Re: [EM] Executive Summary for Declaration

2011-09-07 Thread Andy Jennings
I do like the executive summary.  Maybe it's a little too long?

I think we could do without the sentence "Some good Condorcet methods
are:..."

I do think the PR section could be significantly shortened.

I made a few changes.  Feel free to review, roll back, and discuss if you
think I have erred.

~ Andy Jennings



On Wed, Sep 7, 2011 at 9:25 PM, Richard Fobes
wrote:

> On 9/7/2011 2:09 PM, Peter Zbornik wrote:
> > I still think the 12 page declaration (incl table of contents) needs an
> > executive summary. The table of contents does not in my honest opinion
> > give good enough information.
>
>
> I agree that the declaration needs an executive summary.  Here is what I've
> come up with as a first draft:
>
> - Executive Summary -
>
> This declaration, which has been signed by election-method experts from
> around the world, publicly denounces the use of plurality voting in
> governmental elections.  Plurality voting mistakenly assumes that the
> candidate who receives the most ballot marks – on single-mark ballots – is
> the most popular.  Plurality voting also suffers from vote splitting, which
> is what forces political parties to offer only a single choice in each
> election.
>
> As replacements for plurality voting, this declaration recommends four
> significantly fairer election methods, namely, in alphabetical order:
> Approval voting, any Condorcet method, Majority Judgment voting, and Range
> voting.  These methods use better ballots – namely the Approval ballot,
> Ranked ballot, and Score ballot – to collect much more preference
> information compared to plurality's primitive single-mark ballot.
>
> The lack of awareness about plurality voting's unfairness arises from its
> use of single-mark ballots, which not only fail to collect enough
> information to correctly identify the most popular candidate, but also fail
> to collect enough information to produce proof or evidence of the unfair
> results.
>
> Computer technology now makes it easy to count better ballots and correctly
> identify who deserves to win.  All the supported methods are based on the
> fact that a majority of voters, not just a plurality of voters, must approve
> or prefer the winning candidate in order to produce fairer results.
>
> In spite of the academically recognized, well-known unfairness of plurality
> voting, it is used throughout Canada, the United Kingdom, the United States,
> and to some extent nearly every democracy around the world.  As a
> consequence of adopting fairer election methods, this declaration's signers
> expect the benefits to include a dramatically reduced gap between voters and
> government, more easily -- and fairly -- resolved political conflicts, and
> significantly increased economic prosperity for any region that adopts
> fairer election methods.
>
> Significantly the election-method experts do not support the use of
> instant-runoff voting, which is also known as the alternative vote. This
> method is based on the mistaken belief that the candidate with the fewest
> plurality votes is the least popular candidate.
>
> The four supported methods also can be adopted for use in non-governmental
> situations, such as electing an organization's officers, making democratic
> decisions, and electing corporate board members.
>
> The signers of this declaration do not share any common political beliefs,
> and are confident that the recommended election reforms will not favor any
> particular political parties or political orientations. Their clearly stated
> goal is to improve election fairness by replacing primitive plurality voting
> with any of the fairer supported methods. Their expectation is that a higher
> level of democracy will lead to higher standards of living, reduced
> conflicts, and widespread greater economic prosperity, just as replacing
> monarchies and dictatorships with plurality voting has produced dramatic and
> widespread benefits.
>
> The signers urge everyone to learn more about how voting should be done –
> using Approval voting, Condorcet methods, Majority Judgment voting, or Range
> voting – and begin adopting the supported voting methods in whatever
> situations currently, yet inappropriately, use plurality voting.
>
> - end -
>
> It mentions some concepts that currently aren't in the declaration itself,
> so if this executive summary is liked, adjustments will need to be made in
> either this summary or in the declaration.
>
> Also note that this summary does not mention PR. We still need to decide
> what to do about that section. It is long yet just says we like PR but
> oppose closed-list PR.
>
> Richard Fobes
>
>
> On 9/7/2011 2:09 PM, Peter Zbornik wrote:
>
>> Dear Jameson,
>>
>> I still think the 12 page declaration (incl table of contents) needs an
>> executive summary. The table of contents does not in my honest oppinion
>> give good enough information.
>>
>> An executive summary is standard when writing policy recommendations
>> like this, and you 

[EM] Executive Summary for Declaration

2011-09-07 Thread Richard Fobes

On 9/7/2011 2:09 PM, Peter Zbornik wrote:
> I still think the 12 page declaration (incl table of contents) needs an
> executive summary. The table of contents does not in my honest opinion
> give good enough information.


