Re: (none)

2001-05-03 Thread Donald Burrill

Thanks, Rich.  My semi-automatic crap detector hits DELETE when it sees 
things like this anyway;  but...  did you notice that although SamFaz 
(or whoever, really) claims to cite a bill passed by the U.S. Congress 
he she or it is actually writing from Canada?
I'm not quite sure what to make of that...

On Wed, 2 May 2001, Rich Ulrich wrote:

 On 1 May 2001 16:14:28 -0700, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (SamFaz Consulting)
 wrote:
 
 
 Under the Bill s. 1618 title III passed by the 105th US congress
 this letter cannot be considered SPAM as long as the sender includes
 contact information and a method of removal. To be removed, hit reply
 and type ?remove? in the subject line.
 
 
 Here was a message posted, that my reader saw as an attachment.
 The lines above were at the start of the SPAM.
 
 Ahem.  I am about 100% sure that the above is a lie.  In multiple
 ways.  For instance, Is there a legal definition of SPAM?

snip, useful advice, because you've all already read it
-- Don.
 
 Donald F. Burrill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264 603-535-2597
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  603-472-3742  



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Re: Estimating methods in SEM

2001-05-03 Thread Kai Arzheimer

[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Rodney Carr) writes:


 
 The problem I am having is that I'm not sure what estimating method
 to use. EQS implements a number of different methods (Maximum
 Likelihood, Least Squares, GLS, etc). Unfortunately they give quite
 different results. Actually, LS gives fit indices that are fairly
 high, but none of the others do (so I'd like to use the LS method!).
 But I can't find any references that explain which method should be
 used. Please, do you have any ideas for where I might look for
 advice?

Hi Rodney, try the following sources:

SEMNET forum at http://www.gsu.edu/~mkteer/semnet.html (they feature an
archive of previous discussions which is quite helpful)

@Book{chou-bentler95,
  booktitle ={Structural Equation Modeling. Concepts, Issues, 
   and Applications},
  publisher ={Sage},
  year = 1995,
  editor =   {Hoyle, Rick H.},
  address =  {Thousand Oaks, London, New Delhi}
}


@Book{kline98,
  author =   {Kline, Rex B.},
  title ={Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling},
  publisher ={Guildford Press},
  year = 1998,
  address =  {New York, London}
}


@Article{hoogland-boomsma98,
  author =   {Hoogland, Jeffrey J. and Anne Boomsma},
  title ={Robustness Studies in Covariance Structure Modeling},
  journal =  {Sociological Methods \ Research},
  year = 1998,
  volume =   26,
  pages ={329-367}
}

@Book{garson98,
  author =   {Garson, David},
  title ={Structural Equation Modeling},
  publisher ={College of Humanities and Social Sciences, North
  Carolina State University},
  year = 1998,
  address =  {\url{www2.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/pa765/structur.htm (13.11.00)}}
}


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Re: The apporach is important to me

2001-05-03 Thread Abdul Rahman



Glen Barnett wrote:

 Glen Barnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 news:9cp1q4$2ko$[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
  As a piece of general advice, take a look at George Polya's book
  How To Solve It. It's a very old book, but it contains some very useful
  advice.

 a summary of Polya's approach (but without the flavour of the book)
 can be found at:

 http://www.cis.usouthal.edu/misc/polya.html

 It's definitely worth reading the book, though.

 Glen

Thank you so much Glen.

If you can't solve a problem, then there is an easier problem you can solve:
find it.
  -
George Polya

I am taking his advice seriously.

Abdul Rahman




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(no subject)

2001-05-03 Thread Ivan Balducci

subscribe ,edstat-livan balducci, unesp



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old fangled technology

2001-05-03 Thread dennis roberts

A friend of mine sent me the following and, I decided to scan and post. 
These relate to old interpretations of NEW technology terms like ... modem, 
mega hertz, and the like. Some of these are a HOOT!
It's best to follow the links in order ... some frames follow after others.
I HAVE THIS FEELING THAT I HAVE SEEN THIS BEFORE ... BUT, SOME QUICK 
SEARCHING FAILED TO FIND ANY SOURCE. IF ANYONE KNOWS THE SOURCE OF THESE 
FUNNIES, PLEASE LET ME KNOW SO I CAN GIVE RIGHTFUL CREDIT.


http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/mtbcommands/OldTech.htm

_
dennis roberts, educational psychology, penn state university
208 cedar, AC 8148632401, mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/drober~1.htm



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Re: Combinometrics

2001-05-03 Thread Robert J. MacG. Dawson



David Heiser wrote:
 
 We seem to have a lot of recent questions involving combinations, and
 probabilities of combinations.

I've never seen multiset enumeration in elementary stats texts, perhaps
because it is not very useful as a sampling model. While a multiset can
certainly be the outcome of a sampling experiment, it is usually not
natural to take a sample in which every multiset appears with the same
probability, and  so it is more useful to treat the (ordered) list of
outcomes with repetition as the primitive model.  It does turn up in
thermodynamics and the discrete math courses taken by CS students.

That said, there IS at least one natural application of such a
sampling technique, used in a major industry, where it saves millions of
dollars a year. Anybody know what I mean?  

I'll give the answer later!

-Robert Dawson


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Omissions in Journal Articles

2001-05-03 Thread Neil W. Henry

There was a recent discussion here of errors in journal articles. A
related topic is incomplete information, or at least what I consider
incomplete information.

A recent article in the American Journal of Epidemiology (2001, Vol 153,
No 6, 596-603) contains some nicely laid out (and badly titled, but save
that for another thread) tables that show the mean value of a dependent
variable in male and female subsamples, broken down by a dichotomous
independent variable (exercise? Yes/No), and adjusted  first by age
and then by age and several other numerical variables.

