Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

2016-08-13 Thread 63urban via EV


I don't think this is the case. Nuclear plants which in North America we have 
plenty need to put out a base amount but they can also be used very effectively 
for peak power needs.  It will be a very long time before there is so much 
solar ( which produces during peak) that we put the nuclear facilities in North 
America out of business.  They will continue  to produce the base requirements 
at night. My hope is that there will soon be no need for fossil fuel plants. I 
don't know how it is in the u.s. but in canada we are currently being sold a 
bill of goods with turbines. (Someone's getting rich and it's not the rate 
payers or the land owners) at any rate wind adds well to the shoulder times as 
they at least here seem to generate early morning and late night most 
consistently. 
Nick


Sent from my Bell Samsung device over Canada's largest network.

 Original message 
From: Peri Hartman via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org> 
Date: 2016-08-13  12:37 PM  (GMT-05:00) 
To: Robert Bruninga <bruni...@usna.edu>, Electric Vehicle Discussion List 
<ev@lists.evdl.org> 
Subject: Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots 

Robert,

You're probably right on the peak power rates. But I think the power 
companies have a legitimate concern. That doesn't justify stonewalling.

The issue I see is what happens when solar generation is insufficient. 
If residents are installing solar panels but no backup supply, then they 
are relying on the grid to generate power when they cannot. That means 
the utilities have to build full capacity power generation regardless if 
it gets used regularly or hardly at all.

Currently, they use much of their capacity all the time and, thus, can 
recoup their investment over a large degree of usage. Alternatively, if 
they have to build the same capacity and recoup their investment just 
during occasional peak usage, I suspect their peak rates will need to be 
a lot higher than they currently are.

That said, such an arrangement, with mitigation, might not be so bad. It 
would encourage people to install backup storage and reduce the 
utility's need to build out.

Peri

-- Original Message --
From: "Robert Bruninga via EV" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
To: "Electric Vehicle Discussion List" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
Sent: 13-Aug-16 9:26:59 AM
Subject: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

>The argument that solar people (many with EV's) are getting an unfair 
>good
>deal  at the expense of other rate payers is hogwash, yet the fossil 
>fuel
>industry lobbyists and big money are promoting it to fight solar.
>
>I just had an emiphany...
>
>We all know that home solar is actually a big win to the utilities 
>since
>they are getting our solar power at the standard 10 cent rate when in 
>fat,
>they are paying 5 to ten times that during the daily peak to meet peak
>demand.  And the proof is in every electric bill in Maryland.  All
>customers have smart meters, and the utility says THEY WILL PAY 
>EVERYONE
>$1.50 PER KWH for every KWH THAT THEY DO NOT USE ON THESE PEAK SOLAR 
>DAYS.
>This proves they are paying more than $1.50 per kWh on those days...
>
>So do not be fed the BS from the utilities and fossil fuel industry 
>that
>solar is "costing them money" when in fact they are skimming off the
>profits and taking them straight to the bank.
>
>But solar customers understand that this net profit to the utilities 
>for
>their power is what they give up in order to have the grid as their 
>storage
>system.  So it is a win-win for both (and a lose-lose for the fossil 
>fuel
>industry truing to burn every last drop.
>
>HERE IS MY EPIPHANY:
>
>In the past, it was the Fossil fuel people and their dirty PEAKING 
>plants
>that were getting paid ten to twenty times the normal rate during PEAK
>solar days, and yet the utilty now is getting the same peak power from
>solar still at the net rate of ten cents.  No wonder they feel 
>threatened.
>Notice it is not the other rate payers losing money it is the dirty 
>fossil
>fuel peak generator suppliers that see the ten-to-1 loss in their dirty
>peakers.  And that is exactly as it should be.  We need them and their
>dirty power off the grid.  The sooner the better.
>
>Sure we need peaking plants,  But we do not need to cry over them when
>solar can provide power to the grid at the same time for under 10% of 
>their
>dirty costs.  So it is not the other rate payers that are complaining, 
>it
>is the dirty fossil fuel peaking plans using the good name of "other 
>rate
>payers" to divide and conquer us.
>
>Bob Bruninga, WB4APR
>-- next part --
>An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
>URL: 
><http://lists.evdl.org/private.cgi/ev-evdl.org/attachments/20160813/10f2361b/attachment.htm>
>

Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

2016-08-13 Thread Willie2 via EV

On 08/13/2016 12:03 PM, Robert Bruninga via EV wrote:

The grid will actually need less spinning reserves with solar than they
have now.  When we think solar is "variable" then we are ignoring the fact
that when a coal or  nuke or gas plant drops off line due to any number of
*routine* causes, the drop on the grid woiuld be catastrophic.  Hence, the
grid already maintains spinning reserves at least equal to their biggest
single plant at any time.

Solar *never* goes down like that.  Solar is quite predictable and on
partly cloudy days the clouds are not everywhere at once.  So the spinning
reserve argument does not hold water when you compare the backup needed for
a centralized plant compared to distributed solar.  Its just obfuscation.
An interesting situation developed in Texas a few years ago.  There was 
legislative stimulus to build wind and a very large industry developed 
in west Texas.  At the time it was building out, the "grid", ERCOT, 
estimated it could accommodate no more than about 5% wind energy due to 
the unpredictability.  Since, the peak wind has, at times, been around 
15%.  Accommodating that relatively large fraction seems to be due to 
high quality forecasts.  I believe they need something like an hour to 
bring natural gas generation up to speed to fill a shortage.  The 
infrastructure to get the power from west Texas to the consuming areas 
in the central and eastern areas of the state was built out.  It turns 
out, the wind produces mostly in the evenings and nights and the 
transmission infrastructure is largely unused mid-day.  Now, there is 
developing a large west Texas solar industry which already has the 
transmission infrastructure in place.


Oops!  My 15% number is a year old:
http://www.utilitydive.com/news/ercot-wind-energy-provided-record-45-of-electricity-on-dec-20/412241/
Also interesting reading:
http://www.utilitydive.com/news/ercot-wind-solar-nearly-two-thirds-new-capacity-in-2016/415715/


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Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

2016-08-13 Thread Robert Bruninga via EV
The grid will actually need less spinning reserves with solar than they
have now.  When we think solar is "variable" then we are ignoring the fact
that when a coal or  nuke or gas plant drops off line due to any number of
*routine* causes, the drop on the grid woiuld be catastrophic.  Hence, the
grid already maintains spinning reserves at least equal to their biggest
single plant at any time.

Solar *never* goes down like that.  Solar is quite predictable and on
partly cloudy days the clouds are not everywhere at once.  So the spinning
reserve argument does not hold water when you compare the backup needed for
a centralized plant compared to distributed solar.  Its just obfuscation.

Bob

On Sat, Aug 13, 2016 at 12:37 PM, Peri Hartman <pe...@kotatko.com> wrote:

