[ekonomi-nasional] York University CRS Summer Course on Refugee Issues, June 2005

2005-03-10 Thread Nining Nurhaya

 --- Chananya Kraisorn <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: 
> To:
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> From: "Chananya Kraisorn" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Date: Thu, 10 Mar 2005 10:16:42 +0700
> Subject: [alumniIHRTP2003-southeastasiaplus] Fw:
> York University CRS Summer Course on Refugee Issues,
> June  2005
> 
> 
>   - Original Message - 
>   From: "Chris" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>   To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>   Sent: Wednesday, March 09, 2005 7:19 PM
>   Subject: Fwd: York University CRS Summer Course on
> Refugee Issues, June
> 2005
> 
> 
> 
>   Dear All,
> 
>   Please forward to FA networks.  This course is
> quite good.  This year the
>   programme is slightly different from the one I
> attended in 2002.  At that
>   time, we were only 2 people working in Asia.  So
> there is a need for more
>   Asian participants!
>   Best wishes
>   Chris
> 
>   >X-Original-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>   >Date: Wed,  9 Mar 2005 02:18:05 -0500
>   >From: CRS Summer Course <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>   >Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>   >To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>   >Subject: York University CRS Summer Course on
> Refugee Issues, June 2005
>   >
>   >The 2005 Summer Course on Refugee Issues at the
> Centre for Refugee
> Studies,
>   >York University, Toronto will be held June 11-19.
>  This is an excellent
>   >professional development opportunity for those
> working or studying in the
>   >area
>   >of forced migration and related fields.   Any
> assistance you could
> provide in
>   >distributing this notice as widely as possible
> would be greatly
> appreciated.
>   >
>   >Sincerely,
>   >
>   >Bruce Collet
>   >Summer Course Director
>   >[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>   >
>   >(Attachment: Summer Course 2005 Poster)
>   >
>   >Summer Course on Refugee Issues at the Centre for
> Refugee Studies, York
>   >University Toronto, June 11-19, 2005
>   >
>   >The Summer Course on Refugee Issues held by the
> Centre for Refugee
> Studies at
>   >York University is an internationally acclaimed
> 8-day training for
> academic
>   >and field-based practitioners working in the area
> of forced migration.
> The
>   >course involves a rigorous schedule of lectures,
> panels and discussions,
>   >and a
>   >simulation exercise held at the Immigration and
> Refugee Board of
>   >Toronto.  The
>   >course draws from academic and field-based
> experts for its faculty and,
>   >reflecting the Centre's mission, serves as a hub
> for researchers,
> students,
>   >service providers and policy makers to share
> information and ideas.
>   >
>   >Topics and presenters* confirmed for the 2005
> Summer Course include:
>   >
>   >.   Warehousing Refugees: An Analysis of
> Alternative Approaches, Dr.
>   >Howard Adelman, York University (keynote address)
>   >.   Root Causes and Consequences of Forced
> Displacement, Dr. Ogenga
>   >Otunnu, DePaul University, Chicago
>   >.   Globalization and Refugees, Dr. Alan
> Simmons, York University
>   >.   The Convention Refugee Definition in
> Current Contexts, Martin
> Jones,
>   >York University
>   >.   The Global Refugee Regime of Charity
> Management and Human Rights,
> Tom
>   >Clark, External Associate, Centre for Refugee
> Studies
>   >.   Complex Humanitarian Emergencies and
> Emergency Assistance, Dr.
> Rupen
>   >Das, Humber College
>   >.   International Legal Instruments and
> Mechanisms, Dr. Reem Bahdi,
>   >University of Windsor
>   >.   State Border Security in the Post 9/11
> Era, Dr. Peter Nyers,
> McMaster
>   >University
>   >.   Interdiction and Human Rights Law, Andrew
> Brouwer, J.D., Canadian
>   >Council for Refugees and Jackman & Associates,
> Toronto
>   >.   Southern Sudanese Women Refugees in
> Cairo, Dr. Jane Edward, OISE,
>   >University of Toronto
>   >.   Return and Reconstruction in Somalia,
> Ibrahim Absiye, Midaynta
>   >Association of Somali Service Agencies
>   >.   Diaspora, Islam and Gender, Dr. Haideh
> Moghissi, York University
>   >.   Women in Conflict, Dr. Wenona Giles, York
> University
>   >.   Refugees and Civil Wars; The former
> Yugoslavia, Dr. Nergis
> Canefe,
>   >York University
>   >.   Panel on Forced Migration and Mental
> Health, Dr. Lilla Hardi,
>   >Cordelia
>   >Foundation, Budapest & Steve Maddern, Mental
> Health Nurse, University
>   >Hospital, Wales
>   >.   Panel on Forced Migration and Education,
> Dr. Lucille Guilbert,
>   >Université Laval & Julia Dicum, OISE, University
> of Toronto
>   >.   Advocating for the Rights of Refugees,
> Kamau Ngugi, Amnesty
>   >International
>   >.   Sanctuary, Dr. Mary-Jo Leddy, Romero
> House and University of
> Toronto
>   >
>   >* Specific presentation titles are confirmed on
> an on-going basis, refer
> to
>   >www.yorku.ca/crs for updates.
>   >
>   >On the 7th day of the course (Friday, June 17),
> simulated refugee
> hearings
>   >will be held at the Immigration and Refugee Board
> Toronto. In this
> intensive
>   >exercise, course participants will be assigned
> roles t

