Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-19 Thread Markus Schulze
Dear Kristofer Munsterhjelm,

you wrote (19 Jan 2009):

> So voters prefer MAM winners to Beatpath winners
> more often than vice versa. What method is the
> best in that respect?

Copeland methods are the best methods in this
respect.

The fact, that the ranked pairs winner usually
pairwise beats the Schulze winner in random
simulations, is a direct consequence of the facts,
that the Schulze winner is usually identical
to the MinMax winner and that the MinMax winner
usually has a very low Copeland score (compared
to the winners of other Condorcet methods).

Markus Schulze



Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-19 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm

Steve Eppley wrote:

Hi,

On 1/18/2009 10:52 AM, Dave Ketchum wrote:

Your promotion of IRV discourages for, while its ballots would be valid
Condorcet ballots, its way of counting sometimes fails to award the
deserved winner (even when there is no cycle making the problem more 
complex).


I do not promote IRV.  IRV+Withdrawal is not IRV.  The withdrawal option 
allows candidates to correct for IRV's tendency to undermine centrist 
compromise.  Candidates would have the incentive to withdraw because 
they and their supporters would prefer centrist compromises over 
"greater evils."  See the example below.



That the indicated winner could withdraw does not really help, for that
candidate does not necessarily know whether IRV has erred.


I don't see why Dave wrote about the "indicated winner" withdrawing.  
The point of withdrawal is to allow *spoilers* to withdraw after the 
votes are cast.


Also, it would quickly become clear whether IRV has "erred."  The votes 
would be published soon after the election day polls close.  Then the 
candidates would be given days after the votes are published to decide 
whether to withdraw.  During that period of time, the candidates (and 
other interested people) can download the published votes and privately 
tally who will win if no one withdraws and who will win if they and/or 
other candidates do withdraw.


Could this lead to informal coalitions? Say that IRV (deservedly) elects 
a right-of-center candidate. Could all the left-of-center candidates 
determine who's most suited among them and thus all but that one 
withdraw to cause the result to go either to that candidate, or at least 
to a candidate closer to the left?


I suppose a counter to that would be that withdrawal can only correct 
unfair vote-splitting, and inasfar as IRV is cloneproof, it shouldn't 
make a difference when the initial result was "fair" in the first place. 
I'm not sure, though. Is it possible?



Therefore I still wait to hear from others as to whether MAM deserves
backing, though it properly handled your simple cycle example.


MAM satisfies all the desirable criteria satisfied by Beatpath Winner 
(aka Cloneproof Schwartz Sequential Dropping--CSSD for short--aka 
Schulze's method).  It also satisfies some criteria that Beatpath Winner 
fails: Immunity from Majority Complaints (IMC, which is satisfied only 
by MAM), Immunity from 2nd-Place Complaints (I2C) and Local Independence 
of Irrelevant Alternatives (LIIA).  Furthermore, simulations by several 
people have shown that over the long run, more voters rank MAM winners 
over Beatpath winners than vice versa, and a majority rank the MAM 
winner over the Beatpath winner more frequently than a majority rank the 
Beatpath winner over the MAM winner. (Those simulations suggest MAM 
comes a little closer than Beatpath Winner to satisfying Arrow's 
Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives criterion.)  See 
www.alumni.caltech.edu/~seppley for more information about MAM and 
criteria it satisfies or fails.


So voters prefer MAM winners to Beatpath winners more often than vice 
versa. What method is the best in that respect? If it is Kemeny, then 
perhaps even more Kemeny-like methods (like Short Ranked Pairs) would be 
even better. They're more complex, though.


Also, to my knowledge, River passes Independence of Pareto-Dominated 
Alternatives while MAM does not. Is River better than MAM?


As far as I can tell, the reason some groups have adopted Beatpath 
Winner rather than MAM is because there used to be a website co-written 
by Mike Ossipoff in which he claimed it will be easier to explain CSSD 
than MAM. (Mike used the name Ranked Pairs instead of MAM, but he 
definitely meant MAM, not the pairwise margins-based voting method that 
Nicolaus Tideman invented and named Ranked Pairs in 1987/1989.)  Mike 
based his conclusion on a few personal anecdotes, which I think can be 
attributed to his own greater familiarity with the Schwartz set that 
made him more comfortable explaining in terms of subsets of candidates. 
(I could forward emails from Mike where he acknowledges MAM is at least 
as good as Beatpath Winner.)  As my previous message about the ease of 
explaining MAM illustrated, Mike was mistaken about which is easier to 
explain.  Judge for yourselves.