In a sociological journal I would most often see this analysis reported
in multiple regression form, but again, that's another thread. In health
related journals the convention is to speak of adjusted means, i.e. the
predicted dependent variable value for members of each category of the
independent variable, with the other predictors (covariates) set to
specific values.

The article does not specify what values of age (and the other
predictors) were used to create the adjusted means. Instead there is a
footnote to the table that says:
Adjusted means calculated by using analysis of covariance.

My question, directed to those of you who are more familiar with
journals in this area than I am, is whether this is a standard footnote
/ explanation, which is supposed to make clear to regular readers what
has been done?

From my perspective it is inadequate, since the ANCOVA (or regression
analysis) has merely produced a predictive formula, and any values
whatsoever of the covariates could be plugged in to the equation.

Now I happen to know what SPSS v10 does when asked to produce
estimated means in its univariate GLM procedure: it plugs in the mean
values. The output actually contains the values of those means for the
record. (Is this true with other statistical software?) A user who knows
the syntax can actually specify the values, but the Windows point+click
screen doesn't allow that. Here's an example of the default subcommand
statement:
/EMMEANS = TABLES(exercise) WITH(age=MEAN xother=MEAN)

Using the mean can produce misleading adjusted values, especially when
the table contains subsample comparisons as in this article, where all
analyses were sex-specific. If the default SPSS ANCOVA were followed,
the adjusted values would be created at different values of age, since
mean age differs by sex, and other covariate means are also different in
this study. (In addition, different tables contained analyses of 2 other
subgroups of the sample, with different mean Xs.)

This may or may not be a problem for the authors' interpretation of the
results, but it seems reasonable to expect editors to be more sensitive
to their readers' need to know exactly what is going on.

--
  **
 `o^o' * Neil W. Henry ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) *
 -:- * Virginia Commonwealth University   *
 _/ \_ * Richmond VA 23284-2014  **
  *   http://www.people.vcu.edu/~nhenry   *
  ***




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Analysis of a time series of categorical data

2001-05-03 Thread R. Mark Sharp; Ext. 476

If there is a better venue for this question, please advise me.

I am looking for methods to analyze categorical data similar to that 
shown below. If the results were quantitative, I believe that an 
analysis of covariance would be appropriate. However, with 
categorical data and relatively small samples, I am at a loss. Any 
help would be appreciated.

The purpose of the experiment was to discover whether or not two 
groups of infectious organisms differ in there ability to infect a 
host over time. The two genetically different groups of infectious 
organisms (G1 and G2) are each subdivided into three subgroups based 
on smaller genetic differences. They are G1-S1, G1-S2, G1-S3, G2-S4, 
G2-S5, and G2-S6. The hosts must be sacrificed to discover which ones 
are infected. This results in counts of infected and non-infected 
hosts. (A critical biological point is that an infected host can 
become uninfected with time.) For each subgroup an unequal number of 
hosts are sampled at each of 4 time points such that the results look 
something like this for one type of host organism.

 Time point 1Time point 2Time point 3Time point 4  Hosts
 Inf  Not-InfInf  Not-InfInf  Not-InfInf  Not-Inf  Tested

G1-S11  14   11  4   11 1   13 2   57
G1-S27   8   12  3   14 2   15 8   69
G1-S31  246 18815915   95

G2-S43  12   12  4   10 4   14 2   61
G2-S55  105  68 7   1114   57
G2-S62  26   12 12   1116   1412  105

The questions are how can group 1 (G1) be compare to group 2 (G2) and 
how can subgroups be compared. I maintain that the heterogeneity 
within each group does not prevent pooling of the subgroup data 
within each group, because the groupings were made a priori based on 
genetic similarity.
-- 
R. Mark Sharp, Ph.D.  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Southwest Regional Primate Center Tel: 210-258-9476
Director of Biostatistics and Scientific ComputingFax: 210-258-9883
Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research
P.O. Box 760549
7620 West Loop 410 at Military Drive
San Antonio, TX 78245-0549


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Re: errors in journal articles

2001-05-03 Thread Warren Sarle


Joel Best is a professor of sociology and criminal
justice at the University of Delaware. This essay is
excerpted from _Damned Lies and Statistics:
Untangling Numbers From the Media, Politicians, and
Activists_, just published by the University of
California Press 

Telling the Truth About Damned Lies and Statistics
By JOEL BEST

The dissertation prospectus began by quoting a statistic -- a grabber meant
to capture the reader's attention. The graduate student who wrote this
prospectus undoubtedly wanted to seem scholarly to the professors who would
read it; they would be supervising the proposed research. And what could be
more scholarly than a nice, authoritative statistic, quoted from a professional
journal in the student's field?

So the prospectus began with this (carefully footnoted) quotation: Every year
since 1950, the number of American children gunned down has doubled. I had
been invited to serve on the student's dissertation committee. When I read the
quotation, I assumed the student had made an error in copying it. I went to the
library and looked up the article the student had cited. There, in the
journal's 1995 volume, was exactly the same sentence: Every year since 1950,
the number of American children gunned down has doubled.

This quotation is my nomination for a dubious distinction: I think it may be
the worst -- that is, the most inaccurate -- social statistic ever.

Full text:
http://chronicle.com/free/v47/i34/34b00701.htm

-- 

Warren S. Sarle   SAS Institute Inc.   The opinions expressed here
[EMAIL PROTECTED]SAS Campus Drive are mine and not necessarily
(919) 677-8000Cary, NC 27513, USA  those of SAS Institute.


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