[Election-Methods] Best electoral system under real circumstances

2007-11-19 Thread Diego Renato
I've read in this list that possibly the worst electoral system used is
Brazilian open list PR. In this year, Brazilian Congress discuted the change
of electoral law to closed lists, single member plurality or MMP.

Presidents, Governors and Mayors are elected by top-two runoff. I think this
method is sufficiently good. Maybe ranked methods are not suitable for
Brazilian voters' degree of skill, and for voting machines.

Federal, State and Muncipal representatives are elected according open
lists. The main problem of this method is the excessive district magnitude
(8 in least populated states up to 70 in São Paulo) and resulting high
number of candidates. Transfers of surpluses are unpredictable. My
suggestions for improvements of this system are:

- reduce district size to 3, 4 or 5;
- limit number of candidates by party. Candidates should be nominated by
primary elections.
- prohibit surplus transfers among different parties.
- adoption of STV in the future.

Do you agree with these measures?

___
Diego Renato dos Santos

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[Election-Methods] MMPO: the best 'transitional' method?

2007-09-03 Thread Diego Renato
As a newbie in this list, I have no preference about the best voting method.
I am aware that instinctively Condorcet criterion is desirable if consensus
does not exist, but approval or range can produce good results too.

However, based in Bucklin experiences in USA, I think that any method that
violates later-no-harm (except asset voting) is likely to provide incentive
to bullet vote and became a costly version of plurality. If later-no-harm is
indispensable for a transitional method, MMPO seems the best alternative
because it is nearly Condorcet-efficient and still easy to understand.

After people be accustomed with multi-option voting, and depending of the
detected flaws, other method may be considered, like SSD. (This thought does
not violate my previous opinion about advantages of Improved Approval Runoff
in low-knowledge populations).

I apologize for any error. My English is poor.

Diego Santos

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Re: [Election-Methods] Challenge: Elect the compromise when there're only 2 factions

2007-08-23 Thread Diego Renato
2007/8/23, [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Dear Rob!

 It is possible (otherwise I would not have posted this challenge :-)

 But of course it is not possible with a majoritarian method (that's what
 you observed).

 Keep on, one of the possible solutions is really simple (though not very
 good in other respects)...



Yes, it is not possible with a majoritarian method, but  supermajoritarian
methods can work good!

My first suggestion is a modified form of bucklin voting with 2/3 threshold.
If no candidate reaches a double majority, a new election is held. If no
candidate has 2/3 of the votes after add all preferences, bullet votes are
proportionally completed.

I dislike any undeterministic method, except for tie-braking


Diego Santos

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Re: [Election-Methods] Challenge: Elect the compromise when there're only 2 factions

2007-08-23 Thread Diego Renato
2007/8/23, [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  I dislike any undeterministic method, except for tie-braking

 And I dislike methods that give all power to only one half of the voters
 and can be used to oppress 49% of the electorate :-)


In most societies, the majority dictatorship is not a major problem
because electors' preferences shift along time, and the 49% can became the
majoritarian faction in the next elections.

In divided societies for ethnic, cultural or religious system, where
consensus is desirable, proprotional representation for legislatures and
supermajoritarian methods for single-winner elections (as for head of state
in many parliamentary republics) are better than probabilistic methods.


Diego Santos

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Re: [Election-Methods] Improved Approval Runoff

2007-08-19 Thread Diego Renato
2007/8/18, Gervase Lam:

  [With a reweight of 0 a] concern [is] that if you approve your
 compromise
  candidate, who ends up being the most approved, you can weaken your
 votes
  for your favorite candidate and cause him to fail to qualify for the
  second round.

 The ideal way to sort out this concern would be have the reweighting be
 1 instead of 0.  However, having a reweighting of 1 means that a faction
 could get a turkey candidate into the second round, as Chris has pointed
 out.  The compromise between a reweighting of 0 and 1 is 1/2!
 Personally, I agree with dropping rule #2 but would keep the reweighting
 at 1/2.


I devised an example where a reweighting of 0 results CW fail to run second
round ( is approval cutoff):

33: Right  Center  Left
8: R  C  L
7: C  R  L
8: C  R  L
8: C  L  R
8: C  L  R
7: L  C  R
21: L  C  R

First count: R: 48; C: 46; L: 36
Second count: C: 38,5; L: 36 (IAR), C: 31; L: 36 (Chris' proposal)

Under IAR, candidates from right and center compete in the second round, and
centrist wins. Under Crhis' method, the competitors are from right and left,
and rightist wins.

I agree that dropping rule #2 is better. However, as Dave said, runoffs are
expensive. In parliamentary systems, 50%+ support is sufficient to maintain
a head of government, because this i thought a winner in same conditions is
not a bad outcome.

Diego Santos

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