Re: Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least improbability/influencing things

2008-12-30 Thread Stathis Papaioannou

2008/12/30 kla...@bkpsecurity.com kla...@bkpsecurity.com:

 Lets assume, that Alice who believes in QI wants a certain probable
 event to happen, for instance win 1,000,000 in a casino. Alice then
 comes to a casino with a loaded gun and promises to herself, that she
 will kill herself if she does not win 1,000,000. You can even think
 about a suicidal lottery machine, which will automatically kill Alice
 if Alice does not win 1,000,000.


 Since Alice is immortal, there are two possivle outcomes

 1). Alice wins 1,000,000 and the trigger is not pulled
 2). Alice does not win 1,000,000, the trigger is pulled, the bullet
 goes through Alice's head without killing Alice

 Now although 1) is highly improbable 2) is much much more improbable.

 Due to the principle of the least improbability 1) is going to happen
 for a typical immortal - meaning that Alice wins 1,000,000

 If you accept that, you should accept that QI provides a way for
 immortals to influence the world by doing attempted suicides.
 Essentially, anything becomes possible for an immortal.

It's one thing to hope that QI saves you when it seems all options are
gone but another thing to deliberately shoot yourself in the head:
what if the theory is wrong? Some time ago I had the idea of using
your method to win at gambling but not leave a (third person, at
least) corpse. I would go into the casino with the lethal device in my
pocket and formulate the intention in my mind that if I lost, I would
kill myself. Now probably I wouldn't kill myself, even if I lost, but
formulating the intention would at least mean that in a minority of
worlds where I lost, I would kill myself. Therefore, I would be
eliminating some of the losing worlds in the multiverse, and biasing
my chances in favour of finding myself in a world; which over many (as
close to fair as possible) games would give me a net expected game.
But alas, it turns out when you do the calculations that my expected
gain is about proportional to the probability that I would actually
leave a corpse behind, which is what I wanted to avoid.


-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least improbability/influencing things

2008-12-29 Thread kla...@bkpsecurity.com

If Quantum Immortality (QI) is true, then we can ask the question what
is the TYPICAL history for an immortal. The typical history (or the
typical time/space trajectory) would be the path most of the immortals
take (and remember that in QI all of us are immortals)

For each immortal history its weight in the space of all histories
diminishes each time an improbable event takes place. Therefore,
although in QI all of us are immortals, for a typical immortal the
history will follow the principle of the least improbability. Things
will be have in the least crazy way that will still allow the immortal
to survive.

Lets say an immortal decides to commit a suicide for a particular
reason. It is then much more probable for some life event to occur
that will persuade the immortal to abandon its attempt, then for the
bullet to go through the immortal's head without actually killing the
immortal. As an example, Alice decides to commit a suicide because her
boyfriend Bob left her, Bob can change his mind, call Alice etc. so
that the reason for the suicide is removed.

Therefore, for a typical immortal there will be no bulllet going
through the head, no disfigurement etc. Instead, an event will occur
which will naturally remove the need for the suicide.

In other words, immortals will not typically perceive themselves
living in the world where strange things happen. Instead, the world
will somehow make sure that immortals stay alive AND that things
behave relatively reasonably.

Let us assume that QI is true and that all of us are immortals. What
is the least improbable thing that can allow us to stay alive forever?
Life extension. With the modern progress of biology it is not
completely improbable that a technology is discovered within say next
10 years that will reverse aging. In this scenario a typical immortal
will not even tribute his immortality to QI. Instead, immortality
will be a natural consequence of life extension.

Now lets apply the principle of the least improbability to actually
influence things.

Lets assume, that Alice who believes in QI wants a certain probable
event to happen, for instance win 1,000,000 in a casino. Alice then
comes to a casino with a loaded gun and promises to herself, that she
will kill herself if she does not win 1,000,000. You can even think
about a suicidal lottery machine, which will automatically kill Alice
if Alice does not win 1,000,000.


Since Alice is immortal, there are two possivle outcomes

1). Alice wins 1,000,000 and the trigger is not pulled
2). Alice does not win 1,000,000, the trigger is pulled, the bullet
goes through Alice's head without killing Alice

Now although 1) is highly improbable 2) is much much more improbable.

Due to the principle of the least improbability 1) is going to happen
for a typical immortal - meaning that Alice wins 1,000,000

If you accept that, you should accept that QI provides a way for
immortals to influence the world by doing attempted suicides.
Essentially, anything becomes possible for an immortal.








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Re: Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least improbability/influencing things

2008-12-29 Thread Brent Meeker

kla...@bkpsecurity.com wrote:
 If Quantum Immortality (QI) is true, then we can ask the question what
 is the TYPICAL history for an immortal. The typical history (or the
 typical time/space trajectory) would be the path most of the immortals
 take (and remember that in QI all of us are immortals)
 
 For each immortal history its weight in the space of all histories
 diminishes each time an improbable event takes place. Therefore,
 although in QI all of us are immortals, for a typical immortal the
 history will follow the principle of the least improbability. Things
 will be have in the least crazy way that will still allow the immortal
 to survive.
 
 Lets say an immortal decides to commit a suicide for a particular
 reason. It is then much more probable for some life event to occur
 that will persuade the immortal to abandon its attempt, then for the
 bullet to go through the immortal's head without actually killing the
 immortal. As an example, Alice decides to commit a suicide because her
 boyfriend Bob left her, Bob can change his mind, call Alice etc. so
 that the reason for the suicide is removed.
 
