I am not meant for your religion

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

In looking over the traffic, the archives, and the responses I have 
gotten, it's clear that I mistook this list for a place where some of 
the Healey/Moravec/Egan/Tegmark/etc. ideas of an ensemble view of the 
universe, with "all topologies models" and "all variants of theorems" 
sorts of metamathematics ideas might be discussed. I didn't expect my 
own special interest, which is more along the lines of toposes, 
lattices, logic, and math, would be the mainstream, of course.

But I also didn't expect to find a weird religious cult, with trappings 
of quantum suicide, roulette ideas takens seriously, and acausal 
notions about how one should act. Not to mention the grab-bag of weird 
cosmologies with no support offered, the theories of physics with no 
backing, the claims that anyone criticizing these models must be part 
of the corrupt establishment, and so on.

Enough. You folks don't like my stuff and I don't like your religion 
about killing yourself and others in order to "perfect" the Multiverse. 
 I learned more about causal decision theory, but then learned that 
it's all wrong, that one should do things which are counter to one's 
own interests so as to perfect the Multiverse.

And I heard about the suicide machines, the arguments for and against 
euthanasia, and the bizarre ideas about making the Multiverse more 
perfect (for whom?) by taking Moravec's and Tegmark's whimsies 
seriously.

I will say this, you guys will make for some great characters in some 
future "Star Trek" movie, the one where a cult of Multiversians is 
setting off special weapons to destroy universes which fail to be 
perfect in various ways.

I'll miss some tidbits of math I discussed with some of you, but I 
won't miss the rest.

Until we meet in another reality,

--Tim May



Re: Quantum Decision Theory

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May
n unsuccessful suicide are likely to be even worse is not 
itself an obvious conclusion. Which is why the usual decision theory 
process gives about the right answer without appeal to many worlds 
theories.

(More notes: I've also known unsuccessful suicides and have read about 
others. They are usually not "worse off" in any determinant way for our 
exercise. They wake up in a hospital room, or the bleeding stops, 
whatever. Only occasionally do suicides fail in ways that make them 
worse off. And in those cases, they can always try again, or have a 
hired killer waiting to finish the job.)


The argument wrt superannuation is that standard decision theory
should lead one to the same decision as the QTI case (a bit like life
insurance, except one is betting that you won't die instead that you
will) - however in such a case why would anyone choose lump sum
investment options over lifetime pension?


Because they think they can grow the sum more than the pension fund 
managers can. And, since they can always take the grown amount and 
_buy_ an annuity later if and when they get tired of investing, they 
lose nothing by trying, if they think they can in fact do better than 
the managers.

(I hope you considered this benefit of the lump sum payout. If you are 
at all bright, which you clearly are, you can grow the lump sum at 
least as well as some government/bureaucrat pension fund managers 
typically do. At some point you can then buy a larger annuity than the 
one you picked in the conservative option. And if you die before you 
expect to, you had the use of that lump sum for things of importance to 
you.)



Noone that I could recall came up with a convincing argument against
the Euthanasia issue - it would seem that committing euthanasia on
someone is actually condemning them to an eternity of even greater
misery than if you'd just left things alone - quite the contrary to
what one expects in a single universe notion of reality.



I don't see this at all, even besides the issue of my own focus on the 
branch *I* am in.

--Tim May



Quantum Eugenics

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, January 14, 2003, at 02:45  PM, Hal Finney wrote:


Russell Standish refers to his earlier post,
http://www.escribe.com/science/theory/m781.html and now writes:

Noone that I could recall came up with a convincing argument against
the Euthanasia issue - it would seem that committing euthanasia on
someone is actually condemning them to an eternity of even greater
misery than if you'd just left things alone - quite the contrary to
what one expects in a single universe notion of reality.


The problem Russell points out is that in the MWI if we try to kill
someone, we will succeed in many branches, but fail in some others.
And in those in which we fail, we will probably injure the victim.
The effect from the point of view of the continuations of the victim is
that their quality of life has been worsened.


From the point of view of _this_ particular continuation, namely, me, I 
will choose injury over death.

Any attempt to claim that injury means "quality of life has been 
worsened" as compared to death is...well, I won't say "silly," as 
that's not a good debating term.

Let's turn to simple causal decision theory. A man is approaching me 
with a large knife. I have two choices:

* Choice 1: Attempt to defend myself, probably causing me some amount 
of injury but possibly saving my life.

* Choice 2: Allow myself to be killed.

I get the idea from your paragraph above that you think Choice 1 is 
less desirable, as "The effect from the point of view of the 
continuations of the victim is that their quality of life has been 
worsened."

Am I misunderstanding your point of view about what I should do?

My approach is to optimize for the actual life (reality, branch, world) 
I am actually experiencing. Arguments that it would be better for "me" 
to allow myself to be killed, or euthanized, so as to make some average 
of realities forever disconnected from mine (Everett, De Witt, etc., 
not contradicted by anyone here, at least not recently) is not 
convincing to me.


I think a counter-argument comes if we look at the larger picture, not
just the particular branch in which we are acting.  Suppose that the
victim has suffered some injury which led to their unfortunate 
condition,
where we are now considering committing euthanasia.  In other branches,
then, the victim is alive and healthy.  If we eliminate them from most
of the branches in which they are injured, then in the big picture 
their
average quality of life has been improved.  Even though there are a few
branches where our attempts to kill them have failed and have made 
their
life worse, those are small in proportion to the set of branches which
encompass their entire life.

If you believe in this strong form of quantum suicide, then of course 
the path to "quantum eugenics" is clear: immediately kill children who 
get less than perfect scores on exams, immediately kill anyone who is 
outside the societal norms for beauty and charm, and so on. This will 
mean, so the theory goes, that in some realities there are mostly 
smart, healthy, beautiful, wise people.



Now it may be said that this perspective is invalid, because the
injured person here in front of us is the only one we can affect.
His consciousness will never re-join the branches where he was not
injured.  We can only affect him, and therefore we should judge our
actions only based on their effects on him and his future 
continuations.

And this is what a person facing attack and death will also choose to 
do, to optimize his own survival and his own quality of life. Suicide 
can be a choice in extreme cases, I think many in society would agree. 
But it has nothing to do with branches of Possibilia forever 
disconnected from Actuality.


--Tim May



Re: Claim: Only one past for a given present

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, January 14, 2003, at 12:35  PM, Hal Finney wrote:


Tim May writes:

This arises with quantum measurements of course. Once a measurement is
made--path of a photon, for example--all honest observers will report
exactly the same thing. There simply is no basis for disputing the
past, for Alice to say "I saw the photon travel through the left slit"
but for Bob to say "I saw it travel through the right slit."


That's an interesting example, because usually the point of two-slit
experiments is that there is no "fact of the matter" about which slit
the particle went through.


No, _if_ (iff) a measurement of which slit the photon goes through is 
made, then no interference pattern is observed. This is standard QM at 
this point.

My point was that Alice and Bob will also agree with what the outcome 
of the measurement was.

 That's why you get interference from
the double-slit.


The interference pattern is only seen when no measurement of which slit 
the photon passed through was made.



What would you say about the past in that case?
Are there two pasts, one where the particle went through each slit,
which have now recombined to form the present?  Or just one past, where
the particle managed to go through both slits at once?


I would say "nothing" about the past prior to a measurement being made.


--Tim May




Re: Claim: Only one past for a given present

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, January 14, 2003, at 11:43  AM, Tim May wrote:

Rereading my paragraphs, maybe they are unclear. It takes entire 
chapters of books (I like David Albert's book, or Smolin's "Life of 
the Cosmos" (from whence the cat and dog example was taken), Bub, 
Hughes, and Barrett) to talk about these things, so my paragraphs are 
doing the ideas justice.

I meant to write "...are NOT doing the ideas justice."

(Regrettably, I often hear the emphasis in my head but neglect to type 
the "not." This is my most annoying typo.)


--Tim



Re: Claim: Only one past for a given present

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

On Monday, January 13, 2003, at 02:40  PM, Jesse Mazer wrote:


Tim May wrote:


On your point about "many pasts are fundamentally caused by quantum 
uncertainty in memory devices," I strongly disagree. There is only 
one past for one present, whether RAMs dropped bits in recording them 
or historians forgot something, etc.

(This is captured by the formalism of observations, as well. Even 
with Uncertainty, all honest observers will report the same outcome 
of an experiment. We have not seen a violation of this, nor is one 
expected. There are various ways to look at this, including the 
topos-theoretic view of subobject classifiers. But the point is that 
in our history either an event happened or it did not. This is 
independent of whether the event was observed, recorded, written 
about, remembered, etc.)

But this is a topic of great fascination for me, and I hope we can 
continue to discuss it. I am quite strongly persuaded that "many 
pasts for a particular present" is not a reality.

Understand that I am not including "current interpretations," as in 
"Some historians think the Roman Empire fell because of lead in their 
plumbing" sorts of theories of the past. I am referring to space-time 
events.

As noted, I also view time and events as a lattice. But lattices have 
certain properties of importance here. More on this later.


--Tim May

What do you mean by this, exactly? In a deterministic universe with 
time-symmetric laws, there'd be only one possible past history for a 
given present state, and only one future history as well, while in a 
universe with stochastic laws, or deterministic laws in which paths in 
phase space could converge, there might be multiple past histories 
that would lead to exactly the same present state.

I think the number of multiple past histories (other than the _actual_ 
one) which "lead to exactly the same present state" is as close to zero 
as one would like to calculate.

As to why there is only a single past but multiple futures, this is 
implicit in the measurement process.  (I doubt you will find this 
convincing unless I expand on this.)

Consider the "There will be a sea battle next year" proposition, the 
favorite of the Stoics and Aristotle.  Unknown at this time, and few 
prospects for computation. Determinism is not very supportable, 
especially at full detail.

And yet the proposition "There was a sea battle at Jutland during World 
War II" is answerable. And all will agree on that answer.

The future is not knowable, the past is not disputable.

This arises with quantum measurements of course. Once a measurement is 
made--path of a photon, for example--all honest observers will report 
exactly the same thing. There simply is no basis for disputing the 
past, for Alice to say "I saw the photon travel through the left slit" 
but for Bob to say "I saw it travel through the right slit."

(If I am wrong on this, please correct me ASAP!)

Honest observers will report the same outcomes of measurements, whether 
those measurements are of photons in slits or sea battles.

This shows up in the formalism of lattices, especially the orthomodular 
lattices of quantum mechanics.

Of course, in quantum mechanics it's not even clear that we can talk 
about the "present state of the universe" as if it's a well-defined 
entity, in which case it may not make sense to ask whether "the" 
present has multiple pasts or multiple futures. A MWI advocate would 
say we could talk about the present state of the universal 
wavefunction, but that's different from the present state of an 
individual "world"--I believe there's a fair amount of controversy 
about what people even mean by "worlds" in the MWI. With a hidden 
variables interpretation of QM you can talk about the universe's 
present state, but the exact details of the present state would always 
be unknowable.

From an instrumentalist point of view, the state of an experiment (or 
of the universe) is recorded by the set of measurements made.

I'm not saying things are not weird...QM by any interpretation gives 
results not in accord with our "realist" intuition. (E.g., the quantum 
box with an animal which may have one door opened to reveal whether 
it's a dog or a cat or the other door opened to reveal whether its a 
male or a female, but never both at the same time and never even 
sequentially so that one first opens one door, sees a dog, opens the 
second door, sees a male. In the ordinary world, both doors are 
openable, either simultaneously or sequentially, and things are as we 
would expect them to be. Not so with quantum things, modulo 
entanglement decoherence, etc.)

Even at the "present" the universe will not have a "defined past," as 
delayed choice experiments show. But I would argue that those delayed 
ch

Quantum Decision Theory

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May

Answering the last question first, "Do you find this perspective 
useful?"...

I'm not yet convinced of any of the utility of the MWI for any bet or 
action, but I certainly think you are pursuing something that _might_ 
be interesting or even useful, with a kind of "quantum decision theory" 
view. But I've yet to see anything convincing.

More comments:

On Monday, January 13, 2003, at 02:33  PM, Wei Dai wrote:

On Fri, Jan 10, 2003 at 08:54:38PM -0800, Tim May wrote:

But in this, the only universe I will ever, ever have contact with, I
optimize as best I can. And I assume all the myriad mes are doing the
same in their universes, forever disconnected from mine.


You're taking the question too personally. The issue here is whether
rationality only involves local optimization within the branch that 
one is
in without regard to other branches, or whether one can also take into
account what one believes to be happening in other branches. You 
yourself
may be a local optimizer, but the larger question is whether 
rationality
allows global optimization or not. Notice that the latter is more
general than the former, because all local optimizers can be modeled as
global optimizers with a special form of utility function.

I would like to see some better examples of what these "take into 
account what one believes to be happening in other branches" decisions 
or optimizations might be.

If in fact the branches are unreachable to us, then causally there can 
be no effect of one branch on another. From the causal decision theory 
I believe you support (Joyce's book), this is just about a perfect 
example of where causal decision theory says "no causal link."

Now, as I discussed in reply to Hal, there's much evidence that what 
people _believe_ affects their actions in this world, this branch. But 
this is true without recourse to many worlds theories. A person's 
belief in an afterlife usually affects his actions in this life. 
Examples abound, and were we talking or arguing in the room I described 
in my first post today, we might consider a bunch of them.

R.I.G. Hughes, in "The Structure and Interpretation of Quantum 
Mechanics," 1989, discusses this issue of betting in a MWI environment:

(late in the book, after much discussion of operators, lattices 
propositions, measurements, interpretations, probability 
measures, etc.)

"But what, on Everett's account, has become of the world which is 
actual in Lewis's? If there is no such privileged world, then something 
odd happens to our conception of probability. For if _all_ (relevant) 
events with nonzero probability are realized in some world or other, 
then are not all those events certain of occurrence? (This was pointed 
out by Healey, 1984, p 593.) And if I wager on what the outcome of a 
measurement will be, will it not pay "me" to place my bet on whatever 
outcome is quoted at the highest odds, without regard to the 
probabilities involved? .. (Before an epidemic of long-odds betting 
is upon us, however, I should add that even the National Security 
Council would be hard put to divert funds from my Swiss bank account in 
one world to its counterpart in another.)

"These levities aside, we may ask what new understanding of the 
measurement process MWI gives us. After a measurement each observer 
will inhabit a world (for her the actual world) in which a particular 
result of the measurement has occurred. And the "total lack of effect 
of one branch on another also implies that no observer will ever be 
aware of any 'splitting' process" (Everett, 1947, p. 147n).  What is 
this observer to say about the physical process which has just 
occurred? From where she stands, the wave packet has collapsed no less 
mysteriously , albeit no more so, than before."

"We are still left with the dualism that the interpretation sought to 
eradicate. As de Witt (1970, pp. 164-165) himself remarks, the 
many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics "leads to experimental 
predictions identical with the (dualist) Copenhagen view.""

(p. 293)

(Tim again.) Now we all know this, but it makes the point that 
probabilities are calculated identically in both interpretations.

If Wei can find a way, no pun intended, to show that "quantum decision 
theory" produces different results OTHER THAN THOSE BASED ONLY ON THE 
BELIEF ITSELF, this would seem to contradict the "identical 
experimental predictions" and would be an important contribution.

(Excluding results based only on the "BELIEF ITSELF" means that it is 
not kosher or persuasive to argue that because someone's belief changes 
their actions it must mean that the belief is correct. If this were 
allowed, Allah's suicide bombers would be proof that Islam is right, 
and so on, for every religious and other beli

Ways of Arguing Physics

2003-01-14 Thread Tim May
This is the first of probably (the future is not yet known!) articles 
I'll do today for this list, responding to the comments of several of 
you.

Yesterday I was reading from a new book, "Faster Than the Speed of 
Light," Joao Magueijo, about his theory that the speed of light may 
vary from place to place and, especially, over time.

One thing he reminded me of is the culture of sitting in crowded 
offices doing physics by arguing, drawing pictures, arguing, yelling, 
laughing, drawing more pictures, shaking heads in despair, and arguing 
some more. Of the arguments go on until one side gives up, or falls 
asleep, or leaves in disgust, unconvinced.

(Things are no so orderly as in the "decision duels" described by Marc 
Stiegler in "David's Sling.")

He also mentions the late night drinking, the arguments where each side 
is mumbling and sleepy. Lee Smolin has called this the "Russian way to 
do math and physics."

Well, we don't have this kind of bandwidth, or time. We write our 
little articles, sans drawings and equations, and we just don't have 
the time or energy to spend hours debating and arguing and resolving 
intermediate issues. So it is not surprising that we see even _less_ 
convergence of views than the office arguers above probably see.

So, onward to those replies I need to write.


--Tim May



Claim: Only one past for a given present

2003-01-13 Thread Tim May

On Monday, January 13, 2003, at 12:38  PM, George Levy wrote:



Tim May wrote

If you mean that "many presents" have "many pasts," yes. But the 
current present only has a limited number of pasts, possibly just one. 
(The origin of this asymmetry in the lattice of events is related to 
our being in one present.)


I mean one (many?) present has many pasts as well as many futures. 
Many pasts are fundamentally caused by quantum uncertainty in memory 
devices; many presents are caused by uncertainty in observation 
devices; many futures are caused by uncertainty in the controlling 
devices. The past cannot be ascertained precisely just as the future 
cannot be predicted precisely. Our consciousness is a fuzzy point in 
the many world. It has an infinite number of pasts and an infinite 
number of futures, an everbranching tree toward the past and an 
everbranching tree toward the future. Taking many observer moments 
together, I view the many world more as a lattice then as a tree. Thus 
navigation in the many-world makes sense.


On your point about "many pasts are fundamentally caused by quantum 
uncertainty in memory devices," I strongly disagree. There is only one 
past for one present, whether RAMs dropped bits in recording them or 
historians forgot something, etc.

(This is captured by the formalism of observations, as well. Even with 
Uncertainty, all honest observers will report the same outcome of an 
experiment. We have not seen a violation of this, nor is one expected. 
There are various ways to look at this, including the topos-theoretic 
view of subobject classifiers. But the point is that in our history 
either an event happened or it did not. This is independent of whether 
the event was observed, recorded, written about, remembered, etc.)

But this is a topic of great fascination for me, and I hope we can 
continue to discuss it. I am quite strongly persuaded that "many pasts 
for a particular present" is not a reality.

Understand that I am not including "current interpretations," as in 
"Some historians think the Roman Empire fell because of lead in their 
plumbing" sorts of theories of the past. I am referring to space-time 
events.

As noted, I also view time and events as a lattice. But lattices have 
certain properties of importance here. More on this later.


--Tim May



Re: Many Fermis Revisited

2003-01-13 Thread Tim May

On Monday, January 13, 2003, at 10:47  AM, George Levy wrote:


Tim, Hal, Russell

Since we have several futures ( and several pasts), time travel is 
just a particular case of many-world travel.

I somewhat agree...and we are not the first to make this point. 
However, we need to be careful about saying we have "several pasts" (I 
assume by "several" you mean "many").

The usual modal operators are needed. We have many possible futures, 
but our possible pasts are limited by the events which are "necessary" 
to produce the world we are actually in. The square operator for "that 
which necessarily may be" and the diamond operator for "that which may 
be."

If you mean that "many presents" have "many pasts," yes. But the 
current present only has a limited number of pasts, possibly just one. 
(The origin of this asymmetry in the lattice of events is related to 
our being in one present.)

...interesting theory elided...

If there is only a single sequence of events ("a past") which produces 
the actual world we are in today, then your time machine will not work, 
as one cannot go back to a world where the past was different from what 
"actually happened."

(And if one did, then of course one would be an actor in a past that 
never happened, a la the usual grandfather paradox in all of its usual 
variants. So "returning to the present" would be to a different 
present.)


If this idea has any merit this is why space travelers are not 
observable either. It provides a form of cosmic censorship.  By 
reducing their measure through QS and the likes, advanced aliens just 
evolve out of existence in our world!

You ought to read "Finity," by John Barnes. He explores a very similar 
idea.


--Tim May
"They played all kinds of games, kept the House in session all night, 
and it was a very complicated bill. Maybe a handful of staffers 
actually read it, but the bill definitely was not available to members 
before the vote." --Rep. Ron Paul, TX, on how few Congresscritters saw 
the USA-PATRIOT Bill before voting overwhelmingly to impose a police 
state



Re: Many Fermis Revisited

2003-01-12 Thread Tim May

On Sunday, January 12, 2003, at 06:54 PM, Russell Standish wrote:

(I'll limit myself to only commenting on the last, and most interesting, point.)
This is where I lose your argument. I can't see why an MWI
communication capable civilisation should be able to spread throughout
our universe any faster than a non-MWI communication capable one. And
even if its true, all it does is place tighter bounds on how difficult
it is to create such civilisations.


I agree that I didn't spend as much time as I could have on this point.

Consider what would happen if MWI communication/travel happened in our timeline. 

First, let's distinguish between what I'll "weak MWI communications" and "strong MWI communications" (or travel, which is essentially isomorphic to communication):

* Weak MWI communication. Strange, cryptic, ghostly sorts of communications, somewhat like the "I Ching" pentagrams and fleeting glimpses of "close" worlds in Dick's "The Man in the High Castle," Echoed in the James Hogan novel from 1997, "Paths to Otherwhere, and in a time travel version in Greg Benford's "Timescape," where a future/branch a century in the future attempts to communicate via particle physics with the "present" to stop/alter an outcome.

* Strong MWI communication. Full communication with other branches, including substantive exchanges of information. Heinlein's "Glory Road" is a somewhat fantasy-oriented take on this, but the notion is clear: "Queen of the Nine Billion Universes," etc.

Imagine what will happen if strong MWI communication happens in our universe, our branch:

-- presumably access to all of the manifold knowledge from every universe which has done science, engineering, etc.

-- vast amounts of technology  (as some universes are "ahead" because the Newtonian revolution happened in 535 A.D., etc.)

-- like a quantum computer, every calculation run a bunch of times, answers already known

A summary of the Hogan book captures a bit of the impact:

"The well-worn sf notion of parallel universes receives a computer-driven update in Hogan's latest novel. Berkeley research scientists Hugh Brenner and Theo Jantowitz are just beginning to make startling progress in siphoning information from other universes by means of sophisticated computer technology when their funding disappears. Fortunately but not fortuitously, they are recruited by a secret Defense Department research arm to continue their work under the umbrella of Project Octagon. Joined by a motley team of brilliant minds, including a Buddhist philosopher, the two quickly develop the means to shift their awarenesses to other versions of themselves in the "multiverse" and to preview thereby future outcomes for their home universe ..."


This is why is it seems reasonable to me that MWI communication would dramatically a civilization's technology.

(Not saying this knowledge would cause them to colonize the universe...maybe they'd give up in despair, or contemplate their navels, whatever. But contact with 10^10^N other worlds sure could be a kick in the pants, a kick that puts a civilization drastically ahead of any civilization which is still evolving "unitarily.")

>From Hal's reference to Mike Price's document (which I read several years ago, so I'd forgotten or had not read his bit about MWI and Fermi), it looks like Price reached the same conclusion.

--Tim May

Re: Many Fermis Revisited

2003-01-12 Thread Tim May

On Sunday, January 12, 2003, at 05:38 PM, Russell Standish wrote:


The key assumption here is whether advanced technological civilisation
(such as ourselves) is easy or difficult on the timescale of the age
of the universe (10^10 years).

Assuming that this is difficult (contra to your comments below),
solves the standard Fermi paradox (namely other advanced civilisation
are too far away to have reached us yet, and probably too far away to 
ever
reach us, unless the universe starts contracting again.

So your Throgians are as good as mythical.

I cannot understand why you would say "contra to your comments below" 
when in several places I discussed this issue of how common life is:

"... estimates of likelihood of advanced civilizations elsewhere. If we 
are the only form of life in our timelike region of the universe, i.e., 
within a few billion light-years, then of course this makes the odds of 
another receiver-builder nil."

"My hunch is that alien civilizations may well exist, but are not 
abundant "

I made no assumptions of nondifficulty (to use your phrasing).

This is in fact why I picked the Thogians a few hundred million 
light-years from us. Now perhaps you think advanced civilizations are 
even rarer than in this example, there have not yet been any 
civilizations reaching our level, except ourselves, anywhere within a 
billion light-years or so of us. Arguing this one way or another was 
not my point.

Rather, it is that the effects of MWI communication (or time travel) 
would likely be enormous and that such a civilization would be expected 
to expand and show themselves in the (likely) billion or more years 
they would have had to expand, build Dyson spheres and other cosmic 
artifacts, send signals, etc.



This also implies that such technological civilisations are also
rather diffuse within the Multiverse, _excepting_ of course those
which share part of their history with ours (eg the Nazis which won
WWII). We have some predictive power as to what those people would be
like, since they will be similar to us.


I'm not following this at all. Why do you think that communication with 
(or actual travel to) worlds is dependent on our ability to _predict_ 
things about them?

I can see an argument to be made that only close worlds can be 
communicated with, and some folks have argued this, but this argument 
was not made by you here.


So, I for one, would not discount Hal Finney's point.



What I said was that the point that we have not yet built a receiver or 
portal says nothing about what others have done. And if there are other 
civilizations out there and building such receivers or portals is 
possible, one would expect a fair number of them to have done so. Since 
the implications of building such portals are, I think, enormous, I 
would expect a civilization which has built such things to have 
expanded even more rapidly through their part of the universe than 
without such things.

--Tim May



Many Fermis Revisited

2003-01-12 Thread Tim May
rmany won the Second World War.

For if such other branches _are_ accessible, then if we are not in some 
special place in the universe these other branches were _also_ 
accessible to the Throgians in that galaxy in Coma Berenices, enough 
time ago for the radical implications of MWI travel/communication to 
produce a massive infusion of knowledge and engineering capabilities.

Hal's argument that we have not seen either time travelers or MWI 
traveler's because we have not yet built receivers yet. My argument is 
"But someone would have by now." And unless we are in a narrow band of 
outcomes where some civilizations have done this and are even now 
expanding toward us but have not yet reached us or produced engineering 
feats we can observe, they should have shown themselves by now.

My hunch is that alien civilizations may well exist, but are not 
abundant (else we'd see the Galactic Federation already here, etc.), 
and that neither time travel nor MWI travel/communication is possible.

--Tim May



Re: Science

2003-01-12 Thread Tim May
usiasm. His novels 
"Distress," "Quarantine," "Diaspora," "Permutation City," "Schild's 
Ladder," etc. are wildly imaginative and thought-provoking. Best of 
all, he gets to develop his ideas at length and with fictional 
characters to explicate the details, WITHOUT people like us to point 
out obvious flaws or lack of observational details.

(I'll add that I think he's the most realistic author I've seen in a 
while on how some of the physics may unfold. For example, in some of 
his novels (SL, Diaspora) he has "new physics" only being discovered a 
century or so from now, which I think is a plausible timeline. And, 
even with a new TOE, it takes another thousand years of AI-enhanced 
thinking before new energy regimes are adequately probed (via an 
accelerator that is roughly the size of the solar system, to probe 
Planck scales).)

The point is this: anyone proposing a "wild theory" here or any other 
realtime list is going to need to expect folks taking potshots and 
pointing out inconsistencies and flaws. For most of science, this works 
very well.

(The case of Wolfram's "new kind of science" is an excellent example to 
discuss in this connection. Maybe in another post.)

We are like the Caltech students that Niven described in the early 70s: 
they demolished the physics of "Ringworld" and pointed out ways that it 
could and could not work. How could we be otherwise?


I suppose your line:

I cannot understand your point here. But if the "several" who were 
once
here are no longer posting, I am not stopping them.<

refers to my phrase "'well composed' edifice of the scientific 
doctrines..."
(discounting the personal defensive) - maybe if you care to glance at 
my
'older'
essay (http://pages.prodigy.net/jamikes/SciRelMay00.html) that would 
release
me from lengthy explanations - subject maybe to my newer miscraftings 
here -

OK, I just checked out your URL and scanned your essay. It looks to be 
about religion and memes. I'm not sure what it has to do with analysis 
of "Everything" theories a la Tegmark, Egan, Schmidhuber, Fredkin, 
Zuse, etc.



