JSE Volume 9 Number 2 now available

2001-07-31 Thread Thomas Short

I am pleased to announce the publication of the Volume 9, Number 2 issue
of the Journal of Statistics Education (JSE).

JSE is an official electronic journal of the American Statistical
Association (ASA), and is available through the ASA Web site at:

http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/

The contents of the current Volume can be accessed directly at:

http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/contents_2001.html

I have appended a list of the articles that appear in this July 2001
issue to the end of this message.

I hope that you will find this issue of JSE to be interesting and
informative.  It includes articles of interest to K-12 teachers,
undergraduate teachers, and graduate statistics teachers as well.

Please note that access to JSE is free.  We are soliciting advertising
that will appear on the index pages of the site.  If you are interested
in placing a banner or button advertisement in JSE, please contact JSE
at: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

The next issue of JSE will appear article by article on the Web site as
the issue is constructed in the coming months. The complete issue will
be announced in November 2001.

Thank you for reading and for exploring JSE!

I apologize if you receive this announcement more than once.

Statistically yours,

Tom Short
Editor, Journal of Statistics Education
www.amstat.org/publications/jse/
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

--

Journal of Statistics Education
Volume 9, Number 2
July 2001

Articles

Dexter C. Whittinghill and Robert V. Hogg 
A Little Uniform Density With Big Instructional Potential 

Robert F. Bordley 
Teaching Decision Theory in Applied Statistics Courses 

Linda S. Hirsch and Angela M. O'Donnell 
Representativeness in Statistical Reasoning: 
  Identifying and Assessing Misconceptions 

Lorraine Garrett and John C. Nash 
Issues in Teaching the Comparison of Variability to 
  Non-Statistics Students 

Christopher J. Malone and Christopher R. Bilder 
Statistics Course Web Sites: Beyond syllabus.html 

Departments

Teaching Bits: A Resource for Teachers of Statistics 

  Deborah J. Rumsey 
  From the Literature on Teaching and Learning Statistics 

  William P. Peterson 
  Topics for Discussion from Current Newspapers and Journals 

Datasets and Stories 

  Singfat Chu 
  Pricing the C's of Diamond Stones

--


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log

2001-07-31 Thread ToM

hi

what is the opposite of a log?

If you do lg10 of 3 in spss, it gives you a number. how can i take
this number and have as a solution the initial one (3)

its easy but i cannot remeber


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Re: Thomas' Fuzziness and Probability

2001-07-31 Thread S. F. Thomas

You raise a good question. As the author in question, may I
respond as follows:

There really is a dualistic relationship between fuzziness and
probability. They are distinct concepts, but I would argue that
there is a real sense in which the former *derives* from the
latter. That thought is anathema to many fuzzicists who fear the
implication that if so, then there is "nothing new" to fuzzy, as
falling ultimately under the ambit of probability theory. I don't
think so. There is plenty new semantics in the fuzzy set theory
of which probabilists have been blissfully unaware, and which in
fact helps to illuminate some problems in the foundations at
least of statistical inference theory.

The duality is precisely analogous to the duality that exists
between probability and likelihood. A probability distribution
over sample space gives rise to a likelihood function over
parameter space. The one is a set function, the other a point
function, and they pertain to different domains. In the case of
natural language semantics, it is precisely because language-use
is a chance phenomenon, even in a calibrational setting, that
there is fuzziness in the meanings of terms. More precisely,
uncertainty in the calibrational response variable, either yes or
no, to a series of calibrational propositions such as "would you
use the term 'tall' to describe the height value for which John
stands as exemplar, in the context of heights of adult males?"
gives rise to a semantic likelihood function over height space,
induced by probabilistic response uncertainty over calibrational
response (yes/no) space, it being understood that many different
height value exemplars (Jim, Peter, Paul, etc.) are similarly
presented in calibrational setting. The affirmation probability
(Bernoulli parameter) varies as a point function over height
space, as opposed to a set function over calibrational response
space. Thus the calibrational response rates traced out with
respect to the height variable is in no sense a probability
distribution, since it would in general not sum to unity; nor is
it a frequency distribution over the height values of the adult
male population that in an obvious sense may be rendered as a
probability distribution. All you have is a characteristic
function that describes, for various height values, the rate at
which a relevant speaker population would use the term "tall" to
describe the height values in question. It is a membership
function in the obvious Zadehian sense of a point function
ranging from 0 to 1, though Zadeh may or may not approve of the
manner in which it is obtained. It could also have been called a
*semantic likelihood* function, or a *characteristic* function of
the *term* tall, as distinct from the *membership* function
characterizing the associated set of tall *men*.

I like the term semantic likelihood because it gets to the heart
of the matter in my view. In a non-calibrational setting, eg. the
use of the term "tall" by a rape victim in court to describe the
height of her attacker, it is the calibrational response
uncertainty in terms purely of language-use, that leads to
semantic uncertainty about the precise height to which she
refers. The semantic likelihood function traces out the relative
possibility of various height-value hypotheses consistent with
her description of her attacker as "tall". In ordinary discourse
and comprehension, we don't need to have it spelt out, obviously.
But is in some sense there.

