Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-07-15 Thread Anon.

Ellen Hertz wrote:
 
 Mike,
  Yes, you are correct. A purist might say that you didn't actually prove
 that the slopes are the same, only that you failed to demonstrate a
 significant difference between them (because non-significant parameters can
 become significant with more data). However, your interpretation is correct
 and, also, including an interaction term to examine its statistical
 significance is the best approach.
 
Careful!

I think you have to take the purist's view - with most data sets I could
get a non-significant interaction even if the slopes are different, just
by removing some of the data.  If the data it plentiful, then the
interpretation may be reasonable (even if still not strivtly correct). 
The interpretation you're advocating is logically dodgy - your
conclusion could depend as much on the number of data points you have as
on the difference between the slopes.

If you want to argue that two slopes are the same, then it's better to
look at the confidence limits, and see if they only cover a range that
is practically insignificant, then you can say that any difference is
too small to worry about.

Bob

-- 
Bob O'Hara
Metapopulation Research Group
Division of Population Biology
Department of Ecology and Systematics
PO Box 17 (Arkadiankatu 7)
FIN-00014 University of Helsinki
Finland

tel: +358 9 191 28782  fax: +358 9 191 28701
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To induce catatonia, visit:
http://www.helsinki.fi/science/metapop/

It is being said of a certain poet, that though he tortures the English
language, he has still never yet succeeded in forcing it to reveal his
meaning
- Beachcomber


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Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-07-14 Thread Ellen Hertz

Mike,
 Yes, you are correct. A purist might say that you didn't actually prove
that the slopes are the same, only that you failed to demonstrate a
significant difference between them (because non-significant parameters can
become significant with more data). However, your interpretation is correct
and, also, including an interaction term to examine its statistical
significance is the best approach.

Ellen Hertz
Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
news:3b20f210_1@newsfeeds...
 Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing
2
 slopes was correct.

 I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an
interaction
 statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
 meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
 interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach
this
 problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.

 Mike Tonkovich

 --
 Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
 Wildlife Research Biologist
 ODNR, Division of Wildlife
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]




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Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-06-20 Thread Tracey Continelli

mccovey@psych [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message 
news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
 in article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Tracey
 Continelli at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote on 6/13/01 4:14 PM:
 
  Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
  news:3b20f210_1@newsfeeds...
  Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing 2
  slopes was correct.
  
  I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
  statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
  meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
  interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach this
  problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.
  
  Mike Tonkovich
  
  --
  Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
  Wildlife Research Biologist
  ODNR, Division of Wildlife
  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  
  The slopes need not be the same if the interaction term is
  non-significant, BUT, the difference between them will not be
  statistically significant.  If the differences between the slops *are*
  statistically significant, this will be reflected in a statistically
  significant product term.  I have preferred using regression analyses
  with interaction terms, which can be easily incorporated by simply
  multiplying the variables together and then running the regression
  equation with each independent variable plus the product term [which
  is simply another name for the interaction term].  The results are
  much more straightforward in my mind.
  
  Tracey Continelli
  SUNY at Albany
 
 
 I agree completely but there can be problems interpreting the regression
 Output (e.g., mistakes like talking about main effects).  For advice on
 avoiding the common interpretation pitfalls, see
 
 Aiken  West (1991).  Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting
 interactions.  Sage.
 
 Irwin  McClelland (2001).  In Journal of Marketing Research.
 