From a computational and recursive point of view, Schulze (by the 
Beatpath heuristic) might be simpler to describe than MAM or its 
variants, but in general I agree, since most people don't have that 
point of view.


Rephrasing from condorcet.org (which seems to be down), you'd have a 
computational definition like this:


If X either beats or ties Y pairwise, then X has a path to Y of strength 
equal to the number of voters ranking X over Y.


If X has a path to Y of strength a, and Y has a path to Z of strength n, 
then X has a path to Z equal to the minimum of a and b (that's the 
kinda-recursion).


Of all the paths from X to Y, if the path of greatest strength from X to 
Y i

Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Markus Schulze
Hallo,

Steve Eppley wrote (18 Jan 2009):

> I haven't confirmed the results in the articles
> by Jobst and Norm cited by Markus, but clearly
> he has misrepresented their results, since Minmax
> (aka Simpson-Kramer) was not one of the methods
> they simulated in those articles. They simulated
> Smith//Minmax, which is a different method that
> does NOT minimize the number of voters who prefer
> a different winner.

When the MinMax method chooses a candidate from outside
the Smith set, then the winners of both methods, the
Schulze method and the ranked pairs method, differ
from the winner of the MinMax method. Therefore, such
instances have no impact on the result of Norman Petry's
simulations.

Steve Eppley wrote (18 Jan 2009):

> Markus also erred when he wrote that Minmax and
> Beatpath Winner always pick the same winner when
> there are 4 candidates. Recall the classic example
> that shows Minmax fails clone independence is a
> 4 candidate scenario. In that scenario, Minmax
> elects the candidate outside the top cycle because
> the 3 candidates in the top cycle are in a "vicious"
> cycle of large majorities. Beatpath Winner elects
> within the top cycle (as does MAM).

I didn't write that the MinMax method and the Schulze
method always pick the same candidate. I only wrote
that, in all of Heitzig's instances, the MinMax method
and the Schulze method chose the same candidate (Jobst
Heitzig: "Beatpath and Plain Condorcet are unanimous
in all these examples!") while, in 96 instances, the
ranked pairs method chose a different candidate.

Markus Schulze



Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Steve Eppley

Hi,

I haven't confirmed the results in the articles by Jobst and Norm cited 
by Markus, but clearly he has misrepresented their results, since Minmax 
(aka Simpson-Kramer) was not one of the methods they simulated in those 
articles.  They simulated Smith//Minmax, which is a different method 
that does NOT minimize the number of voters who prefer a different winner.


Markus also erred when he wrote that Minmax and Beatpath Winner always 
pick the same winner when there are 4 candidates.  Recall the classic 
example that shows Minmax fails clone independence is a 4 candidate 
scenario.  In that scenario, Minmax elects the candidate outside the top 
cycle because the 3 candidates in the top cycle are in a "vicious" cycle 
of large majorities.  Beatpath Winner elects within the top cycle (as 
does MAM).


Minmax's best feature, I think, is its simplicity.  Minmax+Withdrawal 
would be a fine method, since any of the candidates in the vicious cycle 
could withdraw to defeat the candidate outside the top cycle, and at 
least one of them would be pressured to do so.


I don't see any validity in Markus' argument that Beatpath Winner is 
better than MAM because BeatpathWinner elects the Smith//Minmax winner 
more often than MAM does.  Simulations support the conclusion that MAM 
is better than both: More voters rank MAM winners over Beatpath winners 
than vice versa, and more voters rank MAM winners over Smith//Minmax 
winners than vice versa.  Norm was one of the people whose simulations 
corroborated these results.


By the way, http://m-schulze.webhop.net/schulze1.pdf didn't load 
properly for me using either Firefox or Internet Explorer.  It quickly 
crashed Firefox and displayed nothing in IE.