Again, I have no idea what you are talking about here<)


Idea I have, wording is hard. I may mention some key-phrases without
contextual explanations (and without asking Wei Dai to reformulate the 
list
in favor of these ) as stirring around lately in select 
speculations:
-- "complexity-thinking", -- extending the limits of reductionism:
induction-buildup, to deduction-analysis,  -- extending the limited 
models
of reductionist science, -- natural systems as networks of networks, --
total interconnectedness -- etc., but I am afraid that whatever I 
mention
opens another Pandora's box of worms.
We (working in these lines) have still arguments how to understand 
(then
formulate) concepts like impredicative, endogenous, emergent, etc., 
beside
the re-identification of 'older' terms galore.


I certainly encourage you to more fully explicate your ideas. But 
understand that I (and others, I think) will "compare and contrast" 
theories with what has been observed, what appears to be solidly known, 
etc. This is what we would do if Vinge were to post ideas here, like I 
said.

I'm quite skeptical that much of the "complexity-thinking" is as 
important as some think it is. (I know about Chaitin, and introduced 
him to the "Extropians" list in 1993, as Hal can confirm. I've also 
corresponded with him, and I went to the first Artificial Life (A-LIFE) 
conference in Los Alamos in 1987 largely because I'd read that John 
Holland, Greg Chaitin, and several others that I wanted to meet would 
be there...as it turned out, Chaitin cancelled. I've also read the 
usual complexity theory stuff. Close links with computation and 
cryptology, of course. But drawing overbroad conclusions, as I think 
Prigogine does, is why I am skeptical.)

(To add another comment. At this first A-LIFE I also had a lot of time 
to talk to Stuart Hameroff about his "nanotubules" and "cytoskellular 
consciousness" theories. Strange stuff. A perfect example of my 
novelization point: were Hameroff to develop his ideas in a novel, a 
well-written and engaging novel, we might be able to say "Weird, but 
interesting!." But when I see Hameroff's ideas in essays on the Web, or 
Penrose's vague claims that gravity may have something to do with 
quantum weirdness, I remain intensely skeptical.)

I think there's more than plenty of fascinating new physics being 
vigorously discussed in the modern physics community. The arXive site 
is fun to browse.

When a theory is so weird that it is not even discussable by workers in 
the field, then our skepticism meters must reflect this.

Your comments did not "aggravate" me...they simply prodded me to set 
down some of the many ideas percolating in my head. This may make me 
seem like a "conservative" here, but it's my nature to analyze and 
critique, to compare and contrast.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.

--Tim May



Re: Science

2003-01-11 Thread Tim May

On Saturday, January 11, 2003, at 03:11  PM, John M wrote:


This list - several years ago - took a free approach, alas lately more 
and
more conventional opinions slip in, regrettable for me, because I hold 
 that
the conventional "science establishment" holds feverishly to old 
addages,
acquired in times when the epistemic cognitive inventory was much less 
than
available today (which is much less than that of tomorrow). Even the 
"topics
of the future" build on ancient observations and their explanations
(formalism), in order to conform with the scientists' earlier books,
teachings, pupils, discussions.

Given that there is no moderation, no censorship, it is clear that talk 
about "this list...took" is missing the point. "This list" is really 
"the comments of those subscribed and contributing."

As always, if you believe people are talking about the wrong things, 
your best approach to is to persuasively make your own points which you 
believe fit your conception of what subscribers to the list "should" be 
talking about.

I have no understanding of what you mean by saying "alas lately more 
and more conventional opinions slip in."

If you think my views are too conventional, for example, or that I 
should not be posting to this list, I suppose you can ask Wei Dai to 
remove me. I believe nearly all of my posts are in the spirit of the 
list's charter, discussing as I do MWI, Tegmark/Egan, possible worlds, 
modal logic, etc.

(I seldom if ever discuss the Schmidhuber thesis, and the "COMP" 
thesis, as these are not currently interesting to me. I notice plenty 
of other people discussing them, and I read their comments with _some_ 
interest, anticipating the eventual day when the COMP stuff is more 
germane to me.)



In MOST cases the methodology works in practical ways, builds 
technology, up
to the point when "understanding" comes in. This is a many negated 
term,
many so called scientists satisfy themselves with practical results 
(for
tenure, awards, etc.)
Few researchers take the stance to "free" their mind from learned 
prejudice
and check the 'well composed' edifice of the scientific doctrines for
sustainability under the newly evolved vistas. There were several on 
this
list.

I cannot understand your point here. But if the "several" who were once 
here are no longer posting, I am not stopping them.

The new ideas were quickly absorbed into the existing formalistic mill 
-
calculative obsolescence and semantic impropriety,  which confused 
many.
New science is like Tao: who says "I developed a theory within it" 
does not
know what he talks about. Science is on the crossroad: (I wold not say
bifurcation, because I have negative arguments against this concept) 
and we
know only that something 'new' is in the dreams, we need more thinking
before we can identify "what".

Again, I have no idea what you are talking about here.


Speaking of "science" usually means "old science". This list started 
out to
serve the "new science".
It woulod be a shame to slip back into the conventionalities.

Talk to Wei Dai. I write what I think is true and important.


--Tim May




Science

2003-01-11 Thread Tim May
had some 
inkling that they could incorporate "fudge factors" into their 
theories, parameters left blank until they could be filled in, but NO 
EXPERIMENTS and NO OBSERVATIONS needed such fudge factors. Within the 
accuracy of the experiments, there were no epicycles or orbital 
corrections needed (not for a long time, not until slight deviations 
from theory in the orbit of Mercury showed up, as one example).

And this correspondence is not accidental. This is not like saying the 
theory of epicycles is a limiting case of classical mechanics and 
gravitation, which it most certainly is not. Let Planck's constant go 
toward zero and classical mechanics happens. Let v << c and classical 
mechanics happens.

or you can say, no we're about as good at it as always,
maybe a little more refined in method but not much, and we'll continue 
to get
fundamental scientific revolutions even in areas we see as sacrosanct 
theory today.

It took better tools to see into the regimes where the older theories 
failed. It will probably take substantial increases in accelerator 
energies to see into the regimes where quantum gravity is 
evident...some say that short of probing at Planck scales (of length, 
energy, time), we will have no way to distinguish amongst competing 
theories.

More optimistic folks think we may see some kind of evidence within our 
lifetimes.

Certainly we are not in a solipsistic situation where new theories are 
easily formulated and knock off older theories without experimental 
evidence or unexplained phenomena.

I don't understand your "secret cause of asymmetry in the universe" 
point. We understand some things about symmetry breaking in particle 
physics theories, via gauge theories and the like. If you want more 
than this, you'll have to expand on what you mean here.

It is a Koan (kind of). A self-referential, absurd example of a notion 
that an imbalance in a formal symbol system (the words I'm using, and 
the quotes) could possibly be the cause of
asymmetry in the physical universe.

Probably not, but I won't get into a debate with you on this.

--Tim May




Re: Possible Worlds, Logic, and MWI

2003-01-11 Thread Tim May

On Saturday, January 11, 2003, at 01:39  AM, Eric Hawthorne wrote:


This strict "anonymous symbols" interpretation
is how one must treat formal logic and propositions
expressed in formal logic too. Every time
I read someone bemoaning how logic has difficulty with
expressing "what is going to happen in future", I think,
why would you expect a formal system of symbols to have
anything to do with future time in reality?


There are excellent reasons to expect a formal system of symbols to 
correctly predict future time in reality: the operation of machines, 
chips, programs. Of enormous complexity, iterating for trillions of 
steps in time, the outcomes are consistent and predictable.

As for someone "bemoaning how logic...future," temporal logic is an 
active research area. Arthur Prior has written much about the logic of 
time. Modal logic is essentially about this kind of reasoning.

Pace the point below about comets hitting planets, a formal symbol 
system is not going to predict something dependent on events we cannot 
see (yet) or model (yet). It would be unreasonable to expect a logic of 
time to somehow predict events from outside our "knowledge cone" (like 
a light cone, but for knowledge).


As far as I know, there is no good formulation of
a formal connection between a formal system and """"""reality"""""  
<-unbalanced quotes, the secret
cause of asymmetry in the universe. How's that for a
"quining" paragraph?

We analyze Reality in bits and pieces, in facets. We analyze planetary 
motions, and now we have logical symbol models which are enormously 
accurate and far-reaching in time. Granted, models of future planetary 
positions cannot predict events outside the model, such as collisions 
with comets not yet charted, and so on. But this is not a plausible 
goal of any model.

I don't understand your "secret cause of asymmetry in the universe" 
point. We understand some things about symmetry breaking in particle 
physics theories, via gauge theories and the like. If you want more 
than this, you'll have to expand on what you mean here.




Is there? For example, "truth" is defined in formal logic with respect 
to, again, formal models with an infinite
number of formal symbols in them. It is not defined with respect
to some vague "correspondence" with external reality.

Actually, science is just about such correspondences with external 
reality.

I haven't argued that logic alone is a substitute for science, 
measurement, experimentation, refutation, correction, adjustment, 
model-building.

Someone was writing about "correspondence theory"
with this goal in mind many years back, and that sounded
interesting. I haven't read Tegemark et al. What do they say
about the formalities of how mathematics extends to correspond to, or 
to be? external reality? To me, there is
still a huge disconnect there.

Again, I don't understand what you mean by "there is still a huge 
disconnect there."

If you are refuting Tegmark, you should read his articles first.

If you are saying that much still needs to be done, this is of course 
true, fortunately.

--Tim May



Re: Possible Worlds, Logic, and MWI

2003-01-10 Thread Tim May

On Friday, January 10, 2003, at 08:54  PM, Tim May wrote:



Wei suggested that in the context of a many-worlds universe (not just
the quantum MWI but even for a broader set of possibilities), you 
might
not make this same decision.  You know that when the coin flips, the
universe is going to effectively branch and both possibilities are 
going
to be actualized.  Let us suppose that in addition to slightly 
preferring
apples to oranges, you have a strong value preference for diversity.
You like variety and you dislike having everything the same 
everywhere.
In that case, you might rationally choose to receive an apple on heads
but an orange on tails.  While this slightly reduces your average
pleasure level in terms of tasting the fruit, this could be more than
compensated by your increased pleasure at knowing that you are 
enjoying
diverse experiences in the two worlds.


To add something to my last comment, there is a huge difference between 
these two situations:

1. Alice believes in the MWI, whether it is true or not.

2. The MWI is true, whether Alice believes in it or not.

I fully accept that Situation 1, where Alice believes in the MWI, can 
and likely will alter her choices. She may alter her risk assessment 
model, she may change what she believes about religion, and so on.

I think, Hal, that in your language above you are confusing the issue 
of Alice's faith in MWI with the actual reality or nonreality of MWI. 
Your comments about "You know that when the coin flips" and "knowing 
that you are enjoying diverse experiences in the two worlds" are not 
statements about what is actually happening but, importantly, about 
what Alice _believes_ will happen.

This is paralleled in religion:

"Alice knows that when she prays to Baal, he listens and smites her 
enemies. She knows that Baal has prepared a place for her in his party 
room in the afterlife. She knows that dying young for Baal will only 
take her to Baal that much sooner. She awakens every day with hope and 
expectation."

No doubt that belief alters behavior. But it doesn't make either the 
existence of MWI or Baal any more real.

(Understand of course that I am not putting belief in MWI on the same 
level as belief in YHWH or Allah or Baal or Yog-Sotteth. But we must be 
careful in using language like "You know that your choice does such and 
such.")


--Tim May



Re: Possible Worlds, Logic, and MWI

2003-01-10 Thread Tim May
 in each world.  We're not just acting to
maximize the expected outcome in each world averaged across all of 
them,
we're acting to maximize the utility of the "big picture", the entire
set of worlds affected by our acts, considered as a whole.

Why would there be any reason to try to maximize the utility of this 
"big picture"?

For those of us who don't even strive for "the greatest good for the 
greatest number" in a single-branch universe, why would striving for 
more good (whatever "good" is) in 10^300+ branches be interesting or 
important?

In any case, if MWI is correct, then there is every type of universe 
imaginable, consistent only with the laws of physics and math, and 
every decision for the good or the bad or whatever has been made 
countless times in countless ways. By any calculus of the multiverse, 
the sheaf of universes in which Tim May or Hal Finney even exist is of 
measure approaching zero.

Meanwhile, I'm _here_.

--Tim May
"Dogs can't conceive of a group of cats without an alpha cat." --David 
Honig, on the Cypherpunks list, 2001-11



Possible Worlds, Logic, and MWI

2003-01-10 Thread Tim May

On Friday, January 10, 2003, at 12:34  PM, George Levy wrote:


This is a reply to Eric Hawthorne and Tim May.


(Tim comment: the quoted text below is partly a mix of my comments and 
partly George's.)


Lastly, like most "many worlds" views, the same calculations apply 
whether one thinks in terms of "actual" other worlds or just as 
possible worlds in the standard probability way (having nothing to do 
with quantum mechanics per se).

Good point.

Or so I believe. I would be interested in any arguments that the 
quantum view of possible worlds gives any different measures of 
probability than non-quantum views give. (If there is no movement 
between such worlds, the quantum possible worlds are identical to the 
possible worlds of Aristotle, Leibniz, Borges, C.I. Lewis, David 
Lewis, Stalnaker, Kripke, and others.)


Interesting. I don't know how to proceed in this area.


I've been meaning to write something up on this for a long time, but 
have never gotten around to it. I'll try now.

FIRST, let me say I am not denigrating the quantum mechanics issue of 
Many Worlds. I was first exposed to it maybe 30 years ago, not counting 
science fiction stories about parallel worlds, and even Larry Niven's 
seminal "All the Myriad Ways," which was quite clearly based on his MWI 
readings. Also, I am reading several recent books on QM and MWI, 
including Barrett's excellent "The Quantum Mechanics of Minds and 
Worlds," 1999, which surveys the leading theories of many worlds (the 
bare bones theory, DeWitt-Graham, Albert and Loewer's "many minds," 
Hartle and Gell-Mann's "consistent histories," and so on. Also, Isham's 
"Lectures on Quantum Theory," and I've just started in on Nielsen and 
Chuang's "bible of quantum computers" massive book, "Quantum 
Computation and Quantum Information," from whence I got the funny 
Hawking quote about him reaching for his gun when Schrodinger's cat 
gets mentioned.

So I am deeply interested in this, more so for various reasons than I 
was 30 or 20 or 10 years ago.

SECOND, my focus is much more on the tools than on any specific theory. 
I may be one of the few here who doesn't some wild theory of what the 
universe is! (I'm only partly kidding...we see a lot of people here 
starting out with "In my theory...universe is strand of 
beads...embedded...14-dimensional hypertorus...first person 
awarenesss...causality an illusion...M-branes are inverted..." sorts of 
theories. Some have compared our current situation to the various and 
many theories of the atom in the period prior to Bohr's epiphany. 
Except of course that various theories of the atom in the 1900-1915 
period were testable within a few years, with most failing in one 
spectacular way or another. Today's theories may not be testable for 
1000 years, for energy/length reasons. (One hopes some clever tests may 
be available sooner...)

When I say tools I mean mostly mathematics tools. I'm a lot more 
interested, for instance, in deeply understanding Gleason's Theorem and 
the Kochen-Specker Theorem (which I do not yet understand at a deep 
level!) than I am in idly speculating about the significance of QM for 
consciousness or whatever. (No insult intended for those who work in 
this area...I just don't see any meaningful connections as yet.)

And the mathematical tools of interest to me right now are these: 
lattices and order (posets, causal sets), the connections between logic 
and geometry (sheaves, locales, toposes), various forms of logic 
(especially modal logic and intuitionistic logic), issues of time (a la 
Prior, Goldblatt, causal sets again), and the deep and interesting 
links with quantum mechanics. I'm also reading the book on causal 
decision theory that Wei Dai recommended, the Joyce book. And some 
other tangentially related things. A lot of what I am spending time on 
is the basic topology and algebra I only got smatterings of when I was 
in school, along with some glimpses of algebraic topology and the like.

I'm using category theory and topos theory not as end-alls and be-alls, 
but as the lens through which I tend to view these other areas. 
Frankly, I learn faster and more deeply when I have some such lens. If 
this lens turns out to be not so useful for what I hope to do, I'll 
find another one. But for now, it gives me joy.

I wrote a fair amount here last summer about topos theory, 
intuitionistic logic, notions of time evolution, and the work of Baez, 
Smolin, Markopoulou, Crane, Rovelli, and about a half dozen others. 
This remains a core interest, with some interesting (but not worked 
out, IMO) connections with QM (cf. the papers of Isham and Butterfield, 
and I. Raptis, and even some Russians). Bruno is more advanced than I 
am on the logic, as I have only gotten really interested

Re: Quantum Suicide without suicide

2003-01-10 Thread Tim May

On Thursday, January 9, 2003, at 08:22  PM, George Levy wrote:

OK. Let's consider the case of the guy dying of cancer and playing the 
stock market simultaneously.. In real life, the hard part is to get 
meaningful probability data. For the sake of the argument let's assume 
the following scenario:


..scenario elided, not to mislead, but because I will not be using any 
details of the calculation...

As we can see, the rate of return for Alice is 4.8 times that of Bob. 
Alice will make a profit, but not Bob.

Conclusions:
All this involves really basic probability theory.
The first person perspective probability is identical to the 
probability conditional to the person staying alive.
The probability of the event in question (stock going up) must be tied 
to the person staying alive ( a cure for cancer). In the case of a 
"conventional" QS suicide to world conditions matching the requested 
state: ie. winning one million dollars. In the deathrow case one could 
imagine a scenario in which the event in question (DNA test discovery) 
is tied to a reprieve from the governor coming because of a DNA test 
exhonerating the prisoner. The prisoner could bet on DNA testing as a 
good investment.  The airline case is similar. The hard part is 
figuring the probability of very unlikely saving events such as a 
scientific discovery,  ET landing on earth or the coming of the 
messiah :-)

How is this different from standard life insurance arguments, where 
buying a policy is betting one will die and not buying a policy is 
betting one will live? If one has no heirs to worry about, no concern 
about the world if and after one dies, then it has been known for a 
long time that the "smart" thing to do is not to buy life insurance. If 
one dies, the policy payoff is worthless (to the dead person), but if 
one lives, the money has been saved.

Similar calculations are very simple for going into a dangerous 
situation: take a bet, at nearly any odds, that one will live. If the 
odds of survival in going into a combat situation are one in a hundred, 
and betting odds reflect this, bet everything one can on survival. If 
one dies, the $10,000 lost is immaterial. If one lives, one has a 
payout of roughly a million dollars.

The scenario with cancer cures and doctors and quackery and all just 
makes this standard calculation more complicated.

And instead of couching this in terms of bets (or stock investments), 
one can phrase it in standard terms for high risk jobs: "Your chance of 
succeeding is one in a hundred. But if you succeed, one million dollars 
awaits you."

(I doubt many would take on such a job. But with varying payouts, we 
all take on similar sorts of jobs. For example, flying on business.)

It's a reason some people take on very risky jobs. They figure if they 
succeed, they'll be rich. If they fail, they'll be dead and won't care. 
(Certainly not many people think this way, but some do.

But "betting on yourself" is not "quantum suicide" in any way I can 
see. It's just a straightforward calculation of odds and values of 
things like money (of no value if dead, for example) in the main 
outcomes.

Lastly, like most "many worlds" views, the same calculations apply 
whether one thinks in terms of "actual" other worlds or just as 
possible worlds in the standard probability way (having nothing to do 
with quantum mechanics per se).

Or so I believe. I would be interested in any arguments that the 
quantum view of possible worlds gives any different measures of 
probability than non-quantum views give. (If there is no movement 
between such worlds, the quantum possible worlds are identical to the 
possible worlds of Aristotle, Leibniz, Borges, C.I. Lewis, David Lewis, 
Stalnaker, Kripke, and others.)



--Tim May
"How we burned in the prison camps later thinking: What would things 
have been like if every security operative, when he went out at night 
to make an arrest, had been uncertain whether he would return alive?" 
--Alexander Solzhenitzyn, Gulag Archipelago



Re: Quantum suicide without suicide

2003-01-09 Thread Tim May
From: Tim May <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Thu Jan 9, 2003  1:22:32  PM US/Pacific
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Quantum suicide without suicide


On Thursday, January 9, 2003, at 12:32  PM, George Levy wrote:

As you can see, suicide is not necessary. One could be on death row - 
in other words have a high probability of dying - and make decisions 
based on the probability of remaining alive.

Being on death row, dying of cancer, travelling on an airline, or 
sleeping in our bed involve different probability of death... These 
situations only differ in degrees. We are all in the same boat so to 
speak. We are all likely to die sooner or later. The closer the 
probability of death, the more important QS decision becomes.

The guy on death row must include in his QS decision making the factor 
that will save his life: probably a successful appeal or a reprieve by 
the state governor.

No, this is the "good news" fallacy of evidential decision theory, as 
discussed by Joyce in his book on "Causal Decision Theory." The "good 
news" fallacy is noncausally hoping for good news, e.g., standing in a 
long line to vote when the expected benefit of voting is nearly nil. 
("But if everyone thought that way, imagine what would happen!" Indeed.)

The guy on death row should be looking for ways to causally influence 
his own survival, not consoling himself with good news fallacy notions 
that he will be alive in other realities in which the governor issues a 
reprieve. The quantum suicide strategy is without content.

As you see, suicide is not necessary for QS decisions.



No, I don't see this. I don't see _any_ of this. Whether one supports 
Savage or Jefferys or Joyce or Pearl, I see no particular importance of 
"quantum suicide" to the theory of decision-making.

It would help if you gave some concrete examples of what a belief in 
quantum suicide means for several obvious examples:

-- the death row case you cited

-- the airplane example you also cited

-- Newcomb's Paradox (discussed in Pearl, Joyce, Nozick, etc.)

-- stock market investments/speculations

--Tim May



Re: Quantum suicide without suicide

2003-01-08 Thread Tim May

On Wednesday, January 8, 2003, at 10:58  AM, George Levy wrote:


In the original verision of Quantum Suicide (QS), as understood in 
this list, the experimenter sets up a suicide machine that kills him 
if the world does not conform to his wishes. Hence, in the branching 
many-worlds, his consciousness is erased in those worlds, and remains 
intact in the worlds that do satisfy him.

Is it possible to perform such a feat without suicide? What is the 
minimum "attrition" that is required and still get the effect of 
suicide?

Hawking had a good line: "When I hear about Schrodinger's Cat, I reach 
for my gun."

Slightly modify the QS conditions in another direction: instead of 
dying immediately, one goes onto death row to await execution. Or one 
is locked in a box with the air running out. And so on.

This removes the security blanket of saying "Suicide is painless, and 
in all the worlds you have not died in, you are rich!" In 99....99% 
of all worlds, you sit in the box waiting for the air to run out.

I don't know if there are other worlds in the DeWitt/Graham sense 
(there is no reason to believe Everett ever thought in these terms), 
but if they "exist" they appear to be either unreachable by us, or 
inaccessible beyond short times and distances (coherence issues).

In particular, it seems to me there's a "causal decision theory" 
argument  which says that one should make decisions based on the 
maximization of the payout. And based on everything we observe in the 
world around us, which is overwhelmingly classical at the scales we 
interact in, this means the QS outlook is deprecated.

Consider this thought experiment: Alice is facing her quantum mechanics 
exam at Berkeley. She sees two main approaches to take. First, study 
hard and try to answer all of the questions as if they mattered. 
Second, take the lessons of her QS readings and simply _guess_, or 
write gibberish, killing herself if she fails to get an "A." (Or, as 
above, facing execution, torture, running out of air, etc.,  just to 
repudiate the "suicide is painless" aspect of some people's argument.)

From rationality, or causal decision theory, which option should she 
pick?

All indications are that there are virtually no worlds in which random 
guessers do well. (The odds are readily calcuable, given the type of 
exam, grading details, etc. We can fairly easily see that a random 
guesser in the SATs will score around 550-600 combined, but that a 
random guesser in a non-multiple-choice QM exam will flunk with 
ovewhelming likelihood.)

What should one do? What did all of you actually do? What did Moravec 
do, what did I do, what did Tegmark do?

--Tim May



No infinities needed

2002-12-31 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, December 31, 2002, at 07:02  AM, Joao Leao wrote:


I don't agree with Tim's suggestion  that infinite-dimensional Hilbert 
spaces
are somewhat "ancilliary" in QM and that all systems are calculable in
finite dimensional modes. In fact infinite sets of spaces are the rule 
in
QM and
the finite dimensional subspaces only serve as toy systems.

I said it is often done. Many of the details of the infinite case are 
just not needed. And QM is often taught this way, with no loss of 
rigor, provided any subtleties are pointed out to the student.

For example, here are some fairly typical lecture notes for a course on 
QM:

"2.2. Hilbert Space

Hilbert spaces are mentioned in most textbooks on quantum mechanics and 
functional analysis [3] . Therefore we will only mention some features, 
which are not found almost everywhere. We will also not have to go into 
the subtleties of topologies, continuous spectra, or unbounded 
operators, because throughout this course, we can assume that all 
Hilbert spaces are finite dimensional. Modifications in the infinite 
dimensional case will be mentioned in the notes. Our standard notation 
is <\phi ,\psi > for the scalar product of the vectors \phi ,\psi \in 
H, ||\phi ||=<\phi ,\phi >1/2 for the norm, and B(H) for the algebra of 
bounded linear operators on H. Of course, all linear operators on a 
finite dimensional space are bounded anyway, and the B is used mostly 
for conformity with the infinite dimensional case. "

http://www.imaph.tu-bs.de/qi/lecture/qinf21.html


In nearly every area of physics, the issue of "infinity" is phrased in 
terms of sequences or structures approaching or growing towards the 
infinite or infinitesimal. For example, a test mass is assumed to be 
small enough not to perturb the curvature tensor. But actual infinite 
spaces are not needed, not even in thermodynamics.

This dispenses with a lot of the mathematical cruft, alluded to above 
(continuous spectra, compactness, etc.). That cruft contains a lot of 
beautiful math, but physics just doesn't need it, at least not very 
often.

I have no axe to grind on this. For those who want to study only the 
completely general, infinite-dimensional cases, cool. But a good 
understanding of finite-dimensional vector spaces (e.g., the Halmos 
book) provides the math one needs for QM, especially at the level we 
usually discuss it at here. (As many here perhaps already know, Halmos 
was Von Neumann's assistant, writing up his lectures, when he wrote his 
book.)

Provided the complex space is normed, and is complete, which all 
finite-dimensional vector spaces are, the math works. No infinities are 
needed, which is good.

--Tim May



Re: Quantum Probability and Decision Theory

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May

On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 03:46  AM, Brent Meeker wrote:


On 31-Dec-02, Hal Finney wrote:


One correction, there are no known problems which take exponential
time but which can be checked in polynomial time. If such a problem
could be found it would prove that P != NP, one of the greatest
unsolved problems in computability theory.


What about Hamiltonian circuits or factoring an integer or roots of a
Diophantine equation?


Hal will probably answer. I initially had the same reaction you had 
(except only about Hamiltonian cycles and roots of Diophantines, but 
not factoring, as factoring is not known to be NP-complete).

But upon rereading what Hal wrote, and what I had already drafted a 
nearly complete reply to, I saw that he was making the subtle point 
that there are "no known problems which take exponential time."

All of the NP-complete problems (Hamiltonian cycle, Diophantine, etc.) 
currently only have exponential-time solutions. But there is no 
guarantee that a polynomial solution (which is not NP, that is, is not 
the result of a "guess" or an "oracle") will not be found sometime in 
the future.

Proving that there "are" problems which can only be solved in 
exponential time but which can be checked in polynomial time is subtly 
different from saying that all problems in the class NP-complete admit 
no polynomial time solutions.

(I'm trying to avoid using shorthand like P and NP and Exptime, as a 
lot of confusion enters when shorthand gets misinterpreted.)


