Re: [Extropolis] Fwd: Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion

[John Clark]

On Tue, Feb 13, 2024 at 8:44 AM Keith Henson  wrote:

*> $7 Trillion is about $1000 from every person on earth. Not saying it
> can't be done, but I think it will take a while.*
>

Well, according to the Costs of War project at Brown University, the
estimated total price for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars that the USA had to
pay was $8 trillion, so $7 trillion is not science fiction.

John K Clark

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Huh?

[John Clark]

A few days ago at a meeting of the National Rifle Association in
Harrisburg, Pa Trump said:

*“We have to win in November, or we’re not going to have Pennsylvania.
They’ll change the name. They’re going to change the name of Pennsylvania,”*

And then he said:

"*I will build an Iron Dome over our country, a state-of-the-art missile
defense shield made in the U.S. These are not muscle guys here, they’re
muscle guys up here, right. And they calmly walk to us, and ding, ding,
ding, ding, ding, ding. They’ve only got 17 seconds to figure this whole
thing out. Boom. OK. Missile launch. Whoosh. Boom*”

And to think, some people say it's Biden who is too old and doesn't have
the mental acuity to be president! I think that's because Trump has always
been stupid and incoherent, so he's held to a much lower standard than
Biden.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

cnp

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Fwd: Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion

[John Clark]

The following  is by Scott Alexander, the author of Astral Codex Ten. It's
the most intelligent article about AI that I've read in a long time.

John K Clark


-- Forwarded message -
From: Astral Codex Ten 
Date: Tue, Feb 13, 2024 at 1:14 AM
Subject: Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion
To: 


Machine Alignment Monday 2/12/24
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Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion
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Alignment Monday 2/12/24

Feb 13






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*[All numbers here are very rough and presented in a sloppy way. For the
more rigorous versions of this, read Tom Davidson
,
Yafah Edelman
,
and EpochAI
)*

*I.*

Sam Altman wants $7 trillion

.

In one sense, this isn’t news. Everyone wants $7 trillion. I want $7
trillion. I’m not going to get it, and Sam Altman probably won’t either.

Still, the media treats this as worthy of comment, and I agree. It’s a
useful reminder of what it will take for AI to scale in the coming years.

The basic logic: GPT-1 cost approximately nothing to train. GPT-2