 Therefore, for a typical immortal there will be no bulllet going
 through the head, no disfigurement etc. Instead, an event will occur
 which will naturally remove the need for the suicide.
 
 In other words, immortals will not typically perceive themselves
 living in the world where strange things happen. Instead, the world
 will somehow make sure that immortals stay alive AND that things
 behave relatively reasonably.
 
 Let us assume that QI is true and that all of us are immortals. What
 is the least improbable thing that can allow us to stay alive forever?
 Life extension. With the modern progress of biology it is not
 completely improbable that a technology is discovered within say next
 10 years that will reverse aging. In this scenario a typical immortal
 will not even tribute his immortality to QI. Instead, immortality
 will be a natural consequence of life extension.

Certainly no one before 1920 attributed his immortality to QM.  So it must have 
just seemed luck to each of them that they live on forever while all their 
friends and family die.  And for the Neanderthal immortals even all their 
specie 
dies.  And what about the immortal homohabilis?...the immortal tyranosaouri?

 
 Now lets apply the principle of the least improbability to actually
 influence things.
 
 Lets assume, that Alice who believes in QI wants a certain probable
 event to happen, for instance win 1,000,000 in a casino. Alice then
 comes to a casino with a loaded gun and promises to herself, that she
 will kill herself if she does not win 1,000,000. You can even think
 about a suicidal lottery machine, which will automatically kill Alice
 if Alice does not win 1,000,000.
 
 
 Since Alice is immortal, there are two possivle outcomes
 
 1). Alice wins 1,000,000 and the trigger is not pulled
 2). Alice does not win 1,000,000, the trigger is pulled, the bullet
 goes through Alice's head without killing Alice
 
 Now although 1) is highly improbable 2) is much much more improbable.
 
 Due to the principle of the least improbability 1) is going to happen
 for a typical immortal - meaning that Alice wins 1,000,000
 
 If you accept that, you should accept that QI provides a way for
 immortals to influence the world by doing attempted suicides.
 Essentially, anything becomes possible for an immortal.

Let us know how that works out for you. :-)

Brent

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RE: Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least improbability/influencing things

2008-12-29 Thread Jan Harms

Why shouldn't a more natural process prevent Alice from doing this
experiment with the lottery? Something far more probable than winning the
million which does not let this quantum trick happen? This would be similar
to the reasoning you applied to the quantum suicide. It could be much more
probable to implant a natural doubt in quantum immortality in Alice's brain
which causes her not to carry out the lottery trick. I definitely have this
doubt. In this way one could conclude that doubts in quantum immortality
would be a consequence of quantum immortality.

-Original Message-
From: everything-l...@googlegroups.com
[mailto:everything-l...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of
kla...@bkpsecurity.com
Sent: Montag, 29. Dezember 2008 19:51
To: Everything List
Subject: Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least
improbability/influencing things


If Quantum Immortality (QI) is true, then we can ask the question what
is the TYPICAL history for an immortal. The typical history (or the
typical time/space trajectory) would be the path most of the immortals
take (and remember that in QI all of us are immortals)

For each immortal history its weight in the space of all histories
diminishes each time an improbable event takes place. Therefore,
although in QI all of us are immortals, for a typical immortal the
history will follow the principle of the least improbability. Things
will be have in the least crazy way that will still allow the immortal
to survive.

Lets say an immortal decides to commit a suicide for a particular
reason. It is then much more probable for some life event to occur
that will persuade the immortal to abandon its attempt, then for the
bullet to go through the immortal's head without actually killing the
immortal. As an example, Alice decides to commit a suicide because her
boyfriend Bob left her, Bob can change his mind, call Alice etc. so
that the reason for the suicide is removed.

Therefore, for a typical immortal there will be no bulllet going
through the head, no disfigurement etc. Instead, an event will occur
which will naturally remove the need for the suicide.

In other words, immortals will not typically perceive themselves
living in the world where strange things happen. Instead, the world
will somehow make sure that immortals stay alive AND that things
behave relatively reasonably.

Let us assume that QI is true and that all of us are immortals. What
is the least improbable thing that can allow us to stay alive forever?
Life extension. With the modern progress of biology it is not
completely improbable that a technology is discovered within say next
10 years that will reverse aging. In this scenario a typical immortal
will not even tribute his immortality to QI. Instead, immortality
will be a natural consequence of life extension.

Now lets apply the principle of the least improbability to actually
influence things.

Lets assume, that Alice who believes in QI wants a certain probable
event to happen, for instance win 1,000,000 in a casino. Alice then
comes to a casino with a loaded gun and promises to herself, that she
will kill herself if she does not win 1,000,000. You can even think
about a suicidal lottery machine, which will automatically kill Alice
if Alice does not win 1,000,000.


Since Alice is immortal, there are two possivle outcomes

1). Alice wins 1,000,000 and the trigger is not pulled
2). Alice does not win 1,000,000, the trigger is pulled, the bullet
goes through Alice's head without killing Alice

Now although 1) is highly improbable 2) is much much more improbable.

Due to the principle of the least improbability 1) is going to happen
for a typical immortal - meaning that Alice wins 1,000,000

If you accept that, you should accept that QI provides a way for
immortals to influence the world by doing attempted suicides.
Essentially, anything becomes possible for an immortal.











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