson Street
New Brunswick, NJ 08903
phone: (732) 235-7699
  fax: (732) 235-6189
http://www2.umdnj.edu/iscdweb/
--


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Low Reliability.

2000-04-24 Thread Paul W. Jeffries

Does any one know of good sources--either book chapters or articles--that
discuss how low reliability among items in an experiment influences
inferential statistics.

Paul W. Jeffries
Department of Psychology
SUNY--Stony Brook
Stony Brook NY 11794-2500



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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Short Course

2000-04-24 Thread Patrick Fleury

Short Course on Bayesian Modeling with
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Methods
Sponsored by the Chicago Chapter of the American Statistical Association

June 1-2, 2000
The University of Chicago Gleacher Center
Chicago IL USA

This two-day course will provide participants with hands-on experience
in applying Bayesian models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
simulation.   MCMC has received increasing attention in recent years
because it substantially broadens the range of problems that can be
analyzed in the Bayesian framework.  MCMC techniques like the Gibbs
Sampler have found their way in to many application areas, including
econometrics, biostatistics, marketing science, management science,
education, environmental statistics, and psychometrics.

The lead instructor for the course will be Peter Lenk, Associate
Professor of Statistics and Management Science,  The University of
Michigan Business School.
Example analyses and exercises will be done using GAUSS, a statistical
and mathematical programming environment made available for use in the
workshop by Aptech Systems, Inc. (www.aptech.com).

Short course participants should be comfortable with computer
programming, basic algebra, and simple distributions such as the normal
and binomial distributions.  Each participant will be asked to bring a
notebook computer.  For questions about computer configuration
requirements, contact the Chapter using one of the methods indicated
below.

Admission: Members of the Chicago Chapter ASA:  $450.00
   Non Members of the Chicago Chapter: $475.00

Because this course concerns a topic of current high interest, we urge
members to make their reservations early.  We regret that we cannot
accept reservations without payment of tuition and we also regret we
cannot accept credit cards. Payment is to be by cash or check only. In
order to reserve a seat, we must receive payment by May 1, 2000. Please
make checks payable to "ASA-Chicago".

Additional information may be found at http://www.chicagoASA.org.

If there are more questions, please e-mail [EMAIL PROTECTED], call +1 773
702 0517,
or send mail to:

MCMC Short-Course,
opNUMERICS
151 N. Kenilworth Suite 4A
Oak Park, IL 60301 USA

--
==
Patrick J. Fleury, Ph.D.(773)-702-0517
General Clincal Research Center W-514A
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




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Re: Which Way Should We Go

2000-04-24 Thread Donald F. Burrill

On Mon, 24 Apr 2000, Warren wrote, in response to Milo Schield:

 So, we must be forced to decide between two competing hypotheses?
 H0:  Use classical hypothesis testing
 H1:  Use Bayesian analysis

Oh?  Do you then believe that these two propositions are 
(1) mutually exclusive and 
(2) exhaustive  ?

(_I_ don't...)

 Is there enough evidence to reject the null?

First, we'd need to agree on what constituters evidence...

 Or, what is the probability that the null is true if we reject it?

And we cannot answer this question in any case.
-- DFB.
 
 Donald F. Burrill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264 603-535-2597
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  603-471-7128  



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Prediction of rare events

2000-04-24 Thread alacris

I am looking for any information concerning the prediction of _rare_
events.

I would very much appreciate any pointers to books, articles,
work-in-progress, on-line resources, etc etc.

Many thanks,
al


Sent via Deja.com http://www.deja.com/
Before you buy.


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Re: Advice ANOVA t-test

2000-04-24 Thread Donald F. Burrill

On Mon, 24 Apr 2000, Timothy Graves wrote:

  I could really use a little advice.
 I am preparing a research paper proposal for my  M. Ed. I am not 
 sure on a few issues:
 Is  ANOVA is a suitable form of t-test to determine if there is any
 significant differences between the means of three different subject
 groups on a Likert scale instrument?
 Am I off base here?  Any suggestions?

'Twould be nearer the mark to say that the t-test is the special case of 
ANOVA when there are only two groups.  Is ANOVA suitable for your 
situation?  Probably.  Some would dispute that, if by "a Likert scale 
instrument" you mean a single bipolar scale with Likert-like responses.  
If you mean an instrument comprising a bunch of items, each item being 
Likert scaled, and you are summing (or, equivalently, averaging) a 
subject's responses to all those items, hardly anyone would argue against 
using ANOVA.  The usual alternatives are less desirable for a variety of 
reasons, som eof which have recently been posted on the edstat list. 

   I am also trying to decide upon what internal-consistency method is 
 suitable to use in determining the Reliability of a Likert scale
 instrument?  Kuder-Richardson approaches?  Alpha Coefficient?

Well, as some of my colleagues will cheerfully point out at the drop of a 
hat, "reliability" is not a characteristic of an instrument.  However you 
choose to measure it, it reflects the behavior of a particular group of 
persons who have responded to the instrument, and thus depends on (inter 
alia) the homogeneity of the responding population(s), the homogeneity of 
the items in the instrument, etc.  Do you have a compelling reason to 
obtain a reliability coefficient at all, or to settle on any particular 
one in your proposal?  (I suppose a compelling reason is that one or more 
of your committee members demands such a thing;  but I meant substantive 
or logical reasons.)  What do you think you'd do with such a thing, once 
you'd got it?
My general advice regarding proposals is not to promise more than 
you're sure you can deliver, not to commit yourself to any details that 
you can avoid, and not to belabor the obvious.  If your proposal entails 
some comparison among several groups, ANOVA or an ANOVA-like procedure is 
obviously going to be required;  you need not say so (unless you need 
more boiler plate than I would accept in a proposal!) in writing, and in 
oral questioning you need only indicate, rather off-handedly, that of 
course ANOVA is one obvious way to address such comparisons.  But it is 
entirely imaginable that you will have other variables lurking around, 
perhaps even explicitly measured, and that some more general linear model 
than ANOVA would be useful to apply -- a variant of multiple linear 
regression, for example, of which ANOVA is a particular family of 
subsets. 
Is that Likert scale instrument something of your own devising, 
or is it an extant device of some sort?  If it's original with you, your 
committee may well feel that some sort of instrument development phase 
might be desirable, or even necessary;  though I wouldn't usually expect 
that at the M.Ed. level.  If they do require you to do some of that, 
you'll need to know something about measurement in general, and should 
read up in some of the elementary texts in the area.  (And if they do 
require anything of the sort, ask them whether the instrument-development 
phase would suffice for your magistral research.  I've known that to be 
accepted in a Ph.D. proposal at OISE, when the area of proposed research 
really had no instruments to speak of, and the candidate was going to be 
spending a lot of time, energy, and theory on developing an instrument to 
measure what she needed to measure if she were ever going to carry out 
the research she had in mind in the first place.

 This is my first crack at this type of research, and any help in this
 regard would be greatly appreciated.

Hope this has helped some.
-- DFB.
 
 Donald F. Burrill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264 603-535-2597
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  603-471-7128  
 (Professor Emeritus, Department of MECA, OISE)


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