I agree that the declaration needs an executive summary.  Here is what 
I've come up with as a first draft:


- Executive Summary -

This declaration, which has been signed by election-method experts from 
around the world, publicly denounces the use of plurality voting in 
governmental elections.  Plurality voting mistakenly assumes that the 
candidate who receives the most ballot marks – on single-mark ballots – 
is the most popular.  Plurality voting also suffers from vote splitting, 
which is what forces political parties to offer only a single choice in 
each election.


As replacements for plurality voting, this declaration recommends four 
significantly fairer election methods, namely, in alphabetical order: 
Approval voting, any Condorcet method, Majority Judgment voting, and 
Range voting.  These methods use better ballots – namely the Approval 
ballot, Ranked ballot, and Score ballot – to collect much more 
preference information compared to plurality's primitive single-mark ballot.


The lack of awareness about plurality voting's unfairness arises from 
its use of single-mark ballots, which not only fail to collect enough 
information to correctly identify the most popular candidate, but also 
fail to collect enough information to produce proof or evidence of the 
unfair results.


Computer technology now makes it easy to count better ballots and 
correctly identify who deserves to win.  All the supported methods are 
based on the fact that a majority of voters, not just a plurality of 
voters, must approve or prefer the winning candidate in order to produce 
fairer results.


In spite of the academically recognized, well-known unfairness of 
plurality voting, it is used throughout Canada, the United Kingdom, the 
United States, and to some extent nearly every democracy around the 
world.  As a consequence of adopting fairer election methods, this 
declaration's signers expect the benefits to include a dramatically 
reduced gap between voters and government, more easily -- and fairly -- 
resolved political conflicts, and significantly increased economic 
prosperity for any region that adopts fairer election methods.


Significantly the election-method experts do not support the use of 
instant-runoff voting, which is also known as the alternative vote. 
This method is based on the mistaken belief that the candidate with the 
fewest plurality votes is the least popular candidate.


The four supported methods also can be adopted for use in 
non-governmental situations, such as electing an organization's 
officers, making democratic decisions, and electing corporate board members.


The signers of this declaration do not share any common political 
beliefs, and are confident that the recommended election reforms will 
not favor any particular political parties or political orientations. 
Their clearly stated goal is to improve election fairness by replacing 
primitive plurality voting with any of the fairer supported methods. 
Their expectation is that a higher level of democracy will lead to 
higher standards of living, reduced conflicts, and widespread greater 
economic prosperity, just as replacing monarchies and dictatorships with 
plurality voting has produced dramatic and widespread benefits.


The signers urge everyone to learn more about how voting should be done 
– using Approval voting, Condorcet methods, Majority Judgment voting, or 
Range voting – and begin adopting the supported voting methods in 
whatever situations currently, yet inappropriately, use plurality voting.


- end -

It mentions some concepts that currently aren't in the declaration 
itself, so if this executive summary is liked, adjustments will need to 
be made in either this summary or in the declaration.


Also note that this summary does not mention PR. We still need to decide 
what to do about that section. It is long yet just says we like PR but 
oppose closed-list PR.


Richard Fobes


On 9/7/2011 2:09 PM, Peter Zbornik wrote:

Dear Jameson,

I still think the 12 page declaration (incl table of contents) needs an
executive summary. The table of contents does not in my honest oppinion
give good enough information.

An executive summary is standard when writing policy recommendations
like this, and you cannot write a scientific paper without an abstract.

On the other hand I understand, that writing summaries and abstracts is
sometimes a pain (it is at least to me), and that it is easier to point
out things that could be improved and more difficult to do something
about it, like writing the summary myself.