--Tim May



Many Worlds Version of Fermi Paradox

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May
On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 01:18  PM, Jesse Mazer wrote:


Hal Finney wrote:


One correction, there are no known problems which take exponential 
time
but which can be checked in polynomial time.  If such a problem could 
be
found it would prove that P != NP, one of the greatest unsolved 
problems
in computability theory.

Whoops, I've heard of the P=NP problem but I guess I was confused 
about what it meant. But there are some problems where candidate 
solutions can be checked much faster than new solutions can be 
generated, no? If you want to know whether a number can be factorized 
it's easy to check candidate factors, for example, although if the 
answer is that it cannot be factorized because the number is prime I 
guess there'd be no fast way to check if that answer is correct.

Factoring is not known to be in NP (the so-called "NP-complete" class 
of problems...solve on in P time and you've solved them all!).

The example I favor is the Hamiltonian cycle/circuit problem: find a 
path through a set of linked nodes (cities) which passes through each 
node once and only once. All of the known solutions to an arbitrary 
Hamiltonian cycle problem are exponential in time (in number of nodes). 
For example, for 5 cities there are at most 120 possible paths, so this 
is an easy one. But for 50 cities there are as many as 49!/2 possible 
paths (how many, exactly, depends on the links between the cities, with 
not every city having all possible links to other cities). For a mere 
100 cities, the number of routes to consider is larger than the number 
of particles we believe to be in the universe.

However, saying "known solutions" is not the same thing as "we have 
proved that it takes exponential time." For all we know, now, in 2002, 
there are solutions not requiring exponential time (in # of cities).

This is also somewhat relevant to "theories of everything" since we 
might want to ask if somewhere in the set of "all possible universes" 
there exists one where time travel is possible and computing power 
increases without bound. If the answer is yes, that might suggest that 
any TOE based on "all possible computations" is too small to 
accomodate a really general notion of all possible universes.

And this general line of reasoning leads to a Many Worlds Version of 
the Fermi Paradox: Why aren't they here?

The reason I lean toward the "shut up and calculate" or "for all 
practical purposes" interpretation of quantum mechanics is embodied in 
the above argument.

IF the MWI universe branchings are at all communicatable-with, that is, 
at least _some_ of those universes would have very, very large amounts 
of power, computer power, numbers of people, etc. And some of them, if 
it were possible, would have communicated with us, colonized us, 
visited us, etc.

This is a variant of the Fermi Paradox raised to a very high power.

My conclusion is that the worlds of the MWI are not much different from 
Lewis' "worlds with unicorns"--possibly extant, but unreachable, and 
hence, operationally, no different from a single universe model.

(I don't believe, necessarily, in certain forms of the Copenhagen 
Interpretation, especially anything about signals propagating 
instantaneously, just the "quantum mechanics is about measurables" 
ground truth of what we see, what has never failed us, what the 
mathematics tells us and what is experimentally verified. Whether there 
"really are" (in the modal realism sense of Lewis) other worlds is 
neither here nor there. Naturally, I would be thrilled to see evidence, 
or to conclude myself from deeper principles, that other worlds have 
more than linguistic existence.)


--Tim May



Many Worlds and Oracles

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May

On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 11:57  AM, Jesse Mazer wrote:

As I understood it, the basic idea here was to use the fact that 
history must work out consistently to get a machine that could solve 
problems much faster than a Turing machine. For example, for any 
problem that requires exponential time to reach a solution but for 
which possible solutions can be checked in polynomial time, you could 
have the machine pick a possible solution at random, then check to see 
if the solution actually works, then if it *doesn't* work it sends 
back a sort of override command that changes the original guess, which 
would create an inconsistency.

Or just kills you and/or your world.

This idea predates Max Tegmark by quite a while...I give Moravec the 
credit.

My own version of an oracle was done for an article I sent out in 1994. 
Included below.


RSA Broken By The Russians?

Kolmogorov Cryptography System Possibly Cracked
1 Apr 1994


   MOSCOW (AP) -- At a press conference held minutes ago in a crowded 
hall,
   Russian mathematicians announced that a breakthrough had been made
   nearly a decade ago in the arcane branch of mathematics known as
   "cryptography," the science of making messages that are unreadable to
   others.

   Leonid Vladwylski, Director of the prestigious Moscow Academy of
   Sciences, called the press conference yesterday, after rumors began
   circulating that noted Russian-American reporter John Markoff was in
   Russia to interview academicians at the previously secret city of
   Soviet cryptographers, Kryptogorodok.  The existence of 
Kryptogorodok,
   sister city to Akademogorodok, Magnetogorsk, and to the rocket cities
   of Kazhakstan, had been shrouded in secrecy since its establishment 
in
   1954 by Chief of Secret Police L. Beria.  Its first scientific
   director, A. Kolmogorov, developed in 1960 what is called in the West
   "public key cryptography."  The existence of Kryptogorodok was 
unknown
   to the West until 1991, when Stephen Wolfram disclosed its existence.


   American cryptographers initially scoffed at the rumors that the
   Russians had developed public-key cryptography as early as 1960, some
   15 years prior to the first American discovery.  After interviews 
last
   year at Kryptogorodok, noted American cryptographers Professor D.
   Denning and D. Bowdark admitted that it did seem to be confirmed.

   Professor Denning was quoted at the time saying that she did not 
think
   this meant the Russians could actually break the Kolmogorov system,
   known in the West as RSA, because she had spent more than a full 
weekend
   trying to do this and had not succeeded.  "Believe me, RSA is still
   unbreakable," she said in her evaluation report.

   Russia's top mathematicians set out to break Kolmogorov's new coding
   system.  This required them to determine that "P = NP" (see 
accompanying
   article).  Details are to be published next month in the journal
   "Doklady.Krypto," but a few details are emerging.

   The Kolmogorov system is broken by computing the prime numbers which
   form what is called the modulus.  This is done by randomly guessing 
the
   constituent primes and then detonating all of the stockpiled nuclear
   weapons in the former Soviet Union for each "wrong guess."  In the 
Many
   Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics, invented in 1949 by Lev
   Landau (and later, independently by Everett and Wheeler in the U.S.),
   all possible outcomes of a quantum experiment are realized.

   As Academician Leonid Vladwylski explained, "In all the universes in
   which we guessed the wrong factors, we were destroyed completely.  
But
   since we are obviously here, talking to you at this press 
conference, in
   this universe we have an unbroken record of successfully factoring 
even
   the largest of imaginable numbers.  Since we are so optimistic about
   this method, we say the computation runs in 'Nondeterministic 
Pollyanna
   Time.'  Allow me to demonstrate..."

   [Press Conference will be continued if the experiment is a success.]

   MOSCOW (AP), ITAR-Tass, 1 April 1994


Appendix

First, it was Stephen Wolfram's actual suggestion, a couple of years ago
after the USSR imploded, that we try to recruit mathematicians and
programmers from what he surmised must exist: a secret city of Soviet
cryptographers.  It probably exists.  We did it at Los Alamos, they did 
it
with their rocket scientists and others (Akademogorodok exists), so why 
not
put their version of NSA a bit off the beaten track?  Note that our own 
NSA
is within a stone's throw of the Baltimore-Washington Parkway.  I 
wouldn't
be surprised to learn that their experts were ensconced somewhere in the
Urals.

I tried to acknowledge Steve with my comments.  By the way, so far as I
know, no word has come out on whether he was right in this speculation.
(Maybe some of the Russians he does in fact have working at Wolfram are
these folks?  Naw...)

Second, Kolmogorov did ba

Re: Quantum Probability and Decision Theory

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May

On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 11:18  AM, Tim May wrote:



On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 10:44  AM, Stephen Paul King wrote:

QM comp seems to operate in the space of the Reals (R) and TM 
operates
in the space of Integers (Z), is this correct?

Any finite system, which of course all systems are, can have all of 
its quantum mechanics calculations done with finite-dimensional vector 
spaces. The "full-blown machinery" of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert 
space is nice to have, in the same way that Fourier analysis is more 
elegantly done with all possible frequencies even though no actual 
system (including the universe!) needs all frequencies.


Lest there be no confusion, I meant that all actual systems can be 
computed with finite-dimensional vector spaces which have inner 
products. Or in Von Neumann's more precise language, "complete complex 
inner product spaces." (Since all Hilbert spaces with an infinite 
number of dimensions are isomorphic, this gives rise to just saying 
"Hilbert space" in the singular.)

The point is that the arbitrary-dimension elegance of a full-blown 
Hilbert space is nice to have, especially for theorem-proving, but not 
essential.

More speculatively, postulating that a quantum state in the real world 
(in a quantum computer, or atom cage, etc.) is "actually" a vector with 
an infinite degree of positional accuracy, is akin to saying that it 
computes with the reals, which touches on the Blum-Shub-Smale issue I 
talked about earlier this morning.

As Hal says, the world is not actually Newtonian. And neither is it 
actually quantum-mechanical in the  ideal, limiting, 
infinite-dimensional case.

--Tim May



Re: Quantum Probability and Decision Theory

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May

On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 10:44  AM, Stephen Paul King wrote:

QM comp seems to operate in the space of the Reals (R) and TM 
operates
in the space of Integers (Z), is this correct?

Any finite system, which of course all systems are, can have all of its 
quantum mechanics calculations done with finite-dimensional vector 
spaces. The "full-blown machinery" of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert 
space is nice to have, in the same way that Fourier analysis is more 
elegantly done with all possible frequencies even though no actual 
system (including the universe!) needs all frequencies.


We must additionally account for, at least, the "illusion" of time 
and
concurrency of events.


I don't see any problems with either. (Yes, I have read Huw Price's 
book.)


--Tim May



Computing with reals instead of integers

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May
ween the theory of 
recursive functions (aka lambda calculus), cartesian closed categories, 
and the effective topos of Hyland and others.

By the way, once we think in terms of the real numbers and points on 
lines and planes not actually having any real existence, the 
idealization of a manifold (e.g., a Riemannian spacetime manifold) as 
being infinitely divisible becomes more and more farfetched.

(Now it may well be that spacetime is in fact an ideal manifold, 
divisible and measurable at scales of 10^-35 m, or even at scales of 
10^-100 m. But it will not be surprising at all to many of us if 
spacetime is quantized, or foamy, or latticelike, at approximately 
Planck-length scales. What those lattice points are "made of" is itself 
a question, but the smoothness and continuity of spacetime is not 
necessarily "real all the way down." Cf. the usual books and articles 
by MTW ("Gravitation"), Smolin ("Three Roads..."), Rovelli, 
Markopoulou, Crane, Baez, etc. for more on spin foams, lattice 
structures, etc. Greg Egan's "Schild's Ladder" novel has a description 
early on, a fictional description, of course.)




--Tim May



no quantum clones doesn't mean no for all intents and purposes clones

2002-12-24 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, December 24, 2002, at 11:02  AM, Stephen Paul King wrote:





I just can't see any basis for invoking quantum mechanics and "no
cloning" for why I am not you, or why I cannot plausibly experience
being you, and vice versa, and so on.



[SPK]

I did state that my argument is "hand waving"! But, you seem to 
have
missed this. ;-)
...


Woah! Since when does Nature have to wait for Mankind to figure out
anything? YOur argument here is so grossly anthropocentric that I hope 
you
would re-think what you are saying here! I am not thinking in terms of
technical or engineering limits but instead I am trying to get at the 
"in
principle" notions of "what could Nature do?"
If, as I wrote before, our minds are classical computational 
machines,
we should have no problems in "knowing what it is like to be" any 
entity
that had a mind that required less computational power than that 
available
to our brains. We might not be able to know "what it is like to be a 
bat"
but surely we could "know what it is like to be an ameoba"!


Sorry, I misunderstood your chain of logic. I thought your paragraph 
from the earlier post said that you were attempting to explain why we 
_can't_ (as in "it is necessarily the case") simulate other minds or 
have first-person experiences of their minds.

" The no cloning theoren of QM seems to have the "right flavor" to 
explain
how it is that we can not have first person experience of each other's
minds, whereas the UTM model seems to strongly imply that I should be 
able
to know exactly what you are thinking."

I read the "how it is that we can not have" as your claim that we know 
this to be the case.

I see you are saying something close to what I am saying, "It may be 
the case" that minds cannot be simulated. And it may be the case, via 
some hand-wavy arguments, that this is "because" to do so would violate 
the no cloning theorem.

But, even on this claim, I am intensely skeptical. I don't believe that 
any mind is critically dependent on a precise, perfect quantum state.

Consider this thought experiment. Suppose the no cloning theorem does 
indeed mean that my mind in the state it is now in at this exact 
instant cannot be exactly duplicated.

Well, would you settle for my mind as of a minute ago? A second ago?

(And the usual chestnuts about whether the "myself" of _right now_ is 
the same person as a microsecond ago, an hour ago, etc.)

I can imagine some variant of the usual epsilon-delta arguments of 
analysis to show that given any degree of closeness of states (possible 
worlds), there exists some time delay which gives a simulation and 
which still violates no theorems about cloned states. (I would guess 
the time for biological systems is on the order of what Max Tegmark and 
others have estimated for decoherence.)

In other words, no quantum clones doesn't mean no for all intents and 
purposes clones.


--Tim May



QM not (yet, at least) needed to explain why we can't experience other minds

2002-12-24 Thread Tim May

On Monday, December 23, 2002, at 08:06  PM, Stephen Paul King wrote:


Yes. I strongly suspect that "minds" are quantum mechanical. My
arguement is at this point very hand waving, but it seems to me that if
minds are purely classical when it would not be difficult for us to 
imagine,
i.e. compute, what it is like to "be a bat" or any other classical 
mind. I
see this as implied by the ideas involved in Turing Machines and other
"Universal" classical computational systems.
The no cloning theoren of QM seems to have the "right flavor" to 
explain
how it is that we can not have first person experience of each other's
minds, whereas the UTM model seems to strongly imply that I should be 
able
to know exactly what you are thinking. In the words of Sherlock 
Holmes, this
is a "the dog did not bark" scenario.

I just can't see any basis for invoking quantum mechanics and "no 
cloning" for why I am not you, or why I cannot plausibly experience 
being you, and vice versa, and so on.

Even if intelligence is purely classical (in terms of the physics), 
there are excellent reasons why there is no way today (given today's 
technology, today's interfaces, today's bandwidth) for me to "compute 
what it is to be a bat."

Inasmuch as we cannot even build a machine which even remotely 
resembles a bat, or even an ant, the inability to 
simulate/understand/"be"  a bat is not surprising. There is no mapping 
currently feasable between my internal states and a bat's. Even if we 
are made of relays or transistors.

Saying that our inability to know what it is to be another person 
implies that some principle of QM is likely to be involved is, in my 
view, unsupported and unrealistic.

It may well be that there are deep, QM-related reasons why Alice cannot 
emulate Bob, but we are probably a long way in _engineering_ terms from 
knowing that Alice can or cannot emulate Bob, or have a first person 
understanding of what a bat is, etc.

Occam's Razor--don't multiply hypotheses needlessly.

In other news, I am enjoying Barrett's book on quantum mechanics and 
minds. (Interesting to compare his views with Bub, Peres, Isham, and 
Wheeler.) Got a copy of Joyce's "Causal Decision Theory," to go along 
with the QM papers Bruno and Wei have been citing. Also read an 
interesting science fiction novel with some new twists on the Many 
Worlds Interpretation (esp. the DeWitt variant): "Finity," by John 
Barnes. A New Zealand astronomer/mathematician with some interesting 
ideas about "abductive reasoning" finds himself slipping between 
different realities.

--Tim May



Mathematics and the Structure of Reality

2002-12-03 Thread Tim May
somewhat like the Ocean - if an explorer worships 
the
Ocean, then he will go off in any direction that Ocean seems to be 
leading
...

Sorry, but this is a silly argument. Smolin and Rovelli may in fact be 
wrong in their theory of loop quantum gravity (and the closely related 
theories of spin foams, etc., along with Penrose, Susskind, Baez, 
Ashketar, and the whole gang), but it is almost certainly not for some 
simplistic reason that they were "ALGEBRAISTS."

In fact, Penrose is a geometer's geometer. See, for example, the essays 
in his Festschrift. Now the geometry focus of Penrose does not prove 
_anything_ about either the internal consistency or the ultimate truth 
of some of his spin network and spinor models, nor about the truth or 
falsity of spin foams and so on.

As for Lawvere and Mac Lane being "ALGEBRAISTS," I neither see your 
point nor its relevance. What Mac Lane may or may not be is open to 
debate...his work on homology theory tends to mark him as an algebraic 
topologist. And Grothendieck and Lawvere were looking into 
generalizations of the concept of a space--and they succeeded. 
(Personally, and speculatively, when the concept of a space is 
generalized so nicely, I think in terms of "this probably shows up in 
the physical world or its description someplace." If this ain't 
geometry affecting a physics outlook, what is?)

Anyway, it's silly to argue along these lines. You ought to take a look 
at one of his recent books (co-authored when he was around 80): 
"Sheaves in Geometry and Logic: A First Introduction to Topos Theory." 
I'd call sheaves, presheaves, and locales some pretty deep 
geometrical/topological ideas, albeit at a level of abstraction that 
takes a lot of effort to master.

What the structure of reality really is depends on a couple of 
important things:

1. What aspect we are looking at, whether the local causal structure of 
spacetime or the "explanation" of the particles and their masses, or 
even at some grossly different scale, such as fluid turbulence (still 
not understand, in many ways, and yet almost certainly not depending on 
theories of branes or strings or the Planck-scale structure of 
spacetime).

2. Scales and energies, whether the cosmological or the ultrasmall.

3. Our conceptual biases (if we only know geometry, we see things 
geometrically, and so on).

One of the reasons I like studying math is to expand my conceptual 
toolbox, to increase the number of conceptual basis vectors I can use 
to build models with.


--Tim May



Re: Applied vs. Theoretical

2002-12-03 Thread Tim May
, did the Cartan-influenced differential forms approach to 
GR lead to new predictions that the classical, tensor-oriented approach 
did not? Probably few, if any, as most of the accessible predictions of 
GR were made a long time ago. But should students learning GR learn the 
methods for raising and lower indices in tensors or the more modern 
differential forms approach? The time saved, and the unity gained, may 
lead to new syntheses, such as in quantum gravity.

Likewise, is the Hilbert space formulation of QM dramatically different 
in making predictions that the Schrodinger wave equation formulation? 
Working chemists still calculate Hamiltonians and wave equations--they 
don't need to think in terms of Hilbert space abstractions. (And in the 
area of observables, the great Von Neumann actually got it _wrong_ in 
his formulation, as Bell proved several decades later...)

Geroch says this in his introduction:

"In each area of mathematics (e.g., groups, topological spaces) there 
are available many definitions and constructions. It turns out, 
however, that there are a number of notions (e.g., that of a product) 
that occur naturally in various areas of mathematics, with only slight 
changes from one area to another. It is convenient to take advantage of 
this observation. Category theory can be described as that branch of 
mathematics in which one studies certain definitions in a broader 
context--without reference to the particular area to which the 
definition might be applied. It is the "mathematics of mathematics."

"Although this subject takes some getting used to, it is, in my 
opinion, worth the effort. It provides a systematic framework that can 
help one to remember definitions in various areas of mathematics, to 
understand what many constructions mean and how they can be used, and 
even to invent useful definitions when needed."

(p. 3)

And apropos of one of the direct themes of this list, the chart on page 
248 is a better chart of the categories which are of direct (known) 
relevance to modern physics than Max Tegmark's chart of what he thinks 
of as the branches of mathematics. (I don't mean this to sound 
snide...it's just a statement of my opinion. Further, Tegmark and 
others working on All Math Models need to get up to speed on this 
"mathematics of mathematics.")



Division algebras like quaternions and octonions are not shallow in 
this
sense; nor are the complex numbers, or linear operators on Hilbert 
space

Anyway, I'm just giving one mathematician's intuitive reaction to these
branches of math and their possible applicability in the TOE domain.  
They
*may* be applicable but if so, only for setting the stage... and what 
the
main actors will be, we don't have any idea...

Sure, there's juicy stuff in the details of octonions. John Baez would 
agree with you. Getting down to making exact calculations is almost 
always necessary, and sometimes illuminating. But he also connects 
quaternions, octonions, etc. to n-categories and more generalized 
truths. Read his stuff for details--he writes more about both of these 
areas, various algebras and various categories, and their connections 
to physics, than anyone I know.

Look, I'm happy that you looked at category theory and didn't find it 
to your taste. I had the opposite experience. Diversity is good.


--Tim May



Applied vs. Theoretical

2002-12-01 Thread Tim May

On Sunday, December 1, 2002, at 10:00  AM, Osher Doctorow wrote:


From Osher Doctorow [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sunday Dec. 1, 2002 0958


I agree again with Tim May.

I also think that category theory and topos theory at least in its
definition as a branch of category theory are too restrictive, largely
because they are more abstract than concrete-oriented in their 
underlying
formulations.

As I hope I had made clear in some of my earlier posts on this, mostly 
this past summer, I'm not making any grandiose claims for category 
theory and topos theory as being the sine qua non for understanding the 
nature of reality. Rather, they are things I heard about a decade or so 
ago and didn't look into at the time; now that I have, I am finding 
them fascinating. Some engineering/programming efforts already make 
good use of the notions [see next paragraph] and some quantum 
cosmologists believe topos theory is the best framework for "partial 
truths."

The lambda calculus is identical in form to cartesian closed 
categories, program refinement forms a Heyting lattice and algebra, 
much work on the fundamentals of computation by Dana Scott, Solovay, 
Martin Hyland, and others is centered around this area, etc.

As is so often the case, the mathematical physicist John Baez has done 
a fine job of introducing the subject to physicists and providing some 
motivation. Here's one of his articles:

http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/topos.html

As for the mix of concrete and abstract, I studied plenty of abstract 
stuff on set theory, topology, analysis, and of course in physics. But 
I also did a lot of applied physics and engineering during my career at 
Intel. Believe me, I would have been in deep trouble had I proposed 
that we look into applications of Tychonoff's Theorem when we having 
problems with our dynamic RAMs and CCDs losing occasional stored bits 
in what were called "soft errors."

But knowing a lot of abstractions helped me in countless ways. And now 
that I am free to pursue what I wish (have been since 1986), studying 
math that has some points of contact with ontology, physics, even AI, 
is what I am enjoying. I should be receiving Peter Johnstone's massive 
2-volume set, "Sketches of an Elephant: A Topos Theory Compendium," in 
the next few days.

And ya gotta crawl before ya can walk. I'm only recently gaining a good 
appreciation of S4, the logic system closely related to time and 
causality. Had I not learned S4 vs. S5, more computability theory than 
I used to know, a lot of stuff about lattices, quantum logic, and 
category theory, I surely would not be able to make sense of _any_ of 
what Bruno talks about!


In fact, perhaps this is a key problem with computers.   Most human 
beings
whom I know have enormous difficulty in finding a Golden Mean between
abstraction and concreteness insofar as the concrete reality and 
abstract
reality are concerned if you get my meanings.   The problem is only 
slightly
less prevalent in academia.   Computers seem to be nowhere near 
solving this
problem - in fact, the more similar to human beings they get, the more
difficult it may be for them to solve the problem.   I am not even 
sure that
most human beings in or out of academia think that there should be a 
Golden
Mean between abstraction and concreteness [exclamation mark - several 
of my
keys are out including that one].

I have experience in both of the areas you talk about. Now I'm not 
saying this is why you should believe what I write, but at least my 
background spans both the *applied* (in college, working in a Josephson 
junction lab on superconductivity, and at Intel, working on microchips, 
and with some startup companies I've been working with for the past 
decade or so) and the *theoretical*  (math, physics, computer science, 
logic, topos theory, etc.).

Few things thrill me more than taking something which seems to be as 
abstract as unworldly as anything imaginable and applying it in the 
real world.

(P.S. Could I encourage you to not include the full text of the 
messages you are replying to?)


--Tim May



Funding AI

2002-11-30 Thread Tim May
A slight sidetrack from pure Everything topics...

On Saturday, November 30, 2002, at 06:44  PM, Ben Goertzel wrote:
(stuff about physics which we are partly in agreement about, mostly not 
in agreement about...no point in arguing it further right now)

Well, that depends perhaps on what you mean by "new physics," I think.

Right now our physics is basically stumped by  most complex systems.  
We
resort to

-- computer simulations
-- crude "phenomenological" models

Except I'll add that I don't agree physics is stumped by most complex 
systems. Physics doesn't try to explain messy and grungy situations, 
nor should it. Turbulence is a special case, and I expect progress will 
be made, especially using math (which is why Navier-Stokes issues are 
on the same list with other math problems for the prize money).


...

(For example, some friends of mine are doing interesting work on using
systems of several million machine agents to data mine large amounts 
of
financial data. It seems likely that this kind of work on machine
learning, pattern extraction, support vector machines, and a plethora
of other "AI tools" will have major effects on the world of economics
and forecasting. And on creating financial derivatives (synthetics)
which are alien to human thinkers/investors.)

Yeah, financial forecasting with AI does not require Artificial General
Intelligence (AGI) in any sense, it is a classic domain-specific 
narrow-AI
application.

Whereas, coming up with new physics will require a significant degree 
of
general intelligence, I believe.

In this sense, physics theorizing is certainly a much harder problem 
than
financial prediction-- it's hard to argue with that!!

I tend not to even consider that kind of narrow-AI work "AI" -- I just 
think
of it as computer science.  But I have to remind myself periodically 
that
the mainstream of academia does consider this AI, and considers AGI 
work to
be a foolish and faraway dream...


Funding is the key issue. Someday I'll write a thing for this list 
about successes vs. failures in terms of auto-funding each successive 
stage of a complex technological path. In a nutshell, the 
electronics/computer industry was essentially self-funding for the past 
50 years, with the products of 1962, for example, paying for the work 
that led to the 1965 products. Same thing with aviation.

By contrast, space development and controlled fusion have not been. We 
"know" that there exists a reasonable combination of ignition 
temperature-containment time--cost that lies several orders of 
magnitude away in Temp-time-power-cost space, but getting there is like 
crossing the Gobi desert without any watering holes or fuel stops on 
the way.

The difference between "island colonization" models, akin to colonizing 
the fertile U.S. heartland (automobiles, aviation, electronics, etc.), 
versus "desert travel" models, akin to funding the first commercial 
fusion reactor or building the first space colony, is crucial.

It is unlikely that the "path to AI" will be successful if there are 
not numerous intermediate successes and ways to make a _lot_ of money.

My tip to all AI workers is to look for those things. (This is more 
than just banal advice about "try to make money," I am hoping. I have 
seen too many tech enthusiasts clamoring for "moon shots" to fund what 
they think is needed...))

The ""AGI" may come from the distant great-great grandchild of 
financial AI systems.



--Tim May
"Dogs can't conceive of a group of cats without an alpha cat." --David 
Honig, on the Cypherpunks list, 2001-11



Alien science

2002-11-30 Thread Tim May
e quantum-domain-natural 
minds as
mildly hilarious...

Probably so. But at any given point in time the best we can do is to do 
the best that we can. We of course cannot just wait for the machines...

Whether there "are" branes and strings and spins and suchlike at the 
Planck scale is unknown to me, but physicists seem to be making 
progress in acting as if such things have some meaning.

The universe is not a rubber sheet, either, but it can help to think of 
gravity with the rubber sheet model (though an Arcturan squid creature 
might use a Flozzleblet to picture gravity, and an AI might use 
something entirely different).

It is true that taking the "at hand, all around us" experience we have 
with physical objects and with the logic of physical objects is 
problematic at the quantum level. The fact that small things do not 
behave the way rocks and spoons behave, being either here or not here, 
having some speed which can be measured, etc., is why quantum mechanics 
is so weird to newcomers and others. So, yes, the physical world is not 
really made of rubber sheets or strings or little blue balls called 
electrons. But the fact that reality is so weird is not, in my opinion, 
an argument of any kind that we should not try to make some sense of it 
with the best arsenal of tools and concepts we can gather.