 Gary McClelland
 Univ of Colorado


Quite so.  Once you add the product term, the interpretation changes,
and the parameter estimates are now known as simple main effects. 
The interpretation is pretty straightforward however.  The parameter
estimate, or slope, for your focal independent variable in the
interaction model simply represents the effect of your independent
variable upon your dependent variable when your moderator variable is
equal to zero, holding constant all other independent variables in
your model.  The same may be said for the slope of your moderator
variable - it represents the effect of that variable upon your
dependent variable when your focal independent variable is equal to
zero.  Because in my research [the social science variety] that
information isn't terribly useful [because most of the time you won't
realistically see the moderator variable at zero, i.e., a zero crime
rate or a zero poverty rate], what I will do is a mean centering
trick.  I'll subtract the mean from the moderator variable, rerun the
equation with the new mean centered variable and product term, and NOW
the parameter estimates of the simple main effects are meaningful for
me.  Now, when I look at the parameter estimates of the focal
independent variable, it is telling me the effect of that independent
variable upon the dependent variable when my moderator variable is at
its mean.  The actual product term remains identical to the original
equation [of course], but now the simple main effects are
realistically meaningful.  I'll also apply the same technique for when
the moderator variable is 2 standard deviations below the mean, 1
below the mean, all the way up to 2 standard deviations above the
mean.  This gives one a nice graphic sense of the way in which the
slope between your focal independent variable and your dependent
variable changes with successive changes in your moderator variable.


Tracey Continelli
Doctoral candidate
SUNY at Albany


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Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-06-20 Thread Gary McClelland

in article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Tracey
Continelli at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote on 6/20/01 7:06 AM:

 mccovey@psych [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
 in article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Tracey
 Continelli at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote on 6/13/01 4:14 PM:
 
 Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 news:3b20f210_1@newsfeeds...
 Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing
 2
 slopes was correct.
 
 I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
 statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
 meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
 interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach
 this
 problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.
 
 Mike Tonkovich
 
 --
 Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
 Wildlife Research Biologist
 ODNR, Division of Wildlife
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 The slopes need not be the same if the interaction term is
 non-significant, BUT, the difference between them will not be
 statistically significant.  If the differences between the slops *are*
 statistically significant, this will be reflected in a statistically
 significant product term.  I have preferred using regression analyses
 with interaction terms, which can be easily incorporated by simply
 multiplying the variables together and then running the regression
 equation with each independent variable plus the product term [which
 is simply another name for the interaction term].  The results are
 much more straightforward in my mind.
 
 Tracey Continelli
 SUNY at Albany
 
 
 I agree completely but there can be problems interpreting the regression
 Output (e.g., mistakes like talking about main effects).  For advice on
 avoiding the common interpretation pitfalls, see
 
 Aiken  West (1991).  Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting
 interactions.  Sage.
 
 Irwin  McClelland (2001).  In Journal of Marketing Research.
 
 Gary McClelland
 Univ of Colorado
 
 
 Quite so.  Once you add the product term, the interpretation changes,
 and the parameter estimates are now known as simple main effects.
 The interpretation is pretty straightforward however.  The parameter
 estimate, or slope, for your focal independent variable in the
 interaction model simply represents the effect of your independent
 variable upon your dependent variable when your moderator variable is
 equal to zero, holding constant all other independent variables in
 your model.  The same may be said for the slope of your moderator
 variable - it represents the effect of that variable upon your
 dependent variable when your focal independent variable is equal to
 zero.  Because in my research [the social science variety] that
 information isn't terribly useful [because most of the time you won't
 realistically see the moderator variable at zero, i.e., a zero crime
 rate or a zero poverty rate], what I will do is a mean centering
 trick.  I'll subtract the mean from the moderator variable, rerun the
 equation with the new mean centered variable and product term, and NOW
 the parameter estimates of the simple main effects are meaningful for
 me.  Now, when I look at the parameter estimates of the focal
 independent variable, it is telling me the effect of that independent
 variable upon the dependent variable when my moderator variable is at
 its mean.  The actual product term remains identical to the original
 equation [of course], but now the simple main effects are
 realistically meaningful.  I'll also apply the same technique for when
 the moderator variable is 2 standard deviations below the mean, 1
 below the mean, all the way up to 2 standard deviations above the
 mean.  This gives one a nice graphic sense of the way in which the
 slope between your focal independent variable and your dependent
 variable changes with successive changes in your moderator variable.
 