I dont write this just to nag. If you want your recommendations to be
read by decision makers, you had better catch the interest within the
one or two minutes this person will 

Re: [EM] Declaration ... - political-party & direct-participation side issues

2011-09-07 Thread Richard Fobes

On 9/7/2011 3:30 PM, Fred Gohlke wrote:

Richard,

re: "Nothing in this statement should be interpreted to imply
that we believe that election-method reform is the only area
of existing political systems that currently needs reform.
In fact, most of us also support other reforms such as
broader campaign-finance-reporting rules, increased use of
other decision-making aids such as deliberative polling, and
clearer ethics rules for officeholders. We believe that the
election-method reforms we advocate here would be
synergistic with such other reforms, both in terms of easing
their adoption and multiplying their beneficial effects."

Patronizing me would be more effective if you did so from a position of
strength. I'm not sure why you thought it necessary to ridicule my
position with this ludicrous tripe, but so be it.


Whoa! I did not write this paragraph!

In fact, this particular paragraph is one of the few that I have not 
touched (that I can recall).


This declaration is a collaboration. Therefore, please direct your 
comments about the document to the forum in general, without assuming 
that any specific content was written by any particular contributor.


Thank you!

Now that you have expressed disapproval of this paragraph, that makes it 
easier for me to feel comfortable making revisions to this portion of 
the document. Thanks.


Richard Fobes



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[EM] "Meaning" of a vote (or lack thereof)

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
>Lundell:
> How does it keep me honest in that scenario? Presumably I'd vote 1-0-0; 
> what's my motivation to do otherwise?
>
>Quinn:
> Because there's a small chance that your (first "honest" range) vote actually 
> will decide between a lottery of some chance of A or C and a certainty of B. 
> If you haven't voted honestly, then that could make the wrong decision. And 
> such decisions are all your "honest" ballot is ever used for, so there is no 
> motivation to strategize with it.

>Lundell:
That's always the case with strategic voting when we don't have
perfect knowledge of the other votes. There's a larger chance (in this
example) that a sincere vote will cause B to defeat A. The more I know
about the state of other voters, the more motivation I have to vote
insincerely.
This is true, of course, of any manipulable voting rule.

--wrong.  There is NOT a "larger chance" that a sincere (double range
voting) vote
will cause B to defeat A.  There is in this example ZERO chance of that,

Also double range voting is NOT a "manipulable voting rule" (or more
precisely, it cannot be advantageously manipulated by altering the
"please be honest" range-style sub-ballot,
and indeed any such manipulation whatsoever will be strictly disadvantageous)

As far as I can tell, Lundell has either never read, or has not
comprehended, what "double range voting" is.

That's a pity because it is a major theoretical advance with
considerable philosophical implications, which was sort of the whole
point of this whole thread.

-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Declaration ... - political-party & direct-participation side issues

2011-09-07 Thread Fred Gohlke

Richard,

re: "Nothing in this statement should be interpreted to imply
 that we believe that election-method reform is the only area
 of existing political systems that currently needs reform.
 In fact, most of us also support other reforms such as
 broader campaign-finance-reporting rules, increased use of
 other decision-making aids such as deliberative polling, and
 clearer ethics rules for officeholders. We believe that the
 election-method reforms we advocate here would be
 synergistic with such other reforms, both in terms of easing
 their adoption and multiplying their beneficial effects."

Patronizing me would be more effective if you did so from a position of 
strength.  I'm not sure why you thought it necessary to ridicule my 
position with this ludicrous tripe, but so be it.


The idea that all we need is "clearer ethics rules for officeholders" is 
preposterous and dangerously misleading.  No competent 'expert' in 
political science can be unaware of the repeated attempts to reform the 
ethics of politicians (in the United States).  Such attempts have marked 
my 82 years as an American citizen.  They failed for two fundamental 
reasons:


1) You cannot legislate morality, and

2) The political parties control the executive and legislative
   branches of the state and federal governments.  They are
   masters of misdirection and obfuscation.  They can not be
   reformed as long as they control the selection and financing
   of candidates for public office.

