[EM] Pirate Party of Sweden adopts the Schulze method

2010-01-07 Thread Markus Schulze
Hallo,

in October 2009, the Pirate Party of Sweden
adopted the Schulze method. See e.g.:

http://forum.piratpartiet.se/FindPost174988.aspx
http://forum.piratpartiet.se/FindPost176567.aspx
http://forum.piratpartiet.se/FindPost191479.aspx

The Schulze method is used in the internal
elections (14 December 2009 to 17 January 2010)
to fill the 82 list places for the upcoming
Riksdag elections. There are 230 candidates
and about 50,000 eligible voters:

http://www.piratpartiet.se/primarvalskandidater

Markus Schulze



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Re: [EM] just to let you know ...

2010-01-07 Thread Juho

plurality leader in the initial tally ended up losing




weak Condorcet compromise in third place



if Burlington had used Condorcet rules ... there would be even more  
vociferous calls for repeal



These are all semi-valid concerns in a country that is so used to  
plurality winners and single-party governments (winner without lots  
of / sufficient amount of of first preference support could be a  
weak single-party ruler).


I note that also the spoiler effect is a quite well known problem in  
the USA and that the 33% plurality winner would have lost also with  
the old rules (the probability of electing a Republican might be  
bigger with the old rules though). All this together shows that the  
discussion and decision making is probably more abut who makes the  
best and most convincing claims at correct times than about who makes  
the correct and rational claims. There is no one making a rational  
summary of all the arguments. The discussion is more likely to hover  
around various simple claims (that may well be oversimplified, false,  
unclear, intentionally unclear and/or in conflict with each others  
just like the already mentioned claims are, no problem).


Many voters may have interest but not sufficient knowledge and time/ 
interest to draw rational conclusions. Politicians may well drive only  
the short term interests of their own party and themselves (instead of  
the society as a whole) (big parties usually have even rational  
(selfish) reasons). Media may also be mostly interested in short term  
juicy stories. And experts too may have mixed interests. I however  
note that there is always some tendency to find solutions that are  
good in theory and in practice (and tendency to avoid solutions that  
have clearly been proven wrong). Decision making will go slightly in  
that (rational, sensible) direction if all the facts are made known  
and especially if clear descriptions and clear justification of them  
are available. That means that despite of the demagogic nature of the  
discussion also rational argumentation does have a place in the  
process. Better to throw the argumentation in although the discussion  
and its outcome may not fully follow the intended logic.


Juho



On Jan 7, 2010, at 1:49 AM, Terry Bouricius wrote:


Juho,

Actually, the opposition to IRV in Burlington is predominantly  
focused on

the complaint that the plurality leader in the initial tally ended up
losing in the runoff tally. This candidate was actually the Condorcet
LOSER among the top three candidates (though a fringe candidate with  
only

35 votes was the technical Condorcet loser). The complaint from those
circulating the IRV repeal petition is that there shouldn't be any  
ranked
ballots, and that the plurality winner with 33% of the vote in the  
first

round (and the essential Condorcet-loser) should have been declared
elected. There is no momentum toward a Condorcet approach currently. I
haven't heard more than a couple of people in Burlington suggest  
that the
actual Condorcet winner should have won, because he was a weak  
Condorcet

compromise in third place in the initial tally. I suspect that if
Burlington had used Condorcet rules and the candidate in third place  
in

the initial tally had been declared elected, there would be even more
vociferous calls for repeal in favor of plurality or runoffs.

Terry Bouricius


- Original Message -
From: Juho juho4...@yahoo.co.uk
To: EM Methods election-methods@lists.electorama.com
Sent: Wednesday, January 06, 2010 5:05 PM
Subject: Re: [EM] just to let you know ...


In Burlington at least the arguments for Condorcet should be straight
forward. People are already ok with ranked ballot based voting. Many
of them may feel that in the last election the Condorcet winner should
have won. From this point of view Condorcet is just a small
modification that fixes this problem.

Many voters may support going back to the old system since that would
(at least seem to) fix the problem of failing to elect the (beats
all) Condorcet winner. It would make sense to make them aware that
there are also other ways to solve the problem (= just fix the
tabulation method).

Juho



On Jan 6, 2010, at 7:47 PM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:




Terry and i agree on many things and I am convinced we have a common
goal: fair elections that represent the will of the electorate and
do not penalize voters for voting non-strategically.  and we agree
that the first-past-the-pole (with delayed runoff if no one exceeds
40%) is no good, worse than the IRV that was passed in 2005 and used
twice since.