Regards,
Steve

On 1/18/2009 1:18 PM, Markus Schulze wrote:

Hallo,

Steve Eppley wrote (18 Jan 2009)

MAM satisfies all the desirable criteria satisfied
by Beatpath Winner (aka Cloneproof Schwartz Sequential
Dropping--CSSD for short--aka Schulze's method).



Many people consider the Simpson-Kramer MinMax method
to be the best single-winner election method because it
minimizes the number of overruled voters. The winner of
the Schulze method is almost always identical to the
winner of the MinMax method, while the winner of the
ranked pairs method differs needlessly frequently from
the winner of the MinMax method.

For example, Norman Petry made some simulations and
observed that the number of situations, where the
Schulze method and the MinMax method chose the same
candidate and the ranked pairs method chose a different
candidate, exceeded the number of situations, where the
ranked pairs method and the MinMax method chose the same
candidate and the Schulze method chose a different
candidate, by a factor of 100:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2000-November/004540.html

Jobst Heitzig made a thorough investigation of the
4-candidate case. In no situation, the Schulze method
and the MinMax method chose different candidates.
("Beatpath and Plain Condorcet are unanimous in all
these examples!") But in 96 situations, the ranked
pairs method and the MinMax method chose different
candidates:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2004-May/012801.html

There are even situations where the winner of the
ranked pairs method differs from the winner of the
MinMax winner without any plausible reason. See
section 9 of my paper:

http://m-schulze.webhop.net/schulze1.pdf

Markus Schulze
  


Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Markus Schulze
Hallo,

the links to Norman Petry's and Jobst Heitzig's
mail have changed. Norman Petry's mail is now here:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2000-November/004541.html

Jobst Heitzig's mail is now here:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2004-May/012838.html

Markus Schulze



Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Markus Schulze
Hallo,

Steve Eppley wrote (18 Jan 2009):

> MAM satisfies all the desirable criteria satisfied
> by Beatpath Winner (aka Cloneproof Schwartz Sequential
> Dropping--CSSD for short--aka Schulze's method).

Many people consider the Simpson-Kramer MinMax method
to be the best single-winner election method because it
minimizes the number of overruled voters. The winner of
the Schulze method is almost always identical to the
winner of the MinMax method, while the winner of the
ranked pairs method differs needlessly frequently from
the winner of the MinMax method.

For example, Norman Petry made some simulations and
observed that the number of situations, where the
Schulze method and the MinMax method chose the same
candidate and the ranked pairs method chose a different
candidate, exceeded the number of situations, where the
ranked pairs method and the MinMax method chose the same
candidate and the Schulze method chose a different
candidate, by a factor of 100:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2000-November/004540.html

Jobst Heitzig made a thorough investigation of the
4-candidate case. In no situation, the Schulze method
and the MinMax method chose different candidates.
("Beatpath and Plain Condorcet are unanimous in all
these examples!") But in 96 situations, the ranked
pairs method and the MinMax method chose different
candidates:

http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2004-May/012801.html

There are even situations where the winner of the
ranked pairs method differs from the winner of the
MinMax winner without any plausible reason. See
section 9 of my paper:

http://m-schulze.webhop.net/schulze1.pdf

Markus Schulze



Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Steve Eppley

Hi,

On 1/18/2009 10:52 AM, Dave Ketchum wrote:

Your promotion of IRV discourages for, while its ballots would be valid
Condorcet ballots, its way of counting sometimes fails to award the
deserved winner (even when there is no cycle making the problem more 
complex).


I do not promote IRV.  IRV+Withdrawal is not IRV.  The withdrawal option 
allows candidates to correct for IRV's tendency to undermine centrist 
compromise.  Candidates would have the incentive to withdraw because 
they and their supporters would prefer centrist compromises over 
"greater evils."  See the example below.



That the indicated winner could withdraw does not really help, for that
candidate does not necessarily know whether IRV has erred.


I don't see why Dave wrote about the "indicated winner" withdrawing.  
The point of withdrawal is to allow *spoilers* to withdraw after the 
votes are cast.