More than 100 years ago, Theodore Roosevelt warned the American people 
about the 'unholy alliance' between corrupt business and corrupt 
politics[1].  He described the invisible government behind the 
ostensible government, "owing no allegiance and acknowledging no 
responsibility to the people".


Yet, a century later, the 'expert' continues to ignore this warning, 
fails to recognize the need for institutions that harness human nature, 
and refuses to consider ways to destroy this 'invisible government'. 
Instead, as Durant wrote, he "... put on blinders in order to shut out 
from his vision all the world but one little spot, to which he glued his 
nose.", in this case, counting mechanisms.


* The reforms you describe will do nothing to stop the forces that paid 
for and got the gutting and repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act, the repeal 
of which led directly to the excesses that brought the entire world to 
the brink of economic collapse.


* They do not acknowledge, much less attack, the corruption that 
fostered the outrageous expansion of 'intellectual property rights', 
so-called 'rights' that allow corporations (which have no intellect) to 
levy a perpetual tax on the people.


* No amount of "broader campaign-finance-reporting" will prevent such 
tragedies as America's unwarranted invasion of a sovereign nation, an 
invasion which resulted in the death of more than 4,000 U. S. armed 
servicemen and more than 100,000 Iraqis.


* Nothing in the proposed 'reforms' will stop parties from selling 
legislation like The Broadband Conduit Deployment Act[2], introduced by 
two Democratic senators, that saddles the American taxpayer with the 
cost of laying broadband conduit for the communications industry.


That's the real world.  It will take the best efforts of our best minds 
to improve the lot of the humans among us.  We should get started.


Fred Gohlke

(1) http://www.infoplease.com/t/hist/state-of-the-union/118.html

(2) http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c111:H.R.2428: Broadband 
Conduit Deployment Act


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Re: [EM] Fix Philly Districts (Warren Smith)

2011-09-07 Thread Jameson Quinn
Here's a compactness measure I haven't seen proposed before:

Compose a district boundary out of line segments. The "thickness" of a line
segment is the closest distance of any voter to any point on that line
segment. Minimize the total of the length of segments divided by their
thickness.

It is, of course, not an easy measure to maximize. In particular, small
perturbations of boundaries could give big changes, and the measure would go
infinite if any boundary crossed over a voter. However, I suspect that
"simulated annealing" would do a decent job. But it is easier than travel
time to calculate, and more sensitive to population distribution than
splitline or purely perimeter-based districting. At any rate, you'd probably
have to do it with a contest to find the best answer.

JQ

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Re: [EM] Fix Philly Districts (Warren Smith)

2011-09-07 Thread Kathy Dopp
Warren,

I am fairly certain that you made a logic error by conflating the
Roeck and Schwartzberg methods, which I believe are not equivalent.
http://rangevoting.org/TheorDistrict.html

 In fact, the Schwartzberg method seems to me to be equivalent to the
class of compactness measures which use the ratios of perimeter to
area (or better yet, the ratios of perimeter squared to area  or
alternatively, perimeter to square root of area).  All such methods,
including Schwartzberg's method, validly measure area compactness in a
way that is not susceptible to gerrymandering (wiggly boundaries does
decrease measured compactness values) and does not have the tendency
you claim when you say: "these three ideas – and many others – are
stupid, is that you can take a multi-district map "optimal" by this
measure, then add a ton of essentially arbitrary wiggles to large
portions of the district boundaries, while leaving the "quality" of
that map exactly the same"

I believe you are correct in making that claim for the other measures
you discuss on your web page, but not for the Schwartzberg method.

I have done a mathematical proof that this class (using ratios of
powers of perimeter to area of the districts) of compactness measures
are equivalent in the sense that they rank any two redistricting plans
in exactly the same order.

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1857944

I cannot recall currently why I abandoned the idea of minimizing the
sum of perimeters of the districts.  If I recall I will let you know.

That is not to say that your split-line algorithm is not a useful
approach to finding the most compact set of districts, although there
are other concerns with drawing districts in addition to population,
including political and geographic boundaries, including election
jurisdiction boundaries in order to make the districts convenient to
serve, comprehensible to voters, and convenient to administer.