Humans may or may not arrive at a workable TOE before the advent of 
AI's
with quantum-level sensors and actuators.  Following this advent, 
however,
the progress of fundamental physics will be unimaginably fast, and 
will move
in humanly-unimaginable directions.

Will mathematics be central to this new physics?  Maybe.  But not our
mathematics.

I disagree fairly strongly on this point. I think our mathematics is 
what is most lasting, albeit the mathematical ideas change names and 
new ideas become more important.

And I expect the mathematics the AIs develop, or that alien cultures 
may already have, will look like a "coordinate transformation" on our 
space of mathematical basis vectors. Their categories may be slightly 
different, but the underlying structure will be similar. (If natural 
transformations are what "slide" one category and its morphisms into 
other categories and morphisms, 2-categories, 3-categories, and 
n-categories in general are the tools for looking at how these natural 
transformations slide around.)



Anyway, this was part of why I decided to start thinking about AI 
rather
than fundamental physics ;->

AI remains interesting, but I think new views of physics will be coming 
from AIs long after other important things come out of AI. Just my 
opinion.

(For example, some friends of mine are doing interesting work on using 
systems of several million machine agents to data mine large amounts of 
financial data. It seems likely that this kind of work on machine 
learning, pattern extraction, support vector machines, and a plethora 
of other "AI tools" will have major effects on the world of economics 
and forecasting. And on creating financial derivatives (synthetics) 
which are alien to human thinkers/investors.)



I think Greg Egan's fiction is great, but I also think Diaspora is 
badly
flawed futorology, because his uploaded minds never get tremendously 
more
intelligent than humans.  I don't think that's a very realistic
prognostication, though it makes for easier storytelling.

I totally agree. His characters were all recognizably human. Where were 
the entities with the equivalent of a truly alien intelligence, or with 
an IQ of 1000? (Not of course in the sense of thinking 5-7 times faster 
than the average bright person on this list, but of having many times 
the difference in conceptualizing power than an Einstein or a Wolfram 
has over a 100 IQ drone.)

Where were the "Jupiter-sized brains" so beloved of the Extropians and 
Transhumanists?

Vinge would say, apropos of your "easier storytelling" point, that such 
minds are on the other side of some flavor of Singularity, with little 
to say except to say that there are "Entities" out there, brooding and 
thinking their deep alien thoughts like some kind of unseen Lovecraft 
monster.

--Tim May



Re: The universe consists of patterns of arrangement of 0's and 1's?

2002-11-30 Thread Tim May
hink Egan gives us a fairly plausible, fictional timeline for 
figuring this stuff out: a workable TOE by the middle of this century, 
i.e., within our lifetimes. That is, a theory which unifies relativity 
and QM, and which is presumably also brings in QED, QCD, etc. Perhaps 
involving a mixture of string/brane theory, spin foams and loop 
gravity, etc. Lee Smolin has some plausible speculations about how 
these areas may come together over the next several decades. This TOE 
is of course not expected to be truly a theory of everything, as we all 
know: the phrase TOE is mostly about the unification of the two major 
classes of theories noted above.

Then perhaps several centuries of very little progress, as the energies 
to get to the Planck energy are enormous (e.g., compressing a mass 
about equal to a cell to a size 20 orders of magnitude smaller than a 
proton). Egan plausibly describes an accelerator the length of a chunk 
of the solar system, using the most advanced "PASER" (the solid-state 
lasing accelerators proposed recently), to accelerate particles to the 
energies where discrepancies in models (computer programs??) might show 
up. In one of his novels ("Diaspora") he has this happening a few 
thousand years from now. This sounds about "right" to me. (I'll be 
happy to give some of my reasons for "pessimism" on this timetable if 
there's any real interest.)

Of course, breakthroughs in mathematics may provide major new clues, 
which is where I put my efforts.)

I take the "Everything" ideas in the broader sense, a la Egan's "all 
topologies model," a la the "universes as toposes" (topoi) area of 
study, etc. My focus is more on logic and the connections between 
topology, algebra, and logic. It may be that we learn that at the 
Planck scale (approx. 10^-35 m) the causal sets are best modeled as 
computer-like iterations of the spin graphs. But this is a long way 
from saying consciousness arises from the COMP hypothesis, so on this 
topic I am silent. As Wittgenstein said, "Whereof one cannot speak, one 
must remain silent." Bluntly, don't talk if you have nothing to say.

Which is why I have little to say about the COMP hypothesis. I'll be 
excited if evidence mounts that there's something to it. If the COMP 
hypothesis has engineering implications, e.g., affects the design of AI 
systems, this will be cool.




Could we not recover 1-uncertainty from the Kochen-Specker
theorem of QM itself?


Probably so.



This seems to be assuming the conclusion. Gleason's Theorem and 
Kochen-Specker are about the properties of Hilbert spaces. But the 
reason we use the Hilbert space formulation for quantum mechanics, as 
opposed to just using classical state spaces, is because the Hilbert 
space formulation (largely of Von Neumann) gave us the "correct" 
noncommutation, uncertainty principle, Pauli exclusion principle, etc., 
things which were consistent with the observed properties of simple 
atoms, slit experiments, etc. In other words, the 
Planck/Einstein/Heisenberg/Schrodinger/Bohr/etc. results and successful 
models (e.g., of the atom) gave us the Hilbert space formulation, which 
Gleason, Bell, Kochen, Specker, etc. then proved theorems about.

I don't think it would be kosher to assume reality has aspects of the 
category HILB and then use theorems about Hilbert spaces to then prove 
the Uncertainty Principle.

(My apologies if this was not what was intended by "recover 
1-uncertainty.")

This is a good example, by the way, of how the physics applications of 
Hilbert spaces incentivized mathematicians to study Hilbert spaces in 
ways they probably would not have had Hilbert spaces just been another 
of many abstract spaces. Gleason had many interests in pure math, so he 
probably would have proved his theorem regardless, but Bell, Kochen, 
and Specker probably would not have had QM issues not been of such 
interest.




--Tim May



Re: Is emergence real or just in models?

2002-11-28 Thread Tim May

On Wednesday, November 27, 2002, at 11:42  PM, Eric Hawthorne wrote:


I'm in the camp that thinks that emergent systems are real phenomena, 
and
that eventually, objective criteria would be able to be established 
that would
allow us to say definitively whether an emerged system existed in some
time and place in the universe.

I see "emergent properties" in very simple systems. I'll get to my main 
example in a few minutes.

Why do higher-level systems emerge in our universe? Is there something 
about
some systems that allows the system and its constituent parts to 
out-compete
alternative configurations of matter and energy?

Competition and differential reproduction is important, but the example 
I'll give here involves neither.

OK, the example.

Go.

Black and white stones, with rules for moves that can be written on a 
small index card. Similar to a cellular automaton, though not as 
general.

And yet from simple rules on a simple grid, emergent properties:

* "thickness" (a measure of strength or weakness, depending)

* "influence" (ability to influence direction of evolution)

* a host of other emergent behaviors named by the main countries 
playing Go

(Anyone who has played Go has seen the "reality" of thickness, 
influence, gote, sente, and other "properties." They were not obvious 
from first principles in the simple, CA-like rules of Go, but they 
emerge very quickly. Granted, the very concept of "influence" is partly 
shaped by human (or predator) notions of what influence means, but it 
seems clear to me that the ontology of Go (and by extension, other CAs) 
involves higher-order emergent behavior descriptions.)

The moral is that even very simple CA-like systems have behaviors with 
"apparently" higher-level behaviors, aka emergent behaviors.


--Tim



Re: Algorithmic Revolution?

2002-11-24 Thread Tim May
 long time, does not mean the universe is in any 
meaningful sense itself a cellular automaton.

(And, pace Gleason's Theorem and the aforementioned Kochen-Specker 
Theorem, and the work of Bell, I am suspicious for other reasons that a 
purely local theory of the universe, one based on CA-like iterations, 
can be consistent with quantum mechanics. "No local hidden variables" 
and all that.)

My own approach has been to regard emergence as the repositioning of 
the
observer of a system such that the mathematical descriptions you have 
been
using fall over/cease to be relevant. The idea that the math can 
seamlessly
transcend an observer’s scope is, I concluded, simply meaningless as 
the
math is defined by the observer’s scope. The prejudices of our 
position as
observers are therefore automatically destined to be embedded in our
descriptors of things.

If this is the case then one cannot overlook the use of computers or 
the AIT
approach if you need to study, understand and replicate real-world 
phenomena
(in particular, MIND) that transcend the boundaries of emergence.

Will the historians look back on our obsession with closed form math 
and see
it as the machinations of mathematical youth? Para *** above is the 
clincher
and I have been unable to distil a definitive stance from all the 
writings.
Clues anyone?

There are many phenomena which have no closed-form, simple description. 
That watch on the beach clearly is not going to have some master 
differential equation describing it. And e. coli is not likely to have 
some simple theory behind it: it emerged/evolved as the result of many, 
many interactions with other e. coli, with a complex environment of 
chemicals and proteins, and the resulting code is "packed" with a lot 
of stuff.

All of these things are interesting from an information theory point of 
view, an AIT point of view, and other mathematical and philosophical 
points of view.

But the evidence is slim that these things have anything at all to do 
with what's going on 30 orders of magnitude away in space, time, and 
energy, down where perhaps spin foams are bubbling with instantons, 
where perhaps wormholes are opening and closing, where perhaps 
Kalabi-Yau topological structures are vibrating or whatever it is they 
do.

Fascinating stuff, to be sure.


--Tim May
"He who fights with monsters might take care lest he thereby become a 
monster. And if you gaze for long into an abyss, the abyss gazes also 
into you." -- Nietzsche



Re: Algorithmic Revolution?

2002-11-19 Thread Tim May

On Tuesday, November 19, 2002, at 05:12  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I would take all of TCMs own citations and turn them around in my
favor. I would classify all the following as occurring under
the heading "algorithmic revolution" (not the greatest moniker I 
admit..
a provisional one for me right now)

- advent of cyberspace, web, email, browsers etcetera
- advent of mass software
- PC revolution
- microsoft & intel from zero to billion dollar companies in short 
decades
- quantum computing is on the way
- fractals. could not be discovered without algorithms. a new metaphor
for not only nature but all reality.
- complexity theory. again, not possible before the algorithmic 
metaphor
and mass computational capabilities
- simulation, "in silico science"
- moore's law
- photorealistic rendering
- (relational) databases
- mass economic shift into information technology as driving force..
"bits versus atoms".. (negroponte)
- video games
- etcetera!!

I agree that these are all huge changes.

I interpreted your "algorithmic revolution," in the context of this 
list and the Kevin Kelly article and the Wolfram brouhaha, to be about 
a revolution in terms of thinking of the universe (or multiverse) as 
being primarily computational.

My point is that the verdict on the 
Zuse/Fredkin/Wheeler/Lloyd/Wolfram/Tegmark/Schmidhuber/etc. views of 
reality is still way, way out. I stand by this point.

If by "algorithmic revolution" you meant that computers are 
increasingly important, then of course I agree.
...

ahem!!! what is the relevance to a TOE??? well historically it is clear
our perception of reality is based on our favorite metaphor of the 
times.
in recent ages it was (a) the clock, "clockwork universe", (b) the
steam engine. and now it is (c) computer/algorithm/information.  
clearly
it is no coincidence whatsoever that new TOEs are essentially 
algorithmic.
its the human race's latest-and-greatest metaphor for reality.

Yes, and our past experience in going through all of these metaphors or 
"mathematical fictions" has made  many of us wary of saying things like 
"The universe is like a hologram" or "The universe is about connection" 
or even "The universe is a gigantic Game of Life."

The issue of an ontology being a metaphor is an interesting one.

I currently have no view of any particular metaphor for what the 
universe "is." It may have computational aspects, and mathematics 
(superset of computer science, of course) may be woven throughout the 
structure of reality. It may even have "holographic" or "clockwork" or 
"cellular"-like aspects. But aspects are not the same thing as 
equivalence.

Greg Egan makes a good point in "Diaspora" about the limitation of the 
mathematical models we sometimes use as metaphors for reality. A mass 
falling through a borehole through the Earth acts exactly as if it's a 
mass on a spring tethered at one end. Same precise equation of motion. 
Yet a spring is not at all what the Earth is, and confusing the 
mathematical model with reality is dangerous.

Of course, at this point we have much, much less reason to speculate 
that the universe "is" a cellular automaton of some sort.




scientists have been slow to adopt to this shift, and I would argue 
they
are still underutilizing simulation to some extent. science & physics
is still yet to be influenced fully by the algorithmic revolution. one
striking example I think will happen-- I believe billion
dollar particle accelerators
may be downgraded in importance in favor of extremely effective 
simulations.

The reason experiments are still done is because they are the real 
proof of the pudding about what the universe really _is_.

(besides-- does anyone fully realize how much software plays already 
such a
crucial, foremost role in existing accelerators??)

Not sure what you mean. I did some coding of Monte Carlo simulations in 
my physics days, and I hired some of the coders from SLAC to work on 
some of the stuff we were doing at Intel. Software is used to design 
the accelerators, the detectors, the experiments, etc. As with the rest 
of the world, computers and software are undeniably important.

I'm not doubting the importance of computers. Nor the importance of 
clocks and wristwatches. But just as we know "the universe as a 
clockwork mechanism" was not the whole picture, I think "the universe 
as a computer" is not, without a lot more evidence, very compelling. To 
me, at least.

(I am interested in being convinced otherwise. And I have my own 
interests. Today I ordered the Peter Johnstone 2-volume set "Sketches 
of an Elephant: A Topos Theory Compendium." Not that I am saying "the 
universe is a topos.")


--Tim May



Algorithmic Revolution?

2002-11-19 Thread Tim May

On Monday, November 18, 2002, at 10:15  PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



as just noted by TCM, kevin kelly on a computational/algorithmic TOE,
wolfram, wheeler, etcetera, from current issue of wired.

http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/10.12/holytech.html

I would say we are all in the midst of some kind
of "algorithmic revolution" that is sweeping across
culture, industry, & scientific fields etc. .. more
on that theme here



I just don't see any such sign of a revolution. No more so than 10 
years ago, 20 years ago. Yes, computers are now more powerful. Problems 
tend to grow faster in size than computers do, however, and often 
having 100x the power only yields a slight improvement in accuracy, not 
qualitative leaps or breakthroughs. (Paralleling, no pun intended, the 
spacing of the Mersenne primes, where it's taking longer and longer to 
brute force find the next one, even with dramatically more computer 
power. Or the accelerator energy gap, where 10 times the accelerator 
energy doesn't produce much more new physics.)

There are aspects of computers that are always touching on cultural 
issues. In the 60s and 70s there was much hype about "general systems 
theory" and modeling (a la Bertanlanffy, Arrow, others). Some social 
scientists expected a revolution. In the 1980s it was chaos theory, and 
fractals, with books on how financial markets are chaotic, how art is 
fractal, how civilization lives at the boundary between order and 
chaos, and so on. Trendy, and probably implicated somewhere in the 
Sokal hoax ("Transgressing the Boundaries," the quantum 
mechanics/litcrit/hermeneutics put-on). Not much of lasting value came 
out of it, insofar as the revolutions outside of the narrow fields 
directly involved are concerned.

In recent years it's been stuff about string theory, to some extent. 
The Brian Greene book, "The Elegant Universe," became a best-seller, 
even if probably fewer than one out of a hundred buyers got past the 
first 20 pages. I don't think many of the coffee table book buyers are 
expecting many revolutions outside of physics qua physics.

And of course Wolfram's book is a big seller. I won't comment, except 
that I see no particularly strong evidence that he has changed the way 
science is done, or will be done. Others have written harsher reviews. 
I admire him for his dedication, but I think he missed the boat by not 
working with others and working on specific problems.

(Tegmark works on lots of cosmology and observational astronomy 
problems, with his Everything paper as just one small facet, almost a 
hobby. Working on that theory full-time might make him a frequent 
contributor to this list, but would probably not be good either for his 
career or for getting any kind of progress or confirmation (!).)

My belief is that basic mathematics is much more important than 
computer use, in terms of understanding the cosmos and the nature of 
reality.


--Tim May



Re: The number 8. A TOE?

2002-11-18 Thread Tim May

On Monday, November 18, 2002, at 07:12  AM, Marchal Bruno wrote:


Hi,

I hope you have not missed Ian Steward's paper on the number
8, considered as a TOE in the last new scientist.
It mentions a paper by John Baez on the octonions. The
octonions seems to be a key ingredient for the quantization
of general relativity.

http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/Octonions/

I am too buzy now to make comments but it seems *very*
interesting, if not convincing.



I happened to see Stewart's article at a news stand. He writes good 
general math books, so he was able to do a good job explaining 
octonions and hinting at why they may be important.

(I was struck by the point that the sequence "1, 2, 4, 8" is the only 
sequence satisfying certain properties--the only "scalars, vectors, 
quaternions, octonions" there can be--and that the sequence "3, 4, 6, 
10," just 2 higher than the first sequence, is closely related to 
allowable solutions in some superstring theories, and that these facts 
are related.)

Ironically, in the Bogdananov/Sokal controversy being discussed in 
sci.physics.research, the topic of articles in "New Scientist" came up 
a week or so ago. Baez said he no longer reads "Scientific American," 
"New Scientist," and similar popular magazines because of their 
watered-down, sensationalized, dumbed-down, breathless hype. Someone 
(maybe Baez) said that cover stories in "New Scientist" are a good 
place to look for what _not_ to take seriously! I have to wonder what 
Baez thinks of being quoted in this latest cover story!

I actually enjoy the speculative cover stories in "New Scientist." I 
take them with a grain of salt, especially as every few weeks there's a 
new article about a new theory of everything, a new theory of how the 
universe arises out of nothingness or out of some sort of dream state.  
 (Perhaps like some of the theories people here on this list have!)

The articles, especially those by Marcus Chown, are wildly speculative 
hints at what may be aspects of reality...at least this is how I treat 
them. And what appears to be just idle speculation sometimes is linked 
with things I know to be important (a cover story on the work of Greg 
Chaitin comes to mind...anyone not familiar with Chaitin's work would 
probably think the article was hype, but it contained hints and nuggets 
which might inspire some folks unfamiliar with his work to take a 
closer look.).



--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum 
reality, cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks



Good summary of Bogdanov controversy

2002-11-10 Thread Tim May

A good summary of the Bogdanov controversy is in the New York Times 
today. URL is

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/09/arts/09PHYS.html

Some of the folks we like to quote here are quoted in the article, 
including Lee Smolin, John Baez, Carlo Rovelli, etc.

Also, the latest "Wired" print issue has a fairly good survey article 
by Kevin Kelly about theories of the universe as a cellular automaton. 
Konrad Zuse gets prominent mention, along with Ed Fredkin. I didn't 
read the article closely, so I didn't notice if either Tegmark or 
Schmidhuber were mentioned. The usual stuff about CA rules, Wolfram's 
book, etc.

Things have been quiet here on the Everything list. I haven't been 
commenting on my own reading, which is from books such "Physics Meets 
Philosophy at the Planck Scale" and "Entanglement." Isham's collection 
of essays on QM should arrive momentarily at my house. My interest 
continues to be in topos theory, modal logic, and quantum logic.



--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum 
reality, cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks



Modal Realism vs. MWI

2002-10-04 Thread Tim May


On Friday, October 4, 2002, at 09:13  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

> At 9:36 -0700 1/10/2002, Tim May wrote:
>
>> MWI looks, then, like just another variant of "modal realism." To 
>> wit, there IS a universe in which unicorns exist, and another in 
>> which Germany won the Second World War, but these universes are 
>> forever and completely out of touch with us.
>
> Not quite due to possible interferences. We do have empirical evidences
> for those "worlds" imo. (if only the two slits + Bell or better GHZ)

While I find Deutsch fairly persuasive, the verdict is of course not 
yet in whether MWI is the correct interpretation. The double slit 
results had a "traditional" wave mechanics interpretation 75 years ago 
("wave-particle duality"), and this remains a viable interpretation 
even today. (I'm not talking about popularity, either on this list or 
in the overall community, just "technical viability.")

However, I take your point that full Lewis-Stalnaker-D. Lewis modal 
realism is "more disjoint" than the "less disjoint" (initial 
interference of branching worlds) MWI. In terms of topology, one might 
say full modal realism is the discrete (perhaps Zariski) topology, 
while MWI has more notions of closeness, overlap, etc. (I think this 
could be worked out, but I haven't.)

Certainly after a time interval where decoherence occurs, the 
interaction between macroscopically different worlds is essentially 
zero.

So, I will amend my earlier statement to read: "After the very early, 
entangled period, MWI looks, then, like just another variant of "modal 
realism." To wit, there IS a universe in which unicorns exist, and 
another in which Germany won the Second World War, but these universes 
are forever and completely out of touch with us."

And since the time of entanglement/coherence is small for most systems, 
most worlds in MWI are as "far apart" as modal realism worlds are.

(Digression: I wonder what kind of work has been done on _evolution_ in 
topology, e.g., the transition of systems from "overlapping open sets" 
to the "discrete" topology? Looks like nucleation and growth out of a 
continuous medium, or formation of tree structures, perhaps.)
>

> A very natural generalisation (!). Just replace the hom Sets by hom 
> Categories.
> In which you can again replace the hom sets by hom categories 
> What is intriguing is the existence of coherence conditions making 
> those
> constructions apparently very genuine for many stuff from quantum 
> field theories.

Baez (IIRC) has an anecdote about talking with a noted quantum field 
theorist at a conference. The theorist was highly skeptical of 
"generalized abstract nonsense" (i.e., category theory). Baez told him 
about some of the developments and the theorist went off to sleep on 
it. The next morning he buttonholed Baez and said "Braided monoidal 
categories are really cool" (I'm paraphrasing from memory).
>
> I have used the smullyan trees for the G and Co. theorem provers. The 
> tableaux
> structure reflects  in some way the Kripke structure. Posets appears 
> with
> S4-like modal logic.
> You should study Gentzen presentation of logic which are naturally 
> related
> to categories. An indigest but brilliant introduction to many 
> (intuitionnist)
> logics is the North-Holland logic book by Szabo: Algebra of proofs.
> To bad he miss the braided monoidal categories ... For a categorician, 
> knots
> theory is a branch of logic.

I haven't gotten to knots yet, except for a look a few years ago at the 
Vaughan Jones stuff on classifications of knots (more related to string 
theory, which I did a little bit of reading on).

Gentzen is referred to, of course, in the books on logic I'm reading, 
but I'm still absorbing the more basic stuff.

>> "Possible worlds," something I only encountered in any form (besides 
>> Borges, Everett, parallel universes sorts of references) in the past 
>> several years, is my real touchstone.
>>
>> And, more mundanely, I think it applies to cryptography and money. I 
>> had a meeting/party at my house a few weeks ago with about 50 people 
>> in attendance (gulp!). We had a series of very short presentations. I 
>> gave a very rushed 10-minute introduction to intuitionistic logic, 
>> mainly focused on my "time as a poset, a lattice" example, citing the 
>> natural way in which "not-not A" is not necessarily the same as A. If 
>> the past of an event is A, then not-A is its future. But the 
>> not-future is larger than the original past, as "incomparable" (in 
>> the poset/trichotomy sense) events influence the future. Or, put in 

Re: Many Fermis Interpretation Paradox -- So why aren't they here?

2002-10-01 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, October 1, 2002, at 06:37  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

> At 12:26 -0700 30/09/2002, Tim May wrote:
>> If the alternate universes implied by the mainstream MWI (as opposed 
>> to variants like consistent histories) are "actual" in some sense, 
>> with even the slightest chance of communication between universes, 
>> then why have we not seen solid evidence of such communication?
>
>
> I am not sure I understand why you oppose the "mainstream MWI" and the
> consistent histories (although many does that, I don't know why).
> In all case, if QM is right (independently of any interpretation), 
> parallel
> histories or parallel universes cannot communicate, they can only
> interfere(*). The same happens with comp. Probability measures are 
> global
> and depends on the whole collection of relative computational 
> histories, but
> this does not allow the transfer of one bit from one computation to
> another.

I of course was not claiming such communication (or travel, whatever) 
would be easy. Just doing a thought experiment settting some very rough 
bounds on how impossible the communication or travel would be.

One of the conclusions of "How come they're not here?" is that, in 
fact, such communication or travel is essentially impossible (else 
they'd _be_ here).

MWI looks, then, like just another variant of "modal realism." To wit, 
there IS a universe in which unicorns exist, and another in which 
Germany won the Second World War, but these universes are forever and 
completely out of touch with us.

>
> BTW, Tim, I am discovering n-categories. Quite interesting. John Baez
> has written good papers on that, like his categorification paper.
> Have you read those stuff. Could be useful for the search of coherence
> condition in "many world/observer" realities ...

I've been reading Baez for a while. An excellent teacher. I hear he's 
working on a book on n-categories. And Baez and my namesake, J. Peter 
May--unrelated to me, are leading a consortium to research n-categories 
more deeply. I confess that I have only vague ideas what they 
aresort of generalizations of natural transformations, I sense. 
(I'm still studying categories at a more basic level, having "jumped 
ahead" to other areas, as is my wont.)

His "From Categories to Feynman Diagrams" (co-authored with James 
Dolan) and several of his related papers are good introductions.

Chris Isham is also very good on drawing the connections between 
conventional quantum mechanics (i.e., stuff in the lab, not necessarily 
quantum gravity or quantum cosmology) and category/topos theory. (In 
particular, the collapse of the wave function and measurement looks 
like a subobject classifier, or, put another way, the usual transition 
from "neither true nor false" in a Heyting algebra to the "one or the 
other" we _always_ see once there is any chance to 
observe/measure/decide. That is, Heyting --> Boolean is what the 
mystery of QM centers around.

(I am intrigued to find that Jeffrey Bub, in his "Interpreting the 
Quantum World," 1997, makes central use of possible worlds, lattices, 
and such. While he does not explicitly mention Heyting algebras, the 
connection is close, and is implicit in the math. Had I encountered 
this approach when I was studying QM, I might have pursued it as a 
career. Instead, I was bored out of my mind solving partial 
differential equations for wave functions inside boxes. Ugh.)

I'm reading Graham Priest's "An Introduction to Non-Classical Logic," 
2001, which covers various modal logics, conditional logics, 
intuitionist logic, many-valued logics, and more ("first degree 
entailment," "relevant logic," etc.).

The tableaux approach is new to me. They look like the trees of 
Smullyan, and hence like semilattices. (I'm also reading Davey and 
Priestley's "Introduction to Lattices and Order," along with parts of 
Birkhoff's classic, and the lattice/poset approach continues to appeal 
to me greatly. It's a vantage point which makes all of this 
heretofore-boring-to-me logic stuff look terribly interesting. I'm 
viewing most programs/trees/refinements/tableaux as branching worlds, 
as possible worlds (a la Kripke), to be further branched or discarded.

Hence my focus on MWI and "Everything" remains more on the mathematics. 
(I just ordered my own copy of Goldblatt's "Mathematics of Modality.")

"Possible worlds," something I only encountered in any form (besides 
Borges, Everett, parallel universes sorts of references) in the past 
several years, is my real touchstone.

And, more mundanely, I think it applies to cryptography and money. I 
had a meeting/party at my house a few weeks ago with about

Many Fermis Interpretation Paradox -- So why aren't they here?

2002-09-30 Thread Tim May

If the alternate universes implied by the mainstream MWI (as opposed to 
variants like consistent histories) are "actual" in some sense, with 
even the slightest chance of communication between universes, then why 
have we not seen solid evidence of such communication?

Amongst the universes, many ("many" is a huge number, obviously)  of 
them will be way ahead of us. Some will have had galactic civilizations 
for a billion years. Some will be versions of Earth except that the 
Egyptians pioneered electronics and hence the world is a few thousand 
years "ahead" of our world...even assuming time is commensurate with 
ours.

And so on. You can all imagine the rich possibilities.

If these universes are even remotely able to affect each other, through 
perhaps enormously advanced technology, then the vast number of such 
possible worlds would suggest that at least some of them have figured 
out how to do so.