Also, it would quickly become clear whether IRV has "erred."  The votes 
would be published soon after the election day polls close.  Then the 
candidates would be given days after the votes are published to decide 
whether to withdraw.  During that period of time, the candidates (and 
other interested people) can download the published votes and privately 
tally who will win if no one withdraws and who will win if they and/or 
other candidates do withdraw.


Here's an example to illustrate.  Suppose there are 3 candidates: Left, 
Center and Right.  Suppose the voters vote as follows:


40% 5%  10% 45%
LeftCenter  Center  Right
Center  LeftRight   Center
Right   Right   LeftLeft

When the votes are published, everyone can see that IRV will elect Right 
if no one withdraws, and will elect Center if Left withdraws.  Since 
Left and Left's supporters prefer Center over Right, Left has a strong 
incentive to withdraw, electing the Condorcet winner.


Left is not the "indicated winner."  The only way Left could win is if 
both Center and Right withdraw or do not run, which would be crazy.  
Left is just a spoiler.  If Left didn't compete, Center would win 
outright with 55% of the votes (neglecting the effect of possible 
changes in voter turnout).



Therefore I still wait to hear from others as to whether MAM deserves
backing, though it properly handled your simple cycle example.


MAM satisfies all the desirable criteria satisfied by Beatpath Winner 
(aka Cloneproof Schwartz Sequential Dropping--CSSD for short--aka 
Schulze's method).  It also satisfies some criteria that Beatpath Winner 
fails: Immunity from Majority Complaints (IMC, which is satisfied only 
by MAM), Immunity from 2nd-Place Complaints (I2C) and Local Independence 
of Irrelevant Alternatives (LIIA).  Furthermore, simulations by several 
people have shown that over the long run, more voters rank MAM winners 
over Beatpath winners than vice versa, and a majority rank the MAM 
winner over the Beatpath winner more frequently than a majority rank the 
Beatpath winner over the MAM winner. (Those simulations suggest MAM 
comes a little closer than Beatpath Winner to satisfying Arrow's 
Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives criterion.)  See 
www.alumni.caltech.edu/~seppley for more information about MAM and 
criteria it satisfies or fails.


An alternate description of MAM is to find the order of finish that 
minimizes the size of the largest "thwarted" majority, where a thwarted 
majority is defined as a majority who ranked x over y when the order of 
finish does not rank x over y.  It's been proved that the 2 different 
descriptions of MAM are equivalent.  I'm mentioning this alternate 
description just in case there are some people who will find it easier 
to understand.  I prefer describing MAM in terms of constructing the 
order of finish a piece at a time by considering the majorities one at a 
time from largest to smallest, since I think more people will understand 
it and that's how MAM is actually implemented in software. (It's 
computationally much quicker than finding the best order of finish by 
comparing all possible orders of finish.)


As far as I can tell, the reason some groups have adopted Beatpath 
Winner rather than MAM is because there used to be a website co-written 
by Mike Ossipoff in which he claimed it will be easier to explain CSSD 
than MAM. (Mike used the name Ranked Pairs instead of MAM, but he 
definitely meant MAM, not the pairwise margins-based voting method that 
Nicolaus Tideman invented and named Ranked Pairs in 1987/1989.)  Mike 
based his conclusion on a few personal anecdotes, which I think can be 
attributed to his own greater familiarity with the Schwartz set that 
made him more comfortable explaining in terms of subsets of candidates. 
(I could forward emails from Mike where he acknowledges MAM is at least 
as good as Beatpath Winner.)  As my previous message about the ease of 
explaining MAM illustrated, Mike was mistaken about which is easier to 

Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-18 Thread Dave Ketchum

Your promotion of IRV discourages for, while its ballots would be valid
Condorcet ballots, its way of counting sometimes fails to award the
deserved winner (even when there is no cycle making the problem more complex).

That the indicated winner could withdraw does not really help, for that
candidate does not necessarily know whether IRV has erred.

Therefore I still wait to hear from others as to whether MAM deserves
backing, though it properly handled your simple cycle example.