I wonder if you could adjust your splitline algorithm to take those
other factors into account, and then use the isoperimetric quotient
(the most logical measure to adopt of the class of equivalent
compactness measures) to evaluate any two of the redistricting plans
your splitline algorithm finds are adjusting to minimize the number of
independently administered jurisdictions within each district and take
account of impassible mountain ranges and rivers that divide
communities.  Many people claim keeping communities together is very
important in redistricting.



> Date: Wed, 7 Sep 2011 12:36:18 -0400
> From: Warren Smith 
>
>    https://www.fixphillydistricts.com
>
> They held another district-drawing contest.  $500 prize.
> While the winning plan(s) seem to improve over the old ones, they
> don't strike me as
> ultra-wonderful. It seems plausible splitline or Olson would have done
> comparably or better.
>
> I noticed they mentioned only the Roeck and Schwartzberg compactness
> measures for districts,
> which both were flagged in my review as stupid and
> incredibly-ultra-stupid measures, respectively:
>   http://rangevoting.org/TheorDistrict.html
>
>
> --
> Warren D. Smith
> http://RangeVoting.org? <-- add your endorsement (by clicking
> "endorse" as 1st step)
> and
> math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html
>

-- 

Kathy Dopp
http://electionmathematics.org
Town of Colonie, NY 12304
"One of the best ways to keep any conversation civil is to support the
discussion with true facts."
"Renewable energy is homeland security."

Fundamentals of Verifiable Elections
http://kathydopp.com/wordpress/?p=174

View some of my research on my SSRN Author page:
http://ssrn.com/author=1451051

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Re: [EM] SODA false claim

2011-09-07 Thread Jameson Quinn
Claim: SODA is simpler for voters than any system I know of, and
specifically simpler for voters than approval.

Justification:

Simplest algorithm for voting Approval that is reasonably close to
strategically optimal:

Find the two frontrunners. Vote for one of them plus any candidate that's
better.


Simplist algorithm for voting SODA that's reasonably close to strategically
optimal:

Vote for your favorite.


I understand that there is room for debate on this claim, and I'm not asking
you to accept it at face value. But certainly I have a basis for making it.

JQ

2011/9/7 Andrew Myers 

> On 7/22/64 2:59 PM, Warren Smith wrote:
>
>> It is simply false to say SODA's simplicity (for either the voter, or
>> the counters)
>> "beats any other system I know of."
>>
>> It is less simple than plain approval voting.  Full stop.
>>
>> If you persist in making ludicrous statements, then you will hurt your
>> credibility.
>>
>>  I have to agree. SODA to me seems quite complex. It appears to pose
> difficult strategic decisions for candidates and even for voters.
>
> -- Andrew
>
> 
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>

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Re: [EM] Lp-ball range

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
On Wed, Sep 7, 2011 at 4:56 PM, Andy Jennings
 wrote:
>> > The unit ball for method two has no corners or bulges (which all other
>> > values of p involve), so the strategy is not so obvious. But if Samuel
>> > Merrill is right, then in the zero information case, the optimum strategy
>> > for method two is to vote appropriately normalized sincere utilities.
>>
>> --wrong.
>> Your best strategy for any of these methods is, you identify the two
>> "frontrunners", you vote max for one and min for the other, and then
>> if you have any freedom left, you start considering the other N-2
>> candidates.
>
> He said "in the zero information case".  I think this means you can't know
> who the frontrunners are.

--Aha!

OK, so I guess Zero Info means that all the other votes
are assumed to be random uniformly selected (independently) from the
allowed-vote ball.

Your best strategy is to maximize expected utility of the winner in
that case.   Assume your probability of you swinging it from winner A
to winner B is roughly proportional to the score-difference your vote
gives
to B minus your score for A.  Also assume that
it is much less (neglectibly less) likely that you can accomplish more
than one swing.

(Those assumptions are correct in regimes where the central limit
theorem holds...)