> Robert,
>
> You're probably right on the peak power rates. But I think the power
> companies have a legitimate concern. That doesn't justify stonewalling.
>
> The issue I see is what happens when solar generation is insufficient. If
> residents are installing solar panels but no backup supply, then they are
> relying on the grid to generate power when they cannot. That means the
> utilities have to build full capacity power generation regardless if it
> gets used regularly or hardly at all.
>
> Currently, they use much of their capacity all the time and, thus, can
> recoup their investment over a large degree of usage. Alternatively, if
> they have to build the same capacity and recoup their investment just
> during occasional peak usage, I suspect their peak rates will need to be a
> lot higher than they currently are.
>
> That said, such an arrangement, with mitigation, might not be so bad. It
> would encourage people to install backup storage and reduce the utility's
> need to build out.
>
> Peri
>
> -- Original Message --
> From: "Robert Bruninga via EV" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
> To: "Electric Vehicle Discussion List" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
> Sent: 13-Aug-16 9:26:59 AM
> Subject: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots
>
> The argument that solar people (many with EV's) are getting an unfair good
>> deal  at the expense of other rate payers is hogwash, yet the fossil fuel
>> industry lobbyists and big money are promoting it to fight solar.
>>
>> I just had an emiphany...
>>
>> We all know that home solar is actually a big win to the utilities since
>> they are getting our solar power at the standard 10 cent rate when in fat,
>> they are paying 5 to ten times that during the daily peak to meet peak
>> demand.  And the proof is in every electric bill in Maryland.  All
>> customers have smart meters, and the utility says THEY WILL PAY EVERYONE
>> $1.50 PER KWH for every KWH THAT THEY DO NOT USE ON THESE PEAK SOLAR DAYS.
>> This proves they are paying more than $1.50 per kWh on those days...
>>
>> So do not be fed the BS from the utilities and fossil fuel industry that
>> solar is "costing them money" when in fact they are skimming off the
>> profits and taking them straight to the bank.
>>
>> But solar customers understand that this net profit to the utilities for
>> their power is what they give up in order to have the grid as their
>> storage
>> system.  So it is a win-win for both (and a lose-lose for the fossil fuel
>> industry truing to burn every last drop.
>>
>> HERE IS MY EPIPHANY:
>>
>> In the past, it was the Fossil fuel people and their dirty PEAKING plants
>> that were getting paid ten to twenty times the normal rate during PEAK
>> solar days, and yet the utilty now is getting the same peak power from
>> solar still at the net rate of ten cents.  No wonder they feel threatened.
>> Notice it is not the other rate payers losing money it is the dirty fossil
>> fuel peak generator suppliers that see the ten-to-1 loss in their dirty
>> peakers.  And that is exactly as it should be.  We need them and their
>> dirty power off the grid.  The sooner the better.
>>
>> Sure we need peaking plants,  But we do not need to cry over them when
>> solar can provide power to the grid at the same time for under 10% of
>> their
>> dirty costs.  So it is not the other rate payers that are complaining, it
>> is the dirty fossil fuel peaking plans using the good name of "other rate
>> payers" to divide and conquer us.
>>
>> Bob Bruninga, WB4APR
>> -- next part --
>> An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
>> URL: <http://lists.evdl.org/private.cgi/ev-evdl.org/attachments/
>> 20160813/10f2361b/attachment.htm>
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Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

2016-08-13 Thread robert winfield via EV
Bob, you may be interested in this study of batteriesThe Economics of Battery 
Energy Storage

  
|  
|   
|   
|   ||

   |

  |
|  
|   |  
The Economics of Battery Energy Storage
 Much attention has been paid to batteries' impressive cost declines. But a new 
RMI report shifts the focus t...  |   |

  |

  |

 




  From: Robert Bruninga via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org>
 To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List <ev@lists.evdl.org> 
 Sent: Saturday, August 13, 2016 12:26 PM
 Subject: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots
   
The argument that solar people (many with EV's) are getting an unfair good
deal  at the expense of other rate payers is hogwash, yet the fossil fuel
industry lobbyists and big money are promoting it to fight solar.

I just had an emiphany...

We all know that home solar is actually a big win to the utilities since
they are getting our solar power at the standard 10 cent rate when in fat,
they are paying 5 to ten times that during the daily peak to meet peak
demand.  And the proof is in every electric bill in Maryland.  All
customers have smart meters, and the utility says THEY WILL PAY EVERYONE
$1.50 PER KWH for every KWH THAT THEY DO NOT USE ON THESE PEAK SOLAR DAYS.
This proves they are paying more than $1.50 per kWh on those days...

So do not be fed the BS from the utilities and fossil fuel industry that
solar is "costing them money" when in fact they are skimming off the
profits and taking them straight to the bank.

But solar customers understand that this net profit to the utilities for
their power is what they give up in order to have the grid as their storage
system.  So it is a win-win for both (and a lose-lose for the fossil fuel
industry truing to burn every last drop.

