Re: probabilities measures computable universes

2004-01-24 Thread Wei Dai
On Fri, Jan 23, 2004 at 09:04:20PM -0800, Hal Finney wrote:
 Do you think it would come out differently with a universal distribution?

There are an infinite number of universal distributions. Some of them 
assign greater probability to even integers, some of them assign greater 
probability to odd integers.

For those who think that a theory of everything should specify a unique
prior over universes, observers, or observer-moments, I think this
multiplicity of universal distributions is a big problem. My view is that
a unique prior is not necessary. Instead the prior can be thought of as a
representation of how much one cares about each universe, observer, or
observer-moment, and therefore is a purely subjective preference.

 The more conventional interpretation would use the probability computed
 over all numbers less than n, and take the limit as n approaches infinity.
 This would say that the probability of being even is 1/2.  I think this
 is how such results are derived as the one mentioned earlier by Bruno,
 that the probability of two random integers being coprime is 6/pi^2.

These kinds of results are useful when you have a uniform distribution 
over all integers less than n, with n large. Then you can use these 
results to approximate probabilities under the actual distribution. 
I don't think you can use these results to say that somehow the 
*real* probability of being even is 1/2.

 I'd imagine that this result would not hold using a universal
 distribution.  Are these mathematical results fundamentally misguided,
 or is this an example where the UD is not the best tool for the job?

I'm not sure what you mean here.



recommended books

2004-01-24 Thread Wei Dai
These books have been mentioned on the list before, but I'm recommending
them again because a lot of new members have joined since we last talked
about them. To motivate you to read these books, I've given some questions
that each book helps answer or provide the necessary background knowledge
to discuss. I'd say that the first book in this list should be required
reading for all members of this list, while the other two are more
optional. If anyone else has more book recommendations, please feel
free to add to this list.

_An Introduction to Kolmogorov Complexity and Its Applications_, Ming Li 
and Paul Vitanyi

(What is measure, prior, universal distribution? How can we explain
why laws of physics exist and why we don't see random deviations from the
laws of physics?)

_Theory of Recursive Functions and Effective Computability_, Hartley 
Rogers 

(What does computable mean? What do we know about uncomputable 
mathematical structures? Should we assume that we're in a computable 
universe?)

_The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory_, James Joyce 

(What justifies using numbers between 0 and 1 to represent degrees of
belief and using probability theory to constrain/manipulate those numbers
(i.e. probabilities)? Is the use of probabilities still appropriate if all
possible universes exist, and if so how should it work? How should we make 
decisions if all possible universes exist?)



Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential Nihilism

2004-01-24 Thread Wei Dai
I have to say that I sympathize with Caesar, but my position is slightly
different. I think there is a possibility that that objective morality
does exist, but we're simply too stupid to realize what it is. Therefore
we should try to improve our intelligence, through intelligence
amplication, or artificial intelligence, before saying that objective
morality is impossible and therefore we should just pursue other goals
like survival, comfort or happiness.

Some people have argued that in fact survival is an objective goal,
because evolution makes sure that people who don't pursue survival don't
exist. But if we assume that everything exists, the above statement has to
be modified to an assertion that people who don't pursue survival have low
measure. However the choice of measure itself is subjective, so why
shouldn't one use a measure in which people who don't pursue survival have
high measure (e.g., one which favors universes where those people
survive anyway through good luck or benevolent gods)?



Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential Nihilism

2004-01-24 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
There are statements of fact, statements of logic (also called analytic or a 
priori), and statements of value. Statements of fact are verified or 
falsified empirically. Statements of logic include mathematical theorems and 
are verified or falsified by following the rules of logic or mathematics. 
Statements of value - which includes ethics and aesthetics - are expressions 
of one's feelings or wishes, are not, by their nature, right or wrong 
(except in the trivial sense of whether one is being truthful about one's 
feelings). Now, ethical statements may actually include statements of fact, 
and this part can be verified or falsified objectively. For example, I may 
say,

(a) any activity which causes net human suffering is bad;
(b) abortion causes net human suffering; therefore,
(c) abortion is bad.
Look first at the logical structure: classic syllogism, no problem. Second, 
look at premiss (b). There is a lot of research to do before allowing this 
as true: can a foetus at a certain stage experience pain? Is the harm to the 
foetus outweighed by the harm to the mother and unwanted child if there is 
no abortion? Finally, look at premiss (a). If asked why I believe this it 
may turn out to in fact be another composite, to be analysed as above. 
However, at some point, I will not be able to give any further explanation, 
and THAT is the basic ethical belief. If I stop with (a) above, I am simply 
saying that this is how I feel about suffering, and this feeling is not 
contingent on the state of affairs in any actual or possible world [there, I 
got it in!].