You then should cast the vote (within the allowed-vote ball) maximizing
sum_j S_j * (U_j - meanU)
where S_j is your score for candidate j and U_j is your utility for
candidate j.   This sum is proportional
to your expected utility gain from casting a vote versus doing nothing.

Assume wlog for simplicity that meanU=0.

Geometrically speaking, you want to push the hyperplane that is
orthogonal to the direction (U_1, U_2, U_3..., U_N)
as far as you can in that direction, subject to the constraint that it
still have nonempty intersection with
the allowed-votes ball.  Any point within that intersection is an
optimal-vote (to first order, anyhow).

The solution to that problem is obviously a unique
optimal vote for any allowed-votes-ball which
is strictly convex, e.g. for an Lp-ball for any fixed p
within  1http://RangeVoting.org

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Re: [EM] SODA false claim

2011-09-07 Thread Andrew Myers

On 7/22/64 2:59 PM, Warren Smith wrote:

It is simply false to say SODA's simplicity (for either the voter, or
the counters)
"beats any other system I know of."

It is less simple than plain approval voting.  Full stop.

If you persist in making ludicrous statements, then you will hurt your
credibility.

I have to agree. SODA to me seems quite complex. It appears to pose 
difficult strategic decisions for candidates and even for voters.


-- Andrew
<>
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Lp-ball range

2011-09-07 Thread Andy Jennings
>
> > The unit ball for method two has no corners or bulges (which all other
> values of p involve), so the strategy is not so obvious. But if Samuel
> Merrill is right, then in the zero information case, the optimum strategy
> for method two is to vote appropriately normalized sincere utilities.
>
> --wrong.
> Your best strategy for any of these methods is, you identify the two
> "frontrunners", you vote max for one and min for the other, and then
> if you have any freedom left, you start considering the other N-2
> candidates.


He said "in the zero information case".  I think this means you can't know
who the frontrunners are.

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[EM] Lp-ball range

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
>FW Simmons:
Range voting is cardinal ratings with certain constraints on the
possible ratings, namely that they have to fall within a certain
interval or "range" of values, and usually limited to whole number
values.

Ignoring the whole number requirement, we could specify a constraint
for an equivalent method by simply limiting the maximum of the
absolute values of the ballot scores.  Call this "method infinity."

We could get another (non-equivalent) system by limiting the sum of
the absolute values of the scores.  Call this "method one."

Yet another system is obtained by limiting the sum of the squared
values of the scores.  Call this method two.

Other methods are obtained by limiting the sum of the p powers of the
absolute values of the scores. In this scheme method two corresponds
to p=2, and methods infinity and one, respectively, are the limits of
method p as p approaches infinity or one.

Suppose that there are three candidates.  Then graphically the
constraints for the three respective methods corresponding to p equal
to infinity, one, and two, turn out to be a cube, an octahedron, and a
ball with a perfectly spherical boundary, respectively.

The optimal strategies for methods infinity and one generically
involve ballots represented by corners of the cube and octahedron,
respectively.

In the case of method infinity, this means that all scores on a
strategically voted ballot will be at the extremes of the allowed
range, i.e. method infinity is strategically equivalent to Approval.

In the case of method one, the corners represent the ballots that
concentrate the entire max sum value in one candidate, and since
negative scores are allowed, this method is strategically equivalent
to the method that allows you to vote for one candidate or against one
candidate but not both.  I don't think anybody has studied this method

--it was proposed about 30-40 years ago and served as an inspiration
for approval voting (mentioned in Brams book I think, I think the name
"negative voting" perhaps was used?)

> but in the case of only three candidates it is the same as Approval.

--it is equivalent to it...  votes:  A gets +1, B and C get 0; or A
gets -1, B and C get 0

> The unit ball for method two has no corners or bulges (which all other values 
> of p involve), so the strategy is not so obvious. But if Samuel Merrill is 
> right, then in the zero information case, the optimum strategy for method two 
> is to vote appropriately normalized sincere utilities.