Terry, we *do* disagree about some things.  factually, it is *not*
just Republicans.  there are many, many Democrats that have joined
that One Person, One Vote group and, Terry, if IRV is repealed
this March, it's gonna be because the number of Democrats on that
side have been underestimated and not taken seriously.

I am against the repeal.  I hope it loses, but only 

Re: [EM] just to let you know ...

2010-01-07 Thread Brian Olson
On Jan 6, 2010, at 6:49 PM, Terry Bouricius wrote:

 Actually, the opposition to IRV in Burlington is predominantly focused on 
 the complaint that the plurality leader in the initial tally ended up 
 losing in the runoff tally. 

That's stupid enough to get me a bit angry.

They see a problem with IRV results.
Going back to pick-one voting is sticking their heads in the sand and denying 
to see the problem.

Because we have the full data dump from the rankings ballots we can do analysis 
and figure out what happened and how IRV was wrong (and how pick-one would have 
been wrong), but if they take that away then we just won't know again. Problem 
hidden!

I really hope the forces of stupid don't win. Good luck up there guys.
If there was going to be a big public meeting, I might even be tempted to drive 
up from Boston. Even if I didn't get to contribute much I'd be curious to see 
just how these things play out amongst real Americans who aren election theory 
wonks.


Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/




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Re: [EM] A Majoritarian, Clone Free, High Efficiency, Sincere Ratings Lottery

2010-01-07 Thread fsimmons
I'm afraid the method is not monotone:  If a member of S moves up on the 
ordinal ballots, it is true this 
move will increase her chances of winning if L(S) is chosen over A, but it 
might make it so that L(S) is 
not chosen over A.

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Re: [EM] Pirate Party of Sweden adopts the Schulze method

2010-01-07 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm

Raph Frank wrote:

Is it a pure condorcet ordering, or are they adding any PR elements to the list?

Using google translate (which did a pretty good job), on those
threads, they say it is decided

According to a variant of the Condorcet / Single-Transferable-Vote
named Schultz method. Full källkod kommer att publiceras. Full source
code will be published. 

Is this Schulze STV?


It's plain old Schulze, as in the Condorcet method.

It seems to me that using a proportional ordering (house monotone PR 
method) would be a better approach for a party list than to just use a 
Condorcet method directly. In the latter case, the list would be full of 
centrists, but in the former, there would be some opinion space variation.


I seem to remember that Schulze designed a proportional ordering version 
of Schulze STV as well, but it may be too untested even for the Pirate 
Party.



http://forum.piratpartiet.se/FindPost176567.aspx implies that the source 
code is based on the Wikipedia implementation.


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Re: [EM] Pirate Party of Sweden adopts the Schulze method

2010-01-07 Thread Markus Schulze
Hallo,

the Schulze ranking will be used as defined
in the Wikipedia article:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schulze_method

I agree that it would have been better if
a proportional ordering method had been used.

Markus Schulze



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Re: [EM] Pirate Party of Sweden adopts the Schulze method

2010-01-07 Thread Juho

They also said:

 Condorcet-Schultze med 30% kvotering

= Condorcet-Schultze with 30% quotas

I just wonder if that adds something to the basic Schulze method.

Juho


On Jan 7, 2010, at 11:30 PM, Markus Schulze wrote:


Hallo,

the Schulze ranking will be used as defined
in the Wikipedia article:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schulze_method

I agree that it would have been better if
a proportional ordering method had been used.

Markus Schulze



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list info



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Re: [EM] Pirate Party of Sweden adopts the Schulze method

2010-01-07 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm

Juho wrote:

They also said:

  Condorcet-Schultze med 30% kvotering

= Condorcet-Schultze with 30% quotas

I just wonder if that adds something to the basic Schulze method.


That means that 30% of the people on the list has to have some property. 
I'm not sure what that property is, but I guess it refers to matters of 
gender - at least 30% of each.


I don't see any mention of how they're going to achieve this. If I were 
to make something like that, I would probably divide the result into 
ordered lists, based on the property (e.g. gender), then go 
straightforward down along the social ordering until either group 
decreases below the quota. At that point, pick the highest ranked from 
the list of the minority in question until that group is no longer below 
the quota.