DWK

On Sat, 17 Jan 2009 19:40:35 -0800 Steve Eppley wrote:
> Hi,
>
> [I'm not subscribed to rangevot...@yahoogroups.com, so I won't see
> replies posted only there.]
>
> On 1/9/09 Dave Ketchum wrote:
>
>> Extended now to EM - I should have started this in both.
>> On Fri, 09 Jan 2009 15:40:58 - Bruce R. Gilson wrote:
>>
>>> --- In rangevot...@yahoogroups.com, Dave Ketchum  wrote:
>>>
 We need to sort thru the possibilities of going with Condorcet.  I
 claim:

 Method must be open - starting with the N*N matrix being available
 to anyone who wants to check and review in detail.

 If the matrix shows a CW, that CW better get to win.

 Cycle resolution also better be simple to do.  We need to debate
 what we document and do here such as basing our work on margins or
 vote counts.
>>>
>>>
>>> Yes. My biggest gripe with Condorcet is that cycle resolution in many
>>> systems is so complex that it does not seem that a typical voter (as
>>> opposed to people like us who are personally interested in electoral
>>> systems) could understand what is being done.
>>
> -snip-
>
> I think there's no need to gripe or fret.  Resolving cycles doesn't need
> to be complex.  Here are 2 solutions.
>
> 1) The "Maximize Affirmed Majorities" voting method (MAM) is an
> excellent Condorcet method and is very natural.  Here's a simple way to
> explain how it works and why:
>
>  The basis of the majority rule principle is that the more people there
>  are who think candidate A is better than candidate B, the more likely
>  it is that A will be better than B for society. (Regardless of whether
>  they think A is best.)
>
>  Since majorities can conflict like "rock paper scissors" (as shown
> in the
>  example that follows) the majority rule principle suggests such
> conflicts
>  should be resolved in favor of the larger majorities.
>
>  Example: Suppose there are 3 candidates: Rock, Paper and Scissors.
>  Suppose there are 9 voters, who each rank the candidates from best
>  to worst (top to bottom):
>
> 432
> Rock Scissors Paper
> Scissors PaperRock
> PaperRock Scissors
>
>  7 voters (a majority) rank Scissors over Paper.
>  6 voters (a majority) rank Rock over Scissors.
>  5 voters (a majority) rank Paper over Rock.
>
>  By paying attention first to the larger majorities--Scissors over
> Paper,
>  then Rock over Scissors--we establish that Scissors finishes over Paper
>  and then that Rock finishes over Scissors:
>
> Rock
> Scissors
> Paper
>
>  It can be seen at a glance that Rock also finishes over Paper.
>  The smaller majority who rank Paper over Rock are outweighed.
>
>  Since Rock finishes over both Scissors and Paper, we elect Rock.
>
> I think that's not too complex. (How did anyone reach the dubious
> conclusion that beatpaths or clone-proof Schwarz sequential dropping
> will be easier than MAM to explain?)  I think the only operational
> concept that will take work to explain is that there is more than one
> majority when there are more than two alternatives. (Analogous to a
> round robin tournament, common to all Condorcet methods, and not really
> hard to explain.)  Most people already know what an order of finish is,
> and I think most people are familiar enough with orderings that they
> will recognize the transitive property of orderings when it's presented
> visually.
>
> Jargon terms such as "Condorcet winner," "beats pairwise" and "winning
> votes" are unnecessary.  Their use may interfere with moving ahead.
>
> Top-to-bottom orderings are more intuitive than the left-to-right
> orientation many other writers use in their examples.  Two common
> meanings of "top" are "best" and "favorite."  Two common meanings of
> "bottom" are "worst" and "least favored."  In those contexts, "over"
> means "better" or "more preferred."  Left-to-right offers no such
> friendly connotations (except to the "leftist" minority, and the
> opposite to the "rightist" minority).  Left-to-right becomes even worse
> when symbols like the "greater than" sign (>) are used, since a lot of
> people are repelled by math symbols.  Left-to-right rankings may
> interfere with moving ahead.
>
> 2) One could promote the variation of Instant Runoff (IRV) that allows
> candidates to withdraw from contenti

Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-17 Thread Steve Eppley

Hi,

[I'm not subscribed to rangevot...@yahoogroups.com, so I won't see 
replies posted only there.]