And yet they aren't here. No visitors from alternate universes. No 
signals sent in, a la Benford's "Timescape."

Perhaps we don't know how to listen. Perhaps there are so many possible 
universes to potentially visit that we just haven't been gotten to yet. 
Perhaps in a multiverse of so many possibilities, ours is just not an 
interesting destination. Maybe there's a kind of MWI censorship going 
on: since we are still debating the validity of MWI, we obviously are 
in a universe where MWI has not been proved through such a visit.

(There are many divergent series here, making even crude estimates 
difficult and probably worthless.)

Hmmm


--Tim May Prime, resident of Earth Prime




Re: MWI of relativistic QM

2002-09-25 Thread Tim May


On Wednesday, September 25, 2002, at 10:09  AM, Wei Dai wrote:

> On Tue, Sep 24, 2002 at 03:20:54PM +0200, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>> I mentioned Deutsch for his account of time in term of parallel 
>> universes.
>> I don't remember if Deutsch deduced this explicitly from relativity.
>> (I lend his book so I cannot verify now).
>> I was just doing the following caricatural reasoning:
>> General Relativity (GR): gravitation = space-time curvature
>> Quantum mechanics (QM): forces should be quantized (and unified 
>> through
>> symmetry/broken-symmetry)
>> Now GR + QM gives: space-time itself should be quantized. A MWI view 
>> of this
>> doesn't give many minkowski worlds, but something more like a
>> discrete minkowski multiverse.
>
> Is there a paper or book that describes this discrete minkowski 
> multiverse
> in more detail?

Several of the papers by Rafael Sorkin, Carlo Rovelli, Chris Isham, 
Fotini Markopoulou, John Baez, and others discuss "causal sets" as a 
model of spacetime.

For example, picking just one of them,

arXiv:gr-qc/9910005 v 1 2 October 1999 C.J. Isham, J. Butterfield, 
"Some Possible Roles for Topos Theory in Quantum Theory and Quantum 
Gravity."

Here's one small part to provide some of the flavor:

"By a causal set we mean a partially-ordered set P whose elements 
represent spacetime points in a discrete, non-continuum model, in which 
p <= q, with p, q elements of P, means that q lies in the causal future 
of p.

"The set P is a natural base category for the presheaf of Hilbert 
spaces in which"

(etc.)

I talked about these issues in my article several weeks about time as a 
lattice of partially-ordered events.

Now, whether time and space are "really" continuous or discrete (at 
some very small scale, presumably near the Planck scale) is not 
terribly important for this analysis. Just as both QM and relativity 
are usually involved with events (measurements, clocks, light flashes, 
etc.), and just as much of the traditional "causal analysis" of 
everyday events (a la Pearl) is of discrete, chunked events, the causal 
set model is very generally applicable.

And again I have no choice but to recommend Lee Smolin's "Three Roads 
to Quantum Gravity" as a good introduction to the ideas of the authors 
named above.


--Tim May




Re: Tegmark's TOE & Cantor's Absolute Infinity

2002-09-23 Thread Tim May
ps the multiverse has variants of all of 
of the axioms of these branches, isn't terribly useful except as a 
stimulating idea (hence this list, of course). Naturally Tegmark is not 
claiming his idea is _the_ theory, so stimulation is presumably one of 
his goals. In this he has succeeded.

--Tim

(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum 
reality, cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks


--Tim May
"Dogs can't conceive of a group of cats without an alpha cat." --David 
Honig, on the Cypherpunks list, 2001-11




New special issue of "Scientific American" on "Cosmology"

2002-09-20 Thread Tim May


I was disappointed in the thin, banal issue of SciAm on "Time," but now 
there's a new special issue devoted to "The Once and Future Cosmos."

It's very good, filled with excellent illustrations of models of 
cosmology, key experiments, and what we currently know about the 
structure of the cosmos. Some of the graphics are so good that I am 
tempted to buy a second copy just so I can clip the graphics and put 
them up in places where I can ponder them.

For this list, there's a little bit of discussion of the 
Rees/Linde/Vilenkin/Barrow/Smolin/Tegmark sort of model where new 
universes are created with slightly different laws of physics. This is 
mentioned in a fanciful figure showing such hypothetical pocket 
universes being formed:

"Multiple universes are continuously being born, according to some 
cosmologists. Each universe is shown here as an expanding bubble 
branching off from its parent universe. The changes in color represent 
shifts in the laws of physics from one universe to another." [Figure on 
page 85]

By the way, I'm reading Smolin's "Life of the Cosmos," where he makes a 
good case for his thesis that the cosmos we are in is one strongly 
rigged (basic laws, parameters) so as to have a very high production 
rate of black holes. The idea is similar to the Boostrum sort of 
Bayesian argument about assuming the world we find ourselves in is 
"typical."

Smolin argues that if a universe creates few or no black holes (for 
example, it expands and collapses in a Planck time, or has no 
aggregations of matter worth mentioning, and so on), it leaves no (or 
just one) children. A universe which creates, say, 10^18 black holes, 
leaves 10^18 children, some of which may leave even more children, and 
so on. Thus, there's a fitness landscape with the x and y axes (in a 
simple diagram) being some set of parameters which affect black hole 
formation and the vertical or z axis being the number of black holes 
(and hence universes, a la Linde, others) created.

While there is no "competition amongst the universes" directly, that we 
know of, differential reproduction is enough, in general, to produce 
evolutionary effects.

After some number of "bounces or black hole formations with slightly 
different laws of physics" the result will be that nearly all universes 
in some multiverse are ones where black hole formation is commonplace.

Smolin argues that we will be able to measure the number of black 
holes, from small (stellar masses) to larger (recently found, it is 
believed, 1000-sun mass black holes, to massive galactic core black 
holes, and, he thinks, reach the conclusion that we are in a universe 
which is "selected" for maximum ease of black hole formation.

Maybe.

By the way, it may also be the case that universes in which 
intelligence is possible are dominant. My notion, refecting some of the 
fantastical fiction of Steven Baxter and Greg Egan, is that advanced 
civilizations will be able to _make_ black holes, possibly in vastly 
greater abundance than astrophysical sources can.

(Yeah, of much smaller mass. And presumably of very short duration. The 
weirdness of spacetime and the insides of black holes are enigmas, but 
it is speculated by some that even a microscopic black hole could have 
a "full cosmos" inside. We don't, at least, have any compelling 
evidence that a galactic core black hole with 10,000 solar masses is 
going to produce a richer or more complete "cosmos inside" than a 
microscopic black hole made up of a few grams or less of our matter.)

Using the same kind of reasoning Smolin uses, a civilization which has 
special accelerators cranking out 10^30 black holes per second, say, is 
going to "outbreed" and thus be more represented, than universes where 
only astrophysical processes are making only a relatively paltry 10^18 
or 10^25 black holes in the age of that universe.

(And, even more speculatively, the difference is not great between the 
number of black holes a single civilization can make and the number a 
million civilizations can make, so it's more significant that a 
universe supports AT LEAST SOME advanced intelligence/civilization than 
that it supports UBIQUITOUS intelligence/civilization. But this 
reasoning is speculative and needs a lot more thought...maybe. Someone 
could probably write a nice Baxterian story with this theme.)

--Tim May, Occupied America
"They that give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary 
safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." -- Benjamin Franklin, 1759. 




Re: MWI of relativistic QM

2002-09-20 Thread Tim May


On Friday, September 20, 2002, at 10:03  AM, Wei Dai wrote:

> On Thu, Sep 05, 2002 at 12:08:39PM +0200, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>> This comes from the fact that MWI is explained most of the time
>> in the context of non relativistic QM (which assumes time and space).
>> But this problem disappear once you take into account the
>> space time structure of relativistic QM, where roughly speaking
>> moment of time are handled by "parallel" universes (see Deutsch FOR).
>
> I got Deutsch's book, but it doesn't mention relativistic QM at all. 
> Can
> you elaborate on what the MWI of relativistic QM is, or point me to
> another paper or book, or give me a page number in FOR that deals with
> this?

This topic dovetails (no pun intended) on several points I've made as 
well, so I'll add some comments.

* Deutsch's "Fabric of Reality" is a slender book, with only the first 
few chapters really making his main point (about how the single- and 
double-slit experiments already "proved" the MWI interpretation a 
century ago, had we known what to look for, and that quantum computers 
make the point as well). I don't recall whether he says much about 
relativistic vs. nonrelativistic QM, but I'll take your word that he 
says nothing. His focus is on the quantum aspects, not cosmology or 
relativity or a unified theory, so this is not too surprising.

* Much more is said in a book I have recommended a couple of times 
here: Lee Smolin's "Three Roads to Quantum Gravity." Also, his earlier 
book, "The Life of the Cosmos."

* The idea is this:

-- conventional ("classical") QM assumes Newtonian space and time, 
i.e., a universal coordinate system

-- conventional ("classical") relativity (SR and GR) assumes a 
non-Newtonian, non-constant space and time, via  Lorentz transforms on 
a Minkowski spacetime, but it has no quantization a la QM

-- in other words, two very different spacetimes. This is sometimes 
characterized as the "very small" (quantum effects) vs. the "very 
large" (astrophysics), and experiments at most ranges don't produce 
contradictions, as  gravity effects are miniscule at the usual quantum 
levels and quantum effects are miniscule at cosmological or 
astrophysical scales. However, understanding black holes will almost 
certainly require a unification of these two theories or outlooks. And 
of course a coherent, unified theory ought not to have two radically 
different views of spacetime.

* Einstein attempted to merge the two, but failed. Beginning in the 
1970s, with the work of Ashtekar, Witten, Rovelli, Crane, Susskind, 
Baez, and many others, progress was made toward unifying the models. 
The quantum gravity program, as pursued by the several different 
schools (strings and branes, spin foams, twistors, etc.), is to unify 
these two fundamentally different outlooks. As of now, this hasn't 
happened.

* Personally, I think there is much of interest in the "discrete at 
Planck scales" relational approach.

--Tim May




Good article in "American Scientist" on cosmology and cosmic background variations

2002-09-17 Thread Tim May

I took a quick look at a newstand copy of "American Scientist," the 
current issue. A good article on variations in the cosmic background 
and how this might be able to give some indications about very early 
"forks" taken in the evolution of the universe we are in.

In other news, am reading Graham Priest's "An Introduction to 
Non-Classical Logic," 2001. A good survey of various kinds of modal 
logic, multi-valued logic, intuitionistic logic, etc.

I also found an interesting book by Robert Goldblatt, "Mathematics of 
Modality," 1993, which contains a paper "Diodorean Modality in 
Minkowski Spacetime." He points out that Arthur Prior, in books from 
the late 60s, early 70s, demonstrated that the lattice of 
partially-ordered events in Minkowski spacetime corresponds to a modal 
logic system called "S4.2."

(Sidenote: Bruno uses these names for axiom systems more comfortably 
than I can at this point. Just citing a name for some system is not 
very convincing to me, without having the background to know what the 
names imply.)

The point is that apparently my hunch about time being viewed as a 
poset, which I wrote about several weeks ago, is already known to 
people like Goldblatt and Prior.

This remains my focus.


--Tim is a Democrat, as he is always looking for a handout"  --Unknown 
Usenet Poster




Time-varying sets and modal logic

2002-09-09 Thread Tim May


On Monday, September 9, 2002, at 01:39  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>
> In one little sentence: modal logic is a tool for refining truth
> by making it relative to context, situations, etc. Those last
> notions are in general captured by some abstract mathematical
> spaces, like set + binary (accessibility) relations with Kripke,
> quasi topological space with Scott and Montague, etc.


Or, seen naturally all around us in the world, with time-varying sets.

A time-varying set, informally, is one whose set of members varies with 
time. (Time is just about the most important kind of _context_ 
mentioned above by Bruno.) The set of nations in the U.N. varies with 
time, the set of air molecules in a room varies with time, the set of 
descendants of a person varies with time, and so on.

The logic and algebra associated with such variable sets are Heyting 
logic and Heyting algebra, not the more commonly studied Boolean logic 
and Boolean algebra. I outlined this in some earlier posts. (And there 
are synonyms for Heyting: intuitionistic logic, Brouwerian lattices, 
forms of modal logic, etc.)

The connection between time-varying sets and time-varying logic is of 
course straightforward. Propositions within a logical system can be 
translated into set inclusion relationships.

The connection with branching forks of a universe, where different 
forks are BY DEFINITION contradictory (and hence are not analyzable 
with Boolean logic), is clear...to me at least.

Two outcomes of the flip of a coin, for example, form a fork which is 
part of a poset. The outcomes, H or T, do not obey the usual law of 
trichotomy, hence the set is a poset. I outlined this in earlier posts 
as well.

--Tim May




Re: MWI, Copenhagen, Randomness

2002-09-05 Thread Tim May


On Thursday, September 5, 2002, at 09:34  AM, Jesse Mazer wrote:

> But even if one understands that conscious observers are not necessary 
> to "collapse the wave function," Tim's questions do not go away. One 
> could always imagine that the box in the Schroedinger's cat experiment 
> was made of some super-material that blocked interaction between the 
> inside and the outside so effectively that decoherence was completely 
> eliminated, so from the outside the cat would have to be treated as 
> being in a macroscopic superposition until the box was opened, even 
> though the cat (or a video camera inside the box) would remember 
> having been in a single definite state all along.

In fact, all formulations I have seen of the SC experiment are exactly 
as you describe: a sealed box, with the necessary condition of no 
information from inside the box, whether meows of the cat or portholes 
cut in the side of the box or video signals coming out.

Hence the "mixed state" (as it described) holds up to the time the box 
is opened. Whether or not a camera is inside recording the process. 
Whether or not other humans are also inside the box, wearing gas masks 
perhaps, observing the process. Whether or not that box is inside an 
even larger box, a la the Chinese boxes thought experiment.

>
>> > One could arrange a thought experiment involving literally
>> > a series of boxes within boxes, each being opened at, say,
>> > one minute intervals after the cyanide was released or not
>> > released. One set of observers sees the cat either alive
>> > or dead at the end of the canonical one hour period. But
>> > they are sealed inside a box. After one minute, their box
>> > is opened, and the observers in the next-larger box then
>> > see the "collapse of the wave function at the 61-minute
>> > point." After another minute, their box is opened and a
>> > new set of observer sees "the collapse of the wave
>> > function at the 62-minute point."
>>
>> > And so on. (I don't know if I'm just reinventing a thought
>> > experiment someone developed many decades ago...it seems
>> > like a natural idea.)
>
> Yes, this is similar to the "Wigner's friend" thought-experiment. The 
> physics dictionary entry on Schrodinger's cat at 
> http://physics.about.com/library/dict/bldefschrdingerscat.htm 
> describes it briefly:
>
> "Wigner's friend is a variation of the Schrˆdinger's cat paradox in 
> which a friend of the physicist Eugene Wigner is the first to look 
> inside the vessel. The friend will find a live or dead cat. However, 
> if Professor Wigner has both the vessel with the cat and the friend in 
> the closed room, the state of the mind of the friend (happy if there 
> is a live cat but sad if there is a dead cat) cannot be determined in 
> Bohr's interpretation of quantum mechanics until the professor has 
> looked into the room although the friend has already looked at the 
> cat. These paradoxes indicate the absurdity of the overstated roles of 
> measurement and observation in Bohr's interpretation of quantum 
> mechanics."

Thanks for the reference. It matches my own thought experiment.

(Which, aside from showing some "overstated roles" for human 
observation, also shows that this whole business of "the wave function 
being defined everywhere and then suddenly vanishing" is a deeply 
flawed notion, as we've just shown many such points of potential
"collapse." Fortunately, nothing in the "shut up and calculate" 
practical side of QM depends on "collapse of the wave function," so it 
has mainly been a side show.)

But this thread is stimulating me to refresh my memory of QM and to 
study it more deeply. (I have a bunch of the recent Zeilinger papers on 
delayed-choice and double-slit experiments, but haven't had a chance to 
read them except by skimming.)

--Tim May




MWI, Copenhage, Randomness

2002-09-04 Thread Tim May


On Wednesday, September 4, 2002, at 02:44  PM, Hal Finney wrote:

> Tim May wrote:
>
>> In weaker forms of the MWI, where it's the early state of the Big Bang
>> (for example) which are splitting off into N universes, De Witt and
>> others have speculated (as early as around 1970) that we may  
>> _possibly_
>> see some evidence consistent with the EWG interpretation but NOT
>> consistent with other interpretations.
>
> I'm not familiar with the details of this.  But I know that much of
> the impetus for increased acceptance of MWI models comes from the
> cosmologists.

It was in DeWitt's article, "Quantum mechanics and reality," Physics  
Today, September 1970, reprinted in the collection "The Many-Worlds  
Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics," edited by Bryc DeWitt and Neill  
Graham, 1973.

"Moreover a decision between the two interpretations may ultimately be  
made on grounds other than direct laboratory experimentation. For  
example, in the very early moments of the universe, during the  
cosmological "Big Bang," the universal wave function may have possessed  
an overall coherence as yet unimpaired by condensation into  
non-interfering branches. Such initial coherence may have testable  
implications for cosmology." (p. 165 of the reprint volume).

(Glad to see my memory hasn't failed me. DeWitt's article made a big  
splash when it first got wide notice with that 1970 article. Around  
that time, "Physics Today" was where we found many wild things. A  
beautiful cover painting of a black hole, the first such graphic I'd  
seen...perhaps it's scanned and on the Web someplace, as it was a  
seminal image, from January 1970, if I remember correctly. And another  
cover from around that era was of O'Neill's proposal for L-5 colonies  
and powersats.)
>>

>> What's the problem here? I find it utterly plausible that we would be
>> in a universe where matter exists, where stars exist, where entropy
>> gradients exist, etc., and NOT in a universe where the physical
>> constants or structure of the universe makes life more difficult or
>> impossible (or where the densities and entropy gradients mean that
>> evolution of complex structures might take 100 billion years, or more,
>> instead of the billion or so years it apparently took).
>
> The problem is more formal, that if we abandon measurement as a special
> feature of the physics, there is no longer an axiom that says that
> probability is proportional to amplitude squared.

I'm not an expert on this. Jeffrey Bub, in "Interpreting the Quantum  
World," 1997, cites several classes of resolutions of the "measurement  
problem." He calls them the "For all practical purposes" (FAPP) model,  
after Bell, the "change the linear dynamics" model, and the "modify the  
orthodox Dirac-von Neumann interpretation principle." From what I can  
tell, the Copenhagen interpretation is already a mixed state, so to  
speak, of bits and pieces of Bohr's and Heisenberg's interpretations.

By the way, issues of observers and measurements are obviously fraught  
with "Chinese boxes" types of problems. In the Schrodinger's Cat  
pedantic example, if the "cat alive or cat dead" measurement is made at  
the end of one hour by opening the sealed box, what if a video camera  
had been also sealed inside the box, and had seen the cat breathe in  
the cyanide gas at 10 minutes into the experiment? Does this imply the  
"wave function collapsed" at the time of the measurement by the human  
observers, at the one hour point, or at the time the video camera  
unambiguously recorded the cat's death?

One could arrange a thought experiment involving literally a series of  
boxes within boxes, each being opened at, say, one minute intervals  
after the cyanide was released or not released. One set of observers  
sees the cat either alive or dead at the end of the canonical one hour  
period. But they are sealed inside a box. After one minute, their box  
is opened, and the observers in the next-larger box then see the  
"collapse of the wave function at the 61-minute point." After another  
minute, their box is opened and a new set of observer sees "the  
collapse of the wave function at the 62-minute point."

And so on. (I don't know if I'm just reinventing a thought experiment  
someone developed many decades ago...it seems like a natural idea.)

Seen this way, the "collapse of the wave function" in the Schrodinger's  
Cat thought experiment is seen as a problem of knowledge, not something  
quasi-mystical about an instantaneous collapse of some psi-squared  
function.

(More interesting are the delayed choice experime

Re: Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-04 Thread Tim May


On Wednesday, September 4, 2002, at 10:08  AM, Hal Finney wrote:

> I think on this list we should be willing to seriously consider the
> many-worlds interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics as the ontology 
> for
> our universe.

I remain agnostic on the MWI or EWG interpretation. While I don't 
strongly believe that the MWI is "reality" (cough cough), I agree with 
Hal that it's a plausible ontology. Further, I take more seriously than 
many the "plurality of worlds" ontology of the late philosopher David 
Lewis. (The guy who argues that we should not give special linguistic 
treatment to "our" world and should give equal standing to "the world 
in which World War II was won by Germany," for example. Lewis is 
sometimes caricaturized by capsule summaries of the sort "David Lewis 
believes unicorns really do exist," but what Lewis is claiming is fully 
consistent with modal logic and possible worlds semantics.)

> There are a few objections which I am aware of which have been raised
> against the MWI.  The first is its lack of parsimony in terms of
> creating a vast number of universes.  We gain some simplification in
> the QM formalism but at this seemingly huge expense.  The second is its
> untestability, although some people have claimed otherwise.

The latter is the more important. If, for example, the plurality of 
worlds are out of communication with each other, forever and always, 
then it means nothing to assert that they "actually" exist.

In weaker forms of the MWI, where it's the early state of the Big Bang 
(for example) which are splitting off into N universes, De Witt and 
others have speculated (as early as around 1970) that we may _possibly_ 
see some evidence consistent with the EWG interpretation but NOT 
consistent with other interpretations.

> And the
> third is that it retains what we might call the problem of measure,
> that is, explaining why we seem to occupy branches with a high measure
> or amplitude, without just adding that as an extra assumption.

What's the problem here? I find it utterly plausible that we would be 
in a universe where matter exists, where stars exist, where entropy 
gradients exist, etc., and NOT in a universe where the physical 
constants or structure of the universe makes life more difficult or 
impossible (or where the densities and entropy gradients mean that 
evolution of complex structures might take 100 billion years, or more, 
instead of the billion or so years it apparently took).


>
> The point is, all of these objections apply equally to the more
> ambitious multiverse models we consider here.  Our multiverse is even
> more profligate than the MWI; it is if anything less observable; and
> the problem of measure is at least as acute.

I certainly agree with this! Tegmark's and Schmidhuber's and Egan's 
"all mathematics, all programs" models form supersets of the 
conventional MWI.

>  By the metrics we typically use for
> universe complexity, basically the number of axioms or the size of a
> program to specify the universe, the MWI is in fact simpler and 
> therefore
> more probable than the traditional interpretation.

This I'm not convinced of at all. I don't find the Copenhagen (aka 
"Shut up and calculate") Interpretation requires any more axioms. So 
long as we don't try to understand what is "really" happening, it's a 
very simple system.

> Quantum randomness does not exist in the MWI.  It is an illusion 
> caused by
> the same effect which Bruno Marchal describes in his thought 
> experiments,
> where an observer who is about to enter a duplication device has 
> multiple
> possible futures, which he treats as random.  If Schmidhuber would 
> adopt
> this model for the physics of our universe it would improve the quality
> of his predictions.


And, putting in a plug for modal/topos logic, the essence of nearly 
every interpretation, whether MWI or Copenhagen or even Newtonian, is 
that observers at time t are faced with unknowable and branching 
futures. (In classical systems, these arise from limited amounts of 
information available to observers and, importantly, in limited 
positional information. Even a perfectly classical billiard ball 
example is unpredictable beyond a few seconds or maybe tens of seconds, 
because the positions and sets of forces (turbulence in the air 
currents around the balls, even gravitational and static electricity 
effects, etc.) are only known to, say, 20 decimal places (if that, of 
course). Because the "actual" positions, masses, sphericities, static 
charges, etc.  are perhaps defined by 40-digit or even 200-digit 
numbers, the Laplacian dream of a suffiicently powerful mind being able 
to know the future is dashed.

Unpredictability, or randomness, arises even in a fully classical real 
world.

--Tim May
"As my father told me long ago, the objective is not to convince someone
  with your arguments but to provide the arguments with which he later
  convinces himself." -- David Friedman




Re: Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-04 Thread Tim May
cs and even math to explore ideas about the nature 
of our reality, the anthropic principle, and the colonization of 
cyberspaces.

It also turns out that Egan has been doing some Java and Mathematica 
programming for some of the spin foam papers by Baez and others. This 
doesn't mean that any particular idea he explores, whether in 
"Distress" or "Diaspora" or "Schild's Ladder," is "right," just that 
Egan is obvious technically competent to write about these ideas.

What fired me up about "Distress" in particular was the several-page 
synopsis of the "All Topologies Model." For some reason, this got my 
juices flowing. (The rest of the novel just sort of plodded along to a 
fairly predictable conclusion.)

I hope this explains why I don't look to Egan's fictional character for 
actual theories, just stimulation.

--Tim May




Re: Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-03 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, September 3, 2002, at 02:21  PM, scerir wrote:

>     Tim May:
> I don't have a comprehensive theory of time,
> but I am very fond of  "causal time."
>
> Sometimes we read papers saying there is now
> experimental evidence that quantum phenomena
> are "a-causal" or "non-causal" or  "out-of-time".
>
> See, in example, these recent papers
> http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0110124
> http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0201036
>
> Now, can lattices capture also those important
> features?

I haven't read the papers, just the abstracts. I could wait to comment 
for a few days or weeks until I've had a chance to absorb the papers, 
if ever, or comment now.

First, it looks like these events are the usual "entangled states," 
which can be spacelike (the usual example of particles separated by 
light years).

Second, for such spacelike intervals, they are outside each others' 
light cones in the extreme cases, so it would not be expected for any 
partial ordering to exist.

Third, my own idiosyncratic view is to look at entangled particles as a 
single system, regardless of separation.

Fourth, as to the mechanics of lattices: the essence of a 
partially-ordered set (poset) is that it does not require trichotomy, 
where either a is less than b, a is greater than b, or a is equal to b. 
In a chain, a linear form of a lattice, trichotomy holds. So, the 
integers obey trichotomy, as one integer is either less than, greater 
than, or equal to any other integer. Orders which obey trichotomy are 
said to be well-ordered.

But not all sets are well-ordered. If the ordering relation is set 
inclusion, then a series of sets need not obey trichotomy. Some sets 
may be disjoint, with one neither including the other, being included 
by the other, or equal.

In terms of causality, not even getting involved with speed of light 
issues and light cones, it is quite possible to say "event A neither 
caused event B nor was caused by event B nor is the same as event B." 
That is, the events A and B are incommensurate, or disjoint...they fail 
trichotomy. Clearly, most events all around us are such examples of 
incommensurate. They form posets.

What a lattice does is to formalize the notions of order and to say 
there is only one edge between two events, and nothing in between (no 
other nodes in between). If two events are separated by many instants 
of time, many other events, then the lattice is made up of the smallest 
identifiable events. The events look like a lattice. (As I said, the 
Web has many nice pictures. No point in my spending 20 minutes drawing 
an ASCII lattice here, having it reproduced poorly, when entering 
"lattice poset" into Google will turn up nice pictures.)

So, I would say from reading the abstracts that the Bell example just 
fits the ecample of a poset, where two events, which may or may not be 
entangled, are spacelike to each other. (This is the essence of the 
usual "instantaneous action" of EPR/delayed choice experiments.)


--Tim




Re: Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-03 Thread Tim May
time 
has dominated for most of the past century (time lines, time as a 
river, the flow of time, Riemannian manifolds, etc.).

In particular, whether space and time "really" are discrete at the 
Planck scale or "continuous all the way down" (to 10^-35 cm, 10^-50 cm, 
10^-100 cm, etc.), is not what I am thinking about right now. It may 
not even matter, except for the unification of QM and gravity, the main 
reason for trying to resolve this issue.

Rather, I am more interested in the issue of ordered sets and lattices, 
posets especially, for the study of time and causality at human scales. 
(Without going into details, here, there are issues relating to the 
nature of belief and trust which have to do with these causal orders 
and possible worlds. I've hinted at some of these points in other posts 
here...someday I'll solidify enough of the swirling ideas to summarize 
them.)

