Re: [EM] Remember Toby (fsimm...@pcc.edu)

2011-06-01 Thread Dave Ketchum

On Jun 1, 2011, at 11:38 AM, Kathy Dopp wrote:


I agree with everything you've said here re. simplicity etc.

Condorcet with Approval to break Condorcet cycles would be great.
Simple to explain, precinct-summable with the use of an NxN matrix,
with N= # candidates and the matrix diagonal available for other data.
(such as the total number of ballots cast or ?)


Sounds good until you think about Condorcet and Approval arguing as to  
what quality is worth ranking.  Approval wants ONLY desirable  
candidates; Condorcet can afford low ranks in case all those given  
higher ranks lose.


Note that each member of a Condorcet cycle has demonstrated CW ability  
vs every non-member.  Thus the cycle members are near to being tied,  
and properly compete among themselves for one to become CW.


I like the idea of using Approval to count all except the last ballot
position, whatever that would be. In the US, given current voting
system capacities, that would be counting the first two ranked
positions.


Attempted recovery - but the voter may, OR may not, have ranked one  
that would have been approved if the voter was thinking of Approval  
(and, the voter may have ranked only two).



Upper margin error bounds could probably be calculated for each
reported Condorcet matrix precinct tally so that selection weights and
sample sizes could be calculated for post-election manual audits to
publicly verify the accuracy of the reported election outcomes.

Range voting would be too complex because it involves too much thought
and strategizing for voters to determine how many relative points to
give each candidate.


Agreed.


Some of the other methods for resolving Condorcet
cycles are too complex for most voters to understand and apply so that
they can check the calculations.  IRV and STV methods are out, not
only due to their nonmonotonicity, and their failure to solve the
spoiler problem, but due to their fundamental unfair method of
counting ballots which makes manual counting and thus auditing for
election outcome accuracy virtually impossible.


Agreed.


We ought to focus on how to make Condorcet/Approval voting
understandable to the public and to election officials and show how it
could be used with existing voting equipment, the existing problems
with plurality it solves, etc.  I could work on developing the
mathematics of post-election auditing sampling for it when I have
time.


Not agreed - see above.



Kathy


Date: Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:46:20 + (GMT)
From: fsimm...@pcc.edu


It seems to me that thevoters are more worried about the ballot  
type and ease of voting it than they are
of the exact counting rules.   There are several Condorcet methods  
that are clone proof and monotonic
without being too complicated.  I agree with Kevin that "elect the  
CW if there is one, else elect the
candidate ranked (or ranked above last) on the greatest number of  
ballots" is plenty simple, and is much

more satisfactory than MinMax or Copeland in other respects.

But, as I said, what we really need to concentrate on is simplicity  
in votinig, i.e. how do we make ballots
that easy to use for "Hodge, fresh from the plough," as Lewis  
Carroll put it.


It has been averred many times on this list that in Australia,  
where partial rankings are considered
spoiled ballots, the vast majority of voters fill out their ballots  
by copying "candidate cards" which are

published  sample ballots recommended by the various candidates.

Asset voting makes this automatic for 100% of the voters.  That's  
probably going too far, so how do we

get a compromise between Asset voting and Condorcet?

--

Kathy Dopp




Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info


Re: [EM] Remember Toby (fsimm...@pcc.edu)

2011-06-01 Thread Kathy Dopp
I agree with everything you've said here re. simplicity etc.

Condorcet with Approval to break Condorcet cycles would be great.
Simple to explain, precinct-summable with the use of an NxN matrix,
with N= # candidates and the matrix diagonal available for other data.
(such as the total number of ballots cast or ?)

I like the idea of using Approval to count all except the last ballot
position, whatever that would be. In the US, given current voting
system capacities, that would be counting the first two ranked
positions.

Upper margin error bounds could probably be calculated for each
reported Condorcet matrix precinct tally so that selection weights and
sample sizes could be calculated for post-election manual audits to
publicly verify the accuracy of the reported election outcomes.

Range voting would be too complex because it involves too much thought
and strategizing for voters to determine how many relative points to
give each candidate. Some of the other methods for resolving Condorcet
cycles are too complex for most voters to understand and apply so that
they can check the calculations.  IRV and STV methods are out, not
only due to their nonmonotonicity, and their failure to solve the
spoiler problem, but due to their fundamental unfair method of
counting ballots which makes manual counting and thus auditing for
election outcome accuracy virtually impossible.

We ought to focus on how to make Condorcet/Approval voting
understandable to the public and to election officials and show how it
could be used with existing voting equipment, the existing problems
with plurality it solves, etc.  I could work on developing the
mathematics of post-election auditing sampling for it when I have
time.

Kathy

> Date: Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:46:20 + (GMT)
> From: fsimm...@pcc.edu

> It seems to me that thevoters are more worried about the ballot type and ease 
> of voting it than they are
> of the exact counting rules.   There are several Condorcet methods that are 
> clone proof and monotonic
> without being too complicated.  I agree with Kevin that "elect the CW if 
> there is one, else elect the
> candidate ranked (or ranked above last) on the greatest number of ballots" is 
> plenty simple, and is much
> more satisfactory than MinMax or Copeland in other respects.
>
> But, as I said, what we really need to concentrate on is simplicity in 
> votinig, i.e. how do we make ballots
> that easy to use for "Hodge, fresh from the plough," as Lewis Carroll put it.
>
> It has been averred many times on this list that in Australia, where partial 
> rankings are considered
> spoiled ballots, the vast majority of voters fill out their ballots by 
> copying "candidate cards" which are
> published  sample ballots recommended by the various candidates.
>
> Asset voting makes this automatic for 100% of the voters.  That's probably 
> going too far, so how do we
> get a compromise between Asset voting and Condorcet?
>
>

-- 

Kathy Dopp
http://electionmathematics.org
Town of Colonie, NY 12304
"One of the best ways to keep any conversation civil is to support the
discussion with true facts."

Fundamentals of Verifiable Elections
http://kathydopp.com/wordpress/?p=174

Realities Mar Instant Runoff Voting
http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

View some of my research on my SSRN Author page:
http://ssrn.com/author=1451051

Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info