--wrong.
Your best strategy for any of these methods is, you identify the two
"frontrunners", you vote max for one and min for the other, and then
if you have any freedom left, you start considering the other N-2
candidates.  With L-infinity voting you get approval.
With L1 or L2 voting you get either plurality or antiplurality as the
two kinds of strategic vote.

ONLY with p=infinity (among all p>=1) is there any freedom of choice
left after you max/min the two frontrunners.  This is the ONLY
method in this class whee strategic voters can express order N bits of
information.

This begins to explain why range voting has a unique status among all
"COAF" voting methods
(based on convex "balls" defining the allowed votes)... I pointed all
this out some 11 years back...



-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org

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[EM] SODA false claim

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
It is simply false to say SODA's simplicity (for either the voter, or
the counters)
"beats any other system I know of."

It is less simple than plain approval voting.  Full stop.

If you persist in making ludicrous statements, then you will hurt your
credibility.

-- 
Warren D. Smith

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] [CES #3566] Re: Declaration of Election-Method Experts and Enthusiasts: final stretch

2011-09-07 Thread Peter Zbornik
Dear all,

the statement would probably benefit from executive summary of length 1/2 to
1 page.

Best regards
Peter Zbornik

On Wed, Sep 7, 2011 at 7:01 PM, Toby Pereira  wrote:

> I agree that it's too long. I've had another go at culling come parts of
> it, but if anyone objects, feel free to revert some or all.
>
>  *From:* Warren Smith 
> *To:* electionscie...@googlegroups.com; election-methods <
> election-meth...@electorama.com>
> *Sent:* Wednesday, 7 September 2011, 16:17
> *Subject:* Re: [EM] [CES #3566] Re: Declaration of Election-Method Experts
> and Enthusiasts: final stretch
>
> this "declaration" is suffering from exactly what everybody
> most-complains about re the rangevoting.org website.
>
> I.e. it tried to cover everything and got large.  In fact, enormous.
>
> That for a website is a flaw that is not necessarily an
> insurmountable obstacle
> since one can put short "summary" pages (or try...)  and use of lots
> of hyperlinks, so it isn't just a flat document, it's
> easier to get to information.
>
> But for a "consensus statement" it is a major problem since (a) nobody
> is going to sign it and (b) nobody is going to read it.
>
> Well, "nobody" is an exaggeration. But not by much.
>
> This statement (4328 words) is now over 3 times the length of the
> USA's "Declaration of Independence" (1315 words) and also longer than
> the entire USA constitution (as un-amended) at 4318 words.
>
> Have you seen my attempt to study what election experts and/or Joe
> Public actually agree on?  The total amount of true consensus out
> there, is extremely small.  So you could have an extremely short
> statement, if you wished to summarize what is the current consensus.
> If you have the more ambitious goal of creating consensus by actually
> changing minds... well, I doubt you can do it with one single
> document.
>
> It's very hard to get people to sign statements, and the difficulty
> increases with the length.
> 
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
>
> 
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] [CES #3566] Re: Declaration of Election-Method Experts and Enthusiasts: final stretch

2011-09-07 Thread Toby Pereira
I agree that it's too long. I've had another go at culling come parts of it, 
but if anyone objects, feel free to revert some or all.


From: Warren Smith 
To: electionscie...@googlegroups.com; election-methods 

Sent: Wednesday, 7 September 2011, 16:17
Subject: Re: [EM] [CES #3566] Re: Declaration of Election-Method Experts and 
Enthusiasts: final stretch

this "declaration" is suffering from exactly what everybody
most-complains about re the rangevoting.org website.

I.e. it tried to cover everything and got large.  In fact, enormous.

That for a website is a flaw that is not necessarily an
insurmountable obstacle
since one can put short "summary" pages (or try...)  and use of lots
of hyperlinks, so it isn't just a flat document, it's
easier to get to information.

But for a "consensus statement" it is a major problem since (a) nobody
is going to sign it and (b) nobody is going to read it.

Well, "nobody" is an exaggeration. But not by much.

This statement (4328 words) is now over 3 times the length of the
USA's "Declaration of Independence" (1315 words) and also longer than
the entire USA constitution (as un-amended) at 4318 words.