On 1/9/09 Dave Ketchum wrote:

Extended now to EM - I should have started this in both.
On Fri, 09 Jan 2009 15:40:58 - Bruce R. Gilson wrote:

--- In rangevot...@yahoogroups.com, Dave Ketchum  wrote:
We need to sort thru the possibilities of going with Condorcet.  I 
claim:


Method must be open - starting with the N*N matrix being available 
to anyone who wants to check and review in detail.


If the matrix shows a CW, that CW better get to win.

Cycle resolution also better be simple to do.  We need to debate 
what we document and do here such as basing our work on margins or 
vote counts.


Yes. My biggest gripe with Condorcet is that cycle resolution in many 
systems is so complex that it does not seem that a typical voter (as 
opposed to people like us who are personally interested in electoral 
systems) could understand what is being done.

-snip-

I think there's no need to gripe or fret.  Resolving cycles doesn't need 
to be complex.  Here are 2 solutions.


1) The "Maximize Affirmed Majorities" voting method (MAM) is an 
excellent Condorcet method and is very natural.  Here's a simple way to 
explain how it works and why:


The basis of the majority rule principle is that the more people there
are who think candidate A is better than candidate B, the more likely
it is that A will be better than B for society. (Regardless of whether
they think A is best.)

Since majorities can conflict like "rock paper scissors" (as shown 
in the
example that follows) the majority rule principle suggests such 
conflicts

should be resolved in favor of the larger majorities.

Example: Suppose there are 3 candidates: Rock, Paper and Scissors.
Suppose there are 9 voters, who each rank the candidates from best
to worst (top to bottom):

*_4__3__2_
   Rock Scissors Paper
   Scissors PaperRock
   PaperRock Scissors**
*
7 voters (a majority) rank Scissors over Paper.
6 voters (a majority) rank Rock over Scissors.
5 voters (a majority) rank Paper over Rock.

By paying attention first to the larger majorities--Scissors over 
Paper,

then Rock over Scissors--we establish that Scissors finishes over Paper
and then that Rock finishes over Scissors:

*Rock   
   Scissors

   Paper**
*
It can be seen at a glance that Rock also finishes over Paper. 
The smaller majority who rank Paper over Rock are outweighed.


Since Rock finishes over both Scissors and Paper, we elect Rock.

I think that's not too complex. (How did anyone reach the dubious 
conclusion that beatpaths or clone-proof Schwarz sequential dropping 
will be easier than MAM to explain?)  I think the only operational 
concept that will take work to explain is that there is more than one 
majority when there are more than two alternatives. (Analogous to a 
round robin tournament, common to all Condorcet methods, and not really 
hard to explain.)  Most people already know what an order of finish is, 
and I think most people are familiar enough with orderings that they 
will recognize the transitive property of orderings when it's presented 
visually.


Jargon terms such as "Condorcet winner," "beats pairwise" and "winning 
votes" are unnecessary.  Their use may interfere with moving ahead.


Top-to-bottom orderings are more intuitive than the left-to-right 
orientation many other writers use in their examples.  Two common 
meanings of "top" are "best" and "favorite."  Two common meanings of 
"bottom" are "worst" and "least favored."  In those contexts, "over" 
means "better" or "more preferred."  Left-to-right offers no such 
friendly connotations (except to the "leftist" minority, and the 
opposite to the "rightist" minority).  Left-to-right becomes even worse 
when symbols like the "greater than" sign (>) are used, since a lot of 
people are repelled by math symbols.  Left-to-right rankings may 
interfere with moving ahead.


2) One could promote the variation of Instant Runoff (IRV) that allows 
candidates to withdraw from contention after the votes are published. 
(I'm not suggesting eliminating the secret ballot.  The corresponding 
voters' identities would not be published.)  The withdrawal option 
mitigates the spoiling problem of plain IRV.  It reduces incentives for 
voters to misrepresent preferences (true also for Condorcet methods, but 
I think not true for Range Voting, Approval or Borda).  I expect 
IRV+Withdrawal would exhibit a solid Condorcetian tendency to elect 
within the sincere top cycle, since supporters of spoilers would 
pressure them to withdraw when needed to defeat their "greater evil."  
Obviously, its promotion could leverage the efforts of the promoters of 
plain IRV.  It can even be argued that IRV+Withdrawal satisfies the 
spirit

Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-16 Thread Dave Ketchum
a range voting list?  It started as such, but where do you draw a proper 
fence around the edges?  Management of this list has been quite tolerant.