From: Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
CC: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential 
Nihilism
Date: Sat, 24 Jan 2004 06:47:39 -0500

I have to say that I sympathize with Caesar, but my position is slightly
different. I think there is a possibility that that objective morality
does exist, but we're simply too stupid to realize what it is. Therefore
we should try to improve our intelligence, through intelligence
amplication, or artificial intelligence, before saying that objective
morality is impossible and therefore we should just pursue other goals
like survival, comfort or happiness.
Some people have argued that in fact survival is an objective goal,
because evolution makes sure that people who don't pursue survival don't
exist. But if we assume that everything exists, the above statement has to
be modified to an assertion that people who don't pursue survival have low
measure. However the choice of measure itself is subjective, so why
shouldn't one use a measure in which people who don't pursue survival have
high measure (e.g., one which favors universes where those people
survive anyway through good luck or benevolent gods)?
_
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Re: Is the universe computable

2004-01-24 Thread Stephen Paul King
Dear Bruno,

Interleaving.
- Original Message - 
From: Bruno Marchal [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, January 23, 2004 9:42 AM
Subject: Re: Is the universe computable


 Dear Stephen,

 At 12:39 21/01/04 -0500, Stephen Paul King wrote:
 Dear Bruno and Kory,
 
  Interleaving.
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Bruno Marchal [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 9:21 AM
 Subject: Re: Is the universe computable
 
 
   At 02:50 21/01/04 -0500, Kory Heath wrote:
   At 1/19/04, Stephen Paul King wrote:
 Were and when is the consideration of the physical resources
 required for the computation going to obtain?
  Is my question equivalent to the old first cause question?
   [KH]
   The view that Mathematical Existence == Physical Existence implies
that
   physical resources is a secondary concept, and that the ultimate
ground
   of any physical universe is Mathspace, which doesn't require
resources of
   any kind. Clearly, you don't think the idea that ME == PE makes
sense.
   That's understandable, but here's a brief sketch of why I think it
makes
   more sense than the alternative view (which I'll call
Instantiationism):
   
 

[SPK]

I should respond to Kory's ME == PE idea. In PE we find such things as
thermodynamic entropy and temporality. If we are to take Kory's idea
(that Mathspace doesn't require resources) seriously, ME does not. This
seems a direct contradiction!
Perhaps Kory has a paper on-line that lays out his thesis of
Instantiationism.

 [SPK]
 
  Again, the mere postulation of existence is insufficient: it does
not
 thing to inform us of how it is that it is even possible for us, as mere
 finite humans, to have experiences that change. We have to address why
it
 is that Time, even if it is ultimately an illusion, and the distingtion
 between past and future is so intimately intetwined in our world of
 experience.

[BM]
 Good question. But you know I do address this question in my thesis
 (see url below). I cannot give you too much technical details, but here is
a
 the main line. As you know, I showed that if we postulate the comp hyp
 then time, space, energy and, in fact, all physicalities---including the
 communicable (like 3-person results of experiments) as the uncommunicable
 one (like qualie or results of 1-person experiment) appears as modalities
 which are
 variant of the Godelian self-referential provability predicates. As you
know
 Godel did succeed in defining formal provability in the language of a
 consistent machine and many years later Solovay succeeds in formalising
 all theorems of provability logic in a couple of modal logics G and G*.
 G formalizes the provable (by the machine) statements about its own
 provability ability; and G* extends G with all true statements about the
 machine's ability (including those the machine cannot prove).