Have you seen my attempt to study what election experts and/or Joe
Public actually agree on?  The total amount of true consensus out
there, is extremely small.  So you could have an extremely short
statement, if you wished to summarize what is the current consensus.
If you have the more ambitious goal of creating consensus by actually
changing minds... well, I doubt you can do it with one single
document.

It's very hard to get people to sign statements, and the difficulty
increases with the length.

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


[EM] Fix Philly Districts

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
https://www.fixphillydistricts.com

They held another district-drawing contest.  $500 prize.
While the winning plan(s) seem to improve over the old ones, they
don't strike me as
ultra-wonderful. It seems plausible splitline or Olson would have done
comparably or better.

I noticed they mentioned only the Roeck and Schwartzberg compactness
measures for districts,
which both were flagged in my review as stupid and
incredibly-ultra-stupid measures, respectively:
   http://rangevoting.org/TheorDistrict.html


-- 
Warren D. Smith
http://RangeVoting.org  <-- add your endorsement (by clicking
"endorse" as 1st step)
and
math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] [CES #3566] Re: Declaration of Election-Method Experts and Enthusiasts: final stretch

2011-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
this "declaration" is suffering from exactly what everybody
most-complains about re the rangevoting.org website.

I.e. it tried to cover everything and got large.  In fact, enormous.

That for a website is a flaw that is not necessarily an
insurmountable obstacle
since one can put short "summary" pages (or try...)  and use of lots
of hyperlinks, so it isn't just a flat document, it's
easier to get to information.

But for a "consensus statement" it is a major problem since (a) nobody
is going to sign it and (b) nobody is going to read it.

Well, "nobody" is an exaggeration. But not by much.

This statement (4328 words) is now over 3 times the length of the
USA's "Declaration of Independence" (1315 words) and also longer than
the entire USA constitution (as un-amended) at 4318 words.

Have you seen my attempt to study what election experts and/or Joe
Public actually agree on?  The total amount of true consensus out
there, is extremely small.   So you could have an extremely short
statement, if you wished to summarize what is the current consensus.
If you have the more ambitious goal of creating consensus by actually
changing minds... well, I doubt you can do it with one single
document.

It's very hard to get people to sign statements, and the difficulty
increases with the length.

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Declaration of Election-Method Experts and Enthusiasts: final stretch

2011-09-07 Thread Dave Ketchum

Noise, but possibly worth a response.

In writing about a Condorcet race the standard format seems to be A>X>Y.

For voting the ballot format seems to be to be able to assign rank  
numbers to as many of the candidates as the voter chooses.


In reporting election results the n*n matrix has findable values for  
each pair of candidates.


Robert calls the format he has seen for the matrix "silly", and  
suggests another format.


The reporting is a human readable copy of what is being computed -  
with the computing almost certainly done by computer if many  
candidates.  Therefore a reporting format such as Robert's would be  
usable if humans could agree - or even have selectable choices of  
formats if enough desire.


Dave Ketchum

On Sep 7, 2011, at 1:12 AM, robert bristow-johnson wrote:



still not sure of the efficacy of trying to persuade voters (or  
their elected representatives) to try out different ballot formats  
than ranked choice but...



"... The n*n matrix used in Condorcet has information useful to  
those wanting to learn more about relationship of candidates. ..."


why, oh why, are all of you election method experts stuck on that  
silly n x n matrix geometry (where the main diagonal has no  
information you have to associate one number on the lower left with  
another number on the upper right, and it isn't obvious which number  
goes with which candidate) instead of grouping the pairwise totals  
*in* *pairs*???   like



  A  56
  B  44

  A  88   B  65
  C  12   C  35

  A  90   B  82   C  55
  D  10   D  18   D  45


THAT format is where you have useful information about the  
relationships between candidates at a glance.


if we're gonna tell people about Condorcet, why are we putting it in  
a stupid rectangular array where it is difficult to tell who beat  
who?  it only makes it harder to sell this to skeptics.


--

r b-j  r...@audioimagination.com

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."




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list info





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