This analogy leads to the perhaps startling conclusion that the
(absolute) likelihood function familiar from statistical
inference theory is in some sense also a membership function!  It
certainly satisfies the minimum condition that it range on the
[0,1] interval. But semantically as well, it may be construed
simply as the term corresponding to what the data "say" about
some unknown parameter of interest. The greater the quantity of
data, the more precise, or less fuzzy, is the characterization of
the unknown parameter of interest. Statistical sample data
relevant to inference concerning the value of model parameters
are therefore analogous to fuzzy natural-language statements
about things like people's height. It is also analogous to
measurement, which for continuous attributes is fuzzy in general,
since no measurement may be made literally to an infinite number
of decimal places, and at the digit where uncertainty enters,
accidental and systematic errors of measurement, exactly like
those associated with the calibrational proposition with which we
started for characterizing the term "tall", may conspire to
render the range of uncertainty in the ultimate digit of
measurement fuzzy rather than crisp.

In all of this there is an essential and unavoidable duality and
interplay between uncertainty of the probabilistic sort, and
uncertainty of the fuzzy (also likelihood) sort. To treat these
two kinds of uncertainty in this fashion is not to exalt one over
the other, rather to recognize that they a

Re: log

2001-07-31 Thread Nadine Wells

log10(3) = 0.477121
10^0.477121.. = 3 (i.e. 10 raised to the exponent 0.477121...)

If you are using log10, it's always easier to use multiples of 10 to explain
so maybe this will help even more:
log10(1000) = 3
10^3 = 1000

Hope this helps


"ToM" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
> hi
>
> what is the opposite of a log?
>
> If you do lg10 of 3 in spss, it gives you a number. how can i take
> this number and have as a solution the initial one (3)
>
> its easy but i cannot remeber




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Re: log

2001-07-31 Thread Donald Burrill

On 31 Jul 2001, ToM wrote:

> what is the opposite of a log?[logarithm]

An antilog [properly, antilogarithm].  Equivalently, 10 to that power 
(if, as in your example, you are taking logarithms to the base 10);  or 
e to that power (if you are taking natural logarithms), which is also 
called the exponential function, exp( ).

> If you do lg10 of 3 in spss, it gives you a number.  how can i take
> this number and have as a solution the initial one (3)?

lg10(3) = 0.47712.  In SPSS-speak, 10**(0.47712) = 2.9

For natural logarithms,  ln(3) = 1.0986,  exp(1.0986) = 2.6

 
 Donald F. Burrill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  603-471-7128



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Distribution function or moments

2001-07-31 Thread Alex Zhu

Hi All, 

Is there any hope to calculate the distribution
or at least first two moment of the following
random variable

z = x*N(A*x+B) 

where x is a LOGNORMAL random variable 
with parameters MU and SIGMA 
N() is a standard NORMAL CUMULATIVE
probability function and A and B are 
positive constant. 



In fact the real problem is for more complicated 
like

z1 = (x^C)*(N(A*x+B)^D)*(N(F*x+G)^E) 

where A,B,C,D,E,F,G are constants
and  C,D,E are NATURAL numbers 
like 1,2,3 

Thanks for any reference or suggestion. 

Alex


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New Branche of Medicine

2001-07-31 Thread Medicine Horizons

MEDICINE HORIZONS - newsletter

Integration of Ancient Wisdom and Modern Scientific Technologies Leading to a New 
Branch of Medicine


  No innovation has gained such a fast foothold and recognition among medical 
experts as the utilisation of the natural laws of harmony.


  When one considers that the term Medical Resonance Therapy Music was only 
coined 14 years ago, and then looks at the present level of documentation on research 
and developments in this new branch of medicine, and the statements of leading medical 
experts from many fields such as hormone research, gynaecology, paediatrics, 
dermatology, research into headaches, intensive care medicine etc. right up to 
international recognition as the most successful "anti-stress remedy in the world" at 
the International Conference "Society, Stress and Health" of the World Health 
Organisation (WHO), then it is also worthwhile examining the causes for such enormous 
medical success more closely.



Interesting links:

Medical Resonance Therapy Music
http://www.medicalresonancetherapymusic.com

Scientific Music Therapy  - Research
http://www.scientificmusictherapy.com

Music as Data Carrier of the Laws of Harmony
NatureĀ“s Laws of Harmony in the Microcosm of Music
Chronobiological Aspects of Music Physiology
International Experts
http://www.digipharm.com

Micro Music Laboratories
http://www.micromusiclaboratories.com

MEDICINE HORIZONS
http://www.medicinehorizons.com

p.s.: this message was sent to you in the genuine belief that it is of professional 
interest to you. If you do not want to receive further information please simply send 
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