RE: [EM] Condorcet vs Approval

2001-03-02 Thread Forest Simmons

Thanks to Martin Harper and Craig Layton for valuable critiques.

In particular, Martin is right. The voters should be able to make
distinctions among their unapproved candidates, too.

Here's a more ideal version of a compromise between Condorcet and
Approval, which could be considered a dyadic refinement of Approval.
A voted ballot would look like this:

ABC  DE  F  GHIJ  KLMNOP  QRS  TUVW  XYZ

Or expressed differently

111 ABC
110 DE
101 F
100 GHIJ
011 KLMNOP
010 QRS
001 TUVW
000 XYZ

Candidates are compared head-to-head as in Condorcet.  Candidates in the
same group get scores of zero against each other. When candidates are in
distinct groups, the more approved candidate (the one further to the left
in the first representation or with the higher binary label in the second
representation) gets a score corresponding to how big the biggest
inequality symbol is that separates the two candidates being compared. In
the second representation, the score would be the place of the most
significant digit in which the two binary labels differ.

For example, between C and F, the biggest inequality is a double
inequality  , so C beats F by two points.  In the binary labels for C
and F the most significant digit in which they differ is the second digit,
so again, C beats F by two points.

In this example, any letter before K in the alphabet beats any letter
after J by three points because to get from one group to the other you
have to cross the triple inequality  and (from the other point of view) 
all such pairs differ in their most significant digit which is the third
binary place (from the right). (Significance increases from right to
left.) 


The  marks the fundamental boundary between approved and unapproved.
the  marks the boundary between a refined approval within those two
groups.  Similarly, the  gives further refinement.

For strategy, figure the  location first, as you would in normal
approval.  Then figure each  as you would in normal approval if the only
candidates running were the ones in the group to be divided by the  .
Similarly, put in each  by pretending nothing exists outside the group
being divided.

That's it except for deciding how to break Condorcet cycles. I'm still not
sure of the best method, but one possibility is to first ignore the single
inequalities, and if that doesn't do it, then ignore the double
inequalities.

I have some other ideas for avoiding cycles which I will explain later.

Obviously, this method can be extended to many levels of refinement. For
practical purposes, I think three would be maximum. However, theoretical
purposes abound, so we shouldn't neglect it for cumbersomeness alone.

Forest




RE: [EM] Condorcet vs Approval

2001-03-02 Thread Forest Simmons

One other thing.  In a zero information election, start by expressing your
utilities in binary rounded to three binary digits, this takes you
directly to the second representation of the dyadic refined approval
ballot below, bypassing the strategic , , and  boundary
calculations. 

Forest


On Fri, 2 Mar 2001, Forest Simmons wrote:

 Thanks to Martin Harper and Craig Layton for valuable critiques.
 
 In particular, Martin is right. The voters should be able to make
 distinctions among their unapproved candidates, too.
 
 Here's a more ideal version of a compromise between Condorcet and
 Approval, which could be considered a dyadic refinement of Approval.
 A voted ballot would look like this:
 
 ABC  DE  F  GHIJ  KLMNOP  QRS  TUVW  XYZ
 
 Or expressed differently
 
 111 ABC
 110 DE
 101 F
 100 GHIJ
 011 KLMNOP
 010 QRS
 001 TUVW
 000 XYZ
 
 Candidates are compared head-to-head as in Condorcet.  Candidates in the
 same group get scores of zero against each other. When candidates are in
 distinct groups, the more approved candidate (the one further to the left
 in the first representation or with the higher binary label in the second
 representation) gets a score corresponding to how big the biggest
 inequality symbol is that separates the two candidates being compared. In
 the second representation, the score would be the place of the most
 significant digit in which the two binary labels differ.
 
 For example, between C and F, the biggest inequality is a double
 inequality  , so C beats F by two points.  In the binary labels for C
 and F the most significant digit in which they differ is the second digit,
 so again, C beats F by two points.
 
 In this example, any letter before K in the alphabet beats any letter
 after J by three points because to get from one group to the other you
 have to cross the triple inequality  and (from the other point of view) 
 all such pairs differ in their most significant digit which is the third
 binary place (from the right). (Significance increases from right to
 left.) 
 
 
 The  marks the fundamental boundary between approved and unapproved.
 the  marks the boundary between a refined approval within those two
 groups.  Similarly, the  gives further refinement.
 
 For strategy, figure the  location first, as you would in normal
 approval.  Then figure each  as you would in normal approval if the only
 candidates running were the ones in the group to be divided by the  .
 Similarly, put in each  by pretending nothing exists outside the group
 being divided.
 
 That's it except for deciding how to break Condorcet cycles. I'm still not
 sure of the best method, but one possibility is to first ignore the single
 inequalities, and if that doesn't do it, then ignore the double
 inequalities.
 