I agree strongly with Lee Smolin that topos theory (and related ideas, 
tools) is not just the right logic for dealing with quantum cosmology, 
it is also the right logic for dealing with a huge number of other 
things.

--Tim May




Re: Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-02 Thread Tim May


On Monday, September 2, 2002, at 09:22  PM, Osher Doctorow wrote:

> From: Osher Doctorow [EMAIL PROTECTED], Mon. Sept. 2, 2002 9:29PM
>
> It is good to hear from a lattice theorist and algebraist, although I 
> myself
> prefer continuity and connectedness (Analysis - real, complex, 
> functional,
> nonsmooth, and their outgrowths probability-statistics and 
> differential and
> integral and integrodifferential equations; and Geometry).   
> Hopefully, we
> can live together in peace, although Smolin and Ashtekar have been 
> obtaining
> results from their approaches which emphasize discreteness (in my 
> opinion
> built in to their theories) and so there will probably be quite a 
> battle in
> this respect at least intellectually.


I'm not set one way or the other about discreteness, especially as the 
level of quantization is at Planck length scales, presumably. That is, 
10^-34 cm or so. Maybe even smaller. And the Planck time is on the 
order of 10^-43 second.

One reason discrete space and time isn't ipso facto absurd is that we 
really have no good reason to believe that smooth manifolds are any 
more plausible. We have no evidence at all that either space or time is 
infinitely divisible, infinitely smooth. In fact, such infinities have 
begun to seem stranger to me than some form of loops or lattice points 
at small enough scales.

Why, we should ask, is the continuum abstraction any more plausible 
than discrete sets? Because the sand on a beach looks "smooth"? (Until 
one looks closer.) Because grains of sand have little pieces of quartz 
which are smooth? (Until one looks closer.)

But, more importantly, the causal set (or causal lattice) way of 
looking at things applies at vastly larger scales, having nothing 
whatsoever to do with the ultimate granularity or smoothness of space 
and time. That is, a set of events, occurrences, collisions, clock 
ticks, etc. forms a causal lattice. This is true at the scale of 
microcircuits as well as in human affairs (though there we get the 
usual "interpretational" issues of causality, discussed by Judea Pearl 
at length in his book "Causality").

You say you prefer continuity and connectednessthis all depends on 
the topology one chooses. In the microcircuit case, the natural 
topology of circuit elements and conductors and clock ticks gives us 
our lattice points. In other examples, set containment gives us a 
natural poset, without "points."

(In fact, of course mathematics can be done with open sets, or closed 
sets for that matter, as the "atoms" of the universe, with no reference 
to points, and certainly not to Hausdorff spaces similar to the real 
number continuum.)

The really interesting things, for me, are the points of intersection 
between logic and geometry.


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum 
reality, cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Time as a Lattice of Partially-Ordered Causal Events or Moments

2002-09-02 Thread Tim May


On Saturday, August 31, 2002, at 11:31  PM, Brent Meeker wrote:

> Time is a construct we invented to describe things.  Most
> basically we use it to describe our sequence of experiences
> and memories.  We feel hot and cold, but we needed to
> quantify hot and cold and give them operational definitions
> in order make definite predictions about them. So we
> invented temperature and thermometers.  For mechanics we
> needed a quantified, operational definition of duration -
> so we invented time and clocks.
>
> Besides psychological time,there are at least three
> different possible definitions of time used in physics  What
> they all have in common is that they assign numbers to
> different physical states, i.e. they index different states
> into some order so that this sequence of states can be
> compared to that sequence of states.

I don't have a comprehensive theory of time, but I am very fond of 
"causal time."

Picture events as a series of points in a lattice (a graph, but with 
the properties I talked about a while back in a post on 
partially-ordered sets). Basically, a lattice of events where there is 
at most one edge connecting two points. (There are formal properties of 
lattices, which the Web will produce many good definitions and pictures 
of.)

Lattices capture some important properties of time:

* Invariance under Lorentzian transformations...any events A and B 
where B is in the future light cone of A and A is in the past light 
cone of B, will be invariantly ordered to all observers.

* The modal logic nature of time. Multiple "futures" are possible, but 
once they have happened, honest observers will agree about what 
happened. (Echoing the transformation of a Heyting algebra of 
possibilities into the Boolean algebra of actuals...this sounds like it 
parallels quantum theory, and Chris Isham and others think so.)

* Personally, I believe the arrow of time comes from more than 
statistical mechanics. (I believe it comes from the nature of subobject 
classifiers and the transformation Heyting --> Boolean.)


* I am indebted to the books and papers of Lee Smolin, Fotini 
Markopoulou, Louis Crane, Chris Isham, and several others (Rovelli, 
Baez, etc.) for this interpretation.

None of us knows at this time if time is actually a lattice at Planck- 
or shorter-time-scale intervals. But discretized at even the normal 
scales of events (roughly the order of seconds for human-scale events, 
picoseconds or less for particle physics-scale events), the 
lattice-algebraic model has much to offer.

* I don't see any conflict with Huw Price, Julian Barbour, and others 
(haven't read Zeh yet), though I don't subscribe to all of their 
idiosyncratic views.


--Tim May




Time

2002-08-31 Thread Tim May

The September issue of "Scientific American" is usually/always devoted 
to some special theme. This issue is ostensibly devoted to "Time" and 
problems associated with it. Articles include some physics articles, 
some perception/psychology articles, and one or two on clocks and 
timepieces.

Sad to say, "Sci Am" has fallen far from its once lofty perch. Flipping 
through the issue at a boostore, I found the first _half_ of the thin 
magazine devoted to advertising, general  news, and a special 
20-plus-page insert devoted to Italy and its industries, blah blah.

Once the articles started, they were of course no longer the meaty, 
detailed dozen or so solid articles. (Used to be the special September 
issues were thicker than usual!) The articles were short, filled with 
colorful graphics (but with less content than the SciAm graphics of the 
1950s-recent), but carried little information.

The articles may be of use in introducing people to notions like "block 
time," but the entire idea is covered in just a few paragraphs. Not much 
to go on.

Paul Davies does one of the physics articles on time...nothing in his 
article not covered in much more detail in the books by Huw Price, 
Julian Barbour, Kip Thorne, and others.

I didn't buy the issue.

Meanwhile, my study of lattice and order continues. I'll say more in the 
future (if it exists, that is).


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: Yetter's "Functorial Knot Theory" and the Mind/Body Problem

2002-08-21 Thread Tim May
as the one about the 
"reversability of time" arguements, raised initially by Wei Dai and then 
argued by Hal Finney. Writing the "Professor Ludwig" piece, in which an 
1860 Prof. Ludwig (Boltzmann, obviously) predicts that the simplest 
time-reversed pocket of the universe means telescopes will likely see 
nothing but chaos outside the local region, helped me to clarify my 
thinking on anthropic arguments. And motivated me to finish reading Huw 
Price's book.

This is the real blessing of mailing lists like this one! I may now be 
motivated to understand the kinds of logic you discuss if only to try to 
refute you! (no offense intended)


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: Entropy, Time's Arrow, and Urns

2002-08-18 Thread Tim May


(A minor typo is corrected)

On Sunday, August 18, 2002, at 01:00  PM, Tim May wrote:
> In Sequence One, the two urns are filled with stones of mixed color at 
> the start of the film. As the main transfers stones, the number of 
> black and white stones in each of the urns fluctuates, but there are 
> never, in this particular film, any excursions outside the ratio 450 of 
> one color to 550 of the other.

  There are only 500 stones in each urn, so what I meant was, for 
example, 275 of one color, 225 of the other, adding up to 500 total in 
either of the two urns.

--Tim




Entropy, Time's Arrow, and Urns

2002-08-18 Thread Tim May

Hal has brought up Huw Price's book, "Time's Arrow and Arhimedes' 
Point," and especially the thermodynamic/entropy arguments related to 
recurrence a la Poincare, Boltzmann, and others.

A point Price makes several times is th

"..though it needs to be borne in mind that not everyone had a clear 
grasp of the fact that the low-entropy past is itself in need of 
explanation." (p 37)

"In sum, the puzzle is not about how the universe reaches a state of 
high entropy, but about how it comes to be starting from a low one." (p 
40)

"For all their intrinsic interest, then, the new methods of nonlinear 
dynamics do not throw new light on the asymmetry of thermodynamics. 
Writers who suggest otherwise have failed to grasp the real puzzle of 
thermodynamics--Why is entropy low in the past?--and to see that no 
symmetric theory could possibly yield the kind of conclusions they claim 
to draw." (p 44)

"There is no separate problem as to why entropy in branch systems always 
increases towards the future, in other words: only the big problem was 
in the bottle in the first place." (p 45)

And so on. Price repeatedly bases many arguments on his dissatisfaction 
with assuming a state of high order. (To be fair, his book is an 
interesting romp through many theories of time asymmetry, touching on 
Feynman-Wheeler absorber theories, delayed choice experiments in quantum 
mechanics, psychology, etc. Not a bad place to get exposed to a lot of 
the current issues. Just don't take his particular "crotchet" too 
seriously, is my advice.)

Frankly, I don't worry how the beer got in the bottle (one of his 
example, about gas expanding out of a beer bottle...Price worries that 
the analysts of time are not asking proper questions about how the beer 
came to be in the bottle in the first place...most of us, dullards that 
we are, assume that a bottling company _put_ the beer in the bottle!.

I'm not being flip. It's an observed fact of our universe, and likely 
derivable from anthropic arguments, that there's a lot of "free energy" 
around: a lot of unfused hydrogen, a lot of gravitational potential 
energy, a lot of stored chemical energy, etc. How this came to be from 
"first principles" from an initial singularity is of course unknown at 
this time.

Time for a digression. The classic urn experiment, with Price's 
objections.

And let me throw in something several members of this list will likely 
appreciate: a bet on the outcomes (a la Bayesian reasoning, a la market 
processes, a la Robin Hanson's idea futures, a la probabalistic 
definitions of the truth).

Imagine two urns. Imagine, say, 500 black stones and 500 white stones. A 
person is reaching inside one urn, removing a stone, transferring it to 
the other urn, picking up a stone "at random" (a regrettably loaded 
term, but one which will hopefully become clearer...imagine that the man 
is blind and cannot possibly see the color of the stone he is picking 
up).

A group of people is show two filmed sequences:

In Sequence One, the two urns are filled with stones of mixed color at 
the start of the film. As the main transfers stones, the number of black 
and white stones in each of the urns fluctuates, but there are never, in 
this particular film, any excursions outside the ratio 450 of one color 
to 550 of the other.

In Sequence Two, the the film begins rolling with one urn filled with 
white stones and the other urn filled with black stones. The man reaches 
in, takes a white stone, transfers it to the other urn. He reaches in, 
takes a black stone, transfers it to the first urn. As the film 
progresses, the two urns eventually reach a state where each has about 
250 white stones and about 250 black stones.

The group is told that one of the films is presented in correct 
chronological order while the other is presented in reverse 
chronological order.

The group is told that bets will be taken on which is which. Oddsmakers 
are standing by. A terminal linked to the Idea Futures Market is 
available.

(The Barbourian jumps up and yells "There is no time! All events happen 
at the same time!" The organizer says "Fine, but I'm still taking bets. 
The Barbourian sits down.)

Which way would you bet? And what do think oddsmakers would make odds?

Not surprisingly, nearly everyone will bet that Sequence Two was shown 
in correct chronological order and that Sequence One, if one of the two 
sequences was shown in reverse chronological order, must have been the 
one that was reversed.

(The Quibbler points out that Sequence One could easily be shown in 
chronological order, just either a long time after the mixing started or 
starting with an initially mixed set. "Sure," the organizer points out, 
"but I told you one was in correct order, one was reversed, so place 
your bets.")

Now the urn example is one that does not use the "molecular chaos" that 
Huw Price is so critical of in "gas mixing" examples, arguing that 
"molecular chaos" is assuming the conclusion.

Here w

Re: Doomsday-like argument in cosmology

2002-08-18 Thread Tim May


On Saturday, August 17, 2002, at 11:37  PM, Hal Finney wrote:
> Now you might say, so what, the whole idea that we formed in this way
> was so absurd that no one would ever take it seriously anyway.  But the
> authors of this paper seem to be saying that if you assume that there is
> a positive cosmological constant (as the cosmological evidence seems to
> show), eventually we will get into this de Sitter state, and based on
> some assumptions (which I didn't follow) we really should see Poincare
> recurrences.  Then by the anthropic principle we should be 
> overwhelmingly
> likely to be living in one.

OK, let us assume for the sake of argument that we should be 
overwhelmingly likely to be living in one of these "time-reversed 
cycles" (which I distinguish from "bounces" back to a Big Bang state, 
the more common view of cycles).

By the same Bayesian reasoning, it is overwhelmingly likely that any 
observer would find himself in a TRC in which other parts of the 
universe eventually visible to him (with telescopes) are "incompletely 
reversed." Let me give a scenario to make the point clearer.

It is 1860. Telescopes exist, but are still crude. The Milky Way is only 
known to be a nebula, a swirl of stars. The existence of galaxies other 
than our own is unknown.

Professor Ludwig calls together several of us friends (perhaps on the 
Vienna version of the Everything List) and outlines his theory.

"We are very probably in a recurrence phase of the Universe, where a 
worn-out, gaseous phase of the Universe has randomly arranged us into 
this low-entropy, highly-ordered state we find ourselves in today. It 
took a very long time for this to happen, perhaps 1,000,000,000,000,000 
million years, but here we are."

(Reactions of his audience not presented here...maybe in the novel some 
distant version of me will write.)

"All that we see around us, our Sun, the planets, even the gas balls we 
call stars, were formed thusly out of a random rearrangement of gas 
molecules. My young mathematician friend in Paris, Msr. Poincare, says 
this sort of recurrence is inevitable in any sufficiently rich phase 
space."

"Now, if this is correct, it is overwhelmingly likely that of all of the 
time-reversed cycles, or TRCs, the TRC we find ourselves in will have 
only reversed time (or created low entropy structures) in our particular 
region of the Universe. In a hugely greater amount of time, even more 
regions of the Universe we will be soon be able to observe would be 
subject to this reversal, but the times involved are even more hideously 
enormous than the very long times needed to create our own TRC pocket in 
which we find ourselves."

"So, overwhelmingly, observers who draw the conclusions I have reached 
will find themselves in a Universe where only a region sufficient to 
have "built" them and their supporting civilization will have the low 
entropy order of a TRC."

"Thus, gentlemen, by a principle I call "falsifiability," I predict that 
when the new telescopes being built now in Paris and London become 
operational, we will see nothing around our region of the Universe 
except gas and disorder."

And, of course, within his remaining lifetime Professor Ludwig was 
astonished to learn that distant galaxies looking very much like nearby 
galaxies existed, that if a Poincare recurrence had in fact happened, it 
must have happened encompassing truly vast swathes of the Universe...in 
fact, the entire visible Universe, reaching out ten billion light years 
in all directions. The unlikelihood that an observer (affected causally 
only by events within a few light years of his home planet) would find 
himself in one of the comparatively-rare TRCs which affected such a big 
chunk of the Universe convinced Professor Ludwig that his theory was 
wrong, that the new ideas just being proposed of an initial singularity, 
weird as that might be, better explained the visible Universe.

--Tim May (who also thinks the difficulty of time-reversing things like 
ripples in a pond, radiation in general, and all sorts of other things 
makes the Poincare recurrence a useful topological dynamics idea, but 
one of utterly no cosmological significance)




Recurrence in the universe

2002-08-17 Thread Tim May


On Saturday, August 17, 2002, at 01:57  PM, Hal Finney wrote:
>
> After an extremely long interval, we may get a Poincare recurrence.
> (Actually, I'm not sure this is the right term for this; I think a
> Poincare recurrence is a more general thermodynamic effect. But I will
> use the phrase here to specifically talk about a low-entropy fluctuation
> out of a high-energy equilibrium state.)  The gas will randomly happen 
> to
> move back into a low-energy state, perhaps even the same state we 
> started
> with, all the molecules in one corner.  At that point we once again get
> dissipation, structures, the passage of time, and the possibility of 
> life.
> This cycle can and will repeat indefinitely.

As usual, I am intensely skeptical. From the magnitudes of the 
calculations, not from a "gut feel."

The gedankenexperiment of all the molecules in a box being found in one 
small volume/corner of the box is a classic textbook calculation. I 
haven't done the calcs in a long, long time, but it's fairly clear that 
even a mole-magnitude quantity of molecules might "easily" take some 
incredibly huge amount of time, something like 10^500 years, to 
"randomly" end up in a volume 1% as large as the box. (It might just as 
easily be 10^2000  years or more6 x10^23 molecules bouncing around 
is hard to find in one region of the phase space.)

How long before 10 moles find their way to a small part of the phase 
space? Or galactic-cloud-sized quantities?

And biological structures with chemical reactions driven by 
concentration gradients on lipid layers...whew.

I guarantee that the "time for gas molecule-type recurrence" is 
something like 10^10^10^10^10^10.10 years.

Now I realize that "infinity" is a much larger number than 
"10^10^10^10^.10 years," and so a Cantorian correspondence might 
suggest that "it could happen."

But in any finite chunk of time, no matter how large, my hunch is that 
the "divergence" issues utterly dominate. That is, in the first 100 
billion years of the universe's life after the stars all burn out (say, 
200 billion years from now), there still will not be a single instance 
anywhere in the universe where a mole of hydrogen in some reasonable 
volume (a thousand cubic kilometers, maybe) has "fluctuated" into an 
ordered state where the hydrogen is at much higher concentration.

(This doesn't preclude bounces which reset to very dense states.)

> That is, if we really assume that somehow this gas in the corner evolved
> life which then died out in the heat death of the universe, then the
> most likely path back into the corner is to evolve life backwards.
> We would see the formless void of space begin to cluster together to 
> form
> structure.  That structure would include the pattern of dead life-forms.
> These life-forms would come to life, and they would live their lives
> backwards.  They would grow young and be un-born.  Each generation
> would be replaced by its ancestors.

I don't claim to understand the physics of time asymmetry (despite the 
books I have read, including starting Huw Price's book recently, based 
on recommendations here), but this extension of billiard ball 
gedankenexperiments to "living lives backwards" is just too bizarre.

So many chemical reactions, so many biological "objects," so many issues 
of functional causality (as but one example, the heart pumping blood, 
enabling cell growth, etc.). To hypothesis that "if we wait long enough, 
cells will randomly get smaller, will ungrow, causing reverse fluid flow 
to then cause the heart to beat backwards" (as but one of a vast 
number of examples...and this effect has to happen across all organisms 
in all places, else the Universe has not really "unaged."

If a mole quantity of hydrogen may take "10^10^10^...10" years just to 
get to a "low entropy state, but not necessarily the same structure as 
before," then how long  well, it ain't something I'll lose sleep 
over.

> I believe it follows, then, that if we are living in such a Poincare
> recurrence, it is overwhelmingly likely that the universe did not really
> go all the way back to the Big Bang.  Rather, our past is an illusion.
> Time ran backwards far enough to form us; but among those recurrences
> where we formed, the overwhelming majority of them don't have time go
> back much farther than that.  (My son is reading the Price book now and
> says that this idea goes back to Boltzmann, that our past is false and
> the universe no older than us, if our experience are explained by such
> a recurrence.)


Nietzsche had similar ideas of the "eternal recurrence," circa 1870.



--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-17 Thread Tim May


On Saturday, August 17, 2002, at 08:06  PM, George Levy wrote:
> The arbitrariness of "my," "your" or anybody's own mind point to the 
> need for the relativistic approach which I have been advocating. The 
> frame of reference here is the logical system residing in the 
> observer's mind. It may not be the type of  formal system which has 
> been discussed in the list. There may be a need to develop some kind of 
> "fuzzy" logical system for human mental processes corresponding to the 
> formal systems already in existence. As far as I know Fuzzy Logic has 
> not been developped to the same extent as the branches of  logic that 
> have been discussed in the list.

Well, count me as skeptical that the hype about "fuzzy set theory" and 
"fuzzy logic" has ever, or will ever, live up to some of the claims made 
by Bart Kosko, Lofti Zadeh, and others. Most of what passes for fuzzy 
logic just looks like ordinary Bayesian probability.

Here's a comment from Saunders Mac Lane in his book "Mathematics: Form 
and Function," 1986:

"Not all outside influences are really fruitful. For example, one 
engineer came up with the notion of a _fuzzy_ set--a set X where a 
statement x elementof X of membership may be neither true nor false but 
lies somewhere in between, say between 0 and 1. It was hoped that this 
ingenious notion would lead to all sorts of fruitful applications, to 
fuzzy automata, fuzzy decision theory and elsewhere. However, as yet 
most of the intended applications turn out to be just extensive 
exercises, not actually applicable; there has been a spate of such 
exercises." (. pp 439-40).

While maybe Mac Lane is a little too snippily dismissive, here we are 
more than 15 years later and what do we have? Fuzzy rice cookers which 
look like nothing more than rice cookers with various algorithms Newton 
could have calculated, fuzzy-logic elevators which are simply 
implementing similar acceleration algorithms, and not much else. 
Certainly fuzzy logic has not been significantly in the foundations of 
mathematics. Logicians have not been using fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic in 
any significant way, judging by the books and articles I've seen.

I agree that formal logic is not easily applied to minds. Logicians 
would agree. A mind is weighing large numbers of inputs, far beyond what 
would normally fill an entire page of First Order Logic 
equationssurvival has made the ability to reason with uncertainty (a 
better core concept that calling it "fuzzy logic," in my opinion) a 
survival trait. Those minds which can find solutions in the midst of 
noise and uncertainty tend to reproduce more than those minds which are 
paralyzed or too slow in reaching survival-enhancing conclusions.

What we have talked about here in this sub-thread on _modal logic and 
possible worlds_ is an idealization of logic, just a snapshot or facet 
of things, in much the same way a "line" or a "plane" is a facet of the 
world around us (and understandable at some level by birds and reptiles 
even).

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, August 13, 2002, at 08:47  PM, Wei Dai wrote:
>> Seen this way, category and topos theory are worth studying for their
>> own sake. I don't think it is likely that "every conceivable universe
>> with consistent laws of mathematics has actual existence" (to nutshell
>> my understanding of Tegmark's theory) is actually true (whatever that
>> means). Nor do I take Schmidhuber's "all running programs" notion very
>> seriously. Interesting ideas to play with, and to use some tools on.
>
> Well why don't you take these ideas seriously?

Lack of even the slightest piece of evidence for "all possible 
mathematical universes actually exist" and/or "the all runnable computer 
programs.'

I also don't believe there are gods or other supernatural beings, for 
the same reason.

If and when I see an experiment that points to there being other 
universes which have tangible existence, then I'll start to believe.



--Tim May
"That the said Constitution shall never be construed to authorize 
Congress to infringe the just liberty of the press or the rights of 
conscience; or to prevent the people of the United States who are 
peaceable citizens from keeping their own arms." --Samuel Adams




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, August 13, 2002, at 06:16  PM, Wei Dai wrote:

> On Tue, Aug 13, 2002 at 10:08:50AM -0700, Tim May wrote:
>> * Because toposes are essentially mathematical universes in which
>> various bits and pieces of mathematics can be assumed. A topos in which
>> Euclid's Fifth Postulate is true, and many in which it is not. A topos
>> where all functions are differentiable. A topos in which the Axiom of
>> Choice is assumed--and ones where it is not assumed. In other words, as
>> all of the major thinkers have realized over the past 30 years, topos
>> theory is the natural theory of possible worlds.
>
> How does this compare to the situation in classical logic, where you can
> have theories (and corresponding models) that assume Euclid's Fifth
> Postulate as an axiom and theories that don't?

Because such a dichotomy ("and theories that don't") means the logic is 
ipso facto modal. The very form tells us that a modal (and hence 
intuitionist) assumption is at work: "If it were the case that the 
parallel postulate were valid, then..." and "Suppose the parallel 
postulate is not true, then..."


If the Fifth Postulate is independent of the others, then within the 
framework of the other postulates one may have one "branch" where the 
Fifth holds (Euclidean Geometry) and another branch where it doesn't 
hold (all of the various non-Euclidean geometries).

Now this turns out to be a not very important example, as various 
geometries with various geodesics on curved surfaces are sort of 
mundane. And the details were mostly worked out a hundred years ago, 
starting with Gauss, Bolyai, Lobachevsky, Riemann, and continuing to 
Levi-Cevita, Ricci, and Cartan. The fact that by the mid-19th century we 
could _see_ clear examples of geometries which did not "obey" the 
parallel postulate, e.g., triangles drawn largely enough on a sphere, 
great circles, figures drawn on saddle surfaces and trumpet surfaces, 
etc., meant that most people didn't think much about the modal aspects. 
But they are certainly there.

(I believe it's possible to cast differential geometry, including the 
parallel postulate or its negation, in topos terms. Anders Kock has done 
this with what he calls "synthetic differential geometry," but I haven't 
read his papers (circa 1970-80), so i don't know if he discusses the 
parallel postulate explicitly.)


Both category theory and topos theory have been used to prove some 
important theorems (e.g., the Weyl Conjecture about a certain form of 
the Riemann zeta function, and the Cohen "forcing" proof of the 
independence of the Continuum Hypothesis from the Zermelo-Frenkel 
logical system), but it is misleading to think that either will give 
"different results" from conventional mathematics. It is not as if 
Fermat's Last Theorem is true in conventional logic or in conventional 
set theory but false in intuitionist logic or category theory.

I'm going to have to slow down in my writing. You ask a lot of short 
questions, but these short questions need long answers. Or, perhaps, I 
feel the need to make a lot of explanations of terminology and 
motivations. I'll have to tune the length of my responses to the length 
of your questions, I think!

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May
g programs" notion very 
seriously. Interesting ideas to play with, and to use some tools on.

Strangely, then, I view these notions as places to apply the math I'm 
learning to. And I'm thinking small, in terms of simple systems. A paper 
I have mentioned a couple of times is directly in line with this 
approach: Fotini Markopoulou's "The internal description of a causal 
set: What the universe looks like from the inside."

Here's the paper number and abstract:

gr-qc/9811053
From: Fotini Markopoulou <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date (v1): Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:28:10 GMT   (41kb)
Date (revised v2): Thu, 18 Nov 1999 17:32:41 GMT   (42kb)

The internal description of a causal set: What the universe looks like 
from the inside

Authors: Fotini Markopoulou
Comments: Version to appear in Comm.Math.Phys. (minor modifications). 37 
pages, several eps figures
Journal-ref: Commun.Math.Phys. 211 (2000) 559-583

We describe an algebraic way to code the causal information of a 
discrete spacetime. The causal set C is transformed to a description in 
terms of the causal pasts of the events in C. This is done by an 
evolving set, a functor which to each event of C assigns its causal 
past. Evolving sets obey a Heyting algebra which is characterised by a 
non-standard notion of complement. Conclusions about the causal 
structure of the causal set can be drawn by calculating the complement 
of the evolving set. A causal quantum theory can be based on the quantum 
version of evolving sets, which we briefly discuss.
--end of excerpt--

Take a look at these papers (hers, the Guts paper, the various Baez, 
Smolin, Crane, etc. papers). All free. Some are introductions. All have 
a fair amount to say about the nature of reality. The stuff on causal 
sets (lattices and posets) is of direct relevance to several areas of 
modern physics. The relevance to MWI and Tegmark-style meta-branchings 
seems clear to me.

As far as the math of nonstandard logic goes, I think the most 
interesting application within our lifetimes will come with AI.


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May


On Monday, August 12, 2002, at 11:18  PM, Wei Dai wrote:

> Tim, I'm afraid I still don't understand you.
>
> On Mon, Aug 12, 2002 at 06:00:26PM -0700, Tim May wrote:
>> It is possible that WWIII will happen before the end of this year. In
>> one possible world, A, many things are one way...burned, melted,
>> destroyed, etc. In another possible world, B, things are dramatically
>> different.
>
> Ok, but what about my point that you can state this by explicit
> quantification over possible worlds rather than using modal operators?
> I.e., "There exist a world accessible from this one where WWIII happens
> before the end of this year." instead of "It is possible that WWIII will
> happen before the end of this year."?