I have this same thread on Election-methods, and this post will go to both.

Range vs Condorcet?
 Range voters rate candidates, and difference in a voter's rating of 
two such shows strength of relative approval.  Sum of all these rating 
differences shows strength of A>B or B>A.
 Condorcet voters rank each pair as A>B or B>A or (A=B if neither is 
ranked over the other).  Count of rankings decides winner.

 I see each as having merit, but prefer Condorcet.

I mentioned IRV in a side discussion where I was responding to a suggestion 
that Plurality would properly resolve Condorcet cycles.  I offered IRV as 
better than Plurality for this purpose, WITHOUT agreeing that IRV would be 
good for this purpose.


On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 14:50:05 -0500 (EST) Dale Sheldon wrote:

On Fri, 16 Jan 2009, Dave Ketchum wrote:



Condorcet/IRV would make a better pair since the voters would do the same
ranking for both, and IRV would, usually, pick the CW when such exists.



Just so we're clear, you mean:

* Elect the Condorcet winner, if one exist.

* If one does not exist, elect the IRV winner (presumably from among the 
set of leading candidates tied into the cycle, i.e., the Smith set).



Anyway, trying for a better method (the proper goal) would start with 
ranked voting



Apologies if this has been covered recently (I did just join the list 
earlier this week, and tried to read back a reasonable time frame, but I 
may have missed something vital), but what is your basis for this 
assumption?  Why is range voting (I thought this was a range voting list 
:) being discarded out of hand?




Probably not possible to find a uniquely best cycle resolution



It is, infact, provably impossible.


Huh?  Certainly there are rejects and lemons, but what prevents having a best?
--
 da...@clarityconnect.compeople.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
 Dave Ketchum   108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY  13827-1708   607-687-5026
   Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
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Re: [EM] Condorcet - let's move ahead

2009-01-09 Thread Dave Ketchum

Extended now to EM - I should have started this in both.
On Fri, 09 Jan 2009 15:40:58 - Bruce R. Gilson wrote:

--- In rangevot...@yahoogroups.com, Dave Ketchum  wrote:

We need to sort thru the possibilities of going with Condorcet.  I 
claim:


Method must be open - starting with the N*N matrix being available 
to anyone who wants to check and review in detail.


If the matrix shows a CW, that CW better get to win.

Cycle resolution also better be simple to do.  We need to debate 
what we document and do here such as basing our work on margins or 
vote counts.



Yes. My biggest gripe with Condorcet is that cycle resolution in many 
systems is so complex that it does not seem that a typical voter (as 
opposed to people like us who are personally interested in electoral 
systems) could understand what is being done.  
 

Tossing a coin seems good for resolving true ties - and candidates 
involved should have right to verify such got done.


BTW, fact that we are doing a tournament is worth bragging about.

I am against runoffs.  Plurality needs them because its voters 
cannot completely express their desires; Condorcet permits more 
complete stating of desires via ranking.



I totally agree. Abd-el-Rahman Lomax quickly lost me with his 
incessant calls for runoffs, and even runoffs with write-ins 
permitted, so that an ordinary voter is going to have to come out and 
vote over and over again. Once is enough, I think. (Actually even so 
it's twice, as we would need primaries in any system, whether 
plurality or Condorcet.)


Primaries are worth more thought:

Parties preparing for Plurality elections desperately need something, such 
as primaries, to protect their backers from splitting their votes.


Condorcet has no such need since voters are each allowed to vote for more 
than one of its candidates at the major election.  Note that parties may 
have their own other reasons for doing primaries.

--
 da...@clarityconnect.compeople.clarityconnect.com/webpages3/davek
 Dave Ketchum   108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY  13827-1708   607-687-5026
   Do to no one what you would not want done to you.
 If you want peace, work for justice.




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