 I have some other ideas for avoiding cycles which I will explain later.
 
 Obviously, this method can be extended to many levels of refinement. For
 practical purposes, I think three would be maximum. However, theoretical
 purposes abound, so we shouldn't neglect it for cumbersomeness alone.
 
 Forest
 
 




RE: [EM] Condorcet vs Approval

2001-03-02 Thread Forest Simmons

For this zero information direct utility conversion to work best, all
utilities should be between zero and .99, and after the conversion to
binary, truncate to three binary digits (instead of rounding).

It's hard to say whether this method is more in the spirit of Approval or
the spirit of Condorcet. The head-to-head feature is essential: otherwise
strategy takes us right back to ordinary Approval.  In other words, its
the Condorcet aspect that makes this form of CR strategically different
from ordinary Approval.

On the other hand, the miniature approval strategies at the various levels
makes this method seem more like Approval than Condorcet in spirit.

In particular, it seems designed to handle those lopsided utility examples
that Bart Ingles keeps bringing up in order to point out that even with a
definite CW (no cycles to break) Condorcet can distort the combined will
of the electorate.

Bart Ingles and Joe Weinstein were the inspiration for this method: Bart
because of his insightful critiques of Condorcet, and Joe for his great
reasons to continue the hunt for a good Cardinal Ratings method, and his
insight that summing and averaging are not always the best ways to
aggregate individual utility into social utility.

Forest


On Fri, 2 Mar 2001, Forest Simmons wrote:

 One other thing.  In a zero information election, start by expressing your
 utilities in binary rounded to three binary digits, this takes you
 directly to the second representation of the dyadic refined approval
 ballot below, bypassing the strategic , , and  boundary
 calculations. 
 
 Forest
 
 
 On Fri, 2 Mar 2001, Forest Simmons wrote:
 
  Thanks to Martin Harper and Craig Layton for valuable critiques.
  
  In particular, Martin is right. The voters should be able to make
  distinctions among their unapproved candidates, too.
  
  Here's a more ideal version of a compromise between Condorcet and
  Approval, which could be considered a dyadic refinement of Approval.
  A voted ballot would look like this:
  
  ABC  DE  F  GHIJ  KLMNOP  QRS  TUVW  XYZ
  
  Or expressed differently
  
  111 ABC
  110 DE
  101 F
  100 GHIJ
  011 KLMNOP
  010 QRS
  001 TUVW
  000 XYZ
  
  Candidates are compared head-to-head as in Condorcet.  Candidates in the
  same group get scores of zero against each other. When candidates are in
  distinct groups, the more approved candidate (the one further to the left
  in the first representation or with the higher binary label in the second
  representation) gets a score corresponding to how big the biggest
  inequality symbol is that separates the two candidates being compared. In
  the second representation, the score would be the place of the most
  significant digit in which the two binary labels differ.
  
  For example, between C and F, the biggest inequality is a double
  inequality  , so C beats F by two points.  In the binary labels for C
  and F the most significant digit in which they differ is the second digit,
  so again, C beats F by two points.
  
  In this example, any letter before K in the alphabet beats any letter
  after J by three points because to get from one group to the other you
  have to cross the triple inequality  and (from the other point of view) 
  all such pairs differ in their most significant digit which is the third
  binary place (from the right). (Significance increases from right to
  left.) 
  
  
  The  marks the fundamental boundary between approved and unapproved.
  the  marks the boundary between a refined approval within those two
  groups.  Similarly, the  gives further refinement.
  
  For strategy, figure the  location first, as you would in normal
  approval.  Then figure each  as you would in normal approval if the only
  candidates running were the ones in the group to be divided by the  .
  Similarly, put in each  by pretending nothing exists outside the group
  being divided.
  
  That's it except for deciding how to break Condorcet cycles. I'm still not
  sure of the best method, but one possibility is to first ignore the single
  inequalities, and if that doesn't do it, then ignore the double
  inequalities.
  
  I have some other ideas for avoiding cycles which I will explain later.
  
  Obviously, this method can be extended to many levels of refinement. For
  practical purposes, I think three would be maximum. However, theoretical
  purposes abound, so we shouldn't neglect it for cumbersomeness alone.
  
  Forest
  
  
 
 




Re: [EM] Multiple Winner Elections

2001-03-02 Thread Forest Simmons

I would like to make a suggestion for a multiple winner proportional
method that is as good or better than any I have heard proposed so far,
short of the Proportional Approval Voting (PAV) that Michael Welford and I
proposed several weeks ago. (Full strength PAV would involve checking all
of the two candidate subsets, one-by-one on each ballot, so it would
probably be more elaborate than what you wanted.)