Re: [ekonomi-nasional] Re: Djoko Eddy: Gaji DPR Rp 25 Juta Tidak Cukup!

2005-03-10 Thread Imam Soeseno

kalau gak dicukup2kan, berapapun gaji disediakan, gak bakal cukup.
ya mbokyao ngasih contoh, gimana hidup dengan apa adanya.
 
imam
rakyat yang sudah terlanjur punya wakil2 seperti itu

Budi Sudarsono <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

Begitulah kalau anggota DPR belum menyadari apa makna dari "wakil
rakyat". Djoko Eddy Abdurrahman ini dari partai apa ya ?

Wasalam,

> Date: Wed, 9 Mar 2005 18:28:23 -0800 (PST)
> From: A Nizami 
>Subject: Djoko Eddy: Gaji DPR Rp 25 Juta Tidak Cukup!

>Tadi malam (9 Maret 2005) di Metro TV ada acara
>"Dialog Malam" yang menampilkan 2 anggota DPR, 1 dari
>PKS, satu lagi pak Djoko Eddy Abdurrahman, dengan
>pemandu, Sandrina Malakiano. Mereka memperbincangkan
>rencana kenaikan gaji anggota DPR, dari Rp 25 juta,
>menjadi Rp 40 juta.

>Menurut Djoko Eddy, gaji Rp 25 juta tidak cukup,
>karena dia harus menggaji staf ahli sebesar Rp 7,5
>juta, sehingga tinggal Rp 17 juta per bulan, belum
>lagi harus jalan2. Bahkan untuk internet saja perlu Rp
>3 juta per bulan (padahal dgn Rp 600 ribu saja sudah
>dapat akses internet tak terbatas, sedang di warnet
>cuma Rp 4000 per jam!)!
...

Budi Sudarsono
Senior Member,
Indonesian National Committee,
World Energy Council



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[ekonomi-nasional] Re: Djoko Eddy: Gaji DPR Rp 25 Juta Tidak Cukup!

2005-03-10 Thread Budi Sudarsono

Begitulah kalau anggota DPR belum menyadari apa makna dari "wakil
rakyat". Djoko Eddy Abdurrahman ini dari partai apa ya ?

Wasalam,

>   Date: Wed, 9 Mar 2005 18:28:23 -0800 (PST)
>   From: A Nizami <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Subject: Djoko Eddy: Gaji DPR Rp 25 Juta Tidak Cukup!

>Tadi malam (9 Maret 2005) di Metro TV ada acara
>"Dialog Malam" yang menampilkan 2 anggota DPR, 1 dari
>PKS, satu lagi pak Djoko Eddy Abdurrahman, dengan
>pemandu, Sandrina Malakiano. Mereka memperbincangkan
>rencana kenaikan gaji anggota DPR, dari Rp 25 juta,
>menjadi Rp 40 juta.

>Menurut Djoko Eddy, gaji Rp 25 juta tidak cukup,
>karena dia harus menggaji staf ahli sebesar Rp 7,5
>juta, sehingga tinggal Rp 17 juta per bulan, belum
>lagi harus jalan2. Bahkan untuk internet saja perlu Rp
>3 juta per bulan (padahal dgn Rp 600 ribu saja sudah
>dapat akses internet tak terbatas, sedang di warnet
>cuma Rp 4000 per jam!)!
...