 
 Tracey Continelli
 Doctoral candidate
 SUNY at Albany


I hope everyone in the social sciences using product terms or moderator
regression reads Tracey's thoughtful comments above.  Failing to realize
the coefficient for one of the components of a product is the effect of that
variable when the other variable of the product is zero is one of my
candidates for most common statistical error in the social sciences.  Mean
centering is indeed quite useful, even if one does not have products in the
model.  Also note that mean centering will always reduce the correlation
between the product and its components and if the component distributions
are symmetric it will reduce it to zero.  There always exists a change of
origin for the components that will make the correlation zero; hence, the
colinearity warnings when testing products are not meaningful.

Gary McClelland
Univ of Colorado



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Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-06-19 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]

in article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Tracey
Continelli at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote on 6/13/01 4:14 PM:

 Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 news:3b20f210_1@newsfeeds...
 Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing 2
 slopes was correct.
 
 I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
 statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
 meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
 interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach this
 problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.
 
 Mike Tonkovich
 
 --
 Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
 Wildlife Research Biologist
 ODNR, Division of Wildlife
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 The slopes need not be the same if the interaction term is
 non-significant, BUT, the difference between them will not be
 statistically significant.  If the differences between the slops *are*
 statistically significant, this will be reflected in a statistically
 significant product term.  I have preferred using regression analyses
 with interaction terms, which can be easily incorporated by simply
 multiplying the variables together and then running the regression
 equation with each independent variable plus the product term [which
 is simply another name for the interaction term].  The results are
 much more straightforward in my mind.
 
 Tracey Continelli
 SUNY at Albany


I agree completely but there can be problems interpreting the regression
Output (e.g., mistakes like talking about main effects).  For advice on
avoiding the common interpretation pitfalls, see

Aiken  West (1991).  Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting
interactions.  Sage.

Irwin  McClelland (2001).  In Journal of Marketing Research.

Gary McClelland
Univ of Colorado



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Re: comparing 2 slopes

2001-06-13 Thread Tracey Continelli

Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message news:3b20f210_1@newsfeeds...
 Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing 2
 slopes was correct.
 
 I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
 statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
 meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
 interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach this
 problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.
 
 Mike Tonkovich
 
 --
 Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
 Wildlife Research Biologist
 ODNR, Division of Wildlife
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]

The slopes need not be the same if the interaction term is
non-significant, BUT, the difference between them will not be
statistically significant.  If the differences between the slops *are*
statistically significant, this will be reflected in a statistically
significant product term.  I have preferred using regression analyses
with interaction terms, which can be easily incorporated by simply
multiplying the variables together and then running the regression
equation with each independent variable plus the product term [which
is simply another name for the interaction term].  The results are
much more straightforward in my mind.

Tracey Continelli
SUNY at Albany
 
 
 
 
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comparing 2 slopes

2001-06-08 Thread Mike Tonkovich

Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing 2
slopes was correct.

I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach this
problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.

Mike Tonkovich

--
Michael J. Tonkovich, Ph.D.
Wildlife Research Biologist
ODNR, Division of Wildlife
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




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Re: COMPARING 2 SLOPES

2001-06-08 Thread Michael Babyak

In sci.stat.edu Mike Tonkovich [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
: Was hoping someone might be able to confirm that my approach for comparing 2
: slopes was correct.

: I ran an analysis of covariance using PROC GLM (in SAS) with an interaction
: statement.  My understanding was that a nonsignificant interaction term
: meant that the slopes were the same, and vice versa for a significant
: interaction term.  Is this correct and is this the best way to approach this
: problem with SAS?  Any help would certainly be apprectiated.

Like any hypothesis testing situation, a non-significant interaction term
means that you failed to reject the null hypothesis, in this case, that
that the slopes are parallel.  It's important to understand why this isn't
the same as saying the slopes are the same.  

You have to be very careful about how to interpret this test.  Depending
on a number of things, including the joint distributions of the main
effects involved, the significance test for the interaction term can
be associated with relatively low power.

Mike Babyak


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