[SPK]

In my thinking all 1st person experiences are best possible
simulations. The problem I find is that we can not use the modern
equivalent to Leibniz' preordained harmony, whether in the form of a
universal prior or modelization of some modal logic, since the list of
all possible interactions is not enumerable. This is the aspect that I have
tried to address by referencing Wolfram on the computational intractibility
of some key aspects of physicality.
There is also the seperate issue of how does one aspect of a logic
address some other? We have the example of a Turing Machine that considers
a tape and a head: there are separate in that one can move relative to
the other all the while the transitions of the state of the head and the
spot on the tape change. I do not see how some form of Monism can explain
this.
Additionally, there is the problem of simulating QM using formal
logics. I have reference the Calude et al paper on this and you have said
that it is good, but you seem to not have actually read it and let its
implications set in. ;-)

 [BM]
 Now, independently, temporal logicians have defined some modal
 systems capable of formalizing temporal statements. Also, Brouwer
 developed a logic of the conscious subject, which has given rise to a
whole
 constructive philosophy of mathematics, which has been formalize
 by a logic known as intuitionist logic, and later, like the temporal
logic,
 the intuitionist logic has been captured formally by an modal
 extension of a classical modal logic. Actually it is Godel who has seen
 the first that Intuitionist logic can be formalised by the modal logic S4,
and
 Grzegorczyk makes it more precise with the extended system S4Grz.
 And it happens that S4Grz is by itself a very nice logic of subjective,
 irreversible (anti-symmetric) time, and this gives a nice account too of
the
 relationship Brouwer described between time and consciousness.
 Now, if you remember, I use the thaetetus trick of defining
 (machine) knowledge 

RE: probabilities measures computable universes

2004-01-24 Thread Ben Goertzel

The notion of complex-valued or even quaternionic or octonionic
probabilities has been considered; see

http://physics.bu.edu/~youssef/quantum/quantum_refs.html

for some pointers into the literature.

-- Ben Goertzel


 -Original Message-
 From: scerir [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Friday, January 23, 2004 9:23 AM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: probabilities  measures  computable universes


 Are probabilities always and necessarily positive-definite?

 I'm asking this because there is a thread, started by Dirac
 and Feynman, saying the only difference between the classical
 and quantum cases is that in the former we assume the probabilities
 are positive-definite.

 Thus, speaking of MWI, we could also ask: what is the joint
 probability of finding ourselves in a universe alpha and of
 finding ourselves in a universe beta, which is 180 degrees
 out of phase with the first one (whatever that could mean)?

 s.






Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?

2004-01-24 Thread Eric Hawthorne
Can you explain briefly why the choice of measure is subjective? I 
haven't read any of the
books you mentioned (will try to get to them) but am familiar with 
computability theory
and decision theory.

In my favourite interpretation of the multiverse, as  a very long 
(possibly lengthening)
qubitstring containing all of the possible information-states implied in 
such a long bitstring,
the absolute measure of any information-state (instantaneous state of 
some universe)
would be the same as any other state of the same bitstring length.

In that framing of things,  I guess there's another definition of 
measure, which goes something
like this:

Let Ui be an internal-time-ordered set of information-states 
s1,s2,...,s(now)comprising
an observable universe.

Ui, to be observable, is constrained to be an informationally 
self-consistent
(too complex a concept to get into right here) set of information-states.

There is a constraint on any information-state which qualifies to be 
s(now+1) in any observable
universe path s1,s2,...,S(now). Specifically, any information-state that 
can be S(now+1)
must be informationally consistent (not law violating) in conjunction 
with s1,s2,...,S(now).

Furthermore, the history that has evolved as s1,s2,...,s(now) has the 
result of determining
the Ui-relative probability of any particular other information-state 
being able to become
s(now+1) in that observable path.

That now-in-an-observable-universe-relative probability of successorhood 
in that universe
of any other information-state is then a universe-specific measure 
value, or more specifically,
a now-state-of-universe specific measure value.

That now-in-an-observable-universe measure (for potential successor 
information states for that
universe state-set) may correspond to the probabilities of  all the 
outcomes of all the wave equations
of quantum-states which are observable in the now moment in that universe.

As a comp sci person and not a physicist, I look forward to your read on 
where my interpretation
is misguided, and for a better interpretation.

Eric

Wei Dai wrote:

I have to say that I sympathize with Caesar, but my position is slightly
different. I think there is a possibility that that objective morality
does exist, but we're simply too stupid to realize what it is. Therefore
we should try to improve our intelligence, through intelligence
amplication, or artificial intelligence, before saying that objective
morality is impossible and therefore we should just pursue other goals
like survival, comfort or happiness.
Some people have argued that in fact survival is an objective goal,
because evolution makes sure that people who don't pursue survival don't
exist. But if we assume that everything exists, the above statement has to
be modified to an assertion that people who don't pursue survival have low
measure. However the choice of measure itself is subjective, so why
shouldn't one use a measure in which people who don't pursue survival have
high measure (e.g., one which favors universes where those people
survive anyway through good luck or benevolent gods)?
 




Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?

2004-01-24 Thread John M
I find some inconsistencies in your post:
 qubitstring containing all of the possible information-states implied in
 such a long bitstring,...
possible, of course, to OUR knowledge (imagination). Anthropomorph
thinking about the MW.

  Let Ui be an internal-time-ordered set of information-states
 s1,s2,...,s(now)comprising an observable universe.
How 'bout the Uis where 'time' has not evolved? Excluded?
Observable by what means? We have a pretty narrow range in mind.
Would you restrict the MWI to our cognitive inventory of 2004?
Does that mean that the MW was smaller in 1000 (with the then
epistemized contents of cognition)?

... must be informationally consistent (not law violating) in conjunction
...
what law? presumed omniscient?

Just malicious remarks. I appreciate to try and to criticize.
I have no better ones.

JM




- Original Message -
From: Eric Hawthorne [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Saturday, January 24, 2004 3:21 PM
Subject: Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?


 Can you explain briefly why the choice of measure is subjective? I
 haven't read any of the
 books you mentioned (will try to get to them) but am familiar with
 computability theory
 and decision theory.

 In my favourite interpretation of the multiverse, as  a very long
 (possibly lengthening)
 qubitstring containing all of the possible information-states implied in
 such a long bitstring,
 the absolute measure of any information-state (instantaneous state of
 some universe)
 would be the same as any other state of the same bitstring length.

 In that framing of things,  I guess there's another definition of
 measure, which goes something
 like this:

  Let Ui be an internal-time-ordered set of information-states
 s1,s2,...,s(now)comprising
 an observable universe.

 Ui, to be observable, is constrained to be an informationally
 self-consistent
 (too complex a concept to get into right here) set of information-states.

 There is a constraint on any information-state which qualifies to be
 s(now+1) in any observable
 universe path s1,s2,...,S(now). Specifically, any information-state that
 can be S(now+1)
 must be informationally consistent (not law violating) in conjunction
 with s1,s2,...,S(now).

 Furthermore, the history that has evolved as s1,s2,...,s(now) has the
 result of determining
 the Ui-relative probability of any particular other information-state
 being able to become
 s(now+1) in that observable path.

 That now-in-an-observable-universe-relative probability of successorhood
 in that universe
 of any other information-state is then a universe-specific measure
 value, or more specifically,
 a now-state-of-universe specific measure value.

 That now-in-an-observable-universe measure (for potential successor
 information states for that
 universe state-set) may correspond to the probabilities of  all the
 outcomes of all the wave equations
 of quantum-states which are observable in the now moment in that
universe.

 As a comp sci person and not a physicist, I look forward to your read on
 where my interpretation
 is misguided, and for a better interpretation.

 Eric


PS I stay out of the 'ethix - morality' discussion, which IMO  is definitely
Earthbound - human - cultural - debatable. Eric mentioned lately the
group-evolution, in which respect altruism (moral thinking?) is not out,
but go 1 step higher - still within the earthly biosphere - and morality
turns into foodchain.  Dine or dined. There is no goal only change.
Survival is a result. Human groups can identify what is good for them.
E.g. to eat animals and plants - fellow living creatures.




Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?

2004-01-24 Thread Eric Hawthorne






John M wrote:

  I find some inconsistencies in your post:
  
  
qubitstring containing all of the possible information-states implied in
such a long bitstring,...

  
  possible, of course, to OUR knowledge (imagination). Anthropomorph
thinking about the MW.
  

I'm really talking about "convertible to binary-representation"
information states here. i.e. formal notion
of information i.e. a count and structuring of discrete differences. As
such, 
the number of information-states representable in a qubitstring of
length n is 2 ^ n.


  
 Let Ui be an "internal-time-ordered" set of information-states
s1,s2,...,s(now)comprising an observable universe.

  
  How 'bout the Uis where 'time' has not evolved? Excluded?
  

Those Uj's are not observable (unless we change the conventional
meaning of that word.)
"Observe" as conventionally meant is defined with respect (at least
indirectly) to notions
of time. 