One could probably devise even more complex solutions involving global 
optimization, particularly for methods that return a cardinal social 
ordering (a ratings ballot as output). For such an ordering, one could 
simply phrase it as an integer programming problem: maximize the total 
rating, subject to that one may not pick more than the number of seats 
and that no group may have less than 30% of the seats. I would be 
surprised if that's how they do it, though, in particular since the 
Schulze method doesn't return a cardinal social ordering.


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[EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread Kathy Dopp
Nice to know someone has some common sense to scrap IRV voting.  I
found out that NYC tried IRV in the 1930s and scrapped it too. Also
Burlington VT and Aspen CO have ongoing efforts to scrap it and
several other locations recently made the wise decision to scrap
possibly the only alternative voting method that has more flaws and
fails more of Arrow's fairness criteria than plurality voting.

http://utahpolicy.com/featured_article/utah-republican-convention-change-could-change-strategy-candidates

Some people are waking up to the fact that IRV/STV is a threat to the
fairness and integrity of elections.

Cheers,

Kathy

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Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread robert bristow-johnson


On Jan 7, 2010, at 7:41 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:


Nice to know someone has some common sense to scrap IRV voting.  I
found out that NYC tried IRV in the 1930s and scrapped it too. Also
Burlington VT and Aspen CO have ongoing efforts to scrap it


*some* people in Burlington VT.  don't assume (until Town Meeting  
Day, March 2) that they speak for the electorate of the city.


we'll see.

Kathy, you *still* haven't responded to my question of 10 weeks ago.   
ever plan to?


On Oct 31, 2009, at 12:18 PM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:


On Oct 31, 2009, at 10:29 AM, Kathy Dopp wrote:


5. It always amazes me how irrationally the supporters of IRV/STV
support a nonmonotonic system that creates more problems than it
solves when there are clearly better alternatives available that
actually solve more problems than they create.


so, Kathy, i am curious as to which of these better alternatives  
you promote?


i'm still interested in your answer.

--

r b-j  r...@audioimagination.com

Imagination is more important than knowledge.





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Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread Kathy Dopp
I've answered that question on this list before and Abd ul also answered it.

There are *many* good alternative voting methods that do solve the
spoiler problem, are monotonic, and elect majority winners and are
precinct summable. I don't know of any alternative voting methods as
bad as IRV/STV (although there must be one somewhere), so I would
probably support almost any alternative method that lacks the
multitude of flaws that IRV/STV have.  Abd ul has convinced me that
regular top-two runoffs are good too.

On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 7:50 PM, robert bristow-johnson
r...@audioimagination.com wrote:

 On Jan 7, 2010, at 7:41 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

 Nice to know someone has some common sense to scrap IRV voting.  I
 found out that NYC tried IRV in the 1930s and scrapped it too. Also
 Burlington VT and Aspen CO have ongoing efforts to scrap it

 *some* people in Burlington VT.  don't assume (until Town Meeting Day, March
 2) that they speak for the electorate of the city.

 we'll see.

 Kathy, you *still* haven't responded to my question of 10 weeks ago.  ever
 plan to?

 On Oct 31, 2009, at 12:18 PM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:

 On Oct 31, 2009, at 10:29 AM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

 5. It always amazes me how irrationally the supporters of IRV/STV
 support a nonmonotonic system that creates more problems than it
 solves when there are clearly better alternatives available that
 actually solve more problems than they create.

 so, Kathy, i am curious as to which of these better alternatives you
 promote?

 i'm still interested in your answer.

 --

 r b-j                  ...@audioimagination.com

 Imagination is more important than knowledge.








-- 

Kathy Dopp

Town of Colonie, NY 12304
phone 518-952-4030
cell 518-505-0220

http://utahcountvotes.org
http://electionmathematics.org
http://kathydopp.com/serendipity/

Realities Mar Instant Runoff Voting
http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

Voters Have Reason to Worry
http://utahcountvotes.org/UT/UtahCountVotes-ThadHall-Response.pdf

Checking election outcome accuracy --- Post-election audit sampling
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/PEAuditSamplingMethods.pdf

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread Kathy Dopp
On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 8:28 PM, robert bristow-johnson
r...@audioimagination.com wrote:

 On Jan 7, 2010, at 7:55 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

 I've answered that question on this list before and Abd ul also answered
 it.