HERE IS MY EPIPHANY:

In the past, it was the Fossil fuel people and their dirty PEAKING plants
that were getting paid ten to twenty times the normal rate during PEAK
solar days, and yet the utilty now is getting the same peak power from
solar still at the net rate of ten cents.  No wonder they feel threatened.
Notice it is not the other rate payers losing money it is the dirty fossil
fuel peak generator suppliers that see the ten-to-1 loss in their dirty
peakers.  And that is exactly as it should be.  We need them and their
dirty power off the grid.  The sooner the better.

Sure we need peaking plants,  But we do not need to cry over them when
solar can provide power to the grid at the same time for under 10% of their
dirty costs.  So it is not the other rate payers that are complaining, it
is the dirty fossil fuel peaking plans using the good name of "other rate
payers" to divide and conquer us.

Bob Bruninga, WB4APR
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Re: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

2016-08-13 Thread Peri Hartman via EV

Robert,

You're probably right on the peak power rates. But I think the power 
companies have a legitimate concern. That doesn't justify stonewalling.


The issue I see is what happens when solar generation is insufficient. 
If residents are installing solar panels but no backup supply, then they 
are relying on the grid to generate power when they cannot. That means 
the utilities have to build full capacity power generation regardless if 
it gets used regularly or hardly at all.


Currently, they use much of their capacity all the time and, thus, can 
recoup their investment over a large degree of usage. Alternatively, if 
they have to build the same capacity and recoup their investment just 
during occasional peak usage, I suspect their peak rates will need to be 
a lot higher than they currently are.


That said, such an arrangement, with mitigation, might not be so bad. It 
would encourage people to install backup storage and reduce the 
utility's need to build out.


Peri

-- Original Message --
From: "Robert Bruninga via EV" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
To: "Electric Vehicle Discussion List" <ev@lists.evdl.org>
Sent: 13-Aug-16 9:26:59 AM
Subject: [EVDL] Solar haves and have nots

The argument that solar people (many with EV's) are getting an unfair 
good
deal  at the expense of other rate payers is hogwash, yet the fossil 
fuel

industry lobbyists and big money are promoting it to fight solar.

I just had an emiphany...

We all know that home solar is actually a big win to the utilities 
since
they are getting our solar power at the standard 10 cent rate when in 
fat,

they are paying 5 to ten times that during the daily peak to meet peak
demand.  And the proof is in every electric bill in Maryland.  All
customers have smart meters, and the utility says THEY WILL PAY 
EVERYONE
$1.50 PER KWH for every KWH THAT THEY DO NOT USE ON THESE PEAK SOLAR 
DAYS.

This proves they are paying more than $1.50 per kWh on those days...

So do not be fed the BS from the utilities and fossil fuel industry 
that

solar is "costing them money" when in fact they are skimming off the
profits and taking them straight to the bank.

But solar customers understand that this net profit to the utilities 
for
their power is what they give up in order to have the grid as their 
storage
system.  So it is a win-win for both (and a lose-lose for the fossil 
fuel

industry truing to burn every last drop.

HERE IS MY EPIPHANY:

In the past, it was the Fossil fuel people and their dirty PEAKING 
plants

that were getting paid ten to twenty times the normal rate during PEAK
solar days, and yet the utilty now is getting the same peak power from
solar still at the net rate of ten cents.  No wonder they feel 
threatened.
Notice it is not the other rate payers losing money it is the dirty 
fossil

fuel peak generator suppliers that see the ten-to-1 loss in their dirty
peakers.  And that is exactly as it should be.  We need them and their
dirty power off the grid.  The sooner the better.

Sure we need peaking plants,  But we do not need to cry over them when
solar can provide power to the grid at the same time for under 10% of 
their
dirty costs.  So it is not the other rate payers that are complaining, 
it
is the dirty fossil fuel peaking plans using the good name of "other 
rate

payers" to divide and conquer us.

Bob Bruninga, WB4APR
-- next part --
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