  Observable by what means? 

Any means where information can be conveyed from something outside of
the observer SAS,
at the speed of light or lower, to the representing mechanism inside
the observer.

BY THE WAY. I'M NOT A PHYSICIST. Can someone who knows please clarify
the answer to
the rather basic question of whether something like the
slit-experiment means anything (or DOES
anything to the quantum phenomena of the photons) in the absence of a
perceiving observer like
ourselves. I'm fairly basically and profoundly ignorant on that score.
i.e. can 
"the measuring experiment machine itself" without the person (or AI
etc, or dog, say) to perceive 
the result, still cause a difference in "what happens" to the photons?


  We have a pretty narrow range in mind.
Would you restrict the MWI to our cognitive inventory of 2004?
Does that mean that the MW was "smaller" in 1000 (with the then
epistemized contents of cognition)?

  

The observable, classicized portion of the Ui observable universe was
smaller in 1000, or at any
previous time-within-itself than now, yes. Of course, to be precise,
now actually means here-now,
as these are inseparable in relativistic physics.

  
  
... must be informationally consistent (not law violating) in conjunction

  
  ...
what "law"? presumed omniscient?
  

Observed and verified physical laws of the Ui universe.

  
Just malicious remarks. I appreciate to try and to criticize.
I have no better ones.

  

No problemo

  JM
  

Eric






Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential Nihilism

2004-01-24 Thread Wei Dai
On Sun, Jan 25, 2004 at 01:01:42AM +1100, Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 If I stop with (a) above, I am simply 
 saying that this is how I feel about suffering, and this feeling is not 
 contingent on the state of affairs in any actual or possible world [there, I 
 got it in!].

(a) as stated is ill defined. In order to actually reason with it in
practice, you'd have to define what activity, cause, net, human,
and suffering mean, but then it's hard to see how one can just have a
feeling that statement (a), by now highly technical, is true. What about
a slightly different variation of (a), where the definition of human or
suffering is given a small tweak? How do you decide which of them
reflects your true feelings? The mere presense of many similar but
contradictory moral statements might give you a feeling of arbitrariness
that causes you to reject all of them.

Difficulties like this lead to the desire for a set of basic moral axioms 
that can be defined precisely and still be seen by everyone as obvious and 
non-arbitrary. Again, maybe it doesn't exist, but we can't know for sure 
unless we're much smarter than we actually are.



Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential Nihilism

2004-01-24 Thread Benjamin Udell
Morality, ethics, virtue, etc. imply a struggle for control -- at least within 
oneself, but often more widely. If morality had a set of obvious axioms, such as to 
lead to firm  reliable answers to all moral questions in practice, it would be 
know-how, not morality. For everything there is a season  a time, according to 
Ecclesiastes, but neither Ecclesiastes nor anything else always tells us just when 
those times  seasons are.

opportunity _ _ _ _ _ _ risk
safeness _ _ _ _ _ _ _ futility

***For everything***

hope _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ fear
confidence _ _ _ _ _ _ despair

***there is a season***

courage _ _ _ _ _ _ _ prudence
due confidence _ _ _ _ realism

***and an out-of-season***

rashness _ _ _ _ _ _ _ cowardice
complacency _ _ _ _ _ defeatism

(Note: the above structure entails that Aristotle's doctrine of virtue as a 'mean' 
between two extremes is at best a sloppy heuristic that captures a sense of 
maintaining some sort of poise or grace under pressure.)

Even when we agree on what the evil is -- a forest fire approaching the town for 
example -- still to fight it, may require the moral virtues of courage  due 
confidence, lest in one's heart one succumb to cowardly or defeatist thoughts about 
the fire. To refuse to fight it  instead to flee in one's car may require the moral 
virtues of prudence  realism -- lest one succumb to rash or complacent thoughts about 
the fire. Sometimes boldness is good, sometimes caution is good. Courage is 
appropriately hopeful action despite pressure not to be hopeful. Pressure -- a 
struggle, as I said. Most traditional virtues can be defined in such manner. Why would 
one be under such pressure but through conflict among one's own values? The moral 
value system is not independent  self-contained but depends on non-entirely-moral 
values -- the value of the town, the trees, etc. --  on knowledge  on understanding 
things about oneself  others. The moral value of the town is based on consideration!
s of which many are themselves not moral or not directly moral. Morality cannot 
provide easy answers when easy answers cannot be provided for many relevant non-moral 
or not purely moral questions -- e.g, what are the stakes? what are the threats? what 
are the opportunities? Applying our axiomatic moral/ethical mathematic will probably 
land us in still more moral/ethical quandaries. We are left asking, when, 
specifically, singularly, are these seasons  times of which Ecclesiastes speaks? Of 
course we're left asking. How could it be otherwise?