That is indeed saying just the same thing (though the language is 
slightly different).

The important part of modal logic is not in the "accessible from this 
one" or "it is possible" language.

Rather, the "forking paths" (a la Borges) picture that is described by 
posets and lattices.

>
>> There can be no implication from one world to the other. That is, we
>> can't say "A implies B" or "B implies A."
>
> What does that have to do with my question? Anyway A and B are supposed 
> to
> be worlds here, not propositions, so of course you can't say "A implies
> B". I don't know what point you're trying to make here.

Worlds _are_ propositions. And the "causal operator" (time) is the same 
as implication.

With some important caveats that I can't easily explain without drawing 
a picture. In conventional logic, implication is fully-contained or 
defined from some event A (or perhaps some combination of events A, B, 
C, etc., all causally contributing to a later event).

There are two interesting cases to consider where implication does not 
follow so easily from A:

1. Possible worlds. The event A forks down two (or more) possible paths. 
A future where war occurs, a future where war does not. A future where 
Fermat's Last Theorem is proved to be true. A future where it is not. A 
future of heads, a future of tails.

2. Quantum mechanics. Schrodinger's cat.

(It was Einstein and Podolsky's belief that classical logic must apply 
that led to their belief that there _must_ be some other cause, some 
hidden variable, that makes the outcome follow classical logic. Bohm, 
too. But we know from Bell's Theorem and the Kochen-Specker "no-go" 
theorems that, basically, these hidden variables are not extant.)

(By the way, the book "Interpreting the Quantum World," by Jeffrey Bub, 
has an interesting section on how modal logic applies to QM.)

Bruno is much more of a logician than I am, but the various terms of 
logic, lattices, and set theory are analogous (probably a very efficient 
category theory metaview, but I don't yet know it).

1 is True
0 is False
lattice infimum or Boolean meet, ^ , is conjunction (AND)
lattice supremum or Boolean join, v , is disjunction (OR)
lattice or Boolean orthocomplement is negation (NOT)

(Understanding this is not essential to my arguments here...I just 
wanted to make the point that there are mappings between the languages 
of logic, set theory, and lattices. In a deep sense, they are all the 
same thing. Definitions do matter, of course, but e-mail is not a great 
place to lay out long lists of definitions!)


>
>> This branching future is exactly what I was talking about a week or so
>> ago in terms of "partially ordered sets." If the order relationship is
>> "occurs before or at the same time as," which is equivalent to "less
>> than or equal to," A and B cannot be linearly ordered. In fact, since
>> both A and B are completely different states, neither can be said to be
>> a predecessor or parent of the other. In fact, A and B are not
>> comparable.
>
> I'm with you so far in this paragraph.
>
>> We cannot say "A or not-A."
>
> Now I'm lost again. Again A is a world not a proposition so what 
> would "A
> or not-A" mean even if A and B are comparable?

The two forks in the road are given the same truth value weighting in 
this "possible worlds" approach.

We have _assumed_ A in this fork I described, so "not-A" is certainly 
not necessarily the other path. In fact, the meaningful interpretation 
of "not-A" in the complement sense is "that which precedes A," that is, 
the events leading up to A in this world.

I realize this sounds confusing. Draw a picture. Just have three points 
in it, arranged in a triangle:

A   B

   \   /

   X

Time is in the upward direction. The points/events/states X, A, B form a 
poset. One arrow 

Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, August 13, 2002, at 10:08  AM, Tim May wrote:
> This graph, this set of vertices and edges, is a "per-ordered" set. 
> More than just a set, any category with the property that between any 
> two objects "p" and "q" there is AT MOST one arrow "p --> q" is said to 
> be "pre-ordered."

I meant to type "pre-ordered" in the first line above.

I don't normally worry overmuch about minor typos, especially when I 
used the correct spelling right after the typo, but I wouldn't want 
anyone thinking there's some kind of "per-ordered" set!

--Tim May




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-13 Thread Tim May
 as) event C.

Example: (short version--you know the drill by now): If A contains B and 
B contains C, then A contains C.

Discussion: These are all simple points to make. Obvious even. But they 
tell us some important things about the ontological structure of many 
familiar things. I encourage anyone not familiar with these ideas to 
think about the points and think about how many things around us are 
pre-ordered.

If a pre-order has an additional property we call it a partial-order:

3. Anitsymmetric: Whenever pRq and qRp, then p = q.

Example: If p implies q and q implies p, then p and q are the same 
thing. (Equality, isomorphism, identity.)

Example: If p is LTE q and q is LTE p, then p = q.

Example: the time example is left as an exercise!

Example: ditto for set containment.

A set with a partial-order is called a "poset." These feature 
prominently in all sorts of areas. For our purposes, posets are 
essentially what _time_ is all about.

In addition, we can define things like "meets" and "joins" and the 
result is a _lattice_, studied extensively by Dedekind, Von Neumann, and 
Garrett Birkhoff. Lattices look exactly like lattices, or trellises. Two 
vertices have at most one link (arrow, R, etc.) between them, though 
many links may point to any particular vertex.

In this view, it doesn't really matter (at this level) whether the 
vertices are the outcomes of a coin toss or entire worlds.

This was the sense in which I was using "WWIII happens this year" or 
"WWIII doesn't happen this year" for my MWI-type example.

The essential point is that the natural logic of such posets is not 
necessarily Boolean. There are several names for this "not necessarily 
Boolean" aspect, depending on the interest of the researcher or writer:

* He may call it "non-Aristotelean logic," as even Aristotle was said to 
have realized that a statement like "The fleet at Carthage will either 
be sunk tomorrow or it won't be" is not always meaningful, and that 
attempting to force future or time-varying truth into the Stoic model of 
"A or not-A" is not the most useful thing to do.

* He may call it "Intuitionist" or "Constructivist," asking that 
mathematical proofs be _constructive_ in nature rather than using proof 
by contradiction. ("Assume the proposition not to be true, then we see 
that,...then, and this is a contradiction, therefore the proposition 
must be true.") This turns out to be fairly important when proofs use 
the so-called "Axiom of Choice." (Which is equivalent to many other 
axioms and theorems.) Some important results of the past 40 years have 
come about by challenging the  role of the Axiom of Choice. (BTW, as an 
aside which may be of interest to some list members, John Nash used the 
Axiom of Choice to prove that certain solutions to multi-party protocols 
must exist, but he did not give a constructive proof of what those 
solutions are.)

* He may call it a "Heyting algebra," as opposed to a Boolean algebra. 
I've discussed Heyting algebras and logic here in the past, and I refer 
readers to the Web for many articles of varying levels of assumed 
background.

* He may call it "possible worlds semantics," after the work by the 
logician Saul Kripke on the logic implicit in possible worlds.

* And most generally of all, at this time, he may call it topos theory.

Does it relate specifically to the speculations of Max Tegmark, Greg 
Egan, and others on "all mathematics" and "all topologies" models?

I can't say for sure, but it's the direction *I* am taking. As I said, I 
think small. I can't "reason about" entire worlds and draw meaningful 
conclusions. I _think_ this kind of thinking about posets, lattices, and 
toposes is the right way to think about systems with varying choices, 
even varying mathematics (*).

* Because toposes are essentially mathematical universes in which 
various bits and pieces of mathematics can be assumed. A topos in which 
Euclid's Fifth Postulate is true, and many in which it is not. A topos 
where all functions are differentiable. A topos in which the Axiom of 
Choice is assumed--and ones where it is not assumed. In other words, as 
all of the major thinkers have realized over the past 30 years, topos 
theory is the natural theory of possible worlds.

So, I think small. I think about flips of coins, about simple lattices 
and simple posets.

These are not the Universe, let alone the Multiverse, but it seems clear 
to me we cannot reason about the entire Universe or Multiverse unless we 
can reason about very simple sub-parts of it.

In any case, it's my particular interest at this time.

I hope this helps clarify things a bit.

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: modal logic and possible worlds

2002-08-12 Thread Tim May


On Monday, August 12, 2002, at 12:07  PM, Wei Dai wrote:

> According to possible world semantics, "it's necessary that P" means 
> that
> P is true in all worlds accessible from this one. Different modal logics
> correspond to different restrictions on the accessibility relation. 
> Before
> the invention of possible world semantics, people argued about which 
> modal
> logic is the correct one, but now philosophers realize that different
> notions of accessibility (and the corresponding notions of modality) are
> useful at different times, so there is no single correct modal logic.
>
> That's my one paragraph summary of possible world semantics. Please
> correct me if I'm wrong, or read these articles if you're not familiar
> with this topic:
>
> http://www.xrefer.com/entry.jsp?xrefid=552831
> http://www.xrefer.com/entry.jsp?xrefid=553229
>
> My questions is, why not just quantify over the possible worlds and 
> refer
> to the accessibility relation directly? This way you can talk about
> multiple accessibility relations simultaneously, and you don't have to
> introduce new logical symbols (i.e. the box and the diamond). Is
> modality just a syntactic shorthand now?

Modal logic is a lot more than syntactic shorthand.

Consider this example, phrased in MWI terms.

It is possible that WWIII will happen before the end of this year. In 
one possible world, A, many things are one way...burned, melted, 
destroyed, etc. In another possible world, B, things are dramatically 
different.

There can be no implication from one world to the other. That is, we 
can't say "A implies B" or "B implies A."

This branching future is exactly what I was talking about a week or so 
ago in terms of "partially ordered sets." If the order relationship is 
"occurs before or at the same time as," which is equivalent to "less 
than or equal to," A and B cannot be linearly ordered. In fact, since 
both A and B are completely different states, neither can be said to be 
a predecessor or parent of the other. In fact, A and B are not 
comparable. We cannot say "A or not-A."

We have thus left the world of classical logic and are in the world of 
non-classical, or intuitionistic, or Heyting logic.

Posets are not just a different syntactic shorthand from 
linearly-ordered sets.

Branching worlds, aka possible worlds, aka MWI (when QM is involved) is 
a more accurate way of talking about time and successions of events than 
is attempting to force time into a strait-jacket of linearly-ordered 
sets (chains).

Besides the topos work of Saul Kripke, Vaughan Pratt at Stanford has 
written a lot on concurrency, lattices, and posets.

Lee Smolin's book "Three Roads to Quantum Gravity" is very good at 
explaining how this relates to cosmology.

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Time, causality, posets

2002-08-04 Thread Tim May

Everything folks,

Here's a posting I made last night to another list, a list of folks who 
meet to discuss math. I had been telling them about nonstandard logic, 
notably Intuitionist or Brouwer/Heyting logic, and the natural logic of 
toposes. This post below expands on a few points we had been talking 
about at our session in Palo Alto a few days ago.

(By the way, if anyone is local to the Bay Area and wants to try one of 
the evening gatherings, let me know. We just started meeting and it's 
too soon to know how it'll go in the future. The basic idea is to have 
an informal group similar to the "Assembler Multitudes" nanotechnology 
discussion group that Ted Kaehler ran in the early 90s. I enjoyed that 
group immensely and was disappointed to see it fade out. With all of the 
new excitment in math, and with links to the cosmology and Everything 
universes, it seems to be a good time to try something again. We had six 
people at our gathering a few days ago.)

The background for this article is not given here, so I'll make a very 
few points now:

* conventional logic (Aristotelian, Boolean) uses "law of the excluded 
middle": A or Not-A, something is or is not, the complement of an open 
set is a closed set. The complement of a complement of a set is the set.

* alternative or nonstandard logics exist, and turn out to be quite 
natural...when looked at properly.

* one of these is the logic pursued by Brouwer early in the 20th 
century: Intuitionism (which is not mysticism, by the way). Brouwer 
argued that only constructible entities have meaning, that abstractions 
about infinite sets or things like the axiom of choice are misleading. 
His student Heyting formalized the axioms of Intuitionist logic. 
Marshall Stone proved in the 1930s that the set of operations on open 
subsets of a set (think of blobs drawn on a page, or time intervals, 
etc.) forms a Heyting algebra, that is, that the natural logic for these 
open sets is not Boolean logic, but Heyting logic.

* lattices are sets of node and links between the nodes which satisfy 
certain properties, such as that any two nodes have a "meet" and "join." 
Events in time are a good example of a lattice.

* partially ordered sets (posets) are those with some relationship (such 
as "less than or equal to" or "preceeds or happens at the same time" or 
"is contained in or equals") such that certain properties of comparison 
exist. Posetss are less ordered than the integers, for example, which 
are fully-ordered. An example is containment and inclusion of open sets 
(or intervals on the line).

(The Web has a lot of good definitions, complete with diagrams and 
drawings, of these ideas. For example, MathWorld has this article on 
posets: http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PartiallyOrderedSet.html.)

* To relate this to the Everything list, sort of, imagine the lattice of 
events in "our" universe. It forms a poset, basically. What about 
possible "branch points" where other universes form (as in MWI)? What 
about the overall notion of "possible worlds"? (Branching, fictional, AI 
planning, plurality of worlds a la David Lewis, etc.).

* Fotini Markopoulou has been looking at causal sets and the nature of 
time. Her articles are available at the xxx.lanl.gov arXive site.

Here's the article:


From: Tim May <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Sat Aug 03, 2002  10:57:18  PM US/Pacific
To: x
Subject: Time, causality, posets, Heyting


Second, while watching a fairly silly movie called "Signs" today, I was 
thinking about the issue of "when is a negation of a negation of 
something not the same as that something. That is, "not not A !=! A" or 
"not not A NEQ A" or A' ' NEQ A. (Lots of symbologies exist, and our 
keyboards and screens can't easily handle the most common ones.)

An example Mac Lane gives in "Form and Function" is this:

Consider the real number line. Consider the topology of open sets (or 
intervals). Suppose that we define an open set (or interval) U which is 
the open set of all of the positive reals _EXCEPT_ the number 1. Then 
"Not U" or "Complement of U" would be the set of all negative reals. (1 
would not be in this complement because any actual number is of course a 
_closed_ set (endpoints and all that stuff from the definition of open 
and closed intervals. (Drawing a picture on a blackboard would help!)

So far, no surprises.

However, the negation or complement of his open subset (the negative 
reals) is the open subset of all of the positive reals. So Not Not U is 
bigger than U.

This phenomenon of Not Not something being larger than something is 
common in Heyting algebras.

Think about time. Think of a "lattice" of events combining in various 
causal ways to product events, which then combine with other events, a

Plurality of Worlds

2002-07-16 Thread Tim May

I'm reading David Lewis' book, "Plurality of Worlds," 1986.

Lewis argues that not only are all possible worlds possible, but that 
they actually exist. He does not claim they exist in any form we can 
visit, or communicate with, but that the most economical philosophical 
position to take is that they do in fact actually exist.

Lewis is no dummy. (Actually, Lewis _was_ no dummy: he died last year. 
My very usage above and here of the present tense, as in  "Lewis argues 
that," is a kind of illustration of the weaker form of the plurality of 
worlds thesis. Namely, it is natural to take a subjunctive ("had it been 
the case") or possible world and treat it as a real world. For example, 
arguing in the present tense by treating even a dead author as if he 
were amongst us: "Aristotle tells us..."

This is recommended reading for Everything subscribers. Lewis has _some_ 
familiarity with the MWI, and cites Niven's 1968 story, "All the Myriad 
Ways." But Lewis is not depending on a physics interpretation for his 
thesis, although the physical (MWI or Tegmark/Schmidhuber/etc.) theories 
of mulitiple realities would fit in as a subset of Lewis' plurality of 
worlds.

The strong form of the thesis, that all possible (no violations of 
logic) worlds have actual existence is dubbed "modal realism." A weaker, 
more common-sensical form is called "ersatz modal realism." This is form 
in which we can temporarily instantiate possible worlds, as, for 
example, "In a world where Microsoft had never existed, the software 
industry probably would have"

I'm deliberately not choosing whether to believe the strong form, though 
it seems natural that everyone would believe the weak form. What's more 
useful at this point is to learn the methods of reasoning these analytic 
philosophers use, at least in this one world of counterfactuals and 
possible worlds. (As you may recall, I am very interested in the links 
between possible worlds and toposes, notably that the natural logic of a 
possible worlds model is Heyting logic. A colleague/fellow writer of 
Lewis's is Saul Kripke, who did interesting work in the 1960s showing 
the connections between Intuitionism and possible worlds semantics.)

The weaker form of modal reality is used by nearly every person to 
describe the possible worlds of the future: "Tomorrow it may rain." "I 
can see a world in which peace exists." And so on for millions of 
examples. We also use possible worlds semantics when discussing 
alternative theories of how things happened: "Maybe the way it worked 
was like this..." and "Had the Second World War not happened, the atom 
bomb wouldn't have been developed."

Alas, David Lewis uses some math in his books, especially in an earlier 
one I also have called "Counterfactuals," but the math is somewhat 
lacking in its generality. (Reading "Counterfactuals," 1973, all I could 
think was "This man is reinventing parts of point set topology! Give him 
a copy of Kelley's "General Topology" and let him use the accepted 
jargon for his inventions.")

It seems to to me that there are several communities (worlds) of writers 
and researchers in this general area of "multiple realities" and they 
have only tangential and fleeting communcation with each other:

* the "traditional" world of MWI, Everettistas, consistent histories, De 
Witt, Hartle, etc., with newcomers like Tegmark and Schmidhuber (adding 
models of computation)

* the philosophical world of Kripke, Lewis, Montague, and others, with a 
focus on possible worlds semantics, reasoning in different worlds, 
ontology, etc. This world somewhat intersects the above world through 
the medium of fiction. Novels are examples of possible worlds, and "What 
if" novels are a staple of science fiction. Larry Niven, Phil Dick, Rudy 
Rucker, Greg Egan, and many others have even written thoughtfully about 
what MWI means. Their novels discuss possible worlds and are in fact 
themselves possible worlds.

* the world of topos theory and study of synthetic realities derived 
from propositions, with the work of Lawvere, Johnstone, Kock, and 
others. This world intersects the possible worlds semantics world 
through the work of Kripke, as I said. It also is beginning to intersect 
the MWI world through the work of Chris Isham -- cf. that streaming 
video presentation I mentioned, at the URL:
http://www.newton.cam.ac.uk/webseminars/hartle60/1-isham/

Now it is my current interest to unify these three worlds, at least in 
my own mind.

I do recommend taking a look at David Lewis's work. It's a bit off the 
beaten track for most MWI thinkers, but it clearly deals with the same 
general ideas. And it offers new language and new tools.

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: Causality

2002-07-13 Thread Tim May
nd, which is what they 
are.  Most "interesting things" involve temperature differences, energy 
inputs, life surrounded by nonlife, and such.

I don't claim to know the nature of time, or what produces the "arrow of 
time." It's not a resolved question.

Several of the "physics of information" conference papers, especially 
ones by W. Zurek and Charles Bennett, are useful.


(But, before I tackle the issue at a deeper level, I'm trying to learn 
the language of what I think temporal evolution is: time's arrow being 
one of the arrows of category theory, hence my interest, or one 
additional reason for it.)


> We can look at a
> microscopic part of such a system and see fluctuations which appear to
> be describable in causal terms.  For example, a temporary void forms
> randomly, causing matter at the edges to move towards the center.
> Or in reverse we say that matter moved away from the center, causing a
> void to form.  Both are equally valid ways of describing the situation,
> indicating that there is no true causality.

Physicists would say that a lot of these explanations of random 
phenomena in terms of "voids causing matter to move..." are just abuses 
of language. Comparable to financial market babblers saying things like 
"And then at 2 pm the market sensed an oversold situation and shifted 
its buying to tech stocks, causing a late rally in the NASDAQ." 
Nonsense, mostly.

(Rest of Hal's post, no time to think about and respond to tonight.)

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Causality

2002-07-12 Thread Tim May


On Friday, July 12, 2002, at 09:47  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
> OK I will try to read Joyce's book asap. In general I am quite skeptic
> about the use of the notion of "causality". I have also no understanding
> of your posts in which you argue about a relationship between the search
> of a TOE and decision theory.

More so than in a lot of areas, we here on this list are sometimes like 
orthogonal vectors in some Hilbert space...not having read the same 
books, not having a good understanding of the language of others, etc.

I'm not exactly sure what you mean specifically by "causality," but in 
my worldview it has central importance:

-- causes precede effects

-- the structure of spacetime is more causal than it is geometrical 
(Smolin's point that most of what we mean when we talk about the 
geometry of spacetime is about the causal structure of spacetime, 
especially the orientations of light cones)

I haven't read Joyce's book either, but I have read (some of) Pearl's 
book, "Causality,"

On the issues of mind-body, first person vs. third person, etc., I have 
no particular views. I've never thought there was any fundamental 
dichotomy between mind and body: our brains and sense organs are part of 
the package.

But I have no particular philosophical or cognitive special competence 
in this area, so I won't participate in the debate. Maybe later I will 
turn my attention to it.

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Pointers to places in vast spaces

2002-07-10 Thread Tim May


On Wednesday, July 10, 2002, at 07:24  AM, Stephen Paul King wrote:
>

> I can't seem to get the idea out of my head that information can not
> just refer to information itself but merely can encode the "address" of
> where and when it can be found - this is how I think Goedelization 
> works.

This is quite correct in many important respects.

Here's an example.

Consider the space of all strings (DNA, RNA) which make up living 
things, from bacteria to reptiles to humans, and perhaps to other 
organisms, past, present, and future. Even assume that this space 
contains strings for beings which are "possible" (would be living if 
they were instantiated, made, grown) but which have never existed in the 
past and don't exist at present.

I usually draw this on a blackboard or sheet of paper as a 
two-dimensional plot, with the x- and y-axes not explicitly labeled. If 
it helps, consider the x-axis to be something like body size in cc, the 
y-axis to be something like total number of neurons, and so on. Clearly 
these axes are just extreme simplifications.

But what one can reasonably see is that in this space there are places 
where the single-celled organisms live, "islands" for the reptiles and 
birds, islands for the mammals, and some region where homo sapiens is 
found.

Now humans have something like 4 billion base pairs in the genome. I 
don't recall what the conversion is from ATCG sorts of base pairs to 
bytes, but it's within a small factor, so something like 4 GB or 32 
Gbits represents the human genome. Fits on a handful of CD-ROMs, 
uncompressed.

But this is not the full story. This 32 Gbit sequence is effectively a 
_pointer_ into a space of 2^ (32 Gbits) points, the space of all strings 
of the same length as the human genome. (And the space of all living 
things is even larger, as it includes all strings of our length, plus 
all orderings of shorter strings. If we include beings with even longer 
strings, it gets much bigger, of course.)

Where living things in this space can be found depends on many other 
things, including the environment around the living thing (e.g., a 
lizard in a desert which only eats wheat or rice cannot live, and did 
not ever evolve).

In Bennett-type terms, the strings of living things have great logical 
depth. They evolved, changed, got more "complex" (in the logical depth 
sense) as the phenotypes competed, lived, reproduced, etc.

In a sense, the genome is a _pointer_ to a particular address in that 
vast space of all possible living things. (Just as the library call 
number of "War and Peace" is much shorter than the actual text of "War 
and Peace.")

(Completely aside: We even have some ideas about the topology and 
geometry of "life space": we know something about what "nearness" means, 
through single-point mutations and their effects of organism viability, 
and we are learning what rearrangements and insertions of string 
sequences may mean.)

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: Some books on category and topos theory

2002-07-09 Thread Tim May


On Tuesday, July 9, 2002, at 11:08  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>
> Me too. Now, I feel almost like you about ... knot theory.
> And this fit well with your cat-enthusiasm, for knot theory is
> a reservoir of beautiful and TOE-relevant categories
> (the monoidal one). I've just
> ordered Yetter's book: functorial(*) knot theory. It is the number 24
> of Kauffman series on Knots and Everything (sic) at World
> Scient. Publ Co.  A series  which could be a royal series for this 
> list ...
> May I recommand the n° 1, by Louis Kauffman himself: knots and physics?
> A must for the (quantum) toes, and (I speculate now) the comp toe too!

I've looked at some of the knot series books, but have put them off for 
now.

A good book to prepare for these books is Colin Adams, "The Knot Book: 
An Elementary Introduction to the Mathematical Theory of Knots," 1994.

Whether knots are the key to physics, I can't say. Certainly there are 
suggestive notions that particles might be some kind of knots in 
spacetime (of some dimensionality)...a lot of people have played with 
knots, loops, kinks, and braids for the past century.

One thing that Tegmark got right, I think, is the notion that a lot of 
branches of mathematics and a lot of mathematical structures probably go 
into making up the nature of reality.

This is at first glance dramatically apposite the ideas of Fredkin, 
Toffoli, Wheeler1970, and Wolfram on the generation of reality from 
simple, local rules. Wolfram has made a claim in interviews, and perhaps 
somewhere in his new book, that he thinks the Universe may be generated 
by a 6-line Mathematica program!

However, while I am deeply skeptical that a 6-line Mathematica program 
underlies all of reality, enormous complexity, including conceptual 
complexity, can emerge from very simple rules. A very simple example of 
this is the game of Go. From extremely simple rules played with two 
types of stones on a 19 x 19 grid we get "emergent concepts" which exist 
in a very real sense. For example, a cluster of stones may have 
"strength" or "influence." Groups of stones develop properties which 
individual stones don't have. Abstraction hierarchies abound. The 
Japanese have hundreds of names for these emergent, higher-order 
structures and concepts. All out of what is essentially a cellular 
automata.

So even if our universe is a program running as a screen saver on some 
weird alien's PC, all sorts of complexity can emerge.

Getting down to earth, most of this complexity is best seen as 
mathematics, I think.

I expect to take a closer look at knots after I get more math under my 
belt.


> Now I know the z logics really should have "tensorial semantics",
> sort of many related (glued) von neumann type of logics (which are
> themselves atlases of boolean logics).
> But where (in Zs logic) those damned tensorial categories come from???
> Knots gives hints!!! This would explain the geometrical appearance
> of realities.
>
> Bruno
>
> (*) For the other: "functorial" really means categorial. Functors are
> the morphisms between categories. The first chapter of Yetter's book
> is an intro to category theory, the second one, on Knot theory, ...

Exciting stuff.


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Fwd: Which universe are we in?

2002-07-09 Thread Tim May

Apologies.

I accidentally sent this last night to another mailing list. Here it is.

--Tim

Begin forwarded message:
>
> On Monday, July 8, 2002, at 07:43  PM, Stephen Paul King wrote:
>
>> Dear Tim,
>>
>> Are you tacitly assuming some kind of communication between 
>> observers
>> when you make the claim of a "convergence"? Adsent said communications,
>> could we show that the convergence would still obtain? Have you ever 
>> seen
>> any discussion of the notion of cyclic or periodic gossiping in Comp 
>> Sci?
>>
>>
>
> No, I was arguing that while the future may be multi-worlded, 
> everything we know about science (evidence, archaeology, 
> measurements, ...) points to a _single_ past.
>
> For example, a single past world line for me, for you, for Hal, for 
> Chaucer, for Einstein.
>
> Now we may not know what this world line is very accurately, but as we 
> look at more closely, e.g., by examining the photographs someone may 
> have taken, or their diaries, or whatever, the more we home in on what 
> that world line was. We never look closely and see two or three or N 
> different histories, we just see a higher fidelity view of what we must 
> assume is the One True Past.
>
> I don't doubt that Hal gets the sense that many potential Hals could 
> have resulted in the current Hal...an interesting notion. But 
> everything does in fact point to a One True Past which various 
> measurements get closer and closer to, and which no measurements 
> contradict.
>
> This is what I meant by "convergence." Homing in, getting closer, 
> sharpening the image, filling in the details.
>
> As for "tacitly assuming some kind of communication between observers," 
> I am _explicitly_ saying that observers get together and compare 
> notes...and they find no contradictions, if they are honest observers.
>
> Hal may have meant something different, perhaps.
>
>
> --Tim May
>
> --Tim May
> (.sig for Everything list background)
> Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
> Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum 
> reality, cosmology.
> Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks
>
>




Re: Some books on category and topos theory

2002-07-09 Thread Tim May
s excited about a new area in more than a decade. I expect I'll 
be doing something in this area for at least the _next_ decade.