Budi Sudarsono
Senior Member,
Indonesian National Committee,
World Energy Council



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[ekonomi-nasional] Proper sanitation will boost Indian tourism`

2005-03-10 Thread Surahman Wiryo

http://www.business-standard.com/common/storypage.php?storyflag=y&leftnm=lmnu2&leftindx=2&lselect=1&chklogin=N&autono=182880

Proper sanitation will boost Indian tourism` 
 
Our Regional Bureau / Chennai March 09, 2005 
 
 There is a need for a hygienic environment with a well-regulated
sanitisation mechanism to boost the Indian tourism industry as it has
good prospects even in the face of stiff competition from neighbouring
countries like Thailand and Malaysia.
  
These views were expressed by Renuka Choudhury, minister of state for
tourism (independent charge), in her inaugural address at the BEAUWELL
INDIA 2OO5 in Chennai today, according to a release. It is touted as
India's first business-to-business forum (B2B) on beauty and wellness
organised by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).
  
She further stated that beauty and wellness industry in India needs to
be identified, categorised and standardised accordingly to cater to a
huge market potential in this sector.
  
The minister also insisted that India needs to gear up to tap this
opportunity through a self-regulatory approach with a backbone of
intangible assets the country has achieved through its 5,000 years of
cultural evolution.
  
Prathap C Reddy, chairman of Apollo Hospitals, in his keynote address,
said that Indian healthcare industry has all necessary inputs to be
the best in the world.
  
Indian hospitals are well known for cardiac surgery at low cost with
better quality treatment in the world with the cost of cardiac surgery
being around $4000, as against the cost in the western world which is
around $40,000.
  
The Indian tourism industry will get a boost by offering a world-class
health service at low cost and by offering alternative medicine to
differentiate India's service from the rest of world, Reddy added.
  
Claudio Barbesino, president, Cosmexport, Italy, in his address on
'Global Trends in Beauty and Cosmetics', said that the consumers are
demanding more and more whereas brand loyalty is decreasing.
  
Companies are fighting on price to differentiate from each other in
the market where consumers are exposed to the same quality everywhere.
  
Cosmetic industries are following two approaches to cater to the
market needs â technology cosmetics and cultural-based cosmetics.
  
Barbesino remarked that to satisfy each individual needs and to be
competitive in the market, countries like Italy, China and India
should follow the cultural approach as traditions and culture are
acquired at birth.

http://renewableenergyaccess.com/rea/news/story?id=23531

China Passes Renewable Energy Law 
  March 9, 2005 

China's Nanao wind farm will be followed by many others now the the
government has enacted a national renewable energy standard.

Beijing, China [RenewableEnergyAccess.com] It's official. With the
recent passage of China's new Renewable Energy Law, one of the world's
largest economies has now made one of the largest state-sponsored
commitments toward renewable energy. China's government imposed a
national renewable energy requirement that is expected to boost the
use of renewable energy capacity up to 10 percent by the year 2020.

"Passing such comprehensive renewable energy legislation is a
remarkable feat for any country."

- Jan Hamrin, Executive Director of the Center for Resource Solutions
Eighteen months ago the country announced an interest in developing
the legislation and wasted no time crafting and implementing it. The
Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) endorsed
the Renewable Energy Law on February 28, significantly earlier than
expected. President of the People's Republic of China Hu Jintao signed
and announced this law.

Effective next year, the law requires power grid operators to purchase
resources from registered renewable energy producers. The law also
offers financial incentives, such as a national fund to foster
renewable energy development, and discounted lending and tax
preferences for renewable energy projects.

Rapid economic development throughout China has resulted in a
significant increase in energy consumption, leading to a rise in
harmful emissions and power shortages. The Renewable Energy Law is
designed to help protect the environment, prevent energy shortages,
and reduce dependence on imported energy.

China's new law sets the stage for the widespread development of
renewables, particularly for commercial scale renewable generating
facilities. Through this legislation, the State officially encourages
the construction of renewable energy power facilities. China's
electricity grid is obligated to purchase all the electricity
generated by approved renewable energy facilities located in its
service area. The grid's buying price for renewables will be set by
the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), a regulatory
department of the State Council. NDRC will adjust the buying price
from time to time as necessary. The cost of purchasing this power will
be spread across all cu

[ekonomi-nasional] Serbuan armada udara Malaysia

2005-03-10 Thread Surahman Wiryo

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2005/3/8/business/10354098&sec=business


Tuesday March 8, 2005
Second satellite terminal at KLIA

 
BY B.K. SIDHU 
A SECOND satellite terminal building is to go up at the KL
International Airport (KLIA), and be operational by 2008, to cater to
the growing traffic in air travel.