Furthermore, from a risk-management perspective, opportunity equals risk. Safeness 
equals futility. As Freud said, life presents a choice not between pleasure  pain, 
but between both  neither. Any moral system will set up opportunity/risk situations 
where the risk is that of violating the morality. If we're talking not just about 
morality in the usual narrow sense, but in the sense of excellence, the virtues of 
character, then morality guarantees trials  tests for those who would be moral. (That 
doesn't make morality bad -- a bad morality is one that tends to assure that those who 
seek to be moral shall lose.) And to the extent that we disagree about human nature, 
disagreements about morality may run corespondingly deep.

- Ben Udell
- Original Message - 
From: Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Stathis Papaioannou [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Saturday, January 24, 2004 9:00 PM
Subject: Re: Modern Physical theory as a basis for Ethical and Existential Nihilism


Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 If I stop with (a) above, I am simply saying that this is how I feel about 
 suffering, and this feeling is not contingent on the state of affairs in any actual 
 or possible world [there, I got it in!]

Wei Dai responded:
(a) as stated is ill defined. In order to actually reason with it in practice, you'd 
have to define what activity, cause, net, human, and suffering mean, but 
then it's hard to see how one can just have a feeling that statement (a), by now 
highly technical, is true. What about a slightly different variation of (a), where the 
definition of human or suffering is given a small tweak? How do you decide which 
of them reflects your true feelings? The mere presense of many similar but 
contradictory moral statements might give you a feeling of arbitrariness that causes 
you to reject all of them.

Difficulties like this lead to the desire for a set of basic moral axioms that can be 
defined precisely and still be seen by everyone as obvious and non-arbitrary. Again, 
maybe it doesn't exist, but we can't know for sure unless we're much smarter than we 
actually are.



Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?

2004-01-24 Thread Wei Dai
On Sat, Jan 24, 2004 at 12:21:40PM -0800, Eric Hawthorne wrote:
 Can you explain briefly why the choice of measure is subjective? I 
 haven't read any of the
 books you mentioned (will try to get to them) but am familiar with 
 computability theory
 and decision theory.

Since you do not mention that you're familiar with the theory 
of algorithmic complexity, I suggest that you read the first book on that 
list ASAP. The following response might not make sense until you do.

Basically, all of the sensible proposed measures are based on the
universal distribution, which assigns a larger probabilities to strings
that have lower algorithmic complexities. However there's actually an
infinite class of universal distributions, one for each universal Turing
machine, and there's no objective criteria for determining which one
should be used.

Another problem is that using the universal distribution forces you to 
assume that non-computable universes do not exist. If one does not want to 
make this assumption, then a more dominant measure need to be used (for 
example, based on a TM with an oracle for the halting problem or
the complexity of a string's logical definition) but then there are even 
more measures to choose from (how high up the computability 
hierarchy do you go? how high up the set theoretic hierarchy?).

Now suppose that two people, Alice and Bob, somehow agree that a measure M
is the objectively correct measure, but Bob insists on using measure M' in
making decisions. He says So what if universe A has a bigger measure than
universe B according to M? I just care more about what happens in universe
B than universe A, so I'll use M' which assigns a bigger measure to
universe B. What can Alice say to Bob to convince him that he is
not being rational? I don't see what the answer could be.



Re: Subjective measure? How does that work?

2004-01-24 Thread Jesse Mazer
Wei Dai wrote:
Now suppose that two people, Alice and Bob, somehow agree that a measure M
is the objectively correct measure, but Bob insists on using measure M' in
making decisions. He says So what if universe A has a bigger measure than
universe B according to M? I just care more about what happens in universe
B than universe A, so I'll use M' which assigns a bigger measure to
universe B. What can Alice say to Bob to convince him that he is
not being rational? I don't see what the answer could be.
But measures aren't just about making decisions about what to *do*, the main 
argument for a single objective measure is that such a measure could make 
predictions about what we *see*, like why we see regular laws of physics and 
never see any white rabbits. Although Bob can decide that only universes 
where gravity is repulsive matter to him in terms of his decision-making (so 
that he'd be happy to bet his life's savings that a dropped ball would fall 
up), he'll have to agree with Alice on what is actually observed to happen 
when a particular ball is dropped. Without an objective measure, I don't 
think there's any way to explain why we consistently see outcomes that obey 
the known laws of physics (like why we always see dropped balls fall towards 
the earth).