 There are *many* good alternative voting methods that do solve the
 spoiler problem, are monotonic, and elect majority winners and are
 precinct summable.

 would this list include Condorcet?

Yes.  Condorcet is precinct-summable in an n x n matrix where n is the
number of candidates.


 I don't know of any alternative voting methods as
 bad as IRV/STV (although there must be one somewhere), so I would
 probably support almost any alternative method that lacks the
 multitude of flaws that IRV/STV have.  Abdul has convinced me that
 regular top-two runoffs are good too.

 i'm sure as hell not convinced.  if that were the case in Burlington in
 2009, a candidate would be elected on Runoff Day that was less preferred by
 the electorate than an identified specific candidate who was not included in
 the runoff.

Well, let's just say top-two runoff is precinct-summable, monotonic,
virtually always finds majority winners, preserves voters' rights and
otherwise lacks most of the major flaws of IRV/STV, but does not solve
all the flaws of plurality that IRV/STV was incorrectly envisioned as
solving.

Kathy


 On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 7:50 PM, robert bristow-johnson
 r...@audioimagination.com wrote:

 On Jan 7, 2010, at 7:41 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

 Nice to know someone has some common sense to scrap IRV voting.  I
 found out that NYC tried IRV in the 1930s and scrapped it too. Also
 Burlington VT and Aspen CO have ongoing efforts to scrap it

 *some* people in Burlington VT.  don't assume (until Town Meeting Day,
 March
 2) that they speak for the electorate of the city.

 we'll see.

 Kathy, you *still* haven't responded to my question of 10 weeks ago.
  ever
 plan to?

 On Oct 31, 2009, at 12:18 PM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:

 On Oct 31, 2009, at 10:29 AM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

 5. It always amazes me how irrationally the supporters of IRV/STV
 support a nonmonotonic system that creates more problems than it
 solves when there are clearly better alternatives available that
 actually solve more problems than they create.

 so, Kathy, i am curious as to which of these better alternatives you
 promote?

 so you're answer is the traditional election with runoff between the top two
 vote getters if there is no majority?

 why can't that runoff be Instantized?  *must* people be required to return
 to the polls at a later date to vote in the runoff?


 --

 r b-j                  ...@audioimagination.com

 Imagination is more important than knowledge.








-- 

Kathy Dopp

Town of Colonie, NY 12304
phone 518-952-4030
cell 518-505-0220

http://utahcountvotes.org
http://electionmathematics.org
http://kathydopp.com/serendipity/

Realities Mar Instant Runoff Voting
http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

Voters Have Reason to Worry
http://utahcountvotes.org/UT/UtahCountVotes-ThadHall-Response.pdf

Checking election outcome accuracy --- Post-election audit sampling
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/PEAuditSamplingMethods.pdf

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 07:55 PM 1/7/2010, Kathy Dopp wrote:

I've answered that question on this list before and Abd ul also answered it.

There are *many* good alternative voting methods that do solve the
spoiler problem, are monotonic, and elect majority winners and are
precinct summable. I don't know of any alternative voting methods as
bad as IRV/STV (although there must be one somewhere), so I would
probably support almost any alternative method that lacks the
multitude of flaws that IRV/STV have.  Abd ul has convinced me that
regular top-two runoffs are good too.


Top two runoff, of course, shares the center-squeeze problem that IRV 
suffers from, but, interestingly enough, that problem may not be as 
serious if write-in votes are allowed in the runoff, as they are by 
default in California and perhaps some other jurisdictions.


Not widely known is the fact that the spoiler effect is connected 
with partisan elections. IRV in nonpartisan elections seems to 
reproduce Plurality closely. With top-two runoff in nonpartisan 
elections, the runner up in the primary wins roughly one-third of the 
time, per a study by FairVote. However, with IRV, these comeback 
elections hardly ever occur.


IRV does fix what I call the first-order spoiler effect, where a 
minor party candidate draws away votes from a major party candidate, 
causing the less popular of the major party candidates to win. 
However, as a recent Burlington election shows, IRV can award victory 
to a candidate who would, by the votes expressed on the ballots, lose 
in a direct contest to an eliminated candidate, because of the 
peculiar significance that IRV gives to the first choice. It is 
entirely possible that without the promise of IRV as a fair system, 
the same configuration of candidates would not exist, and the more 
popular candidate would have won.