The method I recommend is a simple sequential version of PAV:

(1) Have the voters fill out approval ballots (identical to ordinary one
vote per voter ballots with instructions to vote for as many of the
candidates as they would like to support). 

(2) Completely eliminate all of the candidates that get fewer than 30% of
the vote. (Do not even put them back in for step 4 below.)

(3) Pick out the Approval Winner from among the  remaining candidates (the
candidate with the most votes). This is the first winner.

(4) Recount the ballots with this twist: All of the ballots that did NOT
approve of the first winner get counted twice.

The winner of step 4 is the second winner. If one of the winners is to
have special tie breaking privileges or be considered the chair, while the
other is to be considered the co-chair, then no known method is superior
to this one.

It could well be worth designing the chair/co-chair position to fit this
election method, since the method is superior in every way (including
simplicity and ease of implementation) to all of the competing methods for
that kind of arrangement.

Even if the two co-chairs are to be considered equal in every way, this
method is as good as any sequential method (like STV) for getting
proportional (or better) representation, and is more likely to get winners
with broad support than STV or any simple method (short of full PAV in
simplicity).

If you would like step by step examples, or have any questions, I would be
glad to help.

Forest

On Mon, 19 Feb 2001, Moe St. EverGreen wrote:

 What are the best choice(s) of voting system(s)
 for a multiple winner election?
 
 I can believe there could be more than one depending
 on the type of election.
 
 For instance, we will have a 2 person co-chair in an organization,
 where the idea is to balance any opposing factions 
 as they will likely occur.
 
 What would be the best form of election?
 
 I know Approval could be used (taking the top two), 
 but it seems very easily for a faction to have a strategy
 of running multiple candidates.
 
 Cumulative seems a little like overkill, and I'm not sure
 how well it stands up against other systems.
 
 I don't see how we could possibly use any form
 of Proportional for this.
 
 And I worry that STV is just as bad as IRV.
 
 The other situation is that we will have a large county executive
 committee, which we want to elect using some form of PR. 
 
 The idea is that each candidate must choose to run 
 either unaffiliated, or as affiliated with one of our 
 activist groups or neighborhood groups (affiliation being 
 decided by a majority approval of that group).
 
 Whatever the method of election counting, the seats would be filled
 in the order of any top winning unaffiliated winners first, 
 then the remaining seats would be proportioned out per the total 
 support each group received (with affiliated being a group), with the 
 seats for each group being filled in order of most support to least 
 support.
 
 Since we are a county political party, we won't have parties within
 ourself, but we will very likely have factions and neighborhood groups
 which will need to have representation.
 
 Please let me know of the best alternative methods we may use, and
 if we did use the system above, should we rank the votes, or use
 something similar to approval voting, etc., for the actual ballot
 and ballot counting.
 
 - Moe.
 
 
 
 





[EM] Son of Condorcet vs Approval

2001-03-02 Thread Tony Simmons

 111 ABC
 110 DE
 101 F
 100 GHIJ
 011 KLMNOP
 010 QRS
 001 TUVW
 000 XYZ

 In the second representation, the score would be the place
 of the most significant digit in which the two binary
 labels differ.

Oops, this means that there's a whopping difference between
100 and 011, merely because of an artifact of the
representation.  That is, if you dropped ABC from the
election, 011 moves up to 100 and 100 moves up to 101, so the
score becomes 1 instead of 3.

How about just making the score the difference between the
two values?  Or if you want to give the score a logarithmic
flavor, as your second proposal does, how about using the
base 2 log of the difference?  This gives roughly the same
distribution of scores, but without the artifact.






Re: [EM] Condorcet vs Approval

2001-03-02 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF



If you solve circular ties by Approval, where candidates whom you've
ranked get an Approval vote from you, then you have to worry about
strategy, how far to extend you ranking, even if there's no danger
of anyone using offensive order-reversal strategy. With Condorcet,
in the form of PC, Smith//PC, SSD, Cloneproof SSD, or BeatpathWinner,
a majority who prefer the sincere CW to B can be assured that B
can't win, if that majority vote sincerely and if no one falsifies
a preference. That can't be said for other methods. For SSD, Cloneproof SSD, 
 BeatpathWinner, a majority who prefer a certain
member of the sincere Smith set to B can be assured that B won't
win, if that majority votes sincerely, and if B isn't a member of
the sincere Smith set, and if no one falsifies a preference.

For the purpose of these gurarantees, a voter votes sincerely if
he doesn't falsify a preference or leave unvoted a preference that
the balloting system in use would have allowed him to vote in addition to 
the preferences that he actually voted.

Those gurantees that I mentioned are the criteria SFC  GSFC.

Complying methods are strategy-free under plausible conditions.

Mike Ossipoff

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