Jesse Mazer

_
Rethink your business approach for the new year with the helpful tips here. 
http://special.msn.com/bcentral/prep04.armx



Re: Subjective measure and turing machine terminology

2004-01-24 Thread Eric Hawthorne






Wei Dai wrote:

  On Sat, Jan 24, 2004 at 12:21:40PM -0800, Eric Hawthorne wrote:
  
  
Can you explain briefly why the choice of measure is subjective? I 
haven't read any of the
books you mentioned (will try to get to them) but am familiar with 
computability theory
and decision theory.

  
  
Since you do not mention that you're familiar with the theory 
of algorithmic complexity, I suggest that you read the first book on that 
list ASAP. The following response might not make sense until you do.

  

I took some small smattering of that stuff in comp sci undergrad, but
essentially
what it lets met understand is that some algorithms are O(1), O(n),
O(nlogn),O(n^2) O(e^n) etc.
I'm also generally familiar with Turing Machine concepts, but I'm rusty
on the details.
I'm a bit confused as to what is meant by a string having a lower
algorithmic complexity.
Does that mean that ths shortest program that could result in a symbol
string of that form
has a vertain algorithmic complexity that is lower than the algorithmic
complexity that
could compute some other string? What are these strings anyway? Symbol
strings which
are a finite subpart of the turing machine's tape, conceptually?

A question that would arise with that definition above of what the
"algorithmic complexity of
a string" means is: Shortest algorithm that could generate that string
starting with what as its
input? Surely if the input were a string that was, say, just one value
in one tape-position
different than the output string, then any output string can be
computed by a trivial turing
machine program (one step or so) from that special input. So how do you
define what
the input is in assessing "the algorithmic complexity of a string?" 

Or is the string a sequence of instructions and datastore positions
comprising the turing machine program itself? 
and we're discussing the inherent computational complexity of that
particular program, for any (or average or whatever)
input?

I guess I have more trouble mapping directly in my head from turing
machine programs to multiverse states than
I do mapping raw bitstrings to multiverse states.

The general question I asked above would seem to come down to "isn't
the complexity of getting to
some subsequent information state determined by what the previous
information state is?"


Second terminology thing: When you say "each universal Turing machine,
again I get confused".
Isn't "a turing machine" just the abstraction consisting of the movable
read/write head and a tape?
Isn't the correct terminology "each turing machine PROGRAM which is
NP-complete" or which is
"universal"? How can we have different machines themselves? Or is it
conventional to say that
"a turing machine" is "the movable head, plus its current position,
plus a particular set of values
on a tape (i.e. a particular program?) In normal computing
terminology, the machine is the machine
and the software program is the software program and the data is the
data.

If you can just help me a little with these terminology stumbling
blocks, I'm sure I (and other 
computational-complexity-theory-tourists on the list) can understand
the concepts.




  Basically, all of the sensible proposed measures are based on the
universal distribution, which assigns a larger probabilities to strings
that have lower algorithmic complexities. However there's actually an
infinite class of universal distributions, one for each universal Turing
machine, and there's no objective criteria for determining which one
should be used.

Another problem is that using the universal distribution forces you to 
assume that non-computable universes do not exist. If one does not want to 
make this assumption, then a more dominant measure need to be used (for 
example, based on a TM with an oracle for the halting problem or
the complexity of a string's logical definition) but then there are even 
more measures to choose from (how high up the computability 
hierarchy do you go? how high up the set theoretic hierarchy?).

Now suppose that two people, Alice and Bob, somehow agree that a measure M
is the objectively correct measure, but Bob insists on using measure M' in
making decisions. He says "So what if universe A has a bigger measure than
universe B according to M? I just care more about what happens in universe
B than universe A, so I'll use M' which assigns a bigger measure to
universe B." What can Alice say to Bob to convince him that he is
not being rational? I don't see what the answer could be.