KLIA operator Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB) managing director
Datuk Bashir Ahmad said work would start soon, or by next year. Given
its experience in building the main terminal, MAHB is confident that
it could put up the terminal in two-and-a-half to three years.

The second satellite building is in addition to the previously
announced RM100mil hub at KLIA for low-cost carriers (LCC) to meet the
growing budget air travel business in the region.

Bashir, speaking to reporters after the opening of the third New Route
Asia 2005 forum in Kuala Lumpur yesterday, said the finer details had
yet to be firmed up. But the second terminal is expected to cost about
RM4bil.

"We are in talks with the Government on the funds for the building and
on our financial restructuring. We want to get (the financial
restructuring) right so as to make MAHB viable," he said.

MAHB is in advanced talks with the Government to restructure the
RM856mil that it owes in concession payments, which total RM1.3bil.


Going by original plans, the second terminal was to have been
operational last year, but the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, the
Sept 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on the United States, and the SARS
outbreak that threw the global aviation industry into turmoil, put
paid to such hopes.

However, air travel has since picked up, with the International Air
Transport Association (IATA) forecasting average global growth in air
travel of 6% up to 2008.

KLIA is nearing its capacity of 25 million passengers a year, thus the
need for the new terminal.

Last year, KLIA handled 21.1 million passengers. This year it expects
a 7% growth to 22.5 million. Next year, the forecast is 25 million. A
total of 46 airlines, carrying both passenger and cargo, operate from
KLIA currently.

Malaysia is not the only country planning additional facilities.
Singapore is spending US$1.75bil to add a third terminal at Changi
while Thailand is building a new airport in Bangkok, which is expected
to open early next year.

To a question, Bashir said that there had been no request yet from
other budget carriers (apart from AirAsia), or even Malaysia Airlines,
to operate some flights from the LCC terminal.

"The LCC hub is for LCC airlines, and if traditional airlines want to
use it they have to justify (the need to do so),'' he said.

KLIA is also being upgraded to cater to the A380. There would be five
gates at the main and second terminal building to cater to the super
jumbo.

Asked about efforts to improve the baggage system at the main
terminal, Bashir said: "We are trying to find a solution that will
resolve all the baggage problems we have had. The Government is very
serious about it.''

Bashir also felt there was a need to upgrade the Kuala Terengganu and
Kota Kinabalu airports. Upgrading works at Kuching airport are in
progress.

The New Route Asia forum, which Malaysia is hosting for the third
time, brought together 300 delegates representing the region's
airlines and airports to discuss future market opportunities.


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[ekonomi-nasional] Sekilas FTA Jepang-Thailand

2005-03-10 Thread Surahman Wiryo

Halo,
sesuai dengan email kiriman saya sebelumnya, diduga ada usaha untuk
memperbesar impor Indonesia untuk produk auto. Saya tidak tahu
bagaimana bisa meminimalisir ini. Karena kalau kita hanya sekedari
importir, maka ekonomi juga susah jadinya. Ekspor Thailand 800rb itu
baru 2010 lo, belum 2015 dan 2020. Mau jadi pasar empuk nih kita hi3

Salam,
Wiryo


http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=1127

FTA with Thailand opens can of worms for automakers

The Japanese government has urged Thailand to lift tariffs on car 
imports as part of its efforts to conclude a free trade agreement. At
the same time, Japanese automakers, whose affiliated firms take up
most of the Thai auto market, are cautious about the FTA because it
could cause fierce competition between the same Japanese car models.


FTA with Thailand opens can of worms for automakers

By Takashi Kikuchi
The Daily Yomiuri
Publication Date : 2004-12-08

The Japanese government has urged Thailand to lift tariffs on car
imports as part of its efforts to conclude a free trade agreement. At
the same time, Japanese automakers, whose affiliated firms take up
most of the Thai auto market, are cautious about the FTA because it
could cause fierce competition between the same Japanese car models.

Following a basic FTA with the Philippines in late November, the
government is shifting its focus to trade negotiations with other
countries, including Thailand.

As the government and automakers differ in their views of the FTA with
Thailand, it is possible the problem of tariffs on cars as well as
those on agricultural products could cause fresh disagreements between
the two countries.

Adisak Rohitasume, president of the Thai Automotive Industry
Association and vice president of Asian Honda Motor Co., said: "We
want the Japanese government to give priority to automobile parts in
the FTA negotiations, and as for completed automobiles, wait, if
possible, until 2010 or later, when the Thai car industry will be able
to compete with Japanese-built cars. We've already informed the Thai
government of our wishes."

Thailand imposes an 80-percent tariff on Japanese-built cars. In
Thailand, Honda Motor Co.'s Odyssey is priced at 2.5 million baht
(\6.46 million) and is marketed as a high-end luxury car.

A Japanese businessman working in Bangkok said, "I want to use a
Japanese car on business, but it's so expensive that I have to use a
Mercedes-Benz made in Thailand."

In the Japan-Thailand FTA negotiations, Japan urged Thailand to remove
tariffs on utomobiles and steel. Adisak's comments were made against a
backdrop of concern that when the two countries reach a basic
agreement for the FTA and tariffs are slashed, Japanese-built cars
could flood the market.

Although the car industry has become a major industry in Thailand, 80
percent to 90 percent of the production, sales and exports are taken
up by firms affiliated with Japanese carmakers.

A Honda Motor Co. plant in Ayutthaya is increasing production and
export of its City model--exported to Japan as the Fit ARIA--the Civic
and sport utility vehicles. The plant is involved in integrated
production-anufacturing metal molds and engines, processing to press
steel plates and assembling. Parts made at the plant are exported to
Japan, China and the United States.

Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra has said he wants to make
Thailand the Detroit of Asia. His idea is to produce fuel-efficient
cars and pickup trucks, increasing annual production to 1.8 million
units in 2010, of which 800,000 units are for export.

The plan aims to establish Thailand as a production center within the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations countries.

If the tariff is removed immediately after the FTA negotiations, there
is concern among Thais that Japanese automakers could cut investment
in auto production in Thailand, which could affect employment in the
country. In this area, the interest of the prime minister coincides
with that of the automobile industry.

On the other hand, Japanese automakers are aware that Thailand also is
in FTA negotiations with China, South Korea and the United States, and
if Japan falls behind such rival countries in negotiations, it could
miss out on exporting its products to Thailand.

Automakers in Thailand affiliated with Japanese car manufacturers see
the merits of using the Thai FTA networks to push into emerging
markets, including India and Middle East countries.

Therefore, a source in the Japanese automobile industry said, "It's
possible that Thailand could become a center of exports--avoiding
competition for market share and models between Japan, European
countries and the United States."

But in the Japan-Thailand FTA negotiations, the two countries have
confirmed the exclusion of rice--Japan's Achilles heel--from the
negotiations, giving Thailand a stick with which to beat Japan. Taking
this into consideration, there is no denying that the problem of
automobile tariffs could cast a shadow over f

RE: [ekonomi-nasional] Perlukah Indonesia keluar dari OPEC?

2005-03-10 Thread A_Dharmawan

Jam SMA sering ada Pameo..Biar Miskin..asal sombong.

/ad

-Original Message-
From: Sulhan Askandar [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, March 10, 2005 10:10 AM
To: ekonomi-nasional@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [ekonomi-nasional] Perlukah Indonesia keluar dari OPEC?



  PERLUKAH INDONESIA KELUAR DARI OPEC?


Beberapa minggu lalu disalah satu majalah mingguan
Indonesia ada berita berjudul “Mengkaji jika keluar
dari OPEC”. Dalam berita itu disebutkan, pemerintah
Indonesia sudah membentuk tim khusus yang akan
mengkaji kemungkinan
Indonesia keluar dari keanggotaan OPEC. Tim yang
diketuai oleh Kepala Badan Pelaksana Kegiatan Usaha
Hulu Minyak dan Gas ( BPMIGAS) Rachmat Soedibyo
beranggotakan pejabat-pejabat di Departemen Energi dan
Sumber Daya Mineral, Departemen Luar Negeri, dan
Departemen Keuangan. Apakah hasil pembahasan dari tim
yang dibentuk oleh pemerintah tersebut akan
merekomendasikan Indonesia lebih baik keluar dari
keanggotaan OPEC atau tetap menjadi anggota OPEC, kita
belum tahu.