There is another system that uses the same ranked choice ballot as 
IRV, but that is probably much better at handling the center squeeze 
situation, and that was at one time widely used in the U.S. (Far more 
widely than the recent IRV fad.) That's Bucklin voting. It could be 
called Instant Runoff Approval. It's much easier to canvass than 
IRV, the totals for each rank are simply collected from each 
precinct, and the handling, if there is no majority in first 
preference, is simple addition; the difference from Approval is that 
the approvals are ranked, so additional approvals are only considered 
if nobody gets a majority in first preferences.


Why was Bucklin rejected? Partly, it may have been for similar 
reasons to the prior and present rejections of IRV. IRV has been sold 
on a false promise: to find majorities without runoff elections. 
Bucklin was sold in the same way, and it fails to find majorities 
reliably for the same reason as IRV fails: people don't rank enough 
candidates. This has been a known problem with STV for more than a 
century, and whenever a candidate doesn't get a majority in first 
preferences, it is *normal* for IRV to never find a majority even 
after vote transfers, the IRV majority is a faux majority, a new 
invention, a last round majority, based on an entirely new concept 
of a majority that isn't the traditional one: a majority of ballots 
case. Bucklin is based on majority of ballots cast, as are standard 
repeated ballot systems. All ballots are considered.


Bucklin, because of the lack of candidate eliminations, which 
really means ballot eliminations in actual practice, is more 
efficient at finding majorities, however, because it will find votes 
concealed under votes for a leading candidate. We tend to think of 
partisan elections, for some reason, where a voter for one of the top 
two candidates would one rarely also approve one of the other top two.


But in nonpartisan elections, which are the vast majority of recent 
IRV applications, a supporter of one of the leading candidates might 
well express support for another leading candidate. Not highly 
partisan supporters, but general voters. IRV conceals these votes, 
Bucklin finds and counts them.


The error with prior implementations was in the false promise: when 
it was realized that Bucklin wasn't actually finding majorities in 
some of the places where it was used, because of enough voters doing 
the traditional vote-for-one thing, Bucklin was dumped entirely. It, 
as also happened with IRV in some prior situations, it was replaced 
with top-two runoff, which usually finds a majority. Instead, Bucklin 
should have been used as a method of avoiding unnecessary runoffs.


I like to think of this as the voter's strategy. With Bucklin, I will 
unconditionally vote in first preference for my favorite. There is 
never a reason not to. (With IRV, there can be circumstances where 
voting for your favorite will turn out to be foolish, it can cause a 
much worse outcome, it can even cause your favorite to lose. That's 
what non-monotonicity means.)


Then, as to adding other, lower-ranked approvals, the 

Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread Kathy Dopp
On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 10:08 PM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax
a...@lomaxdesign.com wrote:
Abd ul, Just a few comments and a correction re. Burlington.


 (Single Transferable Vote is considerably better when used for multiwinner
 elections, though there are better methods still, for sure. True multiwinner
 STV has been rejected after use in the U.S., but not for good reasons. It
 was rejected because it resulted in fair representation for minority groups.

Most people who oppose IRV/STV today support proportional
reprentation, but IRV has not achieved that in most places it has been
tried and there are other methods, such as the party list system,
cumulative voting, etc. that achieve it without being nonmonotonic and
without the spoiler effect and without the complex
transparency-eviscerating central counting that IRV/STV produce.

IRV/STV do not count all voters' 2nd choices, even when voters' first
choice candidate loses, and so is a fundamentally unfair method that
tends to elect extreme right or left candidates and eliminate the
centrist majority-favorite candidates, just like it did in Burlington,
VT mayoral contest.


 I urge election activists opposed to IRV not to jump for the temptation of
 praising those rejections as wise. They weren't. They were racist and
 prejudiced in other ways against the fair choices of the voters. In Ann
 Arbor, MI, IRV was rejected on arguments similar, apparently, to some of
 those being advanced in Burlington now: it deprived the Republican of his
 rightful victory over the Democrat, which had been previously happening
 because of vote splitting in a college town between the Democratic
 candidates and the Human Rights Party candidates.

Correction - In Burlington the Democrat was the centrist
majority-favorite (Condorcet) candidate and the Republican acted as a
spoiler, causing the Leftist candidate to win.  Republicans have not
won any mayoral election in Burlington for over a decade and was the
spoiler.  Almost all the folks who voted their true preference for the
Republican, caused their last choice (the most liberal candidate) to
win.