My apologies if this explanation of enthusiasm is too personal for you 
the reader, but I think enthusiasm is a good thing.


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: Which universe are we in?

2002-07-08 Thread Tim May


On Monday, July 8, 2002, at 03:40  PM, Hal Finney wrote:
> Future uncertainty is familiar to us, but one of the things that the
> many universe model introduces is past uncertainty.  There is a sense
> in which the past is not unique and determined.  My mental state is
> consistent with many macroscopically distinct pasts.

I'm not convinced that this is so. Sure, there are many views of past 
events, of history, faulty memories, changing memories, etc.

However, the "single past" model is quite well-supported by science and 
a kind of "convergence" of knowledge:

-- we may not have complete knowledge of the past, but experience points 
to the fact that the more different observers learn about the past, the 
more they will (if they are honest) agree on what that past was.

-- archaeology is a good example: more and more bits and pieces add 
together to "converge" to a unitary past, not to multiple, diverse pasts

-- this is analogous with measurements in QM: honest observers will 
report the same measurement

> My brain and my mind hold only a certain amount of information.
> Vastly more information than that has existed in my past light cone, the
> history of the universe which has led up to me.  My brain is therefore
> very probably consistent with a great many past histories, each of which
> will lead to a brain, a mind and a mental state which is 
> indistinguishable
> from that which I am now experiencing.  From my first-person 
> perspective,
> the past is indeterminate in much the same way as the future is, 
> although
> to a lesser degree.

I agree that many possible causal pasts lead up to what you are. The 
placement of grains of sand on a beach in Greece is not going to 
significant affect who you are right now, so this is just one of a vast 
multitude of possible causal pasts which will not affect your currrent 
mental state.

But this does not mean these possible pasts have equal "actuality." For 
example, two different observers may have carefully photographed the 
patch of beach where the possible variations occurred. The more accurate 
their observations or photographs are, the more closely they will agree 
on what that past was (again, assuming honest observers).

Nothing in science points to the "many actual pasts" possibility, even 
though I acknowlege your point that "many _possible_ pasts" would lead 
to a indistinguishable equal mental state for you or me.

In other words, science points to a single actual past. There is, so 
far, no evidence for multiple actual paths.

(And in the consistent histories picture, we should not be surprised. We 
find ourselves in whichever universe we are in, and we will see one 
actual trajectory through space-time.)

>
--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Which universe are we in?

2002-07-08 Thread Tim May

I want to give a solid example of a time-varying set and how it relates 
to possible worlds (and even to MWI).

Consider that cat being chased by the dog.

Is the cat in the world in which he will escape the dog or is in the 
world in which the dog catches him?

One answer is "That lies in the future. We don't know yet."

Another is: "All knowledge is Bayesian. Based on his running in the 
past, I'll lay odds of 5 to 2 that he'll escape the dog."

A MWI-flavored version is: "There are many worlds in which he escapes, 
many where he doesn't. We'll only see one of the possible worlds."

And then there's the strictly Boolean, determinist point of view:

"The cat is in one of the two possible worlds you describe. A 
sufficiently powerful being or computer able to calculate all of the 
factors, including the wind speeds, the slipperiness of the stairs, and 
so on, knows which world we are in."

I think the last point is actually the most naive of all of the views, 
as it simply "punts" the question and asserts that some omiscient, 
omnicomputing entity knows the future...or, regardless of any such 
being, that the future is determined. (This gets into free will issues, 
obviously.)

In the other approaches, the Boolean "cat is in one world or in other 
world" is replaced by a time-varying set:

-- "We don't yet know which world the cat is in, or which world we are 
in along with the cat, but in a few minutes we'll know for sure." (And 
everyone will agree on this...there will be no disagreement amongst 
honest observers as to whether got away or got caught by the dog.)

I give this example to show that we don't need quantum weirdness to show 
how useful/important time-varying sets are, and how the logic of reality 
can be "non-Boolean becoming Boolean," how the time morphism (passage of 
time) results in assignment of an event to one of N possible worlds.

In other words, the naturalness of Heyting logic instead of Boolean 
logic. In other words, topos logic.

(Aside: I don't claim that more and more powerful computes and analysis 
tools don't help us to either determine which universe we are in--by 
making predictions of stock movements, or weather, or wars, or the 
escape of that cat--or even by helping us to make our own changes which 
change the future. My ideas are not firm on this, but I think 
computational and cognitive power relates to how far forward in time 
this "knowability" extends. In the case of a billiard table, knowability 
may extend a few seconds into the future, for accuracy within some 
range. In the case of planetary motions, many millennia, for some 
accuracy. In the case of the cat? My point about the "omniscient" 
model being a "punt" is that it simply defines omniscience as being 
enough to have complete knowledge. There is no evidence that such 
omniscience is possible, not even with all the computer power in the 
universe.)


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Fwd: being inside a universe

2002-07-08 Thread Tim May

I got a bounce ("   - The following addresses had permanent fatal 
errors -
"|flist everything-list"
 (expanded from: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>)

so I'm trying to send this a second time:


Begin forwarded message:

> From: Tim May <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Date: Mon Jul 08, 2002  12:17:27  PM US/Pacific
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: Re: being inside a universe
>
>
> On Monday, July 8, 2002, at 10:39  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>> Mmh... Most people here have a good understanding of the "many"-idea, 
>> by which
>> I mean have realised that the idea of a unique universe is far more 
>> speculative
>> that O universe or many universe. I will not insist.
>> Perhaps you could read the very interesting paper by Louis Crane, 
>> which is quite
>> convincing on the importance of category theory in frames of quantum 
>> gravity+
>> observers, and which use cleverly Everett relative states. He even 
>> concludes that
>> his proposal can be seen as an attempt to fuse the many worlds with 
>> general
>> relativity. It is a paper by Crane entitled "categorical physics". He 
>> gives
>> the TEX source somewhere on the net. (If you don't find it I can 
>> eventually
>> send you a photocopy).
>
> Thanks, but I can no doubt find it at UC Santa Cruz. I have most of his 
> later papers already printed out, from the xxx.lanl.gov archive site, 
> and his papers will refer to his earlier papers that may not be on the 
> arXive site.
>
> Crane is one of the Sultans of Spin, as Egan dubs them, along with 
> Rovelli, Sen, Ashtekar, Smolin, Baez, Markopoulou, Susskind, etc.
>
> I have to admit that I'm more prosaic in my approach...the quantum 
> gravity and MWI stuff is interesting to think about, to speculate 
> about, but my focus is a bit closer. And I'm still learning this new 
> language (category, topos theory).
>
>
>> One day I will talk you about the work of Yetter on
>> models for non commutative linear logic. Yetter is at a relevent 
>> crossroad of
>> logic and physics imo. (Then I guess you heard about Crane, Kauffman 
>> Yetter
>> papers?)
>
> I have the Crane-Yetter paper " On the Classical Limit of the Balanced 
> State Sum," but I haven't read it yet. From glancing at it, it didn't 
> seem to be cosmic. I'll look at it more closely.
>
> Is it related to the noncommutative geometry work of A. Connes?
>
>
>> About linguistic use of Kripke, most of them, imo, use technical 
>> approach
>> of language to explain problems ... away. Beware sophisticated tricks 
>> for
>> putting interesting (but hard) problems under the rug.
>
> My main interest in Kripke is his discussion of "possible worlds," 
> which is a kind of superset of the MWI/Tegmark view. (Supersets can be 
> nebulous, and I am not claiming the MWI/Tegmark stuff is some trivial 
> subset of a larger theory.)
>
> We constantly make plans and think about futures in terms of these 
> possible worlds. David Lewis gives an example in one of his many papers 
> on possible worlds (plurality of worlds). A cat being chased by a dog, 
> for example. The cat imagines one possible world in which he has gotten 
> safely away, another possible world in which the dog's jaws have gotten 
> him. It seems likely that reasoning about possible worlds is much more 
> innate than, say, reasoning using formal syllogistic logic!
>
> I believe, in fact, that the conventional semantic networks of AI, 
> exemplified by some large knowledge engineering efforts like Doug 
> Lenat's CYC project, may need to be scrapped in favor of networks 
> embodying the morphisms, functors, and functors of functors of category 
> theory. This is not _directly_ linked to MWI and Tegmark, of course, 
> but it has some partial links.
>
>>
>>> Personally, I'm not (yet) "taking seriously" either the David Lewis 
>>> "plurality of worlds" or Max Tegmark "everything" or Greg Egan "all 
>>> topologies model" ideas. At least not yet. I need to learn a lot more 
>>> of the language first.
>>
>> I am more problem driven, and even "mind-body" problem driven. I gave 
>> an
>> argument in this list (argument on which my phd thesis is based) that 
>> IF we are machine then physics is utimately reducible to machine's 
>> psychology. The laws
>> of physics emerge from some collection of sharable "dreams" by 
>> machines, where
>> a dream is basically a computation seen from first person point of 
>> view.
>

The relevance of category and topos theory

2002-07-07 Thread Tim May
ies.)


> Does it help understand or formalize the notion of "all possible
> universes"? I know in logic there is the concept of a categorical theory
> meaning all models of the theory are isomorphic. Does that have anything
> to do with category theory?

Yes, there are deep and important connections. Models form a category. 
The book I mentioned by Paul Taylor, "Practical Foundations of 
Mathematics," is very good on these issues.

In my view, category theory (and topos theory) represents the "modern" 
way of looking at a lot of seemingly unrelated areas.

As we know, as Hal Finney and several of us used to discuss about ten 
years ago on the Extropians list, Chaitin's formulation of algorithmic 
information theory gives us a much more understandable and 
comprehensible proof of Godel's Theorem than Godel himself gave! (For 
the best explanation of this, and why this is so, either see Greg 
Chaitin's own papers and books or the wonderful summaries by Rudy Rucker 
in his "Mind Tools" book.

These modern viewpoints are much more comprehensible than the classics. 
Which is not surprising. Shoulders of giants and all that.

The same is true of category theory. It's a relentlessly modern approach 
to seeing the similarities that pervade mathematics and physics. Whether 
it answers the question about whether lots of other universes exist is 
doubtful...I'm not convinced we'll know the answer to that question in 
the year 3000.

But it's a powerful and elegant approach, with perhaps a slightly 
misleading name, and it looks to me to be the right language for talking 
about the world around us and possibly the worlds we cannot directly see.

I agree with Lee Smolin that topos logic is not just the logic of 
cosmology, but also the logic of our everyday world of limited 
information, bounded rationality, Bayesian decision making, and 
information horizons. Even if this is not useful for answering questions 
about "the Everything theory," because we may need to wait 600 or 6000 
years for experimental tests to become feasible, I believe this outlook 
will be of great utility in many areas.

I'll keep you all posted!

--Tim May




Re: Some books on category and topos theory

2002-07-05 Thread Tim May


On Friday, July 5, 2002, at 01:16  PM, Tim May wrote:
> The category and topos theory books I actually _own_ (bought through 
> Amazon) are:
>
>

Oops! I left out one of the most important and accessible of the books I 
have and recommend:

* McLarty, Colin, "Elementary Categories, Elementary Toposes," 1992. An 
intermediate-level, moderate-length book. Covers a lot of interesting 
material.

Here's what Baez says:

"3) John Baez, Topos theory in a nutshell, 
http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/topos.html

and then try the books I recommended in "week68", along with this one:

4) Colin McLarty, Elementary Categories, Elementary Toposes, Oxford 
University Press, Oxford, 1992.

which I only learned about later, when McLarty sent me a copy. I wish 
I'd known about it much sooner: it's very nice! It starts with a great 
tour of category theory, and then it covers a lot of topos theory, 
ending with a bit on various special topics like the "effective topos", 
which is a kind of mathematical universe where only effectively 
describable things exist - roughly speaking. "

(end of Baez comments)

By the way, the Web is a great resource for finding online books. Barr 
and Wells, who Bruno referred to, have put an updated version of their 
book "Toposes, Triples and Theories" online in PDF form. Search for it 
in the usual way.


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Some books on category and topos theory

2002-07-05 Thread Tim May


On Friday, July 5, 2002, at 10:54  AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
> But, perhaps more importantly at this stage I must recall the book
> "Mathematics of Modality" by Robert Goldblatt. It contains fundamental
> papers on which my "quantum" derivation relies. I mentionned it a lot
> some time ago.
> And now that I speak about Goldblatt, because of Tim May who dares
> to refer to algebra, category and topos! I want mention that Goldblatt
> did wrote an excellent introduction to Toposes: "Topoi". (One of the big
> problem in topos theory is which plural chose for the word "topos". 
> There
> are two schools: topoi (like Goldblatt), and toposes (like Bar and
> Wells). :)
>
> Goldblatt book on topoi has been heavily attacked by "pure categorically
> minded algebraist like Johnstone for exemple, because there is a remnant
> smell of set theory in topoi. That is true, but that really help for an
> introduction. So, if you want to be introduced to the topos theory,
> Goldblatt Topoi, North Holland editor 19?(I will look at home) is
> perhaps the one.

Yes, this is an excellent book. It has more of an expositional style 
than many books on category and topos theory.  It's out of print and 
Amazon has been looking for months for a used copy for me. (Amazon can 
search for books which become available. I also have them searching for 
a copy of Mac Lane and Moerdijk's book on sheaves, logic, and toposes, 
also out of print.)

Fortunately, I live near UC Santa Cruz, which has an excellent science 
library.

The category and topos theory books I actually _own_ (bought through 
Amazon) are:

* Cameron, Peter, "Sets, Logic and Categories, 1998. An undergraduate 
level primer on these topics. One chapter on categories. (By the way, 
most modern algebra books, e.g., Lang's "Algebra," Fraleigh, Dummitt and 
Foote, etc. have introductory chapters on category theory, as this is 
the "language" of modern abstract algebra.)

* Lawvere, F. William, Schanuel, Stephen H., "Conceptual Mathematics: A 
first introduction to categories," 1997. This is a fantastic 
introduction to categorical thinking. The authors are pioneers in topos 
theory, but the presentation is suitable for any bright person. There is 
not much on applications, and certainly no mention of quantum mechanics 
a la Isham, Markopoulou, etc. But the conceptual ideas are profound. 
(And this should be read before tackling the "formalistic" presentations 
in other books.)

* Pierce, Benjamin, "Basic Category Theory for Computer Scientists," 
1991. A thin (80 pages) book which outlines the basics. Includes 
material on compilers, the "Effective" topos of Hyland and others, 
cartesian closed categories, etc.

* Mac Lane, Saunders, "Categories for the Working Mathematician, Second 
Edition," 1971, 1998. Wow. A dense book by the co-founder of category 
theory. As someone said, reading along at 10% comprehension is better 
than reading other books at full comprehension. I find the book sort of 
dry, on historical and conceptual motivations, but Mac Lane has written 
many longer expositions in MAA collections of reminiscences...I just 
wish mathematicians would do more of what John Baez in his papers: show 
the reader the motivations.

(Much of mathematical writing came out of the tradition of "lecture 
notes." In fact, the leading publisher of mathematics, Springer-Verlag, 
calls their series "Lecture Notes," or, more recently, "Graduate Texts." 
Brilliant mathematicians like Emil Artin and Emmy Noether would have 
their lectures on algebra transcribed by grad students or post-docs, 
like Van der Waerden, who would then republish the notes as "Moderne 
Algebra," the first of the "groups-rings-fields" modern algebra books. 
Which is why one of E. Artin's students, Lang, writes so many dry books! 
These books are often very short on pictures or diagrams, very short on 
segues and motivations. It's as if all of what a good teacher would do 
in class, with drawings on blackboards, with historical asides, with 
mentions of how material ties in with material already covered, with 
mention of open research problems and unexplored territory...it's as if 
all this material is just left out of these texts. Too bad.)

* Lambek, J., Scott, P.J., "Introduction to higher order categorical 
logic," 1986. Way too advanced for me at this point. So no comments on 
content. But it's useful to glance at topics so as to get some idea of 
where things are going (part of the issue of motivation I raised above).

* Taylor, Paul, "Practical Foundations of Mathematics," 1999. Another 
advanced book, covering logic, recursive function theory, cartesian 
closed categories, and a lot of the second half I can't comment on. A 
wo

Re: being inside a universe

2002-07-05 Thread Tim May
 human (or 
machine) observers.

Isham makes an excellent point about time-varying sets, echoed by 
Smolin. In a nutshell, while the logic of a quantum universe (or 
cosmological universe, perhaps) may follow a Heyting logic where "the 
cat is neither alive nor dead," once _any_ observation or measurement, 
whether a machine or a written note or a memory or whatever, then the 
logic is Boolean, as we "are used to."

Now obviously we're all familiar with this as the basic "measurement 
collapses the wave function" model, so there is at first glance nothing 
new here (you skeptics out there are right to be skeptical). However, 
the topos-theoretical point of view, in which topos logic (Heyting) is 
used instead of Boolean logic, seems to me to make the "interpretation" 
problem (Copenhagen vs. MWI vs. Cramer vs. ...) largely go away.

The "naive realism" view is that whether we can see the cat or not, it 
"must" be "really" either alive or dead. The Heyting/Isham/Smolin/etc. 
point of view is that speculating about whether the cat is alive or dead 
is as meaningless as speculating about what the "actual number of cats 
living at this moment in Andromeda" is, given that that place is outside 
our light cone (our causal past) and that the earliest we could even 
conceivably answer that question is two million years from now.

Smolin covers this territory convincingly, for me, in his "Three Roads 
to Quantum Gravity."

In fact, the elimination of the absolute view is refreshing.

Take, for example, the very model of past and future light cones. We are 
familiar with the conventional world line of, say, me or you. Our world 
line moves from out past to our future in this Minkowski (or some 
variant) space-time. This is the point of view of the "outside, 
omniscient, sees all events and objects in all parts of space-time" 
point of view. The God viewpoint.

This very point of view encourages (some) people to think in 
deterministic terms. "The future" and all that (emphasis on "the"). One 
thing reading a lot of science fiction has done for me is to disabuse me 
of any notion of "the" future. Instead, sheafs of possible futures. 
Locally determistic, and past-deterministic (pace the point about 
Heyting-->Boolean), but various possible worlds of various futures are 
unknowable to observers in the real universe.

(Smolin makes the case that the universe is everything there is, that it 
is pointless to speak of external observers who can see the entire 
structure of space-time. The links between this viewpoint and other 
areas are fascinating.)

We are finite beings in an effectively finite, though very large and of 
effectively unlimited potential complexity, universe. The logic of 
time-varying sets (essentially topos logic) is the natural way to 
describe such systems. Locally, and in most everyday situations, Boolean 
logic works very well in physical situations (all honest observers will 
agree on any observation)...just as Euclidean geometry works very well 
in most situations, just as other theories work very well in most 
situations.

I'm amazed at how well humans can understand reality.

As I said, lots of people are way ahead of me in understanding the math. 
Seeing how once obscure parts of mathematics turn out to be very useful 
for Theories of Everything, I'm more convinced than ever that 
essentially all branches of mathematics are somehow "built in" to the 
structure of reality.

(And this is one reason I'm skeptical of models that reality is just a 
cellular automaton running local rulesets on some computer. I have a 
hard time conceiving of how so much interesting mathematics would exist 
with simple local CA rules. But I could be wrong. :-) )

--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Logical depth

2002-07-04 Thread Tim May


On Thursday, July 4, 2002, at 09:26  AM, Hal Finney wrote:

> Brent Meeker writes:
>> What's Wolfram's critereon for "randomness"?  how it looks?  It would 
>> seem
>> that he's using something different than Chaitin if we thinks a simple
>> system can produce random output.  Chaitin *defines* random as an 
>> output
>> that can't be reproduced by a system simpler than the output itself.
>
> That's a good point.  It's curious that Chaitin used the primes as an
> example of mathematical randomness when they must have inherently low
> algorithmic complexity.  A handful of relatively short axioms define the
> integers and the operations of addition, multiplication, etc., and this
> is sufficient to produce the "random" spacing of the primes.

However, the "dual" of "descriptional complexity" is "logical depth": 
the running time of a program to generate some string or set from some 
initial conditions or axioms. An apparently complex system, one which 
apparently has no description shorter than itself, may arise from a 
short description run through a machine or process a number of times. 
Logical depth is the term coined by Charles Bennett, of course.

(Arguably, the universe is such a high logical depth system.)

I say "apparently complex" rather than "complex" to admit this very 
possibility: that an object with seemingly no shorter description of 
itself _than_ itself ("random" in Kolmogorov-Chaitin sense) actually has 
a much shorter description.

Examples of this abound. An apparently random string may be a very 
simple string run through an encryption process. An apparently random 
string may have a very short description once someone spots the pattern.

A DNA string coding for some organism which has evolved over billions of 
generations has "packed" a lot into a fixed length string. Each 
twiddling of the string through mutation and crossover, followed by each 
test of reproductive fitness, is effectively a computation. The "spring" 
of this string is "compressed" with more and more energy. The DNA string 
for an organism has a lot of "energy" or "cleverness" (viewed in 
different ways). The string length remains the same, more or less, and 
naive calculations of entropy (which are always simplistic) give 
essentially the same measure. But the logical depth is different, and 
that matters a lot.

We can say "the set of primes is not random, but has high logical 
depth." It will take a certain amount of energy to generate/compute the 
primes up to some number.

I think Chaitin is making a point about the  set of primes being a 
readily-visualizable example of something which has a seemingly random 
structure but with high logical depth. Which is what a lot of cellular 
automata, e.g., LIFE, have been showing us.

Simple initial conditions + Long running times ---> Complex structures 
with no simpler descriptions than themselves

(unless we know the initial conditions and algorithms, in which case we 
can do the computation ourselves)

Aside: Trying to compute the initial conditions from a final 
configuration is difficult. This was dealt with in some of Wolfram's 
earlier papers, collected together in his World Scientific book 
"Cellular Automata."


--Tim May
"Stupidity is not a sin, the victim can't help being stupid.  But 
stupidity is the only universal crime;  the sentence is death, there is 
no appeal, and execution is carried out automatically and without pity." 
--Robert A. Heinlein




Egan's "All Topologies Model"--an excerpt

2002-07-04 Thread Tim May
 of perfectly balanced chaos which space-time 
would become if so much energy was poured into it that literally 
everything became equally possible. Everything and its opposite; the net 
result was that nothing happened at all.

But some local fluctuation had disturbed the balance in such a way as to 
give rise to the Big Bang. From that tiny accident, our universe had 
burst into existence. Once that had happened, the original "infinitely 
hot," infinitely even-handed mixture of topologies had been forced to 
become ever more biased, because "temperature" and "energy" now had a 
meaning and in an expanding, cooling universe, most of the "hot" old 
symmetries would have been as unstable as molten metal thrown into a 
lake. And when they'd cooled, the shapes into which they'd frozen had 
just happened to favor topologies close to a certain ten-dimensional 
total space one which gave rise to particles like quarks and electrons, 
and forces like gravity and electromagnetism.
By this logic, the only correct way to sum over all the topologies was 
to incorporate the fact that our universe had by chance emerged from 
pre-space in a certain way. Details of the broken symmetry had to be fed 
into the equations "by hand" because there was no reason why they 
couldn't have been utterly different. And if the physics resulting from 
this accident seemed improbably conducive to the formation of stars, 
planets, and life . . . then this universe was just one of a vast number 
which had frozen out of pre-space, each with a different set of 
particles and forces. If every possible set had been tried, it was 
hardly surprising that at least one of them had turned out to be 
favorable to life.

85

It was the old anthropic principle, the fudge which had saved a thousand 
cosmologies. And I had no real argument with it even if all the other 
universes were destined to be forever hypothetical.

--end excerpt--


--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: being inside a universe

2002-07-03 Thread Tim May
quick search confirmed the details.
Pearl's book is one that would profit immensely from a "collision" with 
other areas, especially the causal set work of Isham, Markopoulou, etc. 
(As in a lot of areas, the "invisible colleges" (communities of 
researchers) are often operating in micro-universeses of discourse, 
referencing from the same set of papers, using the same basic ideas. For 
example, the only real point of commonality between the universes of 
[Pearl-Dempster-Shafer-cognitive-AI]  and  
[Smolin-Markopoulou-Isham-physics] seems to be the term "causality" and 
varius references to Saul Kripke (who is better known in linguistic 
circles!).
>
>> [SNIP] What's fascinating is that a topos is a kind of "micro 
>> universe.' Not in a physical sense, a la Egan or Tegmark, but in the 
>> sense of generating a consistent reality. More on this later [SNIP].
>
>
> In the sense of (brouwerian-like) mental construction?
>

I mean in the sense that the history of modern science seems to me to be 
a succession of "throwing out the "centered" object," throwing out a 
world centered around the Sun, or centered around God, or centered 
around even Newtonian physics.

A good example is throwing out Euclidean geometry. Or, rather, truly 
understanding that Euclidean geometry is just one of _many_ geometries.

Euclidiean geometry, Riemannian geometry, Newtonian physics, Lorentzian 
transforms in a Minkowski space (aka Einsteinian physics), etc. are just 
special kinds of universes. Are they "real"?

(This gets into Tegmark territory, about "actual" (whatever that means!) 
physical universes with different mathematics and then, obviously, 
different physical laws. Egan, in "Distress," calls this the "all 
topology  model.")

Personally, I'm a partial Platonist (these things in mathematics have 
some kind of existence) and a partial formalist (we are pushing symbols 
around on paper and in our minds). I increasingly view the 
constructivist (Intuitionist/Brouwerian) point of view as being 
consistent with what we see in the world and what we can model or 
simulate on computers.

There are aspects to the world which are Newtonian, which are Boolean, 
which use the discrete topology, which use only continuous functions, 
which are beyond Boolean, which are compact (in the compact space 
sense), which are non-compact, which are Banach, Hilbert, Fock, etc. 
spaces, and so on.

While I think the Universe is remarkably understandable, I don't think 
it makes much sense to talk about what "the" topology or laws of 
mathematics of the Universe is/are. (I apologize if this is not 
clear...this is just a glimpse.)

There is much, much more to say on all of these topics.

--Tim



--Tim May
(.sig for Everything list background)
Corralitos, CA. Born in 1951. Retired from Intel in 1986.
Current main interest: category and topos theory, math, quantum reality, 
cosmology.
Background: physics, Intel, crypto, Cypherpunks




Re: being inside a universe

2002-07-02 Thread Tim May
 or near/inside event horizons, perhaps). 
Perhaps more strangely, the conventional Boolean algebra and logic get 
superceded by time-varying sets where the law of the excluded middle (A 
or not-A, not-not-A is A) is replaced by a richer logical system: 
Heyting algebra and logic. I'll get into this stuff more in future posts.

In particular, Isham has a topos perspective on "consistent histories" 
(MWI) which is quite interesting. A streaming video lecture on "Quantum 
theory and reality" is available at 
http://www.newton.cam.ac.uk/webseminars/hartle60/1-isham/

This is not easy going, but watching it a couple of times may get across 
some of the ideas. And he and his main collaborator, Butterfield, have 
written several papers.

My last comment will be that I am not really a Tegmarkian. Frankly, I 
thought Greg Egan treated the same ideas better than Tegmark did. In 
"Distress" we find the "all topologies model," yet another overloading 
of the acronym ATM. (AOL, acronym overload.) "Distress" was published in 
hardback in June 1997. Tegmark's TOE preprint appears in April 1997. So 
roughly simultaneous publication. Anyway, Tegmark is a professional 
physicist, and has done much good work on conventional cosmology, so I'm 
not dissing him. More on this later.

--Tim May
--
Timothy C. May [EMAIL PROTECTED]Corralitos, California
Political: Co-founder Cypherpunks/crypto anarchy/Cyphernomicon
Technical: physics/soft errors/Smalltalk/Squeak/ML/agents/games/Go
Personal: b.1951/UCSB/Intel '74-'86/retired/investor/motorcycles/guns
Recent interests: category theory, toposes, algebraic topology