Berikut adalah sedikit gambaran mengenai OPEC dan
beberapa data statistik yang saya kutip dari OPEC
Annual Statistical Bulletin 2003 sehingga para anngota
mail-list ini  bisa berkomentar atau menarik
kesimpulan sendiri apa Indonesia perlu mempertahankan
keanggotaannya atau lebih baik keluar dari OPEC.
Sebagaimana yang tercantum pada OPEC Bulletin edisi
November/December 2004, “OPEC  is a permanent,
intergovernmental Organization, established in
Baghdad, September 10-14, 1960, by Iran, Iraq, Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. Its objective is to
coordinate and unify petroleum policies among Member
Countries, in order to secure fair and stable prices
for petroleum producers; an efficient, economic and
regular supply of petroleum to consuming nations; and
a fair return on capital to those investing in the
industry.”Saat ini ada 11 negara yang menjadi
anggota OPEC, yaitu Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia
dan Venezuela sebagai founding members;  Qatar,
Indonesia, SP Libyan SJ, United Arab Emirates,
Algeria, dan Nigeria sebagai full members. Indonesia
menjadi anggota OPEC sejak tahun 1962. Equador masuk
jadi anggota tahun 1973 dan keluar dari keanggotaan
tahun 1992. Gabon masuk jadi anggota tahun 1975 dan
keluar dari keanggotaan tahun 1995.

 Kalau kita terjemahkan secara bebas, tujuan
organisasi ini adalah mengkoordinasikan dan
mempersatukan petroleum policies diantara para Negara
anggota agar terjamin:
1.  Adanya harga yang pantas dan stabil untuk produsen,
2.  Pasokan yang teratur untuk Negara konsumen yang
dilaksanakan secara efisien dan  ekonomis
3.  Hasil pengembalian investasi yang wajar bagi
penanam modal.
Seberapa jauh tujuan dari organisasi ini tercapai dan
apakah  Indonesia sudah mendapat manfaat , saya kira
para anggota tim punya data yang cukup, namun kalau
kita simak angka2 berikut mungkin kita bisa membuat
penilaian sendiri. Rata2 produksi minyak dunia tahun
2003 adalah 67,1 juta barrel per hari(bph), dimana
produksi dari OPEC  adalah 26,9 juta bph atau sekitar
40.1%.   Dengan hanya menguasai sekitar 40% dari
produksi dunia, saya kira tidak banyak peranan OPEC
dalam penentuan harga. Indonesia sendiri, pada tahun
2003  produksinya hanya 1,14 juta bph atau sekitar 4%
dari produksi OPEC. Pada tahun 2004 produksi Indonesia
turun lagi menjadi 1,08 juta bph. Dengan pertumbuhan
permintaan dalam negeri sekitar 5% per tahun,
sebenarnya Indonesia sudah menjadi net importer sejak
pertengahan tahun lalu. Penurunan produksi  Indonesia
yang
terjadi terus menerus sejak tahun 2000 karena 88% dari
produksinya berasal dari 70 % sumur2 minyak yang sudah
tua ( The Straits Times,February 21,2005).

 Kalau dalam waktu singkat tidak ada penambahan proven
reserves minyak yang significant dinegara-negara non
OPEC, ada kemungkinan peranan OPEC dalam penyediaan
minyak untuk dunia makin besar, namun apakah OPEC bisa
mengendalikan harga minyak dunia, tetap merupakan
pertanyaan yang sulit dijawab. Angka proven reserves
minyak yang dimiliki anggota OPEC adalah 891,1 milyar
barrel, atau sekitar 78.3% dari proven reserves minyak
dunia sekitar 1.137,5 milyar barrel. Sayangnya proven
reserves minyak Indonesia sendiri hanya  4,7 milyar
barrel, atau sekitar 0,5% dari proven reserves minyak
OPEC. Dari 11 negara anggota OPEC, Indonesia adalah
pemilik proven reserves minyak yang terkecil, dibawah
Algeria dengan proven reserves minyak sebesar 11,8
milyar barrel. Pemilik proven reserves minyak terbesar
adalah  Saudi Arabia sebesar 262,7 milyar barrel,
disusul Iran ditempat kedua sebesar 133,3 milyar
barrel.

Dengan tingkat produksi yang menurun terus menerus
selama lima tahun terakhir ,dan reserves yang hanya
sekitar 0,5 % dari reserves OPEC adalah wajar kalau
kita bertanya seberapa besar efektifitas keanggotaan
Indonesia dalam OPEC, apalagi kalau masih ditambah
dengan keharusan membayar annual membership fee
sebesar $ 2,000,000.00 Kalau kita masih tetap bertahan
menjadi anggota OPEC saya khawatir akan ada yang
ngeledek