For a simple short understandable film explaining the vote counts in
Burlington that was just finished today, see this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPCS-zWuel8

 However, the situation in
 Burlington is pretty different: the problem there is that there are three
 major parties there, and IRV does very poorly in that context. It worked in
 Ann Arbor, and, for that reason, a referendum on it was scheduled for when
 the students were on break, mostly out of town!)


IRV does poorly wherever there are three strong candidates and the
spoiler problem pops up.

Kathy






-- 

Kathy Dopp

Town of Colonie, NY 12304
phone 518-952-4030
cell 518-505-0220

http://utahcountvotes.org
http://electionmathematics.org
http://kathydopp.com/serendipity/

Realities Mar Instant Runoff Voting
http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

Voters Have Reason to Worry
http://utahcountvotes.org/UT/UtahCountVotes-ThadHall-Response.pdf

Checking election outcome accuracy --- Post-election audit sampling
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/PEAuditSamplingMethods.pdf

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Utah Republican Party Scraps IRV Voting Method

2010-01-07 Thread robert bristow-johnson


On Jan 7, 2010, at 8:45 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:


On Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 8:28 PM, robert bristow-johnson
r...@audioimagination.com wrote:


On Jan 7, 2010, at 7:55 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote:

I've answered that question on this list before and Abd ul also  
answered

it.

There are *many* good alternative voting methods that do solve the
spoiler problem, are monotonic, and elect majority winners and are
precinct summable.


would this list include Condorcet?


Yes.  Condorcet is precinct-summable in an n x n matrix where n is the
number of candidates.


i knew that.  but what i wanted to know is if, from where you stand,  
it was one of the acceptable alternatives to IRV.  or if your ideal  
solution is to return to the traditional runoff or just first-past- 
the-pole.



I don't know of any alternative voting methods as
bad as IRV/STV (although there must be one somewhere), so I would
probably support almost any alternative method that lacks the
multitude of flaws that IRV/STV have.  Abdul has convinced me that
regular top-two runoffs are good too.


i'm sure as hell not convinced.  if that were the case in  
Burlington in
2009, a candidate would be elected on Runoff Day that was less  
preferred by
the electorate than an identified specific candidate who was not  
included in

the runoff.


Well, let's just say top-two runoff is precinct-summable, monotonic,
virtually always finds majority winners, preserves voters' rights and
otherwise lacks most of the major flaws of IRV/STV, but does not solve
all the flaws of plurality that IRV/STV was incorrectly envisioned as
solving.


with that i agree with you on everything.  but, for Burlington, until  
we get Condorcet, i still think that IRV does a better job than  
plurality of solving the main problem of rewarding the compromising  
strategy for supporters of 3rd-party candidates.  but i do not  
understand why anyone would envision the ranked-order ballot, skip  
over the Condorcet concept (something i thought of 38 years ago in  
high school, 3 decades before reading the term Condorcet), and come  
up with the STV method.  specifically the arbitrary threshold that  
the weakest candidate to eliminate is the one with the fewest 1st- 
pick votes (that 2nd-pick count as well as last pick).  whose idea  
was that?  even in high school, i knew that the problem was in the  
difference on how people who are idealistic would choose their  
candidate in a multi-party or multi-candidate race compared to if  
there were only two candidates.  the latter is a simple problem for  
both the voter and for the election system.  no strategies to be had;  
vote for the candidate you like the most or vote for the candidate  
you like the least.  there is no reason why the latter would serve  
any political interest of the voter, so he/she may as well vote  
sincerely and hope for the best.  but once there is a credible 3rd  
candidate, that is no longer the case.  all Condorcet does (assuming  
there *is* a Condorcet winner) is extend the concept to the extra  
candidates.  if there is a Condorcet winner and if that person is  
always elected to office, there is no reason why the multi-candidate  
election would turn out better for anyone by trying to be tricky.   
throwing a Condorcet election into a cycle for strategic reasons is  
pretty risky and i've never been convinced that a cycle is common at  
all.  and if a cycle does happen, Tideman ranked-pairs is fine, as  
far as i can tell.  Shulze is probably better, but hard to explain to  
Joe 6-pack.  but i can explain Condorcet to Joe 6-pack.  it's simple  
enough.


thanks for responding, Kathy.

--

r b-j  r...@audioimagination.com

Imagination